screenshot

A weakened Russia suits China as a forced, subordinate partner. Therefore, I don't think any war could happen between Russia and China in the near future. I think everything suits China today.
#Russia #China

I can predict that the state of Syria will most likely no longer exist. It will be divided, to some extent, between Turkey and, perhaps, chunks of Syria, the Alawites, and the territory that Israel controls.
#Syria #Turkey #Israel

I still think that Telegram will follow in WhatsApp's footsteps, but that's just speculation. WhatsApp will definitely be blocked, and Telegram most likely will as well. In Russia.
#Russia #Censorship #Internet

It certainly looks like it, that's exactly what's happening. This is part of the same pattern as the mobile internet shutdowns. I'll just remind you that Russia set a record for mobile shutdowns and the filtering of all previous services. I'd say this is precisely about building that very "Cheburnet," and as a resident of Russia, I'd slowly prepare for whitelists. I'm sure that if Putin maintains his health and power for some prolonged period of time—say, a year or two or three—we'll ultimately arrive at whitelists. That's when there's a list of what's allowed and everything else is forbidden. In response to the hosts' question: "Doesn't this look like preparation for a sovereign network - the Cheburnet?" (in Russia)
#Russia #Internet #Censorship

I'm completely confident that at some point, Putin will try to strike the Baltic states. I believe he has many plans drawn up regarding Latvia, Lithuania, and Estonia. Of course, he is unlikely to go for Finland, given his past bad experience and the fact that the Finns are more prepared to defend their country.
#Russia #Latvia #Lithuania #Estonia #Finland #Putin

I am absolutely confident, and you will see, it won't be long to wait. Three things will become completely unacceptable in the world after this war. Prisons will disappear from the world as the main instrument of the enslavement of the people. Nationalists will disappear from the world, because any nationalism, at its extreme, leads to Nazism. And borders will disappear from the world. After the war in Ukraine.

They won't seize it. It will agree to some kind of slow integration on its own, like Hong Kong. In response to the comment: "If Taiwan is captured..."
#Taiwan #China

In 50 days... Siversk will not be taken, Serebryanka will not be taken, Kupyansk will not be taken, Borova will not be taken, they will not reach Zaporizhzhia. Russian forces.
#War in Ukraine #Russia #Ukraine

The ice is thin, but the Central Bank will lower the rate anyway—it seems they've decided there's no point in protecting Russians from inflation.
#Economy of Russia #Economy #Russia

I'm confident the next step will be a ban on artificial intelligence. A ban on everything that, according to Putin, responds to your queries incorrectly.
#Russia #Censorship

The war could end as early as tomorrow if Putin dies or loses power. The war in Ukraine.
#War in Ukraine #Russia #Ukraine #Putin

North Korea's air force is incredibly weak, it's practically nonexistent. In the event of a war with South Korea, their air force would be destroyed within the first few hours.
#North Korea #South Korea

In September, when these 50 days are up, it will be clear that no Pokrovsks have been taken, Konstantinovka and Druzhkivka haven't been taken, Sloviansk and Kramatorsk haven't been taken, and there's no buffer zone in the Sumy region.
#War in Ukraine #Ukraine #Russia

There won't be a collapse. No catastrophic 120 rubles per dollar; there's no need for that.
#Ruble #Dollar #Economy of Russia #Economy #Russia

To be fair, regarding Russia's much-vaunted 1,000 strikes per day—if they are achieved, and they most likely will be... Russia will be able to launch 1,000 drones at Ukraine simultaneously.
#War in Ukraine #Ukraine #Russia

I think Trump will announce sanctions tomorrow, but they won't be the kind Lindsey Graham is proposing. I believe Graham's suggested sanctions – 500% tariffs against Russia's trade partners – are too extreme; I don't think that will happen. I don't believe Trump will go that far. I think the sanctions will be different, much less painful, but still a significant blow to Russia.
#USA #Russia #Trump #War in Ukraine #Economy of Russia

South Korea will likely develop nuclear weapons within decades.
#South Korea #Nuclear weapons

Former Trump aide Steve Bannon said that if Trump refuses to publish the Epstein list, he will lose 10 percent of the MAGA movement. It's not just about the pedophile network and all that, but also about who rules us, right? Former Trump aide Steve Bannon said that if Trump refuses to publish the Epstein list, he will lose 10 percent of the MAGA movement. If we lose 10% of the MAGA movement right now, we will lose 40 seats in the 2026 congressional midterm elections, and then we will lose the presidency. Something tells me the list will not be published anyway.
#USA

The German Chancellor stated that Russia must pay 500 billion euros to Ukraine. And then Russia can ask for the 200 billion euros frozen in the EU to be returned to them. Hmm. By the way, in that case, they wouldn't give back the 200 billion euros for anything. They'd find something to fault.
#Russia #Ukraine #Germany #European Union #Economy

I think it will continue. My terrible prediction—God forbid it comes true, I wish death on no one. But unfortunately, there's reason to believe it will, because there's a huge process of capital outflow from Russia. Responding to the comment: 'People who knew too much are unexpectedly passing away. It's not just about the minister. There's Transneft, and even before that, in 2022, there was a whole series of such incidents' (Referring to a series of strange deaths among Russian officials and oil executives)
#Russia

Chinese won't displace English... Unless, of course, the Chinese switch to Latin script, which they won't.

And Zelensky also cares about security. He understands that stopping the war means immediate elections, immediate removal of this group from power, and the start of investigations into this group's activities after the elections.
#Ukraine #Zelensky #Elections #War in Ukraine

First, Putin says, recognize these territories and give me guarantees, and then I'll be ready to stop the hot phase of the war. He understands that if the war stops now along this line, it will lead to endless negotiations that will last decades and certainly won't result in the recognition of occupied territory.
#War in Ukraine #Ukraine #Russia #Putin

If the war doesn't stop, it will lead to the removal of democratic power in Ukraine and catastrophically increase the chances of Putin's supporters coming to power.
#Ukraine #War in Ukraine

Trump promised to announce a surprise for Russia on Monday, July 14th. Everyone's guessing what it could be. My opinion is that Trump will issue a soft ultimatum: If Russia doesn't make concessions, a harsh sanctions law will be passed: a 500% trade tariff for countries that trade with Russia and don't pay "tribute" to Ukraine. And a partial lifting of sanctions if Russia makes concessions. But of course, no one can accurately predict Trump. Not even he himself.
#USA #Russia #Trump #War in Ukraine

I don't think so. Answer to the question: "Do you think Russia is facing another Chechen war?"
#Russia

I think no, they likely won't attack. The US will certainly get involved. Answer to the question: "Do you think China will attack Taiwan?"
#Taiwan #China #USA

I don't think they'll be thrown into active combat on Ukrainian territory. Instead, they'll likely be stationed somewhere along the borders to relieve the Russian army, so they can cover the Belgorod, Bryansk, and partially Kursk regions from potential invasions by Ukrainian forces. Answer to the comment: "Heard the news about 30,000 North Koreans being sent to the front?"
#War in Ukraine #North Korea #Russia #Ukraine

Putin also has an awarded weapon, but he'll never have the guts to make the right choice. Meaning, Putin won't shoot himself.
#Putin #Russia

No, of course not, and it won't be able to next year either; there are no prospects for it. Answer to the question: "Do you think Russia will be able to capture Kherson this year?"
#War in Ukraine #Russia #Ukraine

Her criminal case definitely awaits her. Answer to the question: "Where do you see Elvira Nabiullina after some time?"
#Russia

It appears GTA 6 will be released earlier than the Special Military Operation (SMO) in Ukraine is frozen.
#War in Ukraine #Russia #Ukraine

Will Telegram be shut down in Russia for the new universal MAX platform? No, that can't be! Everything will be fine, as usual.
#Russia #Telegram #Censorship #Internet

Netanyahu is unpopular. He will most likely lose the next election. And he's unpopular because of his conservative agenda.
#Israel #Elections

This is a rehearsal for a speech in Nuremberg: "we have nothing to do with this, we are journalists." Mark my words, remember this broadcast. The speech will be identical. Kiselev... Dmitry Kiselev will be tried analogously to the Nuremberg trials.
#Russia

Sanctions against Russia: a new bill by Senator Lindsey Graham, who has been receiving bribes from Zelensky for many years, on 500% tariffs against all who trade with Russia and do not pay Ukraine, will be introduced in Congress on July 9. Trump has effectively given his consent to it. The prediction is that it will be passed. But. The words "the president must" in it will be replaced with "the president may." And Trump will not impose such tariffs. But he will use them to intimidate both Russia and China and any other country he wants to scare.
#Russia #USA #War in Ukraine #Trump

It's clear that by the end of the year, the deficit will be 8 trillion. 6-7-8 – roughly that order. Referring to Russia's budget deficit.
#Economy of Russia #Economy #Russia

The conditions formulated by Putin. Putin very much wants to gain a lot before negotiations begin, before the hot phase of the war stops. As I understand it, he's achieved his goal; he'll get sanctions. And these sanctions will be very painful. Answer to the question: "Under what conditions, in your opinion, will peace negotiations take place?"
#War in Ukraine #Russia #USA #Economy #Ukraine

He [Trump] will therefore start to consider this sanctions bill. Most likely, Congress will pass it, unless Putin manages to do something beforehand.
#USA #Russia #War in Ukraine

TCC, in Russian, is a military enlistment office... My prediction is they'll try to play with this for a while, then they'll run out of military enlistment offices that can be hit by drones. Using a large missile or several missiles to completely destroy a military enlistment office is a rather unprofitable project. And in a month or two, we won't hear about these targeted attacks on military enlistment offices anymore. In a month or two, Russia will stop targeted attacks on Ukraine's TCCs.
#War in Ukraine #Ukraine #Russia

And then, when Iran is finally finished, the Yemeni Houthis, Hamas, and Hezbollah will sharply disappear.
#Iran #Yemen #Hamas #Hezbollah

I think Mr. Mamdani will win, and this will further strengthen the far-left camp in the Democratic Party. In the 2025 New York City mayoral election
#USA #Elections

My prediction, and unfortunately I think it will definitely come true, is that the Kremlin will gradually block other communication methods and channels to push people towards using the Max messenger.
#Russia #Censorship #Internet

If Elon Musk's American party succeeds, I'll once again say, "Here's a man who bent the course of history to his will." But right now, I think the chances of success are minimal, while the chances that he'll cause damage, including to the values he hopes to promote with this party—that chance, I believe, is very, very high.
#USA

There will be no war in the Caucasus.

My answer is, unfortunately, I don't think there will be a truce this year. Answer to the question: "Do you think there's any hope for peace or at least a truce this year?"
#War in Ukraine #Ukraine #Russia

Yes, exactly. That's why I'm saying this law won't be passed. Responding to the comment: "The first thought that comes to mind when you start thinking about Lindsey Graham's project is, what about China, what about India?"
#USA #Russia

Launchers are in short supply for them, carriers are in short supply, so there aren't many missiles in their volleys, which is good. But the number of drones is growing more and more. And I'm afraid we'll see 1,000 before the end of summer, literally. The number increases every day there. And Ukrainians urgently need to work on this. By the end of summer, Russia will launch 1,000 drones at Ukraine in a single volley.
#War in Ukraine #Ukraine #Russia

We've finished reading the Tribute. Please donate via Telegram while it's still possible. I think that option will also be disabled soon.
#Russia #Telegram #Censorship #Internet

I don't believe in this Max at all. Doesn't believe that many people will use the new Russian messenger Max, or that it will replace WhatsApp and Telegram.
#Russia #Internet

I think the question of blocking WhatsApp and Telegram is a matter of, if not months, then a very foreseeable future, once they launch their Max and get enough users onto it. Max is a Russian messenger service.
#Russia #Internet #Censorship #Telegram

I actually think it's not just that the cops don't care; I'm personally sure they'll be covered this time. There will be no consequences for the killing in Ekaterinburg. No police officers will be held accountable for anything. Speaking about the deaths of two Azerbaijanis during their detention in Ekaterinburg.
#Russia #Azerbaijan

Baku has few doors left to enter. Reconciliation with Moscow — I'm sure that will happen soon.
#Russia #Azerbaijan

When it comes to the prospects of Musk creating a real political organization (specifically a party), they still seem doubtful to me. Musk could create and endlessly fund a hundred parties, but he's not a political builder: up to this point, he hasn't succeeded in forming lasting political alliances with politicians themselves or with the bureaucracy. Without such connections, there's no chance of success. Furthermore, electoral legislation is tailored to the two main parties. Musk would simply get dragged through various legal instances, and at some point, he'd get bored with it. He's already realized that political activity is detrimental to business. And when choosing between business and politics, he'll undoubtedly choose the former. You don't need a fortune teller to know that.
#USA

I said it on RBC and I'll repeat it here — there will be no "America" party named after Elon Musk. There'll be a swing, but no hit.
#USA

This war will inevitably end in the collapse of Putin's state, if we take a ten-year perspective. The war in Ukraine.
#Russia #Putin #War in Ukraine

I think that in the next 10 years, the state of Russia within its current borders will not exist; I have no doubt about that.
#Russia

I think Poland should prepare for much the same, for PiS to return there. I don't see Tusk being able to steer out of this situation. PiS is "Law and Justice" - a political party in Poland.
#Poland

I think Iran's acquisition of an atomic bomb is practically inevitable now, sooner or later. Because they will immediately resume their nuclear program—they have already resumed it—and try to achieve it. Whether Pakistan or China helps them, or they accidentally find a car with a nuclear bomb parked in the mountains, that's a secondary matter.
#Iran #Nuclear weapons

My prediction is this: supplies will resume, but not in the same volume, and it'll be like a drop in the ocean. Meanwhile, Putin will escalate the air and ground campaigns against Ukraine. And following the results of the summer-autumn campaign, another proposal will follow, only this time it won't be for 4 regions, but 6.
#War in Ukraine #Ukraine #Russia #USA

Hereditary dictator Aliyev spat in Putin's direction once, although I'm absolutely sure they'll reconcile and come to an agreement after some time; I have no doubt about it.
#Russia #Azerbaijan

I think a truce will happen in 2026. Maybe it will be concluded in 2025, but in 2026 we (Russia and Ukraine) will most likely be in a state of truce.
#War in Ukraine #Russia #Ukraine

I think, more likely yes. Answer to the question: "Do you think America will resume arms supplies?" (to Ukraine)
#War in Ukraine #Ukraine #USA

A Kherson counteroffensive is impossible. How would they cross the Dnieper? It's unrealistic for anyone, neither the Russian nor the Ukrainian army, so nothing serious is brewing on that front.
#War in Ukraine #Ukraine #Russia