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Back on the 6th–7th, that truce was nothing more than a statement. No one even tried to pretend it existed. It’s hard to predict. But I’ll probably be right if I say that in this case it will be more or less the same — we’ll see all those insane attempts to continue the assaults, just as they’ve been carried out over the past couple of years, in columns on bicycles and other motorcycles. And none of it will fit into the framework of a truce. He’s saying that the Easter truce announced by Putin won’t be observed, just like the Christmas truce in 2023 wasn’t.
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Everything points to us sending the Myanmar junta into retirement in 2025. The ruling regime in Myanmar will be overthrown in 2025.
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It seems to me that the answer is yes. Answer to the question: "Has the midpoint of the war been reached?" (The war will not last as long as it already has)
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I have a similar opinion. Answer to the question: "I have a bad forecast. I do not expect a quick ceasefire, unlike many"
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