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Predictions and promises monitor

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#Russia

Authors
256
Predictions
1304
Verified
453
Came true
63%
Complex
55%
Confident
49%
All Expected Expected soon New results

Dmitry Gordon

There is less than a month until the U.S. presidential elections—until November 5th. November 5th will be a turning point that will determine the fate of Ukraine and Russia. There will be some serious actions on our part before November 5th. I won’t announce specifics... It will be very intense in Russia. That’s for sure, 100%. This is tied to the global desire of Ukrainians to destroy this fascist, stupid state.
Did not come true November 6, 2024
#War in Ukraine #Russia #Ukraine
ru → en

Dmitry Oreshkin

I think Ilya’s point is absolutely correct—that most likely there won’t be any peace talks before the elections, because that would be an obvious success for the Democrats. Putin can’t allow that. Referring to the U.S. presidential elections.
Completely came true November 5, 2024
#War in Ukraine #Ukraine #Russia
ru → en

Michael Sheitelman

Before the elections—before November 5th—we need more than just permission to hit some distant targets… By November 5th, when the U.S. elections take place, we need not just permission, but we need to hit something big, spectacularly, 2-3 times, to make some major impactful strikes… That’s just my prediction. By November 5th, Ukraine will carry out significant strikes on Russian territory using Western long-range weapons.
Did not come true November 5, 2024
#War in Ukraine #Ukraine #Russia
ru → en

Yuri Fedorov

I don't think so. The answer to the question: 'How necessary are strikes deep into the territory (of Russia) beyond the 100 km zone for the Armed Forces of Ukraine right now... Do you think that before the elections in the USA, before the beginning of November, such permission from Washington to Kyiv could be obtained?'
Completely came true November 5, 2024
#War in Ukraine #Ukraine #Russia #USA
ru → en

Ruslan Leviev

I doubt that they will be able to capture Pokrovsk by November. That would be too optimistic for the Russian army.
Completely came true November 1, 2024
#War in Ukraine #Ukraine #Russia
ru → en

Michael Nacke

I have a feeling that before November, we’ll see something interesting from Ukraine. I don’t want to speculate too much; I’m not really into sharing vibes. I don’t think vibe-based analysis holds much value. Analysis should be based on arguments and facts, not vibes... I expect some offensive actions from Ukraine before November of this year. And the F-16s will surely be able to support these actions.
Did not come true October 31, 2024
#War in Ukraine #Ukraine #Russia
ru → en

Michael Nacke

As for the Kursk region, I expect an intensification of fighting there in October, because it's clear that Russia would want to push out Ukrainian forces, especially by November.
Almost came true October 31, 2024
#War in Ukraine #Russia #Ukraine
ru → en

Stanislav Belkovsky

A very unpopular and very unprofitable decision for Putin, he will have to go for a new partial mobilization if the war cannot be stopped in the next month.
Did not come true October 31, 2024
#War in Ukraine #Russia #Putin
ru → en

Alexander Toporin

Today's attack on the Kursk region is, for Zelensky, nothing more than a PR move... Yermak and the entire team at Bankova understand that, any day now, a conflict will begin between Israel, Lebanon, and Iran. And then, for some time, no one will remember about Ukraine. > any day now, a conflict will begin between Israel, Lebanon, and Iran
Did not come true October 31, 2024
#Israel #Lebanon #Iran #Ukraine #War in Ukraine #Russia
ru → en

Sergei Markov

Military logic. Apparently, Selydove will soon be taken by the Russian army. I would assume that it will happen in about two weeks.
Almost came true October 30, 2024
#War in Ukraine #Ukraine #Russia
ru → en

Vladimir Milov

Next week, they have no other option but to sharply raise the rate... Predictions are predictions. I think at least 3 basis points, which means the current rate of 19% will go up to at least 22%. The Central Bank of Russia will raise the key rate to a minimum of 22% on October 25, 2024.
Almost came true October 25, 2024
#Economy of Russia #Russia #Economy
ru → en

Mikhail Svetov

I’ll make a cautious prediction, one that I’ve already made on Twitter. I think it’s important. It seems to me that the Anti-Corruption Foundation’s (FBK) defense will be built on the fact that Alexei Navalny knew about Zheleznyak, that they’ve had a long-standing relationship, and that Maxim Katz, in trying to distance Navalny’s team from the FBK, is engaging in manipulations. They will likely provide us with additional evidence that Zheleznyak has been with the FBK for a long time. From their public rhetoric, I get the impression that this will be their line of defense.
Did not come true October 25, 2024
#Russia
ru → en

Alex Christoforou

I'm telling you they are going to, collective West, US, NATO, Ukraine, they are going to try and disrupt the BRICS meeting in Kazan, no doubt about it, no doubt about it. They are going to try to hit Russia really hard during the BRICS event and they're going to try and embarrass and humiliate Russia and BRICS. There's no doubt in my mind that they're planning something big to go down during the October BRICS Summit in Kazan Russia.
Did not come true October 25, 2024
#War in Ukraine #Ukraine #Russia #NATO #USA
en

Dmitriy Potapenko

We are expecting the next meeting, at which we will most likely see an increase in the rate. At the next meeting, the Central Bank will raise the key rate again.
Completely came true October 25, 2024
#Economy of Russia #Russia #Economy
ru → en

Vladislav Zhukovsky

I think the key interest rate will be raised to 20% in September-October. If they raise it only to 19% in September, it will be laughed at. I believe that by October 25, the rate will already be 20%
Completely came true October 25, 2024
#Economy of Russia #Russia #Economy
ru → en

Michael Nacke

The advisor to the acting governor of the Kursk region has urged all residents of Rylsk to evacuate. He predicts that this city will face the same fate as Sudzha. This means that a breakthrough by the Ukrainian Armed Forces is not far off.
Did not come true October 23, 2024
#War in Ukraine #Russia #Ukraine
ru → en

Oleg Kashin

I’ll whisper a guess that Ilya Yashin will either ignore your call or decline. Context: On October 11, 2024, Mikhail Svetov invited Ilya Yashin to a debate on "collective responsibility of Russians."
Completely came true October 14, 2024
#Russia
ru → en

Yuri Fedorov

There are every reason to believe that in the next few days, or perhaps a week, this area south of the Seym River (which is essentially squeezed between the Seym River to the north and the border of the territory controlled by the Armed Forces of Ukraine to the east) will come under the control of the Armed Forces of Ukraine. Part of the territory of the Kursk region of Russia.
Did not come true October 10, 2024
#War in Ukraine #Russia #Ukraine
ru → en

Ruslan Leviev

Where will Russia reach by 2025? Uglidar will clearly not be held... I am making such cautious subjective predictions. Ukraine will not be able to retain Uglidar.
Completely came true October 2, 2024
#War in Ukraine #Ukraine #Russia
ru → en

Igor Yakovenko

Most likely, this will happen today, so I will cautiously say that this sensational news will occur. Today, Antony Blinken is arriving in Kyiv... The USA will allow Ukraine to use American long-range weapons to strike at Russia.
Did not come true September 30, 2024
#War in Ukraine #USA #Russia #Ukraine
ru → en

Agil Rustamzade

That pace, and an increase in that pace by 10-20 percent over the next three months, gives me cautious optimism that by the beginning of September 2024, the military capabilities of the Russian Federation will be so depleted that it will no longer pose a threat.
Cannot be verified September 30, 2024
#War in Ukraine #Ukraine #Russia
ru → en

Mark Feygin

In general, I predict that the energy will last until the end of the year, no more. After that, it may transition into a positional phase, like it was for 8 years... About Russia
Did not come true September 30, 2024
#War in Ukraine #Ukraine #Russia
ru → en

Vladislav Zhukovsky

Why raise the key interest rate to 18 percent, which has already been raised, and literally in a couple of days raise it to 19 or maybe 20 percent.
Completely came true September 13, 2024
#Economy of Russia #Russia #Economy
ru → en

Vladimir Milov

We are waiting for the meeting on September 13. There is no scenario where the Central Bank will start lowering the rate. In the best case, the maintenance of 18% is being discussed. I will take a risk and make a prediction: I think they will raise it after all. The Central Bank of Russia is likely to raise the key interest rate at the upcoming meeting on September 13.
Completely came true September 13, 2024
#Economy of Russia #Russia #Economy
ru → en

Ruslan Leviev

Of course. Undoubtedly. I am sure that such attacks will happen again. They may use different types of drones or missiles... In this regard, Russia is vulnerable, and it is possible to strike military facilities. Answer to the question: 'Can we expect to see such attacks in the near future?' (Drone attacks on military facilities in Russia, similar to the attack on the Engels airfield)
Completely came true August 18, 2024
#War in Ukraine #Russia
ru → en

Agil Rustamzade

No, no, no, I wouldn't even give that scenario 1% In response to the question: "There are emotional swings that in 5 months we will be fighting for the Dnipro. How realistic is that?"
Completely came true August 15, 2024
#War in Ukraine #Ukraine #Russia
ru → en

Michael Nacke

The so-called 'bangs' are occurring in Voronezh, Belgorod, and many other regions. And apparently, there will be more of this
Completely came true August 15, 2024
#War in Ukraine #Russia
ru → en

Vladimir Osechkin

The final times of Vladimir Putin's regime have begun... if not in the next few months, then definitely within the next six months, a year, or a year and a half.
Did not come true August 10, 2024
#Putin #Russia
ru → en

Maksim Shevchenko

I believe that the war will come to the territory of Russia. The war may reach Bryansk, Belgorod, Kursk, Oryol, Kuban, and Rostov Oblast. I do not rule anything out.
Completely came true August 6, 2024
#War in Ukraine #Russia #Ukraine
ru → en

Mikhail Khodorkovsky

No one will prepare pilots for no reason, and if pilots are being trained, it means there is a high level of confidence that this will be delivered. Ukraine is likely to receive F-16s.
Completely came true August 4, 2024
#War in Ukraine #Ukraine #Russia
ru → en

Dmitriy Potapenko

If long-range artillery can still be seen on the battlefields this year, then regarding aviation... to expect that it will appear before spring 2024 is absolute illusion. Ukraine is unlikely to receive F-16s before spring 2024.
Completely came true August 4, 2024
#War in Ukraine #Ukraine #Russia
ru → en

Andrey Piontkovsky

We all understand that Yashin will not serve 8 and a half years.
Completely came true August 1, 2024
#Russia
ru → en

Maria Pevchikh

Yashin understood what he was doing... I don't think he will serve his full sentence.
Completely came true August 1, 2024
#Russia
ru → en

Boris Nadezhdin

First of all, I wish Ilya to stay strong, good health, and good luck. I believe he will be released (from prison) significantly earlier than the term that was set for him. About Ilya Yashin.
Completely came true August 1, 2024
#Russia
ru → en

Igor Yakovenko

There is no chance that any of the Western leaders will say a word for Kara-Murza and that he will be freed - this is very unlikely... A swap is extremely unlikely. People like him are not exchanged. Neither Navalny, nor Kara-Murza, nor Yashin.
Did not come true August 1, 2024
#Russia #USA #United Kingdom
ru → en

Georgy Alburov

I hope that Evan Gershkovich will be released soon. But we shouldn't hope that this will happen in the next year, for example.
Completely came true August 1, 2024
#Russia #USA
ru → en

Igor Yakovenko

Putin will not release Navalny... there are two people that Putin will not let go. I understand that I could be wrong, but nonetheless, I have been following this for a long time. These are two personal enemies of Putin: Alexei Navalny and Vladimir Kara-Murza.
Partially came true August 1, 2024
#Russia #Putin
ru → en

Oleksiy Goncharenko

A good Russian is Vladimir Kara-Murza, whom I consider my friend, and who openly spoke out against the war. For this, he is currently in prison, and it is clear that he will never be released under Putin.
Did not come true August 1, 2024
#Russia #Putin
ru → en

Maxim Zharov

The rumors that suddenly emerged today about alleged upcoming exchanges of politically valuable prisoners between the U.S. and Russia currently lack the necessary political weight, primarily from the American side. On August 1, the White House will have an early nomination of Kamala Harris as the Democratic candidate. It is unlikely that the Biden-Harris administration will negotiate with the Kremlin over Gershkovich and other politically valuable prisoners in light of this key event.
Did not come true August 1, 2024
#Russia #USA
ru → en

Evgeny Chichvarkin

Right now, it seems there are chances that they will release Kara-Murza... but they will keep everyone in solitary confinement until death... they will never be released, never.
Did not come true August 1, 2024
#Russia #Putin
ru → en

Maxim Katz

I think he will be exchanged soon. Evan Gershkovich
Completely came true August 1, 2024
#USA #Russia
ru → en

Valery Solovei

Yashin will be free after Putin leaves power.
Did not come true August 1, 2024
#Russia
ru → en

Evgeny Chichvarkin

I don't see any signs that Navalny could be exchanged.
Almost came true August 1, 2024
#Russia
ru → en

Fyodor Krasheninnikov

I don't think he intends to change them for anyone at all. Putin will not change Navalny and Kara-Murza.
Partially came true August 1, 2024
#Russia
ru → en

Leonid Gozman

He will be released earlier because the regime will collapse. Ilya Yashin will be released earlier than in 8 years.
Almost came true August 1, 2024
#Russia
ru → en

Michael Nacke

Because the Crimean Bridge was recently fully repaired. And this means that in the very near future, new strikes will be carried out on it, which will render it inoperable for cargo transport.
Did not come true July 31, 2024
#War in Ukraine #Ukraine #Russia
ru → en

Andrey Piontkovsky

Removal after the liberation of Kherson. The removal of Putin from power... they will remove him with the wording: "Comrade Putin is ill, he cannot fulfill his duties, and he is transferring his responsibilities to the collective body of the Security Council"
Did not come true July 31, 2024
#Putin #Russia #War in Ukraine
ru → en

Ruslan Leviev

We believe that nothing will come of it. Commenting on the proposal by the Estonian Foreign Minister to ban the issuance of Schengen visas to Russians at the EU level
Completely came true July 27, 2024
#European Union #Russia
ru → en

Andrey Piontkovsky

No, it won't survive. Answer to the question: "Will the Putin regime last until then?" (until July 1, 2023)
Did not come true July 1, 2024
#Putin #Russia
ru → en

Mykhailo Podolyak

We will definitely be in Crimea for a very short time, from a historical perspective — six months, five, or seven months. Ukraine.
Did not come true June 30, 2024
#War in Ukraine #Ukraine #Russia
ru → en

Taras Berezovets

The basic scenario is that the war will end in about a year, a year and a half; it will end either by the fall of 2023 or by the spring of 2024.
Did not come true June 30, 2024
#War in Ukraine #Ukraine #Russia
ru → en

Michael Nacke

It's hard for me to imagine. That Russia will leave the northern part of the Luhansk region in exchange for the launch of the ammonia pipeline.
Cannot be verified June 30, 2024
#War in Ukraine #Russia #Ukraine
ru → en

Valery Solovei

No, of course not. Why would they imprison him? The answer to the question: "Will Fridman be imprisoned?" (Mikhail Fridman)
Completely came true June 1, 2024
#Russia
ru → en

Valery Solovei

Dmitry Patrushev will become the Prime Minister.
Did not come true May 31, 2024
#Russia
ru → en

Ruslan Leviev

And most likely, the shelling of Kharkiv will certainly not stop. About the shelling from Russia after the liberation of the main part of Kharkiv Oblast by Ukrainian forces
Completely came true May 31, 2024
#War in Ukraine #Ukraine #Russia
ru → en