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Predictions and promises monitor

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#Ukraine

Authors
258
Predictions
1188
Verified
490
Came true
64%
Complex
58%
Confident
51%
All Expected Expected soon New results

Igor Eidman

This utterly pointless and merciless war being waged by paranoiac Putin will, unfortunately, not end as long as he remains in power and in good health, regardless of the efforts of the international community.
Expected
#War in Ukraine #Putin #Russia #Ukraine
ru → en

Garry Kasparov

Russia must suffer a crushing military defeat in Ukraine to prevent the war from spreading further. If Ukraine fails to defeat Russia, the war will continue onward.
Expected
#War in Ukraine #Ukraine #Russia
ru → en

Vladimir Putin

Now a few important—very important—words for those who might be tempted to interfere in what is happening. Whoever tries to hinder us, and especially to create threats for our country, for our people, must know that Russia's response will be immediate and will lead you to consequences you have never faced in your history.
Expected
#War in Ukraine #Russia #Ukraine
ru → en

Igor Eidman

I think that as long as Russia doesn't win the war in Ukraine — and it has no chance of winning — it won’t attack anyone else.
Expected
#War in Ukraine #Russia #Ukraine
ru → en

Dmitry Gordon

We will strike Moscow with ballistic missiles. Please write down what I said, dear friends. What's the date today? June 8th? So, on June 8th I said that we will strike Moscow with our ballistic missiles. Please write it down. Ukraine will strike Moscow with ballistic missiles.
Expected
#War in Ukraine #Russia #Ukraine
ru → en

Mark Feygin

In the end, Ukraine — this is my prediction, and I may be wrong — I believe it will change its non-nuclear status. That’s my forecast, a long-term prediction. Because there’s no other way out.
Expected
#Ukraine #Nuclear weapons #War in Ukraine #Russia
ru → en

Yuri Fedorov

After the strike on Russian airbases, Russia probably has, at most, 50 operational carriers left, including Tu-160 bombers — which the Russians are unlikely to risk using in the war against Ukraine. Well, it's hard to say.
Expected
#War in Ukraine #Ukraine #Russia
ru → en

Sergey Grabskiy

Well, that’s nonsense. It’s nonsense. There will be no nuclear strike. In response to the remark: "Alarming news. U.S. citizens — the American embassy in Kyiv is urging heightened vigilance... There are reports that the Americans might be fearing a nuclear strike" (on Ukraine)
Expected
#Nuclear weapons #War in Ukraine #Ukraine #Russia
ru → en

Maksim Shevchenko

No. Thanks to Alexander Grigoryevich Lukashenko, his remarkable intellect, and his exceptional diplomatic and strategic foresight, Belarus will not get involved. He is maneuvering between Scylla and Charybdis. In response to the question: "Will Belarus get drawn into the conflict?" (referring to the war in Ukraine)
Expected
#War in Ukraine #Ukraine #Belarus #Lukashenko
ru → en

Dmitry Gordon

We definitely need to bomb the plant in Alabuga. I think it will be done. I have a gut feeling that the plant in Alabuga, where the Shaheds are being produced, will be taken out. Ukraine will disable the Russian plant producing Shahed drones, located in Alabuga.
Expected
#War in Ukraine #Ukraine #Russia
ru → en

Alexei Venediktov

So when I talk about how the Russia-Ukraine situation will end, I predict it will end with a "Northern Cyprus" scenario He draws an analogy with the Republic of Cyprus and the Turkish Republic of Northern Cyprus, which is recognized only by Turkey, and there's a buffer zone between the two republics
Expected
#War in Ukraine #Ukraine #Russia
ru → en

Nikolay Rosov

There should be an election after the special military operation, and of course someone else will take the position. I'm more than sure it most likely won't be Zelensky. I don't think Zelensky will run for another term or that anyone will try to elect him — he's unelectable at this point. Talking about the presidential election in Ukraine.
Expected
#Zelensky #Ukraine #Elections
ru → en

Andrey Piontkovsky

When the offensive fails—he hasn’t taken either Kramatorsk or Sloviansk, and never will—the Coalition of Will, of which Ukraine is a member, will face the question: what to do next? The Russian army will never take Sloviansk or Kramatorsk.
Expected
#War in Ukraine #Ukraine #Russia
ru → en

Michael Nacke

We’re waiting for a drone swarm. I’m sure that during this war, we’ll see one. Sooner or later, we’ll definitely witness a swarm of drones. Air defense is in no way capable of withstanding a massive attack targeting one or several objectives, carried out by a hundred or two hundred drones. I believe Ukraine already has such capabilities — or will have them soon.
Expected
#War in Ukraine #Ukraine #Russia
ru → en

Vladimir Kara-Murza

I rarely agree with Putin on anything, but there's one thing he said yesterday that’s hard to disagree with. He said that the war in Ukraine will continue until its root causes are eliminated. I completely agree with that. The only thing is, the real root cause of this terrible war is the current Chekist regime... As long as Putin remains in power, the war will go on.
Expected
#War in Ukraine #Ukraine #Russia #Putin
ru → en

Tetiana Montian

Zero. In response to the question: “Some time ago, people were saying that it would all end because the front would collapse, the front would crumble, and we would take a couple of regions in no time. What are the chances that this will happen?” (That Ukraine’s front will collapse, Russia will break through, and seize more regions)
Expected
#War in Ukraine #Ukraine #Russia
ru → en

Vladimir Milov

As for Crimea, in my opinion, after 11 years of occupation, it is already clear that Crimea will never be internationally recognized as Russian territory. It will never happen. The only thing Russia can count on is the occasional whims of individual leaders.
Expected
#Ukraine #Russia
ru → en

Stanislav Belkovsky

I still believe that two major figures dominate the political stage — Zelensky and Valerii Fedorovych Zaluzhnyi. And only one of them, not both, will run for president.
Expected
#Ukraine #Zelensky
ru → en

Dmitry Oreshkin

Whether the United States recognizes Crimea as part of Ukraine or not does not depend on Zelensky — it depends on the United States. And most likely, they will recognize Crimea as Russian.
Expected
#USA #Ukraine #Russia
ru → en

Aleksandr Shtefanov

Putin will not agree to any conditions that would allow Ukraine to no longer fear a military invasion. He would rather give up certain settlements than agree to any security guarantees for Ukraine.
Expected
#War in Ukraine #Ukraine #Russia #Putin
ru → en

Aleksandr Shtefanov

I think he will run for re-election — for him, it’s almost a matter of life and death. The Ukrainian political landscape is quite toxic for former presidents. I believe that a lot could be held against Volodymyr Zelensky after the war ends.
Expected
#Zelensky #Ukraine #Elections
ru → en

Yury Pivovarov

No, I don’t believe it. Putin is very much interested in the war. The longer the war goes on, the fewer questions he’ll face from his own people. In response to the question: "Do you believe Putin would be willing to stop the war, to bring it to an end?"
Expected
#War in Ukraine #Ukraine #Russia #Putin
ru → en

Konstantin Borovoy

I think he will keep trying to stop this war for a long time — until he succeeds. In response to the question: "How long will Trump keep trying to stop the war? When might he say he's washing his hands of it, that he’s done everything he could, and from now on it’s up to others — America is no longer interested?"
Expected
#War in Ukraine #Ukraine #Russia #Trump #USA
ru → en

Mikhail Krutikhin

Economic sanctions don’t work, because over 25 years Putin has caused so much damage to the Russian economy that any new economic measures would simply be a continuation of Putin’s own policies. That doesn’t stop the war. The only thing that can stop the war is his defeat on the battlefield.
Expected
#War in Ukraine #Ukraine #Russia #Putin
ru → en

Igor Yakovenko

The fate of this war will not be decided at the negotiating table. And there is no chance of ending this war today until the Russian occupation army is destroyed, as long as Putin remains in the Kremlin. As long as Putin is in the Kremlin, the war will not stop.
Expected
#War in Ukraine #Ukraine #Russia #Putin
ru → en

Ruslan Leviev

Many say that the Taurus missiles have a range of 500 km. But I am absolutely sure that even if Merz manages to get the Bundestag’s approval for supplying Taurus missiles to Ukraine, they will deliver a special limited version with a range of no more than 300 km, because there is an agreement between states that missiles with a range over 300 km cannot be supplied to anyone.
Expected
#War in Ukraine #Germany #Ukraine #Russia
ru → en

Mark Feygin

If peacekeepers are deployed, then a no-fly zone over Ukraine will definitely follow... They will at the very least protect the areas where the peacekeeping contingent is stationed. That’s for sure.
Expected
#War in Ukraine #Ukraine #Russia
ru → en

Aleksey Pilko

If the war continues specifically with Ukraine, there won’t be a mobilization. But if there’s a clash with NATO or a group of NATO countries, then mobilization will definitely happen.
Expected
#War in Ukraine #Russia #Ukraine #NATO
ru → en

Yuri Fedorov

Taking Zaporizhzhia or taking Dnipro won’t work for the Russians — I’m saying that in advance. Because capturing a major city is an extremely complex operation, fraught with massive losses.
Expected
#War in Ukraine #Ukraine #Russia
ru → en

Yuri Fedorov

Let’s imagine that Russian troops really do approach Zaporizhzhia and the battle for the city begins. Do you think the Armed Forces of Ukraine would leave those bridges across the Dnipro — I believe there are three of them — intact? In my view, the likelihood of that is zero.
Expected
#War in Ukraine #Ukraine #Russia
ru → en

Yuri Fedorov

Over the past month, there’s been a kind of offensive stirring of Russian troops. And overall, it’s clear they’re probably planning to move toward Zaporizhzhia. Will it work? Only God knows. I think it won’t work out.
Expected
#War in Ukraine #Ukraine #Russia
ru → en

Yuri Felshtinsky

Only Moscow matters. That’s why strikes must be directed solely at Moscow — and then this war will end, and it will end very quickly. There are no other ways to stop this war.
Expected
#War in Ukraine #Russia #Ukraine
ru → en

Ruslan Leviev

In any case, they will not appear in Ukraine until a full agreement to freeze the war is signed. Only after that can a peacekeeping contingent be deployed on Ukrainian territory.
Expected
#War in Ukraine #Ukraine
ru → en

Konstantin Borovoy

In reality, Putin won’t last long. When this regime collapses, all those territories will return to Ukraine — there’s no doubt about that. And all those criminals who carried out these seizures — we will hunt them down around the world and bring them to justice. Justice will prevail. Sometimes, it doesn’t come immediately.
Expected
#War in Ukraine #Ukraine #Putin #Russia
ru → en

Mikhail Fishman

An increase in military support for Ukraine — it’s already clear that this won’t happen. Trump won’t do it, even though such proposals have been discussed.
Expected
#War in Ukraine #Ukraine #USA #Trump
ru → en

Mikhail Fishman

This crazy idea of external governance in Ukraine is clearly completely unworkable.
Expected
#Ukraine
ru → en

Dmitry Demushkin

To imagine that Ukraine would give up or withdraw from the territories of Kherson and Zaporizhzhia — that’s a strange assumption. Even if Trump joins the war alongside Putin, even that won’t lead to Ukraine agreeing to give them up.
Expected
#War in Ukraine #Ukraine #Russia
ru → en

Andrey Zubov

I would like Putin to repent... Once he is gone, the war will truly end within two weeks. I am absolutely sure of that. And it will most likely end exactly this way.
Expected
#War in Ukraine #Ukraine #Russia #Putin
ru → en

Igor Yakovenko

I am 100% sure that the status of Crimea will not be recognized as Russian territory by either the United States or the UN.
Expected
#Ukraine #USA #Russia #UN
ru → en

Oleksiy Arestovych

But the real issue of the conflict is the lack of security guarantees that Zelensky is demanding—guarantees that neither Trump, nor Vance, nor Biden, nor anyone else can provide. There will never be security guarantees… Security guarantees are impossible in this situation. They will not happen, not ever, under any circumstances.
Expected
#Ukraine #USA #War in Ukraine
ru → en

Michael Nacke

DeepState focuses on the situation in Zaporizhzhia—referring to a village on the western flank of the Pokrovsk direction, not the city of the same name, which Russian forces have not yet reached and most likely never will.
Expected
#War in Ukraine #Russia #Ukraine
ru → en

Yevgeny Kiselyov

I absolutely do not believe that Putin will agree to stop seeking official recognition from Ukraine and its Western allies of the so-called realities on the ground. That Putin would accept a peace agreement in which he continues to de facto control these captured territories, but no one except him officially recognizes these seizures.
Expected
#War in Ukraine #Putin #Ukraine #Russia
ru → en

Aleksandr Morozov

From my point of view, the Ukrainian Verkhovna Rada will never vote for any document even remotely resembling the Budapest Memorandum or the Minsk Agreements.
Expected
#Ukraine
ru → en