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Predictions and promises monitor

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Authors
450
Predictions
3208
Verified
1199
Came true
65%
Complex
58%
Confident
49%
Predictions Author Ranking
All Expected Expected soon New results

Ekaterina Kotrikadze

I think neither of them will get it. In response to the comment: "Right now, the main contenders for the Nobel Peace Prize are Donald Trump and Francesca Albanese..."
Completely came true October 13, 2025
#Trump
ru → en

Tikhon Dzyadko

I think neither the first nor the second will get it. In response to the comment: "Right now, the main contenders for the Nobel Peace Prize are Donald Trump and Francesca Albanese..."
Completely came true October 10, 2025
#Trump
ru → en

Maksim Shevchenko

Baku has few doors left to enter. Reconciliation with Moscow — I'm sure that will happen soon.
Completely came true October 10, 2025
#Russia #Azerbaijan
ru → en

Fyodor Krasheninnikov

Hereditary dictator Aliyev spat in Putin's direction once, although I'm absolutely sure they'll reconcile and come to an agreement after some time; I have no doubt about it.
Completely came true October 10, 2025
#Russia #Azerbaijan
ru → en

Boris Aronshtein

Oil has been falling since January 2025... I don’t think it will continue to decline significantly.
Completely came true October 10, 2025
#Oil #Economy
ru → en

Oleg Kashin

As for peace, and the promised end to the Russian-Ukrainian war — which never happened and clearly won't happen anytime soon.
Completely came true October 3, 2025
#War in Ukraine #Ukraine #Russia
ru → en

Gennady Gudkov

They are unfeasible. There will be no peace. All serious politicians in Europe already understand that. In response to the question: "The U.S. proposed that Europe ease sanctions against Russia in the event of a peaceful settlement in Ukraine. The U.S. also believes that the territories Russia captured during the war should remain under Moscow’s control. These proposals have been voiced. Bloomberg reports on this. How feasible are they?"
Completely came true October 3, 2025
#War in Ukraine #Ukraine #Russia
ru → en

Konstantin Borovoy

The Iran issue ranks second. On Trump’s scale, I would give it a weight of 3 out of 10. We know that this issue will be resolved, and very quickly. The nuclear program will be stopped through negotiations.
Did not come true October 3, 2025
#Iran #USA #Trump
ru → en

Abbas Gallyamov

I think Trump definitely won’t object to that... I can’t imagine Trump refusing to sell weapons. In response to the remark: "Ukraine is no longer asking for aid, but wants to buy weapons, and the Europeans are providing money for that."
Completely came true October 3, 2025
#Ukraine #USA #Trump #Europe #War in Ukraine
ru → en

Sergey Grabskiy

Therefore, it's not appropriate to say that we are seriously considering the possibility of an offensive in the Sumy or Kharkiv direction today or in the near future. Speaking about a potential Russian offensive.
Completely came true October 3, 2025
#War in Ukraine #Ukraine #Russia
ru → en

Stanislav Belkovsky

Something tells me that Musk is now going to try to initiate the arrest of Soros father and son.
Did not come true October 3, 2025
#USA
ru → en

Vyacheslav Shiryaev

And where are they going to suddenly get hundreds of billions? They wanted to cut the Pentagon’s budget. Remember, it all started with Vance’s statements — like, “let’s cut Pentagon spending by almost half.” They won’t be allowed to cut the Pentagon’s budget. It’ll be just like with Kennedy.
Completely came true October 3, 2025
#USA #Economy
ru → en

Arti Green

I don’t expect anything in the foreseeable future. Not until Russia moves to the next level of mobilization. I mean, unless it brings another half a million soldiers into service and increases the level of industrial mobilization, I don’t see any significant threats on any part of the front.
Completely came true October 3, 2025
#War in Ukraine #Ukraine #Russia
ru → en

Ian Matveev

I’m more inclined to believe the second scenario—that Putin will come up with excuses and reasons not to agree. In the end, he will not go for a truce.
Completely came true October 3, 2025
#War in Ukraine #Ukraine #Russia #Putin
ru → en

Alfred Koch

I think so. If we’re talking about a simple ceasefire without any conditions, then it can be agreed upon. In response to the question: "Will it be possible to achieve a ceasefire in the coming months?"
Did not come true October 3, 2025
#War in Ukraine #Ukraine #Russia
ru → en

Abbas Gallyamov

Trump, one of Putin's most important demands regarding Ukraine not joining NATO—strictly speaking, he basically agrees with it. So why antagonize this man? If he gets angry or offended, he might simply declare that the U.S. supports Ukraine’s application... How can you afford to quarrel with such a person? That’s why Putin will go to the negotiations. And I believe he will make a significant number of concessions.
Did not come true October 3, 2025
#Putin #Trump #War in Ukraine #Russia #USA
ru → en

Abbas Gallyamov

Well, look, Iran is to blame itself. First of all, the regime will collapse soon, so to speak, any day now.
Did not come true October 3, 2025
#Iran
ru → en

Alexei Venediktov

I lean towards the idea that substantive negotiations on a ceasefire will begin. As for how they will end, as Viktor Stepanovich Chernomyrdin once said: "That’s a philosophical question." In response to the question: "Do you believe that within the next six months there will be a truce, a ceasefire, or that Putin won’t agree to it?"
Partially came true October 3, 2025
#War in Ukraine #Ukraine #Russia
ru → en

Michael Sheitelman

I don’t believe in Putin’s ability to negotiate. I believe that Trump will do all the work, that he will go through the entire process. Yes, he will formulate peace proposals. Yes, he will bring some representatives of Ukraine and Russia to the table—not the presidents, not Zelensky or Putin. And then Putin will start his sabotage. Because Putin has no intention of ending the war, and he doesn’t need any peace agreement.
Completely came true October 3, 2025
#War in Ukraine #Putin #Trump #Ukraine #Russia
ru → en

Arti Green

There will be no just peace. It will be a compromise between justice and injustice, because the Western coalition is not inclined to push this conflict to the point of nuclear escalation. Therefore, they do not plan a military defeat of the Russian Federation. Some agreement will be reached, and I am confident it will happen, as the President of the United States has the leverage to achieve it. Knowing Donald Trump, I can say that he will likely reach this agreement fairly quickly. Regarding an agreement between Russia and Ukraine.
Did not come true October 3, 2025
#War in Ukraine #Ukraine #Russia #USA
ru → en

Michael Nacke

I think the surprise over North Koreans participating in the war and being used in combat roles will, by the middle of next year, become quite a common story. In other words, we’ll be watching plenty of videos of FPV drones taking down North Koreans.
Did not come true October 3, 2025
#War in Ukraine #North Korea #Ukraine #Russia
ru → en

Abbas Gallyamov

I consider the negotiation track to be key, maybe not in the short term—over the next week or even months—but over a relatively longer period, like six months. Overall, the resources of both sides, in Russia and Ukraine, are significantly depleted.
Did not come true October 3, 2025
#War in Ukraine #Ukraine #Russia
ru → en

Praful Bakshi

In my view, the likelihood of a military clash exists, and it may increase, but it will not escalate into a full-scale war... It could be a regional conflict. Regional means that in some border sectors there may be shelling, even intense shelling.
Completely came true September 30, 2025
#India #Pakistan
ru → en

Konstantin Borovoy

So, we're waiting. You can place bets, everyone loves to argue. We can debate whether Putin will decide on the same massive bombings he conducted before August 10th. Those interested, write to me, and we'll debate.
Did not come true September 28, 2025
#War in Ukraine #Ukraine #Russia #Putin
ru → en

Konstantin Borovoy

There's a very high probability that Putin will stop the war. It seems it won't be in 10 or 12 days, or by August 10th; larger timeframes are needed for that. But this war will be stopped relatively quickly. Due to Trump's ultimatum.
Did not come true September 28, 2025
#War in Ukraine #Russia #Ukraine #Putin
ru → en

Win/Win

The most important thing about Trump's ultimatum isn't the ultimatum itself, but his resentment. Putin, he says, didn't even call me after my last ultimatum. Overall, the sanctions aren't that great; to implement them, you'd have to fight not only Russia but the entire world except the West. Most likely, Trump won't introduce new duties, but will simply exit the game. He'll say, "I threatened and threatened, but they're not scared. I don't want to be friends with the Russians." He'll become friends with Zelenskyy instead.
Completely came true September 28, 2025
#USA #Trump #War in Ukraine
ru → en

Ilia Novikov

TCC, in Russian, is a military enlistment office... My prediction is they'll try to play with this for a while, then they'll run out of military enlistment offices that can be hit by drones. Using a large missile or several missiles to completely destroy a military enlistment office is a rather unprofitable project. And in a month or two, we won't hear about these targeted attacks on military enlistment offices anymore. In a month or two, Russia will stop targeted attacks on Ukraine's TCCs.
Completely came true September 28, 2025
#War in Ukraine #Ukraine #Russia
ru → en

Oleg Tsaryov

I think the U.S. and Israel will simply bomb Iran into dust, leaving it in ruins. However, they won’t touch the oil and gas infrastructure — to avoid triggering a spike in fuel prices. The strikes will target uranium enrichment centers and military production facilities. They’ll declare it a victory. Iran essentially has no air defense. That’s why Israel and the U.S. will do whatever they want. There’s no way to stop them. There will be no ground operation.
Almost came true September 28, 2025
#Iran #Israel #USA
ru → en

Pavel Schelin

There will be no ceasefire. A ceasefire is an extremely unrealistic scenario, because the conditions that Russia sets for it are, in fact, a de facto capitulation of Ukraine.
Completely came true September 28, 2025
#War in Ukraine #Ukraine #Russia
ru → en

Leonid Volkov

I made a prediction on the best political show that I believe there will be interesting developments and opportunities in September 2025. There are few available positions, many contenders, and regional elites have fewer tools left to determine who holds more power. Answer to the question: "What do you think about the municipal elections on Unified Voting Day 2025? The prospects of Smart Voting."
Did not come true September 28, 2025
#Russia #Elections
ru → en

Maksim Shevchenko

It will definitely. France is bound to recognize it, of course it will, 100%. In response to the question: "Will Europe recognize Palestine in September?"
Completely came true September 25, 2025
#Palestine #Europe
ru → en

Vyacheslav Shiryaev

Let's not forget about the Novorossiysk port, which I think will become a very important target for Ukraine in September. Let's lock in this prediction of mine. In September, the Novorossiysk port will be in the news precisely in this context.
Completely came true September 24, 2025
#War in Ukraine #Ukraine #Russia #Oil
ru → en

Win/Win

A fake story has been spread about a supposedly planned meeting of Trump's associates in Europe, allegedly with both Trump and Zelensky participating. This is all being done to hijack the agenda being dictated by the summit in China. There won't be any meeting in Europe. At least not with Trump.
Almost came true September 17, 2025
#War in Ukraine #Ukraine #Trump #Zelensky #European Union
ru → en

Ruslan Leviev

Of course, I don't expect any major changes from the Trump administration in the next 2-3 weeks. We will again see comments from Putin, Trump... I expect that Trump will simply back out; this is my personal opinion, assessment, and forecast.
Completely came true September 17, 2025
#War in Ukraine #Trump #Ukraine #Russia #USA
ru → en

Ruslan Leviev

Many researchers suggest that Russia has a plan to move further towards the village of Velykyi Burluk... But by the end of summer, no, that's too far, it's beyond Russia's capabilities right now.
Completely came true September 17, 2025
#War in Ukraine #Russia #Ukraine
ru → en

Vladimir Milov

I believe that specifically with the bill, Musk will not win. Musk demands absolutely recklessly cutting social spending. Answer to the question: "I think this will be decisive, will Musk manage to shake the Senate to not let the bill pass?" (One Big Beautiful Bill)
Completely came true September 17, 2025
#USA
ru → en

Yuri Fedorov

During this year's summer campaign, I'm not sure that Russian forces will be able to accomplish the tasks set before them and create any significant buffer zone 10–15–20 km deep and stretching along the entire border of the Sumy region — no, that's unlikely.
Completely came true September 17, 2025
#War in Ukraine #Ukraine #Russia
ru → en

Konstantin Eggert

I'll take the risk of making this assumption: these negotiations will lead nowhere. In reality, Putin doesn't want peace at all. What he wants is Ukraine's capitulation.
Completely came true September 17, 2025
#War in Ukraine #Ukraine #Russia #Putin
ru → en

Nikolai Feldman

I am quite sure that this will not happen. In response to his own question: "Do you believe there will be peace in the near future?" (Talking about the war in Ukraine)
Completely came true September 17, 2025
#War in Ukraine #Ukraine #Russia
ru → en

Fyodor Krasheninnikov

As of now, September 19, 2024, I still hold the opinion that there is a long way to go until the end of this war. And unless some kind of miracle happens, such as the sudden death of Vladimir Putin, the main organizer and inspirer of this war, it will most likely last for another year.
Completely came true September 17, 2025
#War in Ukraine #Ukraine #Russia #Putin
ru → en

Igor Lipsitz

So far, the Central Bank has not announced a further rate cut. I think they will extend this rate at the next meeting. This is my forecast. In Russia.
Did not come true September 12, 2025
#Economy of Russia #Economy #Russia
ru → en

Dmitry Demushkin

Nah, there’s no chance of a rate cut at all. In response to the question: "What do you think about the key interest rate? Nabiullina didn’t lower it on April 25."
Did not come true September 12, 2025
#Economy of Russia #Economy #Russia
ru → en

Aleksandr Morozov

A meeting between Trump and Putin in Beijing is, in my opinion, impossible; there's no substance to it. In my view, it won't happen. Answer to the question: "Is a meeting between Trump and Putin possible?"
Completely came true September 3, 2025
#Trump #Putin #USA #Russia #China
ru → en

Vyacheslav Shiryaev

In September, when these 50 days are up, it will be clear that no Pokrovsks have been taken, Konstantinovka and Druzhkivka haven't been taken, Sloviansk and Kramatorsk haven't been taken, and there's no buffer zone in the Sumy region.
Completely came true September 3, 2025
#War in Ukraine #Ukraine #Russia
ru → en

Oleksiy Arestovych

I think within a short period, two to three months, sorry, no less, preparations will be made for a meeting. There will be a meeting between Xi Jinping, Putin, and Trump, where they will divide the world.
Did not come true September 3, 2025
#Trump #Xi Jinping #Putin #USA #China #Russia
ru → en

Alfred Koch

In 50 days... Siversk will not be taken, Serebryanka will not be taken, Kupyansk will not be taken, Borova will not be taken, they will not reach Zaporizhzhia. Russian forces.
Completely came true September 2, 2025
#War in Ukraine #Russia #Ukraine
ru → en

Dmitry Gordon

This is not a prediction. It seems to me that we're talking about a change of the Iranian regime. Protests will begin, and the ayatollahs' regime will not withstand them.
Did not come true September 2, 2025
#Iran
ru → en

Dmitriy Potapenko

If there is a strike on the oil and gas sector, then according to my estimates, the increase in hydrocarbon prices — for example, oil — will be around 17–22 percent. A strike by Israel on Iran’s oil and gas infrastructure.
Cannot be verified September 2, 2025
#Oil #Economy #Iran #Israel
ru → en

Vladimir Milov

As for the oil price, since there is no scenario of blocking the Strait of Hormuz, I think the price isn’t under much threat — it will be a bit nervous, but then it will settle down.
Completely came true September 2, 2025
#Oil #Economy
ru → en

Alex Parker Returns

Overnight, a full-scale war between India and Pakistan began almost unnoticed. Despite its peaceful rhetoric, it was in fact Pakistan that started the war by launching missile strikes, even targeting India’s capital, New Delhi. Both sides are now continuing to move troops toward the borders. The war is unavoidable. Let there be good!
Did not come true September 2, 2025
#India #Pakistan
ru → en

Vladimir Milov

Translation: The war between India and Pakistan — do you think it will have a strong impact on the global economy? Well, as things are going, I would venture to predict that they will exchange some strikes and won’t continue beyond that, because for both of them, an all-out war with each other would have colossal and devastating consequences.
Completely came true September 2, 2025
#India #Pakistan
ru → en

Aleksey Pilko

Two major powers, one with a population of 1.5 billion people, the other with a population of 220 million people, and they are on the brink of war. However, many experts — and I agree with them — tend to believe that there will not be a serious war. The sides will exchange airstrikes, they already have, and afterward there will be a pause and negotiations will begin. India may consider itself satisfied, or maybe not, and Pakistan will respond.
Completely came true September 2, 2025
#India #Pakistan
ru → en

Mikhail Svetov

Unfortunately, it must be stated that the war will continue despite the temporary truce introduced by Vladimir Putin. In honor of Easter, he announced a unilateral ceasefire. Since then, the temporary ceasefire has been violated. Putin has already stated that the ceasefire will not be extended. Unfortunately, Trump’s peace plan has failed.
Completely came true September 2, 2025
#War in Ukraine #Ukraine #Russia #Trump
ru → en