Dmitriy Potapenko
Entrepreneur, blogger (Russia)
Dmitriy Potapenko
ru → en
I believe that any conferences of this kind will take place regardless of what is happening. It’s unlikely they will be canceled (Response to the question: "French President Macron canceled the international conference on the recognition of the Palestinian state, which was supposed to take place on June 17 in New York. Officially, the decision was said to be made in light of Israel’s strikes on Iran. Could this affect whether the G7 summit in Calgary, Canada, will take place or not?")
Awaiting results June 17, 2025Dmitriy Potapenko
ru → en
To answer your question, the rate will be raised to 23-25%, but it will be raised a bit later because you can’t spoil the timing (Referring to the key interest rate in Russia)
Awaiting results June 30, 2025Dmitriy Potapenko
ru → en
I think so. This process is not quick. Israel has certain limitations, including with its armed forces. Iran and the Islamic world must somehow respond to the destruction of some infrastructure (Response to the question: "Do you think this will last a month?" (The war between Israel and Iran))
Awaiting results July 13, 2025Dmitriy Potapenko
ru → en
The demarcation agreement, which I think everyone is pushing towards... will most likely come in 2025, with the first attempts to establish some kind of deal regarding authority and territories (Between Russia and Ukraine)
Awaiting results December 31, 2025Dmitriy Potapenko
ru → en
Inflation next year, according to our group's calculations, is estimated to be around 30-35 percent
Awaiting results December 31, 2025Dmitriy Potapenko
ru → en
That’s a highly unlikely scenario for the rate to be 15% next year. Aliens are more likely to arrive (In response to: "By the start of the second quarter... they might start lowering the rate, maybe even to 15% in 2025. What do you think of that?" (Referring to Russia's key interest rate))
Awaiting results December 31, 2025Dmitriy Potapenko
ru → en
Most likely, Zelensky will resign this year
Awaiting results December 31, 2025Dmitriy Potapenko
ru → en
Zaluzhny will become president
Awaiting results December 31, 2025Dmitriy Potapenko
ru → en
There won't be a collapse. No catastrophic 120 rubles per dollar; there's no need for that
Awaiting results December 31, 2025Dmitriy Potapenko
ru → en
Is there a chance for 14%? In my opinion, there's no chance of that. There is a chance for 16% by the end of the year, but (Referring to the key rate in Russia, stating that it won't be 14% by the end of 2025)
Awaiting results December 31, 2025Dmitriy Potapenko
ru → en
In my opinion, they will raise it (In response to the question: "What's your forecast? Will they raise the VAT, and really to 22 percent?" (In Russia))
Awaiting results February 15, 2026Dmitriy Potapenko
ru → en
Most likely, Armenia will lose the Zangezur Corridor. And I don’t think it will be a particularly bloody war. I believe there will be a border conflict, so to speak, with some casualties—probably not many, but still
Awaiting results December 31, 2027Dmitriy Potapenko
ru → en
Vance, it's unlikely that anyone will bring him to power. No one needs him (JD Vance)
Awaiting results December 31, 2028Dmitriy Potapenko
ru → en
It's clear that within the next 3-5 years, the retirement age will be raised
Awaiting results December 31, 2029Dmitriy Potapenko
ru → en
I’ll be honest, in my opinion, Serbia will not join the EU in the coming years
Awaiting results December 31, 2029Dmitriy Potapenko
ru → en
Trump’s presidency is over. Dear Donald, where will you be working next? Most likely, the Democrats will come back to power again ((Comment on the remark that J.D. Vance might become the next U.S. president.))
Awaiting results December 31, 2029Dmitriy Potapenko
ru → en
Right now, renting is more advantageous. Buying an apartment doesn’t make sense at the moment. Prices won’t drop. The real estate market cools down very slowly... It takes 5-7 years for the real estate market to cool off, so prices aren’t going to fall
Awaiting results December 31, 2031Dmitriy Potapenko
ru → en
Sanctions will work for decades... sanctions are serious and long-term (Regarding sanctions against Russia)
Awaiting results December 31, 2032Dmitriy Potapenko
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VV will remain in power for quite a while, as he’s only 72. I would estimate at least another 10 years of his rule (By VV, he means Putin)
Awaiting results December 31, 2034Dmitriy Potapenko
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It is clear that they will not transition their defense industry to a military footing
Awaiting resultsDmitriy Potapenko
ru → en
The average European is much more concerned about the price of their food and gas, which would be beneficial for them if it were supplied directly through a pipeline from Russia. Therefore, as soon as the escalation of the conflict is reduced, the pipeline will be restored within three months, and Europe will immediately return to Russian gas in full volume. No one is dismantling the gas transportation system
Awaiting resultsDmitriy Potapenko
ru → en
Considering that civilian infrastructure is being destroyed, part of Kyiv will definitely be evacuated
Awaiting resultsDmitriy Potapenko
ru → en
I believe that the chances of Belarus not being directly involved in the military conflict are quite high
Awaiting resultsDmitriy Potapenko
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Vladimir Vladimirovich has one very strong trait, a very strong one. It lies in the fact that he has transitioned from being the executive director of a joint-stock company to becoming its majority shareholder. There are both advantages and disadvantages to this. The advantage is that he will see things through to the very end, no matter what. The disadvantage is that any succession operations or transfer of power are completely impossible (Talking about Putin)
Awaiting resultsDmitriy Potapenko
ru → en
Some say that the flag of Russia will fly in Kyiv, while others say that the flag of Ukraine will fly in Moscow. In principle, neither will happen
Awaiting resultsDmitriy Potapenko
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And reparations, who’s going to pay them? (Implying that Russia won’t pay reparations)
Awaiting resultsDmitriy Potapenko
ru → en
Nothing will fall apart... on the contrary, it will be a symbol that we need to unite around the great leader (Response to the remark that if Crimea is de-occupied, everything in Russia will fall apart)
Awaiting resultsDmitriy Potapenko
ru → en
I think they will leave him like Nazarbayev, and then slowly remove him (Response to the question: 'Will Putin remain in power or will he be ousted?')
Awaiting resultsDmitriy Potapenko
ru → en
I think they will implement the digital ruble for transactions among so-called friendly countries
Awaiting resultsDmitriy Potapenko
ru → en
NATO will not get involved in this mess
Awaiting resultsDmitriy Potapenko
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Is there a chance of this? Honestly, I assess it as unlikely (About Ukraine's accelerated accession to NATO. He argues that it would require "bending the procedure.")
Awaiting results