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Predictions and promises monitor

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#USA

Authors
164
Predictions
452
Verified
154
Came true
62%
Complex
40%
Confident
40%
All Expected Expected soon New results

Mark Feygin

So my prediction is that most likely America will not back out, will not withdraw from the process next week... And most likely, Trump will continue to maintain the role of mediator, even if his position shifts — he still won’t leave.
Completely came true May 15, 2025
#War in Ukraine #USA #Trump #Ukraine #Russia
ru → en

Sergey Smirnov

Let’s get back to the Trump administration. What’s next? I think that’s it. Basically, next week or in a couple of weeks, they’ll officially take offense — like, “if you’re so ungrateful and forgot to thank us, then we’re not going to do anything.” The Trump administration will soon withdraw from efforts to resolve the war between Russia and Ukraine.
Did not come true May 15, 2025
#War in Ukraine #Ukraine #Russia #USA #Trump
ru → en

Win/Win

Three hours ago in Geneva, the delegations of the U.S. and China reached a trade agreement and signed regulatory treaties in the field of foreign trade and interstate commercial relations. The U.S. tariff war against China is over. Starting tomorrow, all previously imposed tariffs will be lifted. Most tariffs will be reduced to zero.
Completely came true May 12, 2025
#USA #China #Economy
ru → en

Gennady Medetsky

I think that within the next week or two to three weeks, we should see a resolution to the U.S.–China trade war, because this isn’t really about money.
Completely came true May 12, 2025
#USA #China #Economy
ru → en

Win/Win

Not even the Minister of Economy went from Ukraine to the U.S. for negotiations on the resource deal — the highest-ranking official there is Deputy Minister Kachka. No one knows who that is. The Ukrainians once again brought a proposal the Americans are seeing for the first time. There will be no deal. Trump, you've been misled.
Did not come true May 12, 2025
#Ukraine #USA #Economy #Trump
ru → en

Win/Win

Zelensky will soon arrive at the White House for the signing of an agreement on rare earth metals and the transfer of Ukraine's infrastructure to a U.S. fund. He will not be the one signing it, but he will be present. And the funniest part? He will be wearing a business suit. The days of dirty, unwashed sweatshirts and cargo pants are over for the White House.
Partially came true May 12, 2025
#Zelensky #Ukraine #USA #War in Ukraine
ru → en

Win/Win

Trump's tweet will most likely be about the conclusion of a trade deal with the PRC. In response to Trump's message: "My next TRUTH will be one of the most important and impactful I have ever issued. ENJOY!"
Did not come true May 11, 2025
#Trump #USA
ru → en

Ruslan Leviev

That's the situation with the truce. As you can see, it’s over, and now the shelling has resumed. I don't expect any strong reaction from the U.S. The Kremlin will now say, “Look, Ukraine is not capable of making agreements, it violated the truce.” Most likely, there won’t even be much of a reaction from the American administration. And that’s how this Easter truce came to an end.
Completely came true May 10, 2025
#War in Ukraine #Ukraine #Russia #USA
ru → en

Sergey Auslender

Trump has appointed a special representative for Ukraine and given him 100 days. This means there will be no meeting for at least 100 days, as during this time, the representative will be searching for a solution. If Trump ever meets with Putin, it certainly won’t be for negotiations or to discuss any details. No, by then, a finalized solution will already be on the table—just waiting to be signed. There will be no meeting between Trump and Putin in the next 100 days.
Completely came true May 10, 2025
#Trump #Putin #USA #Russia #War in Ukraine #Ukraine
ru → en

Nickolay Kapitonenko

It seems to me that this is more of a rhetorical trick, and to actually end the Russia-Ukraine war, not just in 24 hours but even within a few months, will be practically impossible. Trump might try, but the question is, at what cost, and not everything here will depend on him.
Completely came true May 10, 2025
#War in Ukraine #Ukraine #Russia #Trump #USA
ru → en

Oleg Deripaska

Trump Receives Congratulations... Good Morning, New World... Oil Heading to $50 by May.
Did not come true May 1, 2025
#Trump #Oil #USA
ru → en

Win/Win

On Monday, Trump will impose maximum sanctions against more than 200 senior Ukrainian officials, including Zelensky himself.
Did not come true April 29, 2025
#Ukraine #Trump #USA #Economy
ru → en

Tikhon Dzyadko

I'm hosting the morning broadcast tomorrow. I'm absolutely convinced that by the time of the morning show on Dozhd, there will be some comment from Trump about the strike on the city of Sumy. For some reason, I feel that, given his media activity and the number of meetings he has with journalists, someone will ask him about it — we'll see how he responds.
Completely came true April 14, 2025
#Trump #USA #Ukraine #War in Ukraine
ru → en

Evgeny Chichvarkin

I think it will end with an agreement to have another conversation. I don't expect any major turning points. In response to the question: "Peskov stated that Putin does not intend to make any official statements after the conversation. We’ll be waiting for information from Trump... What do you think will be the outcome of today’s conversation?"
Completely came true March 19, 2025
#Putin #Trump #Russia #USA #War in Ukraine #Ukraine
ru → en

Dmitry Gordon

At the negotiations between Trump and Putin, which I am sure will take place by the end of February.
Did not come true February 28, 2025
#Trump #Putin #USA #Russia
ru → en

Dmitry Gordon

I think a meeting between Zelensky and Trump could take place literally the day after the inauguration, or perhaps 2–3 days later, but very, very quickly. I am convinced that Trump’s first conversation will be with Zelensky.
Did not come true February 28, 2025
#Trump #Zelensky #USA #Ukraine
ru → en

Mark Feygin

They say that all efforts are being focused on arranging a new meeting between Trump and Volodymyr Zelensky. And I think such a meeting will most likely take place.
Completely came true February 28, 2025
#Trump #Zelensky #USA #Ukraine
ru → en

Andrey Piontkovsky

In early February, Trump will be forced to acknowledge that he does not, and cannot, have a peace plan for a freeze supported by both Ukraine and Russia. This is already evident.
Partially came true February 25, 2025
#War in Ukraine #Trump #Ukraine #Russia #USA
ru → en

Stanislav Kucher

My prediction regarding his appointments is that we won’t see most of these people in the American government. The people Trump has proposed for various positions.
Did not come true February 24, 2025
#USA #Trump
ru → en

Leonid Volkov

Specifically about Gabbard, I think she won’t be approved. Tulsi Gabbard won’t be confirmed as the head of U.S. intelligence.
Did not come true February 24, 2025
#USA
ru → en

Garry Kasparov

Biden... is a lame duck... With him, his administration will leave. There will be no Sullivan, I am sure there will be no Burns, there will be no Blinken, and there will be no Austin.
Completely came true February 24, 2025
#USA
ru → en

Mikhail Fishman

Negotiations will undoubtedly take place; this seems obvious to me. I think we should expect them within days, any day now. I believe there will be a phone conversation. It will be interesting to observe how it is arranged. Most likely, it will be organized in such a way that Trump will call Putin.
Completely came true February 12, 2025
#Russia #USA #Trump #Putin
ru → en

Andrey Piontkovsky

I assure you, the crazy Tulsi Gabbard won’t make it through the nomination either.
Did not come true February 12, 2025
#USA
ru → en

Yulia Latynina

We will witness a grand scenario of "Cuban Missile Crisis 2.0" will unfold. The world on the brink of nuclear war, but at the last moment, Trump, not yet elected president, calls Putin, and together they save the world from catastrophe. Everyone breathes a sigh of relief.
Did not come true February 12, 2025
#Nuclear weapons #Trump #Putin #USA #Russia #War in Ukraine
ru → en

Mikhail Svetov

I have a subconscious feeling that these positions are being taken because they fear losing grants, on which, apparently, a significant part of liberal organizations in Russia depends. The Democratic Party is indeed much more generous in funding opposition movements in other countries. And if Trump wins, the flow of money will most likely dry up significantly. That’s my hypothesis.
Completely came true February 7, 2025
#USA #Trump
ru → en

Michael Nacke

We've seen, and are still seeing, a lot of discussion about U.S. aid under the PDA, where roughly $5.8 billion is supposedly frozen and will expire in October, blah blah blah. In reality, it won’t expire—everything will be extended, mark my words, screenshot this tweet. PDA = Presidential Drawdown Authority
Partially came true January 31, 2025
#War in Ukraine #Ukraine #USA
ru → en

Leonid Volkov

Either something about tariffs, possibly on imports from China, or something related to crypto. In response to the question: "What will Trump’s first executive order be after the inauguration?"
Did not come true January 21, 2025
#Trump #USA #China #Cryptocurrencies
ru → en

Konstantin Sonin

It seems to me that expecting something similar to 2021, when there were indeed protests in Washington that ended with the storming of the Capitol and led to the loss of lives, is unlikely. I wouldn’t expect such protests, primarily because, in 2021, the election results were being contested by the sitting president.
Completely came true January 21, 2025
#2024 United States presidential election #USA #Elections
ru → en

Maksim Shevchenko

If Iran and Hezbollah don’t respond with a full-scale war... They’ll wait for Trump’s defeat, which would mean Netanyahu’s defeat as well. In exchange, a nuclear deal will be signed, with the Americans leading the initiative to recognize a Palestinian state. If Trump loses the election, the U.S. will make a nuclear deal and recognize the Palestinian state.
Cannot be verified January 21, 2025
#USA #Israel #Palestine
ru → en

Stanislav Belkovsky

I think that, since Biden is currently president and the Democrats are in power, they will do everything they can to prevent unrest in advance. Back then, the unrest was partly fueled by the fact that the sitting president, Trump, was relatively lenient towards it. Even if he didn’t openly support it, he at least stirred the pot. Referring to possible unrest that could occur after the U.S. presidential elections.
Cannot be verified January 21, 2025
#2024 United States presidential election #USA #Elections
ru → en

Mark Feygin

They will meet at the G20 summit, Xi Jinping and Biden. I suspect that this will most likely end with mutual visits, first Xi Jinping to Washington, and then Biden to Beijing. This is my prediction, and I do not insist on it
Did not come true January 21, 2025
#USA #China #G20
ru → en

Mark Feygin

My prediction is that Zelensky will go to Washington on January 20.
Did not come true January 20, 2025
#Zelensky #USA #Ukraine
ru → en

Sergey Auslender

But in any case, as I believe, until January 20, until Trump’s inauguration, Israel will not take any decisive action in this direction. Regarding Iran.
Completely came true January 20, 2025
#Israel #Iran #Trump #USA
ru → en

Igor Yakovenko

I think there will most likely be a call or some kind of conversation, or perhaps even a meeting... between Trump and Putin before the inauguration.
Did not come true January 20, 2025
#Trump #Putin #Russia #USA
ru → en

Mark Feygin

I believe that at least until the inauguration, nothing will happen. Everything will continue as it is. There will be no ceasefire in the war in Ukraine until Trump’s inauguration.
Completely came true January 20, 2025
#War in Ukraine #Trump #Ukraine #Russia #USA
ru → en

Vyacheslav Maltsev

They’re saying that Trump won, but he won’t become president—that he still has to live to see the inauguration. Trump will 100% survive until the inauguration; I don’t think there will be any issues.
Completely came true January 20, 2025
#Trump #USA
ru → en

Konstantin Borovoy

I don't think it will come to an uprising. But we’ll see. I believe that if anyone would stage an uprising, it would be the Democrats. Not an uprising, but rather some protests—those are possible. He implies that there will be no uprising from the Republican Party in the U.S. if Trump loses.
Cannot be verified January 20, 2025
#USA
ru → en

Ivan Yakovina

I think Trump could very well win this election; it’s quite realistic. However, I don’t believe he will actually become president. I don’t know what will happen, but something will. I am sure he won’t become president. Of course, I could be wrong.
Did not come true January 20, 2025
#2024 United States presidential election #Trump #Elections #USA
ru → en

Igor Yakovenko

After being elected, it's not customary for American presidents to take any significant actions that lead to specific consequences. So, the likelihood of any serious moves from Biden was already low, and now it’s almost approaching zero.
Completely came true January 20, 2025
#Biden #USA #War in Ukraine #Ukraine #Russia
ru → en

Oleg Soskin

And the first thing she will do is arrest Trump. Kamala Harris will arrest Trump as soon as she becomes president (early).
Cannot be verified January 20, 2025
#USA #KamalaHarris #Trump
ru → en

Yevgeny Popov

I think that even before January, Trump will offer Russia an obviously unfavorable deal regarding Ukraine, which we will, of course, reject. Donald will shrug and, in his usual manner, announce an unprecedented aid package for the Zelensky regime and the lifting of all restrictions on missiles.
Did not come true December 31, 2024
#War in Ukraine #Trump #Ukraine #Russia #USA
ru → en

Ivan Stupak

Right now, this will not happen... I don't see it in the next year or two. Response to the question: 'Will there be a war between China and the USA, China and Taiwan?'
Completely came true December 31, 2024
#China #USA #Taiwan
ru → en

Mikhail Veller

If he didn’t provide them before, he won’t provide them now. Joe Biden is unlikely to change his approach and will not give Ukraine long-range missiles.
Did not come true November 21, 2024
#War in Ukraine #Biden #USA #Ukraine
ru → en

Igor Yakovenko

So it’s most likely that this decision, if it is made—and I think it will be—will be made in February of next year. Talking about U.S. authorization for Ukraine to strike Russian territory with long-range missiles.
Almost came true November 21, 2024
#War in Ukraine #Ukraine #Russia #USA
ru → en

Ivan Yakovina

I think this permission will most likely be granted, but only after the elections. In response to the question: "Why does the U.S. prohibit strikes deep into Russia?" Referring to allowing Ukraine to use long-range American weapons for strikes deep into Russian territory.
Completely came true November 21, 2024
#Ukraine #Russia #USA #War in Ukraine
ru → en

Yuri Fedorov

Honestly, I don’t think there will be permission. In response to the question: "What do you think will happen with the permission regarding long-range missiles?" (Will the U.S. grant permission for Ukraine to use long-range missiles on Russian territory?)
Did not come true November 21, 2024
#War in Ukraine #Ukraine #Russia #USA
ru → en

Stanislav Belkovsky

Permission to strike Russian territory with long-range weapons of Euro-Atlantic origin... I believe that this permission will be granted, that’s my prediction. Perhaps in a more limited, compromise form—allowing strikes with British-American Storm Shadow missiles and French SCALP missiles, but not with American ATACMS. Permission for Ukraine.
Completely came true November 21, 2024
#War in Ukraine #Ukraine #USA #Russia #United Kingdom #France
ru → en

Oleg Zhdanov

And Storm Shadows will be there, and ATACMS will be there... I don't think there will be permission for their use. We have reached the point where the interests of the U.S. and Ukraine are starting to diverge. The U.S. will not allow the use of long-range weapons deep into Russian territory
Did not come true November 21, 2024
#War in Ukraine #Ukraine #Russia #USA
ru → en

Ramis Yunus

The topic of publicly announcing the permission for Ukraine to use long-range weapons has already been prepared. I have said this regularly; you will receive this permission. The USA will allow Ukraine to strike deep into Russia.
Completely came true November 21, 2024
#War in Ukraine #Russia #USA #Ukraine
ru → en

Michael Sheitelman

We have been discussing for several days, even a couple of weeks, whether we will be given permission to strike at the launch points of Russian aircraft, that is, airfields, possibly the launch points of ballistic missiles, meaning permission to strike deep into Russia with American, British, and French weapons... September 11, and it seems that everything will work out for us. Most likely, Ukraine will be given permission to strike deep into Russian territory with Western weapons.
Completely came true November 21, 2024
#War in Ukraine #Ukraine #Russia #USA
ru → en