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Predictions and promises monitor

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#Russia

Authors
277
Predictions
1434
Verified
525
Came true
63%
Complex
56%
Confident
49%
All Expected Expected soon New results

Milana Petrova

Trump announced that he and Putin are preparing for a meeting. In light of this news, I’d like to ask you: Do you believe in a ceasefire between Russia and Ukraine this year? I don’t. As long as Putin is alive, I think it’s impossible.
Expected
#War in Ukraine #Ukraine #Russia
ru → en

Michael Sheitelman

What is the likelihood of a civilian plane being shot down because airports are not permanently closed? It took three years for the first civilian plane to be shot down. The next one will take much less time. Within a year, the next one will be shot down by the Russians.
Expected
#Russia
ru → en

Anton Orekh

I am confident that when some kind of peace agreement or ceasefire is signed, sanctions will begin to be lifted fairly quickly. Maybe not all at once, but the process will start fairly quickly. A ceasefire between Russia and Ukraine. Lifting sanctions on Russia.
Expected
#Russia #War in Ukraine #Economy of Russia #Economy
ru → en

Sergey Grabskiy

I’ll allow myself to cautiously suggest that Ukrainian forces will likely remain in the territory of Kursk Oblast for at least the entire month of January.
Expected
#War in Ukraine #Russia #Ukraine
ru → en

Oleg Komolov

I doubt it. In response to the question: "The Central Bank didn’t raise the rate in December. Does this mean it will start to decline in 2025?" (In Russia).
Expected
#Economy of Russia #Russia #Economy
ru → en

Roman Tsymbaliuk

My assumption is that during 2025, there will be no Russian occupiers on Syrian soil.
Expected
#Syria #Russia
ru → en

Valery Solovei

I think, and I’m even confident, that we will reach a ceasefire and then a peace agreement. I believe this will happen next year. I know that very intense consultations are currently taking place between the Russian and American sides. I assume between the American and Ukrainian sides as well. In response to the question: "What changes can we expect in military and diplomatic updates during 2025?"
Expected
#War in Ukraine #Ukraine #Russia #USA
ru → en

Arti Green

This situation not only cannot continue for long, but it will never reach the borders of Donetsk region. Just never. Russia will not be able to capture the entire Donetsk region of Ukraine.
Expected
#War in Ukraine #Ukraine #Russia
ru → en

Vyacheslav Maltsev

I’m willing to bet money that they’ll shoot down another plane soon—nothing will change. They have absolutely no sense of responsibility; they are irresponsible people, not intelligent, and incapable of organizing anything. Suggesting that Russian air defenses will mistakenly shoot down another plane.
Expected
#Russia
ru → en

Leonid Volkov

Here’s my prediction: if Putin is alive, the war will not end in 2025. Putin has no interest in ending it. He believes he can have it all, not just some compromise. He doesn’t see how any compromise could allow him to save face. The war in Ukraine.
Expected
#War in Ukraine #Putin #Ukraine #Russia
ru → en

Sergey Zhirnov

Putin will remain in power for as long as he is physically alive. If he lives until 2036, he will have been in power in the Russian Federation for 36 years by then.
Expected
#Putin #Russia
ru → en

Dmitry Oreshkin

It seems to me that it’s important to understand that in 2025, most likely, the lobbyists of the military-industrial complex will successfully devour Ms. Nabiullina.
Expected
#Russia
ru → en

Dmitriy Potapenko

To answer your question, the rate will be raised to 23-25%, but it will be raised a bit later because you can’t spoil the timing. Referring to the key interest rate in Russia.
Expected
#Economy of Russia #Russia #Economy
ru → en

Alexei Venediktov

I lean towards the idea that substantive negotiations on a ceasefire will begin. As for how they will end, as Viktor Stepanovich Chernomyrdin once said: "That’s a philosophical question." In response to the question: "Do you believe that within the next six months there will be a truce, a ceasefire, or that Putin won’t agree to it?"
Expected
#War in Ukraine #Ukraine #Russia
ru → en

Nikolai Polozov

Despite Donald Trump’s efforts, it is unlikely to lead to any immediate ceasefire. At the very least, the fighting will still continue during the first few months of 2025. Speaking about the war in Ukraine.
Expected
#War in Ukraine #Ukraine #Russia
ru → en

Aleksandr Morozov

There is no doubt that Ukraine already has the capability to strike the Kremlin, just as Moscow can strike Bankova. This hasn’t been done during three years of war because certain boundaries existed. In 2025, those boundaries will be crossed—that is already clear.
Expected
#War in Ukraine #Ukraine #Russia
ru → en

Sergey Gulyaev

Russia has absolutely no chance of winning it. I said this on February 25, the day after the war began. Speaking about the war in Ukraine.
Expected
#War in Ukraine #Russia #Ukraine
ru → en

Mikhail Khazin

The war in the Middle East is expected to start, roughly speaking, immediately after Trump’s inauguration—that is, late January or early February. After that, oil prices will rise, and life in Russia will improve. If a war in the Middle East begins after Trump’s inauguration, oil prices will increase.
Expected
#Oil #Russia #Middle East
ru → en

Arti Green

This year will surely be the year the fighting ends. I wouldn’t call it the end of the war, but the end of hostilities will definitely happen in the new year. In 2025.
Expected
#War in Ukraine #Ukraine #Russia
ru → en

Ian Matveev

Will Sudzha hold out? Naturally, some part of the Ukrainian bridgehead might shrink, but I think they’ve set a goal to hold on right up until Trump, until January 20, and part of the bridgehead will definitely hold.
Expected
#War in Ukraine #Ukraine #Russia
ru → en

Evgeniy Stupin

My baseline forecast remains the same: 2-3 years. Speaking about the timeframe for the collapse of the current regime in Russia.
Expected
#Russia
ru → en

Ayder Muzhdabaev

There will be no negotiations, no ceasefire—it’s all complete nonsense. And how Trump will get himself out of this talk about ending the war in 24 hours is unclear. Naturally, Ukraine won’t just give up Kherson, Zaporizhzhia, or Donetsk region.
Expected
#War in Ukraine #Ukraine #Russia #Trump #USA
ru → en

Olena Kurbanova

Considering, Igor, that in the last few broadcasts you have honestly said—and I agreed with your words—that the war will not end next year, we shouldn’t think that everything will end easily. The war in Ukraine.
Expected
#War in Ukraine #Ukraine #Russia
ru → en

Sergey Grabskiy

Will we be able to hold it? Right now, I can say with a high degree of confidence that yes, we can hold Pokrovsk. But it’s a matter of time.
Expected
#War in Ukraine #Ukraine #Russia
ru → en

Grigoriy Bakunov

Well, I don’t think that will happen. I have a theory, which I believe I’ve shared many times before, that Telegram isn’t being blocked largely because the people within the government itself also need a place to communicate. Telegram won’t be blocked in Russia.
Expected
#Telegram #Censorship #Internet #Russia
ru → en

Bogdan Bakaleyko

We just made a bet with the cameraman before the broadcast on whether the conflict would be frozen by April 1st or not. The cameraman is betting it will. I don't believe in such a scenario. Talking about the war in Ukraine.
Expected
#War in Ukraine #Ukraine #Russia
ru → en

Milana Petrova

Let me repeat my personal prediction. If the current regime in Russia remains in place, Telegram will face no threats in the next 3-5 years. All the war correspondents and propaganda are here; it will be the very last messenger they would want to block. Currently, there are no signs of this happening, and it’s unlikely there will be. WhatsApp, however, will almost certainly be blocked next year.
Expected
#Telegram #Censorship #Internet #Russia
ru → en

Fyodor Krasheninnikov

I believe he won’t live in Russia. Maybe his son or some of his family, whom no one cares about, will live in Russia. But I think he himself will most likely live elsewhere, perhaps in some Arab Emirates or similar countries. In response to the question: "What about Bashar al-Assad, where will he be?"
Expected
#Syria #Russia
ru → en

Fyodor Krasheninnikov

I think that sooner or later, some cunning, greedy, or perhaps sympathetic employee of one of the intelligence agencies will leak this video as well, and we will see those horrifying scenes of Alexei Navalny dying, poisoned on Vladimir Putin’s orders in that dreadful prison.
Expected
#Russia
ru → en

Dmitry Gordon

Our missiles and drones—get ready—they will soon reach Siberia and the Urals. I’m repeating this, guys, be prepared, our range is doing just fine too. (Ukrainian missiles and drones.
Expected
#War in Ukraine #Russia #Ukraine
ru → en

Olga Romanova

I am absolutely certain that we will very soon see footage of Navalny’s death. This will happen as government agencies compete with each other, trying to pin the blame and outmaneuver one another. One agency will definitely leak it. Whether it’s the Federal Penitentiary Service, the FSB, or the Investigative Committee—someone will leak it, either for money or in a fit of impulse. We will see all of this, absolutely.
Expected
#Russia
ru → en

Aleksandr Shtefanov

I suspect that as long as Vladimir Putin is alive and well, there’s no reason to expect the collapse of the regime.
Expected
#Putin #Russia
ru → en

Sergey Aleksashenko

No, I don’t think so. I think he’s more likely to face the fate of either Brezhnev or Portugal’s dictator Salazar, who simply fell into an unconscious state, with a virtual reality created for him, while in the meantime, agreements were made with the rest of the world. In response to the question: "Will Putin face Assad’s fate?"
Expected
#Putin #Russia
ru → en

Nikita Tomilin

Forecast for the next 4-5 years: a war with Turkey. Presumably referring to a war between Russia and Turkey.
Expected
#Russia #Turkey
ru → en

Nikita Tomilin

Forecast for February-March 2025: the creation of a "victory image" in the media, alongside a crackdown on "ultra-patriots" who want Odesa to be part of Russia. They will be told that Russia doesn’t need Odesa at all.
Expected
#Russia #War in Ukraine
ru → en

Igor Yakovenko

I think that the social credit systems being implemented in China—I am firmly convinced that they won’t take root here. In Russia.
Expected
#Russia
ru → en

Farida Kurbangalieva

I have a feeling that during his lifetime, there will be no trial for Putin, and he truly won’t face any punishment.
Expected
#Putin #Russia
ru → en

Alexei Venediktov

Most likely, Russia will leave and will already begin evacuating the S-400 systems provided to Assad toward the Tartus naval base. Most likely, it will leave, most likely it will leave. Russia will leave Syria.
Expected
#Russia #Syria
ru → en

Mark Feygin

Firstly, we don’t know what kind of power will ultimately take shape... but the kind of ally Moscow once had will no longer exist, and there will no longer be any Russian military base in Syria. Russia’s presence in the Middle East will definitively come to an end.
Expected
#Syria #Russia #Middle East
ru → en

Stanislav Belkovsky

Alexander Dmitrievich Beglov is directly a protégé of the Kovalchuks. Whether he is a popular governor or not, whether he fulfills his duties or not, is completely irrelevant. He suits the Kovalchuks. And as long as that’s the case, which is likely to remain so forever, he will remain the governor of Saint Petersburg.
Expected
#Russia
ru → en

Vladimir Osechkin

After de-Putinization, after his biological death, his grandchildren will grow up, and we will read memoirs from his daughters and grandchildren about what a monster they had to be around and how paralyzed they were, unable to do anything about it.
Expected
#Putin #Russia
ru → en

Oleg Soskin

The rate will now be raised to at least 25%, maybe even 30%, and Nabiullina will have to increase it. Referring to the key interest rate in Russia.
Did not come true
#Russia #Economy of Russia #Economy
ru → en

Vyacheslav Maltsev

They definitely don’t want to release him; they absolutely don’t need him free. So there are two options: either he stays in prison, or they eliminate him. In response to the question: "What’s Ghirkin’s fate?"
Expected
#Russia
ru → en

Aleksey Pilko

I think the conflict in Ukraine will not end by spring or summer. I believe we will see fighting throughout 2025. A likely timeframe for the end of the conflict in Ukraine would be 2026-2027.
Expected
#War in Ukraine #Ukraine #Russia
ru → en

Aleksey Pilko

And if ATACMS and Storm Shadow strikes on Russian territory continue from that side, I think there will be a demonstrative strike with an Oreshnik missile on a NATO base.
Expected
#Russia #NATO #War in Ukraine
ru → en