Subscribe to our
Telegram channel

screenshot

Predictions and promises monitor

| About
en | ru | Author Ranking

Authors
394
Predictions
2501
Verified
908
Came true
65%
Complex
53%
Confident
48%
Predictions Author Ranking
All Expected Expected soon New results

Oleksandr Kharebin‬

As of today, and for the next few weeks or months, I don’t see any possibility of North Korean soldiers being present in Ukraine... Any clash between the Ukrainian army and North Koreans will take place on Russian territory, not on Ukrainian territory. This is an important point, and I want to emphasize it.
Completely came true April 3, 2025
#War in Ukraine #Ukraine #North Korea #Russia
ru → en

Bogdan Bakaleyko

We just made a bet with the cameraman before the broadcast on whether the conflict would be frozen by April 1st or not. The cameraman is betting it will. I don't believe in such a scenario. Talking about the war in Ukraine.
Completely came true April 1, 2025
#War in Ukraine #Ukraine #Russia
ru → en

Ivan Yakovina

If negotiations do not begin and no ceasefire is reached, another so-called partial mobilization—completely free of charge—will be announced in Russia in March.
Cannot be verified March 31, 2025
#Russia #War in Ukraine
ru → en

Ilia Novikov

If you are willing to consider my expertise on Ukrainian politics, then my forecast is yes—the matter will end in the coming weeks with the resignation of the Minister of Defense and their replacement with a new one.
Did not come true March 31, 2025
#Ukraine
ru → en

Dmitry Bykov

By March 2025, the war in Ukraine will end, I think. I’m ready to be wrong, but I’d say there’s a 70% chance of it happening.
Did not come true March 31, 2025
#War in Ukraine #Ukraine #Russia
ru → en

Igor Lipsitz

Most likely, in March, we will see a reversal of the trend toward the ruble’s depreciation. Otherwise, there will be a huge problem with filling the Russian Federation’s budget.
Did not come true March 30, 2025
#Ruble #Economy of Russia #Russia #Economy
ru → en

Igor Lipsitz

For some reason, I feel that at the next meeting, they will raise the rate by half a percentage point, bringing it to 21.5. They won’t dare to increase it too much because it would be both pointless and too provocative. So, in the near future, they will likely keep it at around 21 or 21.5.
Partially came true March 21, 2025
#Economy of Russia #Russia #Economy
ru → en

Evgeny Chichvarkin

I think it will end with an agreement to have another conversation. I don't expect any major turning points. In response to the question: "Peskov stated that Putin does not intend to make any official statements after the conversation. We’ll be waiting for information from Trump... What do you think will be the outcome of today’s conversation?"
Completely came true March 19, 2025
#Putin #Trump #Russia #USA #War in Ukraine #Ukraine
ru → en

Dmitry Gordon

At the negotiations between Trump and Putin, which I am sure will take place by the end of February.
Did not come true February 28, 2025
#Trump #Putin #USA #Russia
ru → en

Dmitry Gordon

I think a meeting between Zelensky and Trump could take place literally the day after the inauguration, or perhaps 2–3 days later, but very, very quickly. I am convinced that Trump’s first conversation will be with Zelensky.
Did not come true February 28, 2025
#Trump #Zelensky #USA #Ukraine
ru → en

Roman Tsymbaliuk

It’s highly likely that their government will once again be a coalition. In Germany.
Completely came true February 28, 2025
#Germany #Elections
ru → en

Mikhail Savva

In 2025, the war will continue—that’s certain and clear. But I still hope that 2025 will be the final year of the war. It won’t happen in January or February, but such a possibility is entirely realistic. The war in Ukraine.
Completely came true February 28, 2025
#War in Ukraine #Ukraine #Russia
ru → en

Oleg Soskin

I assume that if Zelensky doesn’t announce his resignation now, there will definitely be a strike that will destroy the Verkhovna Rada of Ukraine, the National Bank of Ukraine, and the Cabinet of Ministers of Ukraine...
Did not come true February 28, 2025
#Ukraine #War in Ukraine
ru → en

Mark Feygin

The Russian army’s offensive will certainly slow down, simply due to climatic and seasonal factors. From this perspective, I don’t think they intend to take Pavlograd—that’s impossible—or reach the borders of the Dnipro region, let alone cross them. Such an opportunity does not exist at the moment.
Completely came true February 28, 2025
#War in Ukraine #Ukraine #Russia
ru → en

Mark Feygin

They say that all efforts are being focused on arranging a new meeting between Trump and Volodymyr Zelensky. And I think such a meeting will most likely take place.
Completely came true February 28, 2025
#Trump #Zelensky #USA #Ukraine
ru → en

Igor Yakovenko

There will be no peace in the near future. At least, I’ll be very glad if I’m wrong. Speaking about a truce between Ukraine and Russia.
Completely came true February 28, 2025
#War in Ukraine #Ukraine #Russia
ru → en

Vladimir Milov

The prices for the most common 95-octane gasoline are being held steady for now, largely due to the fuel damper mechanism. My prediction is that they won’t be able to maintain this for long, and eventually, the oil companies will approach the government and say: "There is already a significant gap between the real (economically justified) price of gasoline at retail gas stations and the price we are holding back—let’s start raising it". I’m curious when exactly this will happen, but I suspect we’re looking at the beginning of the year. Prices for 95-octane gasoline in Russia will soon start to rise.
Almost came true February 28, 2025
#Russia #Economy of Russia #Economy #Gasoline
ru → en

Nikolai Petrov

While the draft is ongoing, there’s no point and no way to bring in additional people. Then winter comes. So, unless there are some drastic changes on the front, there won’t be any serious chances for large-scale mobilization until spring. In Russia
Completely came true February 28, 2025
#Russia
ru → en

Ivan Yakovina

The middle class won’t go to war en masse, even for money… They’ll have to draft people by force. That’s why I think by the end of this year or the beginning of next year, at least half a million Russian men will be conscripted into the army. They'll try to draft them, though some will flee and some will hide, but overall, I think they’ll get the job done. Russia has set up a special electronic system and border control system; they’ve prepared thoroughly for a new wave of mobilization.
Did not come true February 28, 2025
#Russia #War in Ukraine
ru → en

Dmitry Kolezev

I don't see any grounds for it to begin in the near future. It seems to me that the Russian army is managing reasonably well with the forces it currently has. Answer to the question: 'Will there be a new wave of mobilization, or should we not expect it in the near future?' (In Russia).
Completely came true February 28, 2025
#War in Ukraine #Russia
ru → en

Andrey Piontkovsky

In early February, Trump will be forced to acknowledge that he does not, and cannot, have a peace plan for a freeze supported by both Ukraine and Russia. This is already evident.
Partially came true February 25, 2025
#War in Ukraine #Trump #Ukraine #Russia #USA
ru → en

Michael Sheitelman

In any case, Alternative for Germany, according to my forecast, will gain a maximum of 22%. That’s how it seems to me, though I could be wrong.
Completely came true February 24, 2025
#Germany #Elections
ru → en

Sergey Tsiplyaev

The CDU/CSU will most likely win the elections, but their result will be around 30%. The German political landscape is highly fragmented, with no party coming close to the 50% mark. A coalition will have to be formed. It is clear that the CDU/CSU is unlikely to take a step toward forming a coalition with Alternative for Germany.
Completely came true February 24, 2025
#Germany #Elections
ru → en

Dmitry Bykov

I may be wrong, but it seems to me that Alternative for Germany, which everyone fears and which supposedly has around 20%, will face a complete disaster in this election. And I know why. Because about three days before the election, a dossier will be published revealing its dependence on the Kremlin.
Did not come true February 24, 2025
#Germany #Elections
ru → en

Tatyana Felgenhauer

I don't think that AfD will achieve victory in this term. Perhaps in the next term, they will perform more confidently. By AfD, she means "Alternative für Deutschland" (AfD), as it is called in German.
Completely came true February 24, 2025
#Germany #Elections
ru → en

Igor Yakovenko

Elections in Germany are coming up, and most likely Merz will win, as he is undoubtedly much more decisive.
Completely came true February 24, 2025
#Germany #Elections
ru → en

Dmitry Gordon

Merz is likely to win, we understand that. What will it change? A decisive leader, Merz, will replace the indecisive bureaucrat Scholz.
Completely came true February 24, 2025
#Germany #Elections
ru → en

Vitaly Dymarsky

Well, I think it will be the CDU. In response to the question: "What are your predictions, who do you think will win?" (In the upcoming elections in Germany)
Completely came true February 24, 2025
#Germany #Elections
ru → en

Igor Eidman

The new chancellor will definitely not be Scholz. It is most likely to be Friedrich Merz, his competitor from another mainstream party—the Christian Democratic Union. The chancellor of Germany in 2025.
Completely came true February 24, 2025
#Germany #Elections
ru → en

Yevgeny Kiselyov

Scholz will still lose the parliamentary elections. The next chancellor will be Friedrich Merz. The winner of the elections will be the CDU—the Christian Democratic Union.
Completely came true February 24, 2025
#Germany #Elections
ru → en

Darya Mitina

My intuition tells me that there is a very high likelihood that the same Scholz, widely known as the liverwurst, will remain in the position of Chancellor of Germany.
Did not come true February 24, 2025
#Germany #Elections
ru → en

Stanislav Kucher

My prediction regarding his appointments is that we won’t see most of these people in the American government. The people Trump has proposed for various positions.
Did not come true February 24, 2025
#USA #Trump
ru → en

Leonid Volkov

Specifically about Gabbard, I think she won’t be approved. Tulsi Gabbard won’t be confirmed as the head of U.S. intelligence.
Did not come true February 24, 2025
#USA
ru → en

Michael Nacke

Scholz is done; there’s no Scholz anymore—he’s ruined everything. He won’t be in the next government. There will be early elections now. We will never hear his name again.
Completely came true February 24, 2025
#Germany
ru → en

Ramis Yunus

And today in Germany, Chancellor Scholz is no longer really the chancellor. In 2-3 months, he’ll be gone. A lame duck.
Completely came true February 24, 2025
#Germany #Elections
ru → en

Alexander Friedman

In the case of the German elections, everything is clear and straightforward at the moment. If there are no unforeseen events, the Christian Democrats will win, and they’ll win with a significant lead.
Completely came true February 24, 2025
#Germany #Elections
ru → en

Sergei Markov

Germany. The governing coalition has collapsed, and an acute government crisis has begun. If there are elections, the CDU leader Merz will become chancellor.
Completely came true February 24, 2025
#Germany #Elections
ru → en

Nikita Vasilenko

But everything points to the coalition collapsing, and elections will be held in Germany as early as March. The current coalition in Germany will "fall apart," and early elections will take place in March.
Completely came true February 24, 2025
#Germany #Elections
ru → en

Leonid Shvets

The CDU is likely to return to power in Germany within a year. CDU = Christian Democratic Union
Completely came true February 24, 2025
#Germany
ru → en

Vladimir Milov

I do not share the sentiment that the far-right has won. Overall, the AfD does not have such percentages in Germany, and in western Germany, they are closer to zero. They will not win at the national level. The Alternative for Germany will not win the national elections in 2025.
Completely came true February 24, 2025
#Germany
ru → en

Garry Kasparov

Biden... is a lame duck... With him, his administration will leave. There will be no Sullivan, I am sure there will be no Burns, there will be no Blinken, and there will be no Austin.
Completely came true February 24, 2025
#USA
ru → en

Iliya Kusa

I expect a ceasefire in Gaza. I think it could happen at the beginning of the year, maybe right after Trump’s inauguration, or perhaps even by the end of this year... It seems the sides will return to a freeze.
Almost came true February 15, 2025
#Gaza #Israel #Israel-Hamas war
ru → en

Vladimir Milov

Judging by what the Central Bank is saying, it looks like they won’t raise it. The Central Bank of Russia will not raise the key interest rate in February 2025.
Completely came true February 14, 2025
#Economy of Russia #Russia #Economy
ru → en

Vladislav Zhukovsky

Nabiullina understands that she is being made the scapegoat, that she is being labeled an enemy of the people, and that there are even attempts to designate her as a foreign agent. She does not want to end up in prison on charges of treason and sabotage. And of course, I believe that on February 14, she will not dare to raise the rate—neither she nor her deputy, Alexei Zabotkin.
Completely came true February 14, 2025
#Economy of Russia #Russia #Economy
ru → en

Alfred Koch

So, in the next couple of months, we will see some very important events on the front. Significant events that could impact the course of the war in Ukraine and potentially lead to the lifting of martial law.
Did not come true February 13, 2025
#War in Ukraine #Ukraine #Russia
ru → en

Mikhail Fishman

Negotiations will undoubtedly take place; this seems obvious to me. I think we should expect them within days, any day now. I believe there will be a phone conversation. It will be interesting to observe how it is arranged. Most likely, it will be organized in such a way that Trump will call Putin.
Completely came true February 12, 2025
#Russia #USA #Trump #Putin
ru → en

Andrey Piontkovsky

I assure you, the crazy Tulsi Gabbard won’t make it through the nomination either.
Did not come true February 12, 2025
#USA
ru → en

Maksim Shevchenko

Within two months, we will witness attempts to remove Netanyahu from power.
Did not come true February 12, 2025
#Israel
ru → en

Yulia Latynina

We will witness a grand scenario of "Cuban Missile Crisis 2.0" will unfold. The world on the brink of nuclear war, but at the last moment, Trump, not yet elected president, calls Putin, and together they save the world from catastrophe. Everyone breathes a sigh of relief.
Did not come true February 12, 2025
#Nuclear weapons #Trump #Putin #USA #Russia #War in Ukraine
ru → en

Roman Tsymbaliuk

Yes, I agree with you. In response to: "Military actions will not stop within three months... a freeze (in the war in Ukraine) is not in store for us in the next three months."
Completely came true February 12, 2025
#War in Ukraine #Ukraine #Russia
ru → en

Andrey Piontkovsky

Military actions will not stop within three months, because all these scenarios we’re running through in our heads will also be running through the minds of decision-makers in Washington, Moscow, and Kyiv. Since there are still no solutions that satisfy everyone, I can firmly say that a freeze is not in store for us in the next three months.
Completely came true February 12, 2025
#War in Ukraine #Ukraine #Russia
ru → en

Andrey Piontkovsky

A very positive effect on the whole Ukraine issue will, of course, come from Israel's victory on the Middle Eastern front, which is also likely to happen within these next three months.
Partially came true February 8, 2025
#Israel #Middle East #Gaza #Lebanon #Iran
ru → en

Mikhail Svetov

I have a subconscious feeling that these positions are being taken because they fear losing grants, on which, apparently, a significant part of liberal organizations in Russia depends. The Democratic Party is indeed much more generous in funding opposition movements in other countries. And if Trump wins, the flow of money will most likely dry up significantly. That’s my hypothesis.
Completely came true February 7, 2025
#USA #Trump
ru → en

German Klimenko

I would suggest that, judging by the current reaction, YouTube will remain like this for 3-5 months, and then it will be blocked. In Russia.
Almost came true February 1, 2025
#Russia #Internet #Censorship
ru → en

Sergey Grabskiy

I’ll allow myself to cautiously suggest that Ukrainian forces will likely remain in the territory of Kursk Oblast for at least the entire month of January.
Completely came true January 31, 2025
#War in Ukraine #Russia #Ukraine
ru → en