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Predictions and promises monitor

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#Ukraine

Authors
191
Predictions
794
Verified
282
Came true
62%
Complex
58%
Confident
51%
All Expected Expected soon New results

Ruslan Leviev

I doubt that such a decision will be made in the near future. Only if the practice of Russian drones or missile incursions becomes more frequent, and random civilians are killed on European territory. The answer to the question: "Will the countries bordering Ukraine shoot down Russian missiles?"
Expected January 3, 2025
#War in Ukraine #Ukraine #Russia
ru → en

Ian Matveev

I think if it happens, it will be next year. They haven’t reached Pokrovsk yet. In response to the question: "When do you think the assault on Pokrovsk will take place?"
Expected December 31, 2024
#War in Ukraine #Ukraine #Russia
ru → en

Yevgeny Popov

I think that even before January, Trump will offer Russia an obviously unfavorable deal regarding Ukraine, which we will, of course, reject. Donald will shrug and, in his usual manner, announce an unprecedented aid package for the Zelensky regime and the lifting of all restrictions on missiles.
Expected December 31, 2024
#War in Ukraine #Trump #Ukraine #Russia #USA
ru → en

Vadim Radionov

I don’t share the optimistic predictions that the war will end this year. It seems to me that this process, this momentum that has been set in motion, will last a long time. But maybe a black swan will spread its wings, and it will all end quickly. Speaking about the war in Ukraine.
Expected December 31, 2024
#War in Ukraine #Ukraine #Russia
ru → en

Oleksiy Arestovych

I don’t think we will go through with it; I’m a skeptic in this regard. We will continue to escalate and provoke. Since the talks in "Great Yalta" are about reconciliation by the New Year and a ceasefire, I expect some major provocation from our side soon—something intended to disrupt these efforts. He implies that peace negotiations between Russia and Ukraine are being prepared for before the New Year, and that Ukraine will derail them with a provocation.
Expected December 31, 2024
#War in Ukraine #Ukraine #Russia
ru → en

Sergey Auslender

So far, there doesn’t seem to be any sign that the front will collapse. I see no grounds to think a cascading collapse of the front will happen. Nothing currently indicates that outcome. They simply don’t have the forces to make it happen… I believe we’ll continue to see this slow movement with some acceleration. In response to the question: “How do you think events will unfold on the Russia-Ukraine front over the next couple of months?”
Expected December 31, 2024
#War in Ukraine #Ukraine #Russia
ru → en

Mark Feygin

I don’t think so. The inertia of the war over the next three months will carry it into next year. For the war to truly come to an end, we need radical solutions—either towards peace or towards further escalation. But those radical solutions are not there; we don’t see them. Response to the question: "Do you feel that the hot phase of the war might end this year?"
Expected December 31, 2024
#War in Ukraine #Ukraine #Russia
ru → en

Ivan Yakovina

Right now, I would bet that the strike on Feodosia is just a warm-up, a training exercise, and that the main blow will target the oil terminals in Novorossiysk and Ust-Luga. Most likely, this strike will happen after the U.S. presidential elections, at the beginning of November, exactly one month from now.
Expected December 31, 2024
#War in Ukraine #Ukraine #Russia #Oil
ru → en

Ivan Yakovina

Keeping in mind the military operations that Russia has conducted or attempted in the past, their intentions are generally clear; there is nothing particularly complicated about it, and I think it is quite obvious. Kupiansk is now becoming a city of key importance. I believe that, most likely, we should expect in the coming months, probably when it gets colder, and the autumn rains come to an end, a significant offensive on Kupiansk.
Expected December 31, 2024
#War in Ukraine #Ukraine #Russia
ru → en

Michael Nacke

We've seen, and are still seeing, a lot of discussion about U.S. aid under the PDA, where roughly $5.8 billion is supposedly frozen and will expire in October, blah blah blah. In reality, it won’t expire—everything will be extended, mark my words, screenshot this tweet. PDA = Presidential Drawdown Authority
Expected December 31, 2024
#War in Ukraine #Ukraine #USA
ru → en

Dmitry Gordon

I believe that peace is still far away. At the same time, I am confident that the war will end this year. I repeat my forecast: I believe that the war will end this year. I base this on my knowledge.
Expected December 31, 2024
#War in Ukraine #Ukraine #Russia
ru → en

Ruslan Leviev

Where will Russia reach by 2025?... To Sloviansk, I am sure, it definitely will not reach... I am making such cautious subjective predictions.
Expected December 31, 2024
#War in Ukraine #Ukraine #Russia
ru → en

Mark Feygin

What is the year 2024? It's the elections in America in November. As for Ukraine, I don't know if they will be postponed or not... most likely, they will be held in some way.
Expected December 31, 2024
#Ukraine #Elections
ru → en

Michael Nacke

Remember the joy of the Z-channels from the strikes on Ukraine's civilian infrastructure. Very soon, it will be replaced by outrage and wailing from the strikes of ATACMS on Russian airfields. Today's shelling has brought this decision closer, with or without the approval of the United States.
Expected December 31, 2024
#War in Ukraine #Russia #Ukraine
ru → en

David Sharp

I do not see a change in power in Ukraine, because trust in President Zelensky is quite high... I see no reasons for a change in power in Ukraine in the next 10 months
Expected December 31, 2024
#Ukraine #Zelensky
ru → en

Taras Berezovets

I am making a prediction that by the end of 2024, the first contingents will enter Ukraine... I believe that this is exactly how it will happen. About the French military contingent (possibly initially related only to military factories).
Expected December 31, 2024
#War in Ukraine #France #Ukraine
ru → en

Pavel Sebastyanovich

What will happen in 2024? Personally, I have pessimistic forecasts. First of all, I don't believe in any negotiations. I see no reason for Russia to sit down at the negotiating table.
Expected December 31, 2024
#War in Ukraine #Ukraine #Russia
ru → en

Evgeny Chichvarkin

I don't see why anything should come to an end this year... They are definitely planning to continue fighting... Everything has been restructured for war. The war in Ukraine will not end in 2024.
Expected December 31, 2024
#War in Ukraine #Ukraine #Russia
ru → en

Vladimir Osechkin

I believe that a window of opportunity for very serious negotiations and an exchange of all for all will soon open, in order to free thousands and thousands of Ukrainians from captivity.
Expected December 31, 2024
#War in Ukraine #Ukraine #Russia
ru → en

Sergei Markov

Zelensky states that Ukrainian military commandant offices will be established in the Kursk region. Does this mean they are settling in for the long term? No. He knows very well that they will not be there for long.
Expected December 31, 2024
#War in Ukraine #Russia #Ukraine #Zelensky
ru → en

Igor Strelkov

Regarding the situation on the front: I am closely monitoring it. I consider the strike by the Ukrainians in the Kursk region to be a diversion. We should expect a second — main attack, in which they will likely deploy their remaining reserves and aviation (F-16s). Most likely, this will be in the direction of Crimea.
Expected December 31, 2024
#War in Ukraine #Ukraine #Russia
ru → en

Mark Feygin

I think that there won't be enough time for any peace process to begin by the end of the year. This is more likely a question for next year.
Expected December 31, 2024
#War in Ukraine #Ukraine #Russia
ru → en

Ramis Yunus

None of this will happen by the end of the year. Regarding negotiations for a ceasefire between Russia and Ukraine.
Expected December 31, 2024
#War in Ukraine #Russia #Ukraine
ru → en

Farida Kurbangalieva

In the Kursk region, we even have territory that is essentially occupied by the Ukrainian army... It’s clear that in the coming months, this occupation of Russian territories—undoubtedly shameful for Putin—will continue.
Expected December 16, 2024
#War in Ukraine #Ukraine #Russia
ru → en

Yuri Fedorov

Until the end of the autumn campaign, which is about a month from now, Russian forces will likely continue advancing. It appears that a significant part of the Ukrainian Armed Forces (AFU) will be pushed out of the Kursk region, although perhaps not completely. At least, all recent trends seem to point in this direction.
Expected November 30, 2024
#War in Ukraine #Ukraine #Russia
ru → en

Michael Nacke

As far as I understand, the plan of the Armed Forces of Ukraine is to hold the Kursk region until the start of the negotiation process, which, as it seems to me, will begin in November after the American elections, regardless of their outcome. It is a very bold assumption on my part, and I am not ready to insist on it as some kind of forecast.
Expected November 30, 2024
#War in Ukraine #Ukraine #Russia
ru → en

Stanislav Kucher

Right now, in the coming months, I believe we’ll see truly significant events on the Russian-Ukrainian front that could seriously change things. We’re going to witness a massive escalation, very harsh provocations, and some real strikes on Russian territory. The most intense events will unfold in the next one and a half to two months.
Expected November 30, 2024
#War in Ukraine #Russia #Ukraine
ru → en

Evgeny Chichvarkin

Probably, this operation will be completed soon, in my opinion. The operation of the Armed Forces of Ukraine in the Kursk region of Russia.
Expected November 30, 2024
#War in Ukraine #Ukraine #Russia
ru → en

Anatoly Wasserman

Judging by the forces allocated for this raid and the rate at which they’re being wiped out, these forces will run out in about a month or two. Another matter is whether they’ll throw more cannon fodder into the fire, or perhaps pull back those who haven’t been wiped out yet to another direction. Refers to Ukrainian forces in Russia's Kursk region.
Expected November 30, 2024
#War in Ukraine #Russia #Ukraine
ru → en

Arkady Dubnov

There will be a very serious reaction to the possible decision to provide long-range weapons that the Ukrainian Armed Forces could use for strikes deep into Russia. In my opinion, this will not happen in the near future.
Expected November 16, 2024
#War in Ukraine #Russia #Ukraine
ru → en

Oleksiy Arestovych

Russian forces are building up strike groups. They will attack along the entire front, from Zaporizhzhia to Kupiansk. A strategic offensive is being prepared, and it’s a matter of days.
Expected November 11, 2024
#War in Ukraine #Russia #Ukraine
ru → en

Eric Nayman

We will hold at this level of 41-42 until the end of the year. And next year, until the end of the war, the same. The exchange rate of the hryvnia to the dollar.
Expected December 31, 2023
#Ukraine #Economy
ru → en