screenshot

Predictions and promises monitor | ru | en

Ranking Predictions Authors

Dmitriy Potapenko

Entrepreneur, blogger (Russia)


Predictions
54
Verified
22
Came true
64%
Rating
5.62

New Awaiting Verified

Dmitriy Potapenko

ru → en

I believe that any conferences of this kind will take place regardless of what is happening. It’s unlikely they will be canceled (Response to the question: "French President Macron canceled the international conference on the recognition of the Palestinian state, which was supposed to take place on June 17 in New York. Officially, the decision was said to be made in light of Israel’s strikes on Iran. Could this affect whether the G7 summit in Calgary, Canada, will take place or not?")

Awaiting results June 17, 2025

Dmitriy Potapenko

ru → en

To answer your question, the rate will be raised to 23-25%, but it will be raised a bit later because you can’t spoil the timing (Referring to the key interest rate in Russia)

Awaiting results June 30, 2025

Dmitriy Potapenko

ru → en

I think so. This process is not quick. Israel has certain limitations, including with its armed forces. Iran and the Islamic world must somehow respond to the destruction of some infrastructure (Response to the question: "Do you think this will last a month?" (The war between Israel and Iran))

Awaiting results July 13, 2025

Dmitriy Potapenko

ru → en

The demarcation agreement, which I think everyone is pushing towards... will most likely come in 2025, with the first attempts to establish some kind of deal regarding authority and territories (Between Russia and Ukraine)

Awaiting results December 31, 2025

Dmitriy Potapenko

ru → en

Inflation next year, according to our group's calculations, is estimated to be around 30-35 percent

Awaiting results December 31, 2025

Dmitriy Potapenko

ru → en

That’s a highly unlikely scenario for the rate to be 15% next year. Aliens are more likely to arrive (In response to: "By the start of the second quarter... they might start lowering the rate, maybe even to 15% in 2025. What do you think of that?" (Referring to Russia's key interest rate))

Awaiting results December 31, 2025

Dmitriy Potapenko

ru → en

Most likely, Zelensky will resign this year

Awaiting results December 31, 2025

Dmitriy Potapenko

ru → en

Zaluzhny will become president

Awaiting results December 31, 2025

Dmitriy Potapenko

ru → en

There won't be a collapse. No catastrophic 120 rubles per dollar; there's no need for that

Awaiting results December 31, 2025

Dmitriy Potapenko

ru → en

Is there a chance for 14%? In my opinion, there's no chance of that. There is a chance for 16% by the end of the year, but (Referring to the key rate in Russia, stating that it won't be 14% by the end of 2025)

Awaiting results December 31, 2025

Dmitriy Potapenko

ru → en

In my opinion, they will raise it (In response to the question: "What's your forecast? Will they raise the VAT, and really to 22 percent?" (In Russia))

Awaiting results February 15, 2026

Dmitriy Potapenko

ru → en

Most likely, Armenia will lose the Zangezur Corridor. And I don’t think it will be a particularly bloody war. I believe there will be a border conflict, so to speak, with some casualties—probably not many, but still

Awaiting results December 31, 2027

Dmitriy Potapenko

ru → en

Vance, it's unlikely that anyone will bring him to power. No one needs him (JD Vance)

Awaiting results December 31, 2028

Dmitriy Potapenko

ru → en

It's clear that within the next 3-5 years, the retirement age will be raised

Awaiting results December 31, 2029

Dmitriy Potapenko

ru → en

I’ll be honest, in my opinion, Serbia will not join the EU in the coming years

Awaiting results December 31, 2029

Dmitriy Potapenko

ru → en

Trump’s presidency is over. Dear Donald, where will you be working next? Most likely, the Democrats will come back to power again ((Comment on the remark that J.D. Vance might become the next U.S. president.))

Awaiting results December 31, 2029

Dmitriy Potapenko

ru → en

Right now, renting is more advantageous. Buying an apartment doesn’t make sense at the moment. Prices won’t drop. The real estate market cools down very slowly... It takes 5-7 years for the real estate market to cool off, so prices aren’t going to fall

Awaiting results December 31, 2031

Dmitriy Potapenko

ru → en

Sanctions will work for decades... sanctions are serious and long-term (Regarding sanctions against Russia)

Awaiting results December 31, 2032

Dmitriy Potapenko

ru → en

VV will remain in power for quite a while, as he’s only 72. I would estimate at least another 10 years of his rule (By VV, he means Putin)

Awaiting results December 31, 2034

Dmitriy Potapenko

ru → en

It is clear that they will not transition their defense industry to a military footing

Awaiting results

Dmitriy Potapenko

ru → en

The average European is much more concerned about the price of their food and gas, which would be beneficial for them if it were supplied directly through a pipeline from Russia. Therefore, as soon as the escalation of the conflict is reduced, the pipeline will be restored within three months, and Europe will immediately return to Russian gas in full volume. No one is dismantling the gas transportation system

Awaiting results

Dmitriy Potapenko

ru → en

Considering that civilian infrastructure is being destroyed, part of Kyiv will definitely be evacuated

Awaiting results

Dmitriy Potapenko

ru → en

I believe that the chances of Belarus not being directly involved in the military conflict are quite high

Awaiting results

Dmitriy Potapenko

ru → en

Vladimir Vladimirovich has one very strong trait, a very strong one. It lies in the fact that he has transitioned from being the executive director of a joint-stock company to becoming its majority shareholder. There are both advantages and disadvantages to this. The advantage is that he will see things through to the very end, no matter what. The disadvantage is that any succession operations or transfer of power are completely impossible (Talking about Putin)

Awaiting results

Dmitriy Potapenko

ru → en

Some say that the flag of Russia will fly in Kyiv, while others say that the flag of Ukraine will fly in Moscow. In principle, neither will happen

Awaiting results

Dmitriy Potapenko

ru → en

And reparations, who’s going to pay them? (Implying that Russia won’t pay reparations)

Awaiting results

Dmitriy Potapenko

ru → en

Nothing will fall apart... on the contrary, it will be a symbol that we need to unite around the great leader (Response to the remark that if Crimea is de-occupied, everything in Russia will fall apart)

Awaiting results

Dmitriy Potapenko

ru → en

I think they will leave him like Nazarbayev, and then slowly remove him (Response to the question: 'Will Putin remain in power or will he be ousted?')

Awaiting results

Dmitriy Potapenko

ru → en

I think they will implement the digital ruble for transactions among so-called friendly countries

Awaiting results

Dmitriy Potapenko

ru → en

NATO will not get involved in this mess

Awaiting results

Dmitriy Potapenko

ru → en

Is there a chance of this? Honestly, I assess it as unlikely (About Ukraine's accelerated accession to NATO. He argues that it would require "bending the procedure.")

Awaiting results