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Ranking Predictions Authors

Oleg Zhdanov

Military analyst, blogger (Ukraine)


Predictions
35
Verified
19
Came true
74%
Rating
6.24

New Awaiting Verified

Oleg Zhdanov

ru → en

As I understand it, we will definitely still be at war in 2025 (Speaking about the war in Ukraine)

Awaiting results

Oleg Zhdanov

ru → en

I believe that the first place this wave of national liberation movements will ignite is the Caucasus, which will lead to the collapse—maybe not complete, but definitely a collapse—of the Rashist Federation (Referring to Russia as the "Rashist Federation")

Awaiting results

Oleg Zhdanov

ru → en

Even if we assume they’ll take Pokrovsk, which I highly doubt (Russian forces won’t be able to capture Pokrovsk)

Awaiting results

Oleg Zhdanov

ru → en

And Storm Shadows will be there, and ATACMS will be there... I don't think there will be permission for their use. We have reached the point where the interests of the U.S. and Ukraine are starting to diverge (The U.S. will not allow the use of long-range weapons deep into Russian territory)

Did not come true

Oleg Zhdanov

ru → en

Combat in Pokrovsk, in my opinion, is some distant and unrealistic prospect at the moment

Completely came true

Oleg Zhdanov

ru → en

I think that mobilization will have to be announced. Either they will have to make compromises, but this will most likely be without Putin (Answer to the question: 'Your prediction, Oleg Vladimirovich... will Putin have to announce mobilization?')

Awaiting results

Oleg Zhdanov

ru → en

Iran announced that they have developed a long-range cruise missile capable of flying 1,650 km... Will this missile appear in the armed forces of the Russian Federation in the near future? I don't think so

Completely came true

Oleg Zhdanov

ru → en

And they will never leave the Zaporizhzhia nuclear power plant on their own (The Russians)

Awaiting results

Oleg Zhdanov

ru → en

In my opinion, most likely there will be no pause (In the war during the winter period)

Completely came true

Oleg Zhdanov

ru → en

I think he will now remain in this position for the rest of his life (Xi Jinping)

Awaiting results

Oleg Zhdanov

ru → en

I think they might hold out for another week or two, no more (About the right-bank grouping of Russian troops in Kherson Region)

Did not come true

Oleg Zhdanov

ru → en

Well, I think visas will be granted (For Lavrov to visit the UN General Assembly)

Completely came true

Oleg Zhdanov

ru → en

The likelihood is very high that we will not be accepted into NATO (Ukraine)

Awaiting results

Oleg Zhdanov

ru → en

Or there is the option that some analysts, including in the U.S., predict. The war may drag on until spring, and in the worst-case scenario, it may last until autumn 2023... The best prediction is the end of the war in winter, the average is spring, and the worst is autumn of next year

Did not come true

Oleg Zhdanov

ru → en

Regarding the idea that the liberation of Kherson is far off, I do not share that point of view... yes, it is not a matter of tomorrow, and not a matter of the coming week... but it is not a matter of the New Year or deep autumn

Completely came true

Oleg Zhdanov

ru → en

I don't think they... this is blackmail, this is bluffing, but it is very dangerous (About the possibilities of Russia blowing up the Zaporizhzhia Nuclear Power Plant)

Awaiting results

Oleg Zhdanov

ru → en

I think that in the next week we are unlikely to see anything... closer to the end of the month, it is quite possible that the Armed Forces of Ukraine may attempt to initiate counteroffensive actions or a counteroffensive in one of the directions

Completely came true

Oleg Zhdanov

ru → en

I don't think so. I believe that the balance is leaning towards Belarus not participating (About the possibility of the direct involvement of Belarusian armed forces in the war in Ukraine)

Awaiting results

Oleg Zhdanov

ru → en

I think that they most likely will not storm either Soledar or Bakhmut (Russian troops)

Did not come true

Oleg Zhdanov

ru → en

I understand that the United States will give us tanks

Completely came true

Oleg Zhdanov

ru → en

Let's take a risk; I think that the 8th package could, hypothetically, still include a gas embargo (The 8th package of sanctions against Russia)

Did not come true

Oleg Zhdanov

ru → en

I think zero percent. Why? Because a general mobilization could trigger a social explosion in Russia (Response to the question: 'What percentage do you give that Putin might declare a general mobilization?')

Awaiting results

Oleg Zhdanov

ru → en

We do not anticipate an offensive on Dnipro at all... there is currently no direct threat of invasion or attack on Dnipro

Completely came true

Oleg Zhdanov

ru → en

This threat is practically zero, both for Zaporizhzhia, Kryvyi Rih, and Mykolaiv; it is practically zero (The threat of a breakthrough by Russian troops)

Awaiting results

Oleg Zhdanov

ru → en

In my opinion, the Donetsk region will not be captured, and the likelihood of unfavorable developments is minimal at this time

Awaiting results

Oleg Zhdanov

ru → en

A landing operation is a hundred percent out of the question, a hundred percent (Regarding the possible actions of the Russian army if it goes towards Kryvyi Rih)

Awaiting results

Oleg Zhdanov

ru → en

For now, I don't think China will decide on a landing operation in Taiwan (In connection with Pelosi's visit to Taiwan)

Completely came true

Oleg Zhdanov

ru → en

We will receive Western planes (Figther jets)

Completely came true

Oleg Zhdanov

ru → en

Of course, they will provide them. It's just a matter of time (West will provide Ukraine with missiles with a range of 300 km)

Awaiting results

Oleg Zhdanov

ru → en

There are several scenarios that could occur as a result of the military defeat of the Russian armed forces on Ukrainian territory. A quiet palace coup could happen... and a revolution or civil war within Russia itself is also possible, which would be the worst outcome and the least favorable for Western countries

Awaiting results

Oleg Zhdanov

ru → en

I can say for sure that by all indications, Putin will not leave; he will not leave on his own, he will sit in that chair until his last breath

Awaiting results

Oleg Zhdanov

ru → en

I don't think that a landing operation is possible today (Russian landing in Odesa)

Completely came true

Oleg Zhdanov

ru → en

We will hold the city until the last (Mariupol)

Completely came true

Oleg Zhdanov

ru → en

This will last for at least a few months

Completely came true

Oleg Zhdanov

ru → en

These are not negotiations at all, and they will lead to nothing; there will be no results. The most that will happen is an exchange of positions (About negotiations at the very beginning of the war)

Completely came true