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Predictions and promises monitor

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#Ukraine

Authors
208
Predictions
877
Verified
332
Came true
63%
Complex
57%
Confident
51%
All Expected Expected soon New results

Dmitry Gordon

I am absolutely certain that a contingent of several countries will be stationed on Ukrainian territory—a military contingent with heavy weaponry.
Expected
#Ukraine #War in Ukraine
ru → en

Gela Vasadze

Once again, I’ve come to the full understanding that Ukraine will inevitably become a member of NATO.
Expected
#Ukraine #NATO
ru → en

Milana Petrova

Trump announced that he and Putin are preparing for a meeting. In light of this news, I’d like to ask you: Do you believe in a ceasefire between Russia and Ukraine this year? I don’t. As long as Putin is alive, I think it’s impossible.
Expected
#War in Ukraine #Ukraine #Russia
ru → en

Sergey Grabskiy

I’ll allow myself to cautiously suggest that Ukrainian forces will likely remain in the territory of Kursk Oblast for at least the entire month of January.
Expected
#War in Ukraine #Russia #Ukraine
ru → en

Michael Sheitelman

Here’s my prediction: in the presidential election after the war, both Zelensky and Zaluzhny won’t be on the ballot simultaneously. Either neither Zelensky nor Zaluzhny will be there, or Zelensky will be, but not Zaluzhny, or Zaluzhny will, but not Zelensky. That’s my prediction. In Ukraine.
Expected
#Ukraine #Elections
ru → en

Andrii Baumeister

There is a high probability that elections will take place by mid-year. In response to the question: "Will 2025 be an election year in Ukraine?"
Expected
#Ukraine #Elections
ru → en

Valery Solovei

I think, and I’m even confident, that we will reach a ceasefire and then a peace agreement. I believe this will happen next year. I know that very intense consultations are currently taking place between the Russian and American sides. I assume between the American and Ukrainian sides as well. In response to the question: "What changes can we expect in military and diplomatic updates during 2025?"
Expected
#War in Ukraine #Ukraine #Russia #USA
ru → en

Arti Green

This situation not only cannot continue for long, but it will never reach the borders of Donetsk region. Just never. Russia will not be able to capture the entire Donetsk region of Ukraine.
Expected
#War in Ukraine #Ukraine #Russia
ru → en

Dmitry Bykov

I am absolutely convinced that when peace comes and elections are held according to the constitution, he will not run in those elections. I think that would be the wisest decision on his part. Speaking about Zelensky.
Expected
#Ukraine #Zelensky #Elections
ru → en

Leonid Volkov

Here’s my prediction: if Putin is alive, the war will not end in 2025. Putin has no interest in ending it. He believes he can have it all, not just some compromise. He doesn’t see how any compromise could allow him to save face. The war in Ukraine.
Expected
#War in Ukraine #Putin #Ukraine #Russia
ru → en

Alexei Venediktov

I lean towards the idea that substantive negotiations on a ceasefire will begin. As for how they will end, as Viktor Stepanovich Chernomyrdin once said: "That’s a philosophical question." In response to the question: "Do you believe that within the next six months there will be a truce, a ceasefire, or that Putin won’t agree to it?"
Expected
#War in Ukraine #Ukraine #Russia
ru → en

Nikolai Polozov

Despite Donald Trump’s efforts, it is unlikely to lead to any immediate ceasefire. At the very least, the fighting will still continue during the first few months of 2025. Speaking about the war in Ukraine.
Expected
#War in Ukraine #Ukraine #Russia
ru → en

Aleksandr Morozov

There is no doubt that Ukraine already has the capability to strike the Kremlin, just as Moscow can strike Bankova. This hasn’t been done during three years of war because certain boundaries existed. In 2025, those boundaries will be crossed—that is already clear.
Expected
#War in Ukraine #Ukraine #Russia
ru → en

Sergey Gulyaev

Russia has absolutely no chance of winning it. I said this on February 25, the day after the war began. Speaking about the war in Ukraine.
Expected
#War in Ukraine #Russia #Ukraine
ru → en

Arti Green

This year will surely be the year the fighting ends. I wouldn’t call it the end of the war, but the end of hostilities will definitely happen in the new year. In 2025.
Expected
#War in Ukraine #Ukraine #Russia
ru → en

Ian Matveev

Will Sudzha hold out? Naturally, some part of the Ukrainian bridgehead might shrink, but I think they’ve set a goal to hold on right up until Trump, until January 20, and part of the bridgehead will definitely hold.
Expected
#War in Ukraine #Ukraine #Russia
ru → en

Ayder Muzhdabaev

There will be no negotiations, no ceasefire—it’s all complete nonsense. And how Trump will get himself out of this talk about ending the war in 24 hours is unclear. Naturally, Ukraine won’t just give up Kherson, Zaporizhzhia, or Donetsk region.
Expected
#War in Ukraine #Ukraine #Russia #Trump #USA
ru → en

Olena Kurbanova

Considering, Igor, that in the last few broadcasts you have honestly said—and I agreed with your words—that the war will not end next year, we shouldn’t think that everything will end easily. The war in Ukraine.
Expected
#War in Ukraine #Ukraine #Russia
ru → en

Sergey Grabskiy

Will we be able to hold it? Right now, I can say with a high degree of confidence that yes, we can hold Pokrovsk. But it’s a matter of time.
Expected
#War in Ukraine #Ukraine #Russia
ru → en

Gary Tabach

Everyone understands perfectly well that Ukraine will not be accepted into NATO. There’s a whole range of reasons for that.
Expected
#Ukraine #NATO
ru → en

Bogdan Bakaleyko

We just made a bet with the cameraman before the broadcast on whether the conflict would be frozen by April 1st or not. The cameraman is betting it will. I don't believe in such a scenario. Talking about the war in Ukraine.
Expected
#War in Ukraine #Ukraine #Russia
ru → en

Oleg Soskin

Post-communist Ukraine was destroyed by Kuchma and Zelensky. It can no longer be restored. There will be no accession to the European Union or NATO.
Expected
#Ukraine #European Union #NATO
ru → en

Dmitry Gordon

Our missiles and drones—get ready—they will soon reach Siberia and the Urals. I’m repeating this, guys, be prepared, our range is doing just fine too. (Ukrainian missiles and drones.
Expected
#War in Ukraine #Russia #Ukraine
ru → en

Michael Sheitelman

Did the Russians threaten Ukraine with nuclear weapons? They did. This means there is every reason, since Russia violated the Nuclear Non-Proliferation Treaty with respect to Ukraine, to create nuclear weapons in response. I suspect that they will be developed... Ukraine already has this program, and it will be implemented regardless.
Expected
#Nuclear weapons #Ukraine
ru → en

Aleksey Pilko

I think the conflict in Ukraine will not end by spring or summer. I believe we will see fighting throughout 2025. A likely timeframe for the end of the conflict in Ukraine would be 2026-2027.
Expected
#War in Ukraine #Ukraine #Russia
ru → en

Sergey Grabskiy

Absolutely. I fully agree with this statement. In response to: "And if anyone thinks they can bring Putin to the negotiating table in the sense we understand it, that will never happen"
Expected
#War in Ukraine #Ukraine #Russia #Putin
ru → en

Yevgeny Kiselyov

Putin is incapable of engaging in the kind of negotiations we mean when we use the word "negotiations." And if anyone thinks they can bring Putin to the negotiating table in the sense we understand it, that will never happen. Negotiations between Russia and Ukraine.
Expected
#War in Ukraine #Ukraine #Russia #Putin
ru → en

Sergey Grabskiy

Therefore, even 10 Oreshnik missiles, despite a strong desire to strike decision-making centers, are unlikely to reach their targets. Referring to decision-making centers in Ukraine.
Expected
#War in Ukraine #Ukraine #Russia
ru → en

Ruslan Leviev

In the near future, Pavlohrad is not under threat of attacks, and neither is Dnipro. It’s very, very far away. Shahed strikes—yes, and missile strikes—yes as well, but as for ground attacks, we can speculate and discuss them in the context of 2026 or 2027, if the war is not frozen. For the next many months, a year, or probably even longer, it’s obvious—no, Pavlohrad is still far out of reach. Ground attacks by Russia on the Ukrainian city of Pavlohrad are unlikely to occur before 2026.
Expected
#War in Ukraine #Ukraine #Russia
ru → en

Stanislav Belkovsky

In 2025, the presidential election will take place. It will happen one way or another because it’s no longer possible to delay it further. In Ukraine.
Expected
#Ukraine #Elections
ru → en

Ruslan Leviev

I don’t think Ukraine really needs such systems right now, because it’s fairly obvious to me that we’re unlikely to see a second use of such missiles. Their military value is absolutely zero. Speaking about missiles from Russia’s "Oreshnik" system.
Expected
#War in Ukraine #Ukraine #Russia
ru → en

Mikhail Savva

In 2025, the war will continue—that’s certain and clear. But I still hope that 2025 will be the final year of the war. It won’t happen in January or February, but such a possibility is entirely realistic. The war in Ukraine.
Expected
#War in Ukraine #Ukraine #Russia
ru → en

Dmitry Bykov

By March 2025, the war in Ukraine will end, I think. I’m ready to be wrong, but I’d say there’s a 70% chance of it happening.
Expected
#War in Ukraine #Ukraine #Russia
ru → en

Kostyantyn Batozsky

I think we will learn how to shoot down these missiles, "Kedr" and "Oreshnik," just as we did with many seemingly new and breakthrough types of weapons. At first, it was difficult to intercept Shaheds—but we learned. Then it was hard to intercept cruise missiles—we learned. Later, ballistic missiles—it was tough, but we learned. We’ll learn to intercept these missiles too. After all, the world is now genuinely interested in testing air defense systems against such weapons in real combat conditions.
Expected
#War in Ukraine #Ukraine #Russia
ru → en

Igor Yakovenko

Trump will fail in his attempt to establish peace... The big question is whom Trump will blame for the breakdown of negotiations—Putin or Zelensky. And I strongly suspect that it will be more convenient and cost-effective for Trump to place the blame for the failed talks on Zelensky.
Expected
#War in Ukraine #Trump #Zelensky #Ukraine #Russia #USA
ru → en

Oleg Soskin

I assume that if Zelensky doesn’t announce his resignation now, there will definitely be a strike that will destroy the Verkhovna Rada of Ukraine, the National Bank of Ukraine, and the Cabinet of Ministers of Ukraine...
Expected
#Ukraine #War in Ukraine
ru → en