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Predictions and promises monitor

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#USA

Authors
175
Predictions
515
Verified
173
Came true
61%
Complex
43%
Confident
43%
All Expected Expected soon New results

Michael Nacke

Pete Hegseth is about to lose his position any day now. Remember this tweet. Well, maybe not literally any day — but soon, Pete Hegseth will no longer be at the head of the Pentagon.
Did not come true June 30, 2025
#USA
ru → en

Ivan Preobrazhensky

One can be fairly certain about the upcoming negotiations: either it will once again be talks in Riyadh, or it will be a direct call between Putin and Trump — and they will finally come to some kind of agreement. Most likely, an energy agreement on non-strike commitments and a deal regarding the Black Sea will be signed. Because the Ukrainian side will agree to sign them.
Did not come true June 30, 2025
#War in Ukraine #Ukraine #USA #Russia #Trump #Putin
ru → en

Olena Kurbanova

I personally believe that Marco Rubio will most likely leave Trump’s circle — possibly even faster than Elon Musk.
Did not come true June 11, 2025
#USA
ru → en

Mikhail Fishman

It seems to me that this scenario is not very likely. In response to the question: "The Wall Street Journal writes that Trump is considering imposing sanctions against Russia this week. How likely do you think this scenario is?"
Completely came true June 3, 2025
#USA #Russia #Trump #Economy
ru → en

Garry Kasparov

The Kremlin’s very demand for negotiations with the legitimate Ukrainian government creates yet another closed loop. On one hand, the Americans agree to hold elections after a ceasefire. On the other hand, it is impossible to sign even a temporary ceasefire agreement with anyone other than Zelensky, and holding elections before a ceasefire is also not an option. This creates yet another kind of trap, from which I currently see no way out. Therefore, it is reasonable to assume that the war will continue for the next several months.
Completely came true June 3, 2025
#War in Ukraine #Ukraine #Russia #USA
ru → en

Sergei Markov

My forecast? No—my insight: the negotiations between Russia and Ukraine will collapse now due to Ukraine’s ultimatums. But that will be the first move, a pass. After that, the second move: an announcement will be made about a meeting between Putin and Trump as soon as possible.
Did not come true May 31, 2025
#War in Ukraine #Ukraine #Russia #Putin #Trump #USA
ru → en

Win/Win

The meeting between Vladimir Putin and Donald Trump is being prepared and will take place before the end of May. Depending on the circumstances… those will be the topics discussed. It’s definitely not going to be like the Vatican on chairs.
Did not come true May 31, 2025
#Putin #Trump #Russia #USA
ru → en

Michael Sheitelman

Trump said: "I want to meet with Putin right away. The inauguration is now, and I want to meet with Putin immediately." And everyone was speculating whether he would meet with Putin or Zelensky first. I said they wouldn’t meet before summer. And now, my prediction just has one more month to hold.
Completely came true May 31, 2025
#Trump #Putin #USA #Russia
ru → en

Vitaly Portnikov

Well, Rubio is a disaster... In a couple of months, he’ll be thrown out for failing to live up to all of Trump’s illusions.
Did not come true May 31, 2025
#USA
ru → en

Robert Kiyosaki

Giant crash coming. Depression possible. Fed forced to print billions in fake money. By 2025 gold at $5,000 silver at $500 and Bitcoin at $500,000. Why? Because faith in US dollar, fake money, will be destroyed. Gold & Silver Gods money. Bitcoin people’s $. Take care.
Did not come true May 30, 2025
#USA #Economy #Bitcoin
en

Dmitry Gordon

I believe that the U.S. and the West will not recognize the new president. They will not recognize the elections. In Georgia.
Did not come true May 29, 2025
#Georgia #USA #Elections
ru → en

Mark Feygin

So my prediction is that most likely America will not back out, will not withdraw from the process next week... And most likely, Trump will continue to maintain the role of mediator, even if his position shifts — he still won’t leave.
Completely came true May 15, 2025
#War in Ukraine #USA #Trump #Ukraine #Russia
ru → en

Sergey Smirnov

Let’s get back to the Trump administration. What’s next? I think that’s it. Basically, next week or in a couple of weeks, they’ll officially take offense — like, “if you’re so ungrateful and forgot to thank us, then we’re not going to do anything.” The Trump administration will soon withdraw from efforts to resolve the war between Russia and Ukraine.
Did not come true May 15, 2025
#War in Ukraine #Ukraine #Russia #USA #Trump
ru → en

Win/Win

Three hours ago in Geneva, the delegations of the U.S. and China reached a trade agreement and signed regulatory treaties in the field of foreign trade and interstate commercial relations. The U.S. tariff war against China is over. Starting tomorrow, all previously imposed tariffs will be lifted. Most tariffs will be reduced to zero.
Completely came true May 12, 2025
#USA #China #Economy
ru → en

Gennady Medetsky

I think that within the next week or two to three weeks, we should see a resolution to the U.S.–China trade war, because this isn’t really about money.
Completely came true May 12, 2025
#USA #China #Economy
ru → en

Win/Win

Not even the Minister of Economy went from Ukraine to the U.S. for negotiations on the resource deal — the highest-ranking official there is Deputy Minister Kachka. No one knows who that is. The Ukrainians once again brought a proposal the Americans are seeing for the first time. There will be no deal. Trump, you've been misled.
Did not come true May 12, 2025
#Ukraine #USA #Economy #Trump
ru → en

Win/Win

What does Trump want from China, raising tariffs on it every day? He’ll lower them eventually anyway.
Completely came true May 12, 2025
#Trump #USA #China #Economy
ru → en

Win/Win

Zelensky will soon arrive at the White House for the signing of an agreement on rare earth metals and the transfer of Ukraine's infrastructure to a U.S. fund. He will not be the one signing it, but he will be present. And the funniest part? He will be wearing a business suit. The days of dirty, unwashed sweatshirts and cargo pants are over for the White House.
Partially came true May 12, 2025
#Zelensky #Ukraine #USA #War in Ukraine
ru → en

Win/Win

Trump's tweet will most likely be about the conclusion of a trade deal with the PRC. In response to Trump's message: "My next TRUTH will be one of the most important and impactful I have ever issued. ENJOY!"
Did not come true May 11, 2025
#Trump #USA
ru → en

Ruslan Leviev

That's the situation with the truce. As you can see, it’s over, and now the shelling has resumed. I don't expect any strong reaction from the U.S. The Kremlin will now say, “Look, Ukraine is not capable of making agreements, it violated the truce.” Most likely, there won’t even be much of a reaction from the American administration. And that’s how this Easter truce came to an end.
Completely came true May 10, 2025
#War in Ukraine #Ukraine #Russia #USA
ru → en

Sergey Auslender

Trump has appointed a special representative for Ukraine and given him 100 days. This means there will be no meeting for at least 100 days, as during this time, the representative will be searching for a solution. If Trump ever meets with Putin, it certainly won’t be for negotiations or to discuss any details. No, by then, a finalized solution will already be on the table—just waiting to be signed. There will be no meeting between Trump and Putin in the next 100 days.
Completely came true May 10, 2025
#Trump #Putin #USA #Russia #War in Ukraine #Ukraine
ru → en

Nickolay Kapitonenko

It seems to me that this is more of a rhetorical trick, and to actually end the Russia-Ukraine war, not just in 24 hours but even within a few months, will be practically impossible. Trump might try, but the question is, at what cost, and not everything here will depend on him.
Completely came true May 10, 2025
#War in Ukraine #Ukraine #Russia #Trump #USA
ru → en

Oleg Deripaska

Trump Receives Congratulations... Good Morning, New World... Oil Heading to $50 by May.
Did not come true May 1, 2025
#Trump #Oil #USA
ru → en

Win/Win

On Monday, Trump will impose maximum sanctions against more than 200 senior Ukrainian officials, including Zelensky himself.
Did not come true April 29, 2025
#Ukraine #Trump #USA #Economy
ru → en

Tikhon Dzyadko

I'm hosting the morning broadcast tomorrow. I'm absolutely convinced that by the time of the morning show on Dozhd, there will be some comment from Trump about the strike on the city of Sumy. For some reason, I feel that, given his media activity and the number of meetings he has with journalists, someone will ask him about it — we'll see how he responds.
Completely came true April 14, 2025
#Trump #USA #Ukraine #War in Ukraine
ru → en

Evgeny Chichvarkin

I think it will end with an agreement to have another conversation. I don't expect any major turning points. In response to the question: "Peskov stated that Putin does not intend to make any official statements after the conversation. We’ll be waiting for information from Trump... What do you think will be the outcome of today’s conversation?"
Completely came true March 19, 2025
#Putin #Trump #Russia #USA #War in Ukraine #Ukraine
ru → en

Dmitry Gordon

At the negotiations between Trump and Putin, which I am sure will take place by the end of February.
Did not come true February 28, 2025
#Trump #Putin #USA #Russia
ru → en

Dmitry Gordon

I think a meeting between Zelensky and Trump could take place literally the day after the inauguration, or perhaps 2–3 days later, but very, very quickly. I am convinced that Trump’s first conversation will be with Zelensky.
Did not come true February 28, 2025
#Trump #Zelensky #USA #Ukraine
ru → en

Mark Feygin

They say that all efforts are being focused on arranging a new meeting between Trump and Volodymyr Zelensky. And I think such a meeting will most likely take place.
Completely came true February 28, 2025
#Trump #Zelensky #USA #Ukraine
ru → en

Andrey Piontkovsky

In early February, Trump will be forced to acknowledge that he does not, and cannot, have a peace plan for a freeze supported by both Ukraine and Russia. This is already evident.
Partially came true February 25, 2025
#War in Ukraine #Trump #Ukraine #Russia #USA
ru → en

Stanislav Kucher

My prediction regarding his appointments is that we won’t see most of these people in the American government. The people Trump has proposed for various positions.
Did not come true February 24, 2025
#USA #Trump
ru → en

Leonid Volkov

Specifically about Gabbard, I think she won’t be approved. Tulsi Gabbard won’t be confirmed as the head of U.S. intelligence.
Did not come true February 24, 2025
#USA
ru → en

Garry Kasparov

Biden... is a lame duck... With him, his administration will leave. There will be no Sullivan, I am sure there will be no Burns, there will be no Blinken, and there will be no Austin.
Completely came true February 24, 2025
#USA
ru → en

Mikhail Fishman

Negotiations will undoubtedly take place; this seems obvious to me. I think we should expect them within days, any day now. I believe there will be a phone conversation. It will be interesting to observe how it is arranged. Most likely, it will be organized in such a way that Trump will call Putin.
Completely came true February 12, 2025
#Russia #USA #Trump #Putin
ru → en

Andrey Piontkovsky

I assure you, the crazy Tulsi Gabbard won’t make it through the nomination either.
Did not come true February 12, 2025
#USA
ru → en

Yulia Latynina

We will witness a grand scenario of "Cuban Missile Crisis 2.0" will unfold. The world on the brink of nuclear war, but at the last moment, Trump, not yet elected president, calls Putin, and together they save the world from catastrophe. Everyone breathes a sigh of relief.
Did not come true February 12, 2025
#Nuclear weapons #Trump #Putin #USA #Russia #War in Ukraine
ru → en

Mikhail Svetov

I have a subconscious feeling that these positions are being taken because they fear losing grants, on which, apparently, a significant part of liberal organizations in Russia depends. The Democratic Party is indeed much more generous in funding opposition movements in other countries. And if Trump wins, the flow of money will most likely dry up significantly. That’s my hypothesis.
Completely came true February 7, 2025
#USA #Trump
ru → en

Michael Nacke

We've seen, and are still seeing, a lot of discussion about U.S. aid under the PDA, where roughly $5.8 billion is supposedly frozen and will expire in October, blah blah blah. In reality, it won’t expire—everything will be extended, mark my words, screenshot this tweet. PDA = Presidential Drawdown Authority
Partially came true January 31, 2025
#War in Ukraine #Ukraine #USA
ru → en

Leonid Volkov

Either something about tariffs, possibly on imports from China, or something related to crypto. In response to the question: "What will Trump’s first executive order be after the inauguration?"
Did not come true January 21, 2025
#Trump #USA #China #Cryptocurrencies
ru → en

Konstantin Sonin

It seems to me that expecting something similar to 2021, when there were indeed protests in Washington that ended with the storming of the Capitol and led to the loss of lives, is unlikely. I wouldn’t expect such protests, primarily because, in 2021, the election results were being contested by the sitting president.
Completely came true January 21, 2025
#2024 United States presidential election #USA #Elections
ru → en

Maksim Shevchenko

If Iran and Hezbollah don’t respond with a full-scale war... They’ll wait for Trump’s defeat, which would mean Netanyahu’s defeat as well. In exchange, a nuclear deal will be signed, with the Americans leading the initiative to recognize a Palestinian state. If Trump loses the election, the U.S. will make a nuclear deal and recognize the Palestinian state.
Cannot be verified January 21, 2025
#USA #Israel #Palestine
ru → en

Stanislav Belkovsky

I think that, since Biden is currently president and the Democrats are in power, they will do everything they can to prevent unrest in advance. Back then, the unrest was partly fueled by the fact that the sitting president, Trump, was relatively lenient towards it. Even if he didn’t openly support it, he at least stirred the pot. Referring to possible unrest that could occur after the U.S. presidential elections.
Cannot be verified January 21, 2025
#2024 United States presidential election #USA #Elections
ru → en

Mark Feygin

They will meet at the G20 summit, Xi Jinping and Biden. I suspect that this will most likely end with mutual visits, first Xi Jinping to Washington, and then Biden to Beijing. This is my prediction, and I do not insist on it
Did not come true January 21, 2025
#USA #China #G20
ru → en

Mark Feygin

My prediction is that Zelensky will go to Washington on January 20.
Did not come true January 20, 2025
#Zelensky #USA #Ukraine
ru → en

Sergey Auslender

But in any case, as I believe, until January 20, until Trump’s inauguration, Israel will not take any decisive action in this direction. Regarding Iran.
Completely came true January 20, 2025
#Israel #Iran #Trump #USA
ru → en

Igor Yakovenko

I think there will most likely be a call or some kind of conversation, or perhaps even a meeting... between Trump and Putin before the inauguration.
Did not come true January 20, 2025
#Trump #Putin #Russia #USA
ru → en

Mark Feygin

I believe that at least until the inauguration, nothing will happen. Everything will continue as it is. There will be no ceasefire in the war in Ukraine until Trump’s inauguration.
Completely came true January 20, 2025
#War in Ukraine #Trump #Ukraine #Russia #USA
ru → en

Vyacheslav Maltsev

They’re saying that Trump won, but he won’t become president—that he still has to live to see the inauguration. Trump will 100% survive until the inauguration; I don’t think there will be any issues.
Completely came true January 20, 2025
#Trump #USA
ru → en

Konstantin Borovoy

I don't think it will come to an uprising. But we’ll see. I believe that if anyone would stage an uprising, it would be the Democrats. Not an uprising, but rather some protests—those are possible. He implies that there will be no uprising from the Republican Party in the U.S. if Trump loses.
Cannot be verified January 20, 2025
#USA
ru → en

Ivan Yakovina

I think Trump could very well win this election; it’s quite realistic. However, I don’t believe he will actually become president. I don’t know what will happen, but something will. I am sure he won’t become president. Of course, I could be wrong.
Did not come true January 20, 2025
#2024 United States presidential election #Trump #Elections #USA
ru → en

Igor Yakovenko

After being elected, it's not customary for American presidents to take any significant actions that lead to specific consequences. So, the likelihood of any serious moves from Biden was already low, and now it’s almost approaching zero.
Completely came true January 20, 2025
#Biden #USA #War in Ukraine #Ukraine #Russia
ru → en

Oleg Soskin

And the first thing she will do is arrest Trump. Kamala Harris will arrest Trump as soon as she becomes president (early).
Cannot be verified January 20, 2025
#USA #KamalaHarris #Trump
ru → en