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Predictions and promises monitor

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#Ukraine

Authors
191
Predictions
794
Verified
282
Came true
62%
Complex
58%
Confident
51%
All Expected Expected soon New results

Stanislav Kucher

I think right around November 5th, there will be an announcement of some new major aid package for Ukraine, and perhaps even permission for strikes will be granted. I’m not ready to make a 100% prediction on what exactly will happen, but I’m confident there will be some significant foreign policy move from the Biden administration, and I believe it will be timed specifically for the elections.
Did not come true November 6, 2024
#USA #Ukraine
ru → en

Dmitry Gordon

There is less than a month until the U.S. presidential elections—until November 5th. November 5th will be a turning point that will determine the fate of Ukraine and Russia. There will be some serious actions on our part before November 5th. I won’t announce specifics... It will be very intense in Russia. That’s for sure, 100%. This is tied to the global desire of Ukrainians to destroy this fascist, stupid state.
Did not come true November 6, 2024
#War in Ukraine #Russia #Ukraine
ru → en

Michael Sheitelman

Most likely, with Kamala Harris, though this is my very subjective opinion, things will be slightly better than with Biden. That is, if Kamala Harris becomes president, our life in Ukraine and our war will become just a bit easier than under Biden. We’ll receive a little more. She will be slightly more aggressive toward the Russian Federation, both diplomatically and in other areas.
Cannot be verified November 6, 2024
#War in Ukraine #Ukraine #USA #KamalaHarris
ru → en

Dmitry Oreshkin

I think Ilya’s point is absolutely correct—that most likely there won’t be any peace talks before the elections, because that would be an obvious success for the Democrats. Putin can’t allow that. Referring to the U.S. presidential elections.
Completely came true November 5, 2024
#War in Ukraine #Ukraine #Russia
ru → en

Michael Sheitelman

Before the elections—before November 5th—we need more than just permission to hit some distant targets… By November 5th, when the U.S. elections take place, we need not just permission, but we need to hit something big, spectacularly, 2-3 times, to make some major impactful strikes… That’s just my prediction. By November 5th, Ukraine will carry out significant strikes on Russian territory using Western long-range weapons.
Did not come true November 5, 2024
#War in Ukraine #Ukraine #Russia
ru → en

Yuri Fedorov

I don't think so. The answer to the question: 'How necessary are strikes deep into the territory (of Russia) beyond the 100 km zone for the Armed Forces of Ukraine right now... Do you think that before the elections in the USA, before the beginning of November, such permission from Washington to Kyiv could be obtained?'
Completely came true November 5, 2024
#War in Ukraine #Ukraine #Russia #USA
ru → en

Ruslan Leviev

I doubt that they will be able to capture Pokrovsk by November. That would be too optimistic for the Russian army.
Completely came true November 1, 2024
#War in Ukraine #Ukraine #Russia
ru → en

Michael Nacke

I have a feeling that before November, we’ll see something interesting from Ukraine. I don’t want to speculate too much; I’m not really into sharing vibes. I don’t think vibe-based analysis holds much value. Analysis should be based on arguments and facts, not vibes... I expect some offensive actions from Ukraine before November of this year. And the F-16s will surely be able to support these actions.
Did not come true October 31, 2024
#War in Ukraine #Ukraine #Russia
ru → en

Michael Nacke

As for the Kursk region, I expect an intensification of fighting there in October, because it's clear that Russia would want to push out Ukrainian forces, especially by November.
Almost came true October 31, 2024
#War in Ukraine #Russia #Ukraine
ru → en

Alexander Toporin

Today's attack on the Kursk region is, for Zelensky, nothing more than a PR move... Yermak and the entire team at Bankova understand that, any day now, a conflict will begin between Israel, Lebanon, and Iran. And then, for some time, no one will remember about Ukraine. > any day now, a conflict will begin between Israel, Lebanon, and Iran
Did not come true October 31, 2024
#Israel #Lebanon #Iran #Ukraine #War in Ukraine #Russia
ru → en

Sergei Markov

Military logic. Apparently, Selydove will soon be taken by the Russian army. I would assume that it will happen in about two weeks.
Almost came true October 30, 2024
#War in Ukraine #Ukraine #Russia
ru → en

Vision of the future

The leaders of Ukraine (the illegitimate Zelensky and the semi-legitimate Yermak) are attempting to secure a meeting with Biden and Scholz during Biden's visit to Germany. Walter Steinmeier has already refused to meet with Zelensky, and Scholz reportedly told Yermak that he sees no point in such a meeting. However, the Ukrainian side is pushing through lobbyists and Democratic senators to pressure the White House. The chances of getting the meeting approved are minimal, and it is highly likely that Zelensky will miss out on the opportunity for this meeting.
Completely came true October 25, 2024
#Zelensky #Biden #Ukraine #USA #Germany
ru → en

Michael Sheitelman

As of today, it's known that the Ramstein meeting on the 19th won't take place... It will be limited to a meeting between Biden, Scholz, and Steinmeier. However, Zelensky might unexpectedly show up there. For some reason, I believe that on the 19th we will see a meeting between Biden and Zelensky. It will likely take place in Germany. Everything we were supposed to see at Ramstein, we will probably see there instead.
Did not come true October 25, 2024
#Zelensky #Biden #Germany #Ukraine #USA #War in Ukraine
ru → en

Alex Christoforou

I'm telling you they are going to, collective West, US, NATO, Ukraine, they are going to try and disrupt the BRICS meeting in Kazan, no doubt about it, no doubt about it. They are going to try to hit Russia really hard during the BRICS event and they're going to try and embarrass and humiliate Russia and BRICS. There's no doubt in my mind that they're planning something big to go down during the October BRICS Summit in Kazan Russia.
Did not come true October 25, 2024
#War in Ukraine #Ukraine #Russia #NATO #USA
en

Michael Nacke

The advisor to the acting governor of the Kursk region has urged all residents of Rylsk to evacuate. He predicts that this city will face the same fate as Sudzha. This means that a breakthrough by the Ukrainian Armed Forces is not far off.
Did not come true October 23, 2024
#War in Ukraine #Russia #Ukraine
ru → en

Agil Rustamzade

I think there will be a very large transfer of weapons to you in Ramstein. This is to make the Russian Federation understand that it’s time to stop dragging this out. This refers to the Ukraine Defense Contact Group and its next meeting on October 12, 2024.
Cannot be verified October 13, 2024
#War in Ukraine #Ukraine
ru → en

Yuri Fedorov

There are every reason to believe that in the next few days, or perhaps a week, this area south of the Seym River (which is essentially squeezed between the Seym River to the north and the border of the territory controlled by the Armed Forces of Ukraine to the east) will come under the control of the Armed Forces of Ukraine. Part of the territory of the Kursk region of Russia.
Did not come true October 10, 2024
#War in Ukraine #Russia #Ukraine
ru → en

Ruslan Leviev

Where will Russia reach by 2025? Uglidar will clearly not be held... I am making such cautious subjective predictions. Ukraine will not be able to retain Uglidar.
Completely came true October 2, 2024
#War in Ukraine #Ukraine #Russia
ru → en

Igor Yakovenko

Most likely, this will happen today, so I will cautiously say that this sensational news will occur. Today, Antony Blinken is arriving in Kyiv... The USA will allow Ukraine to use American long-range weapons to strike at Russia.
Did not come true September 30, 2024
#War in Ukraine #USA #Russia #Ukraine
ru → en

Agil Rustamzade

That pace, and an increase in that pace by 10-20 percent over the next three months, gives me cautious optimism that by the beginning of September 2024, the military capabilities of the Russian Federation will be so depleted that it will no longer pose a threat.
Cannot be verified September 30, 2024
#War in Ukraine #Ukraine #Russia
ru → en

Mark Feygin

In general, I predict that the energy will last until the end of the year, no more. After that, it may transition into a positional phase, like it was for 8 years... About Russia
Did not come true September 30, 2024
#War in Ukraine #Ukraine #Russia
ru → en

Agil Rustamzade

No, no, no, I wouldn't even give that scenario 1% In response to the question: "There are emotional swings that in 5 months we will be fighting for the Dnipro. How realistic is that?"
Completely came true August 15, 2024
#War in Ukraine #Ukraine #Russia
ru → en

Maksim Shevchenko

I believe that the war will come to the territory of Russia. The war may reach Bryansk, Belgorod, Kursk, Oryol, Kuban, and Rostov Oblast. I do not rule anything out.
Completely came true August 6, 2024
#War in Ukraine #Russia #Ukraine
ru → en

Mikhail Khodorkovsky

No one will prepare pilots for no reason, and if pilots are being trained, it means there is a high level of confidence that this will be delivered. Ukraine is likely to receive F-16s.
Completely came true August 4, 2024
#War in Ukraine #Ukraine #Russia
ru → en

Dmitry Gordon

F-16 aircraft are on the way, it will be in about 3-4 months. Ukraine will receive F-16s in 3-4 months.
Partially came true August 4, 2024
#War in Ukraine #Ukraine
ru → en

Dmitriy Potapenko

If long-range artillery can still be seen on the battlefields this year, then regarding aviation... to expect that it will appear before spring 2024 is absolute illusion. Ukraine is unlikely to receive F-16s before spring 2024.
Completely came true August 4, 2024
#War in Ukraine #Ukraine #Russia
ru → en

Michael Nacke

Because the Crimean Bridge was recently fully repaired. And this means that in the very near future, new strikes will be carried out on it, which will render it inoperable for cargo transport.
Did not come true July 31, 2024
#War in Ukraine #Ukraine #Russia
ru → en

Dmitry Medvedev

Okay, the planes are somewhat understandable. The truth is, there are practically no normal runways left, and the Ukrainian sky is closed to us. But submarines – that's something else entirely. Especially considering that soon the Kyiv regime will have no sea left at all
Did not come true July 25, 2024
#War in Ukraine #Ukraine #Words of politicians and officials
ru → en

Mykhailo Podolyak

We will definitely be in Crimea for a very short time, from a historical perspective — six months, five, or seven months. Ukraine.
Did not come true June 30, 2024
#War in Ukraine #Ukraine #Russia
ru → en

Taras Berezovets

The basic scenario is that the war will end in about a year, a year and a half; it will end either by the fall of 2023 or by the spring of 2024.
Did not come true June 30, 2024
#War in Ukraine #Ukraine #Russia
ru → en

Michael Nacke

It's hard for me to imagine. That Russia will leave the northern part of the Luhansk region in exchange for the launch of the ammonia pipeline.
Cannot be verified June 30, 2024
#War in Ukraine #Russia #Ukraine
ru → en

Ruslan Leviev

And most likely, the shelling of Kharkiv will certainly not stop. About the shelling from Russia after the liberation of the main part of Kharkiv Oblast by Ukrainian forces
Completely came true May 31, 2024
#War in Ukraine #Ukraine #Russia
ru → en

Mikhail Chaplyga

Yes, yes. In the second half of 2023, both early presidential elections and early parliamentary elections will take place in Ukraine.
Did not come true May 31, 2024
#Ukraine #Elections
ru → en

Agil Rustamzade

And most likely, we won't see a significant increase in military aid to you until the spring offensive. From the USA.
Completely came true April 30, 2024
#War in Ukraine #USA #Ukraine
ru → en

Igor Eidman

I don't think there will be any freeze. Active hostilities will continue. In the winter of 2023-2024.
Completely came true April 30, 2024
#War in Ukraine #Ukraine #Russia
ru → en

Oleksiy Arestovych

This is the last success of the Russian army on the territory of Ukraine... a major one, meaning when a city is captured. About Lysychansk.
Did not come true April 1, 2024
#War in Ukraine #Ukraine #Russia
ru → en

Ruslan Leviev

I do not expect that in the next month and a half, suddenly, the Russian side will stop the attacks due to the fact that the losses are too high. Attacks on Avdiivka.
Completely came true March 1, 2024
#War in Ukraine #Russia #Ukraine
ru → en

Mark Feygin

Although I think it will be avoided, it won't happen, at least not in the near future. Referring to the possible resignation of Zaluzhny
Did not come true February 8, 2024
#Ukraine #War in Ukraine
ru → en

Yigal Levin

The war will not end by the end of the year... it is simply physically impossible to reach the borders of 1991 in one leap, or even in two leaps
Completely came true December 31, 2023
#War in Ukraine #Ukraine #Russia
ru → en

Ramis Yunus

You will receive all types of weapons available in the West in 2023, except for nuclear weapons. Apparently, this refers to tanks, airplanes, and missiles with a range of over 150 km.
Partially came true December 31, 2023
#War in Ukraine #Ukraine
ru → en

Dmitriy Potapenko

Somewhere in July, I said that the hot phase would be in October, and the signing of the first agreements, so to speak, on a ceasefire, which will certainly be violated, would be in November. He believes that negotiations, at least about a ceasefire, will begin in November and that the parties will at least talk.
Did not come true December 31, 2023
#War in Ukraine #Russia #Ukraine
ru → en

Yulia Latynina

The choice will be between the collapse of the Zaporizhzhia corridor and the collapse of the Zaporizhzhia corridor. The Ukrainian Armed Forces will destroy the Zaporizhzhia corridor (Russia’s land corridor to Crimea) as part of the upcoming counteroffensive.
Did not come true December 31, 2023
#War in Ukraine #Ukraine #Russia
ru → en

Oleg Zhdanov

Or there is the option that some analysts, including in the U.S., predict. The war may drag on until spring, and in the worst-case scenario, it may last until autumn 2023... The best prediction is the end of the war in winter, the average is spring, and the worst is autumn of next year.
Did not come true December 31, 2023
#War in Ukraine #Ukraine #Russia
ru → en

Garry Kasparov

I believe that the war will end with Ukraine's victory this year. From my perspective, Ukraine's victory means the liberation of all Ukrainian territories, including Sevastopol.
Did not come true December 31, 2023
#War in Ukraine #Ukraine #Russia
ru → en

Oleg Kashin

...a story about an offensive in which it is impossible to believe in its success. The potential counteroffensive of the Ukrainian Armed Forces in Crimea, which was supposed to take place in 2022-2023.
Completely came true December 31, 2023
#War in Ukraine #Ukraine #Russia
ru → en