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#War in Ukraine

Authors
252
Predictions
1210
Verified
511
Came true
66%
Complex
58%
Confident
50%

Michael Nacke

We’re waiting for a drone swarm. I’m sure that during this war, we’ll see one. Sooner or later, we’ll definitely witness a swarm of drones. Air defense is in no way capable of withstanding a massive attack targeting one or several objectives, carried out by a hundred or two hundred drones. I believe Ukraine already has such capabilities — or will have them soon.
Expected
#War in Ukraine #Ukraine #Russia
ru → en

Vladimir Kara-Murza

I rarely agree with Putin on anything, but there's one thing he said yesterday that’s hard to disagree with. He said that the war in Ukraine will continue until its root causes are eliminated. I completely agree with that. The only thing is, the real root cause of this terrible war is the current Chekist regime... As long as Putin remains in power, the war will go on.
Expected
#War in Ukraine #Ukraine #Russia #Putin
ru → en

Tetiana Montian

Zero. In response to the question: “Some time ago, people were saying that it would all end because the front would collapse, the front would crumble, and we would take a couple of regions in no time. What are the chances that this will happen?” (That Ukraine’s front will collapse, Russia will break through, and seize more regions)
Expected
#War in Ukraine #Ukraine #Russia
ru → en

Maksim Shevchenko

No, there will be no mobilization. There will be no mobilization. Mobilization is not needed. Because that would mean arming the people. And an armed people are dangerous, very dangerous. In response to the question: “Will there be a mobilization?” (in Russia)
Expected
#Russia #War in Ukraine
ru → en

Sergey Aslanyan

Putin will inevitably open up military contracts for women at some point, because he doesn’t even have enough forces — not to conquer foreign territories, but just to contain Ukraine.
Expected
#Russia #Putin #War in Ukraine
ru → en

Aleksandr Shtefanov

Putin will not agree to any conditions that would allow Ukraine to no longer fear a military invasion. He would rather give up certain settlements than agree to any security guarantees for Ukraine.
Expected
#War in Ukraine #Ukraine #Russia #Putin
ru → en

Yury Pivovarov

No, I don’t believe it. Putin is very much interested in the war. The longer the war goes on, the fewer questions he’ll face from his own people. In response to the question: "Do you believe Putin would be willing to stop the war, to bring it to an end?"
Expected
#War in Ukraine #Ukraine #Russia #Putin
ru → en

Konstantin Borovoy

I think he will keep trying to stop this war for a long time — until he succeeds. In response to the question: "How long will Trump keep trying to stop the war? When might he say he's washing his hands of it, that he’s done everything he could, and from now on it’s up to others — America is no longer interested?"
Expected
#War in Ukraine #Ukraine #Russia #Trump #USA
ru → en

Konstantin Borovoy

Russia needs to return to the global stage. But returning while sanctions are still in place is impossible. And no one will lift the sanctions without the de-occupation of the territories.
Expected
#Russia #Economy #War in Ukraine
ru → en

Mikhail Krutikhin

Economic sanctions don’t work, because over 25 years Putin has caused so much damage to the Russian economy that any new economic measures would simply be a continuation of Putin’s own policies. That doesn’t stop the war. The only thing that can stop the war is his defeat on the battlefield.
Expected
#War in Ukraine #Ukraine #Russia #Putin
ru → en

Win/Win

How foolish are the people writing about Gerasimov’s resignation. As long as the special military operation is ongoing, it won’t happen. And even after it ends, some time will still have to pass.
Expected
#Russia #War in Ukraine
ru → en

Igor Yakovenko

The fate of this war will not be decided at the negotiating table. And there is no chance of ending this war today until the Russian occupation army is destroyed, as long as Putin remains in the Kremlin. As long as Putin is in the Kremlin, the war will not stop.
Expected
#War in Ukraine #Ukraine #Russia #Putin
ru → en

Ruslan Leviev

Many say that the Taurus missiles have a range of 500 km. But I am absolutely sure that even if Merz manages to get the Bundestag’s approval for supplying Taurus missiles to Ukraine, they will deliver a special limited version with a range of no more than 300 km, because there is an agreement between states that missiles with a range over 300 km cannot be supplied to anyone.
Expected
#War in Ukraine #Germany #Ukraine #Russia
ru → en

Mark Feygin

If peacekeepers are deployed, then a no-fly zone over Ukraine will definitely follow... They will at the very least protect the areas where the peacekeeping contingent is stationed. That’s for sure.
Expected
#War in Ukraine #Ukraine #Russia
ru → en

Aleksey Pilko

If the war continues specifically with Ukraine, there won’t be a mobilization. But if there’s a clash with NATO or a group of NATO countries, then mobilization will definitely happen.
Expected
#War in Ukraine #Russia #Ukraine #NATO
ru → en

Yuri Fedorov

Answer to the question: Will there be a mobilization? My answer is: most likely, yes — because the generals are persistent people, and for Putin, Ukraine is the main enemy, something that must be destroyed. And as for the people, the National Guard and the valiant security services will take care of them.
Expected
#Russia #War in Ukraine
ru → en

Yuri Fedorov

Taking Zaporizhzhia or taking Dnipro won’t work for the Russians — I’m saying that in advance. Because capturing a major city is an extremely complex operation, fraught with massive losses.
Expected
#War in Ukraine #Ukraine #Russia
ru → en

Yuri Fedorov

Let’s imagine that Russian troops really do approach Zaporizhzhia and the battle for the city begins. Do you think the Armed Forces of Ukraine would leave those bridges across the Dnipro — I believe there are three of them — intact? In my view, the likelihood of that is zero.
Expected
#War in Ukraine #Ukraine #Russia
ru → en

Yuri Fedorov

Over the past month, there’s been a kind of offensive stirring of Russian troops. And overall, it’s clear they’re probably planning to move toward Zaporizhzhia. Will it work? Only God knows. I think it won’t work out.
Expected
#War in Ukraine #Ukraine #Russia
ru → en

Yuri Felshtinsky

Only Moscow matters. That’s why strikes must be directed solely at Moscow — and then this war will end, and it will end very quickly. There are no other ways to stop this war.
Expected
#War in Ukraine #Russia #Ukraine
ru → en

Ruslan Leviev

In any case, they will not appear in Ukraine until a full agreement to freeze the war is signed. Only after that can a peacekeeping contingent be deployed on Ukrainian territory.
Expected
#War in Ukraine #Ukraine
ru → en

Konstantin Borovoy

In reality, Putin won’t last long. When this regime collapses, all those territories will return to Ukraine — there’s no doubt about that. And all those criminals who carried out these seizures — we will hunt them down around the world and bring them to justice. Justice will prevail. Sometimes, it doesn’t come immediately.
Expected
#War in Ukraine #Ukraine #Putin #Russia
ru → en

Mikhail Fishman

An increase in military support for Ukraine — it’s already clear that this won’t happen. Trump won’t do it, even though such proposals have been discussed.
Expected
#War in Ukraine #Ukraine #USA #Trump
ru → en

Dmitry Demushkin

To imagine that Ukraine would give up or withdraw from the territories of Kherson and Zaporizhzhia — that’s a strange assumption. Even if Trump joins the war alongside Putin, even that won’t lead to Ukraine agreeing to give them up.
Expected
#War in Ukraine #Ukraine #Russia
ru → en

Andrey Zubov

I would like Putin to repent... Once he is gone, the war will truly end within two weeks. I am absolutely sure of that. And it will most likely end exactly this way.
Expected
#War in Ukraine #Ukraine #Russia #Putin
ru → en

Oleksiy Arestovych

But the real issue of the conflict is the lack of security guarantees that Zelensky is demanding—guarantees that neither Trump, nor Vance, nor Biden, nor anyone else can provide. There will never be security guarantees… Security guarantees are impossible in this situation. They will not happen, not ever, under any circumstances.
Expected
#Ukraine #USA #War in Ukraine
ru → en

Michael Nacke

DeepState focuses on the situation in Zaporizhzhia—referring to a village on the western flank of the Pokrovsk direction, not the city of the same name, which Russian forces have not yet reached and most likely never will.
Expected
#War in Ukraine #Russia #Ukraine
ru → en

Yevgeny Kiselyov

I absolutely do not believe that Putin will agree to stop seeking official recognition from Ukraine and its Western allies of the so-called realities on the ground. That Putin would accept a peace agreement in which he continues to de facto control these captured territories, but no one except him officially recognizes these seizures.
Expected
#War in Ukraine #Putin #Ukraine #Russia
ru → en

Abbas Gallyamov

Trump, one of Putin's most important demands regarding Ukraine not joining NATO—strictly speaking, he basically agrees with it. So why antagonize this man? If he gets angry or offended, he might simply declare that the U.S. supports Ukraine’s application... How can you afford to quarrel with such a person? That’s why Putin will go to the negotiations. And I believe he will make a significant number of concessions.
Expected
#Putin #Trump #War in Ukraine #Russia #USA
ru → en

Ian Matveev

It’s unlikely that Chasiv Yar will be captured within the next week, but it can no longer be said with certainty that the Ukrainian Armed Forces will hold the city. After the turning point a couple of weeks ago, it became clear that Chasiv Yar will also be abandoned—sooner or later, but inevitably.
Expected
#War in Ukraine #Ukraine #Russia
ru → en

Ian Matveev

Of course, it will. Just not now and not through military action anymore. At this point, the war is unlikely to shift in such a way that Crimea can be reclaimed militarily. But through diplomacy, Ukraine will undoubtedly regain it sooner or later. In response to the question: "Will Ukraine get Crimea back?"
Expected
#War in Ukraine #Ukraine #Russia
ru → en

Dmitry Gordon

I am absolutely certain that a contingent of several countries will be stationed on Ukrainian territory—a military contingent with heavy weaponry.
Expected
#Ukraine #War in Ukraine
ru → en

Anton Orekh

I am confident that when some kind of peace agreement or ceasefire is signed, sanctions will begin to be lifted fairly quickly. Maybe not all at once, but the process will start fairly quickly. A ceasefire between Russia and Ukraine. Lifting sanctions on Russia.
Expected
#Russia #War in Ukraine #Economy of Russia #Economy
ru → en

Arti Green

This situation not only cannot continue for long, but it will never reach the borders of Donetsk region. Just never. Russia will not be able to capture the entire Donetsk region of Ukraine.
Expected
#War in Ukraine #Ukraine #Russia
ru → en

Sergey Gulyaev

Russia has absolutely no chance of winning it. I said this on February 25, the day after the war began. Speaking about the war in Ukraine.
Expected
#War in Ukraine #Russia #Ukraine
ru → en

Aleksey Pilko

And if ATACMS and Storm Shadow strikes on Russian territory continue from that side, I think there will be a demonstrative strike with an Oreshnik missile on a NATO base.
Expected
#Russia #NATO #War in Ukraine
ru → en

Sergey Grabskiy

Absolutely. I fully agree with this statement. In response to: "And if anyone thinks they can bring Putin to the negotiating table in the sense we understand it, that will never happen"
Expected
#War in Ukraine #Ukraine #Russia #Putin
ru → en

Yevgeny Kiselyov

Putin is incapable of engaging in the kind of negotiations we mean when we use the word "negotiations." And if anyone thinks they can bring Putin to the negotiating table in the sense we understand it, that will never happen. Negotiations between Russia and Ukraine.
Expected
#War in Ukraine #Ukraine #Russia #Putin
ru → en

Sergey Grabskiy

Therefore, even 10 Oreshnik missiles, despite a strong desire to strike decision-making centers, are unlikely to reach their targets. Referring to decision-making centers in Ukraine.
Expected
#War in Ukraine #Ukraine #Russia
ru → en