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Predictions and promises monitor

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#USA

Authors
111
Predictions
226
Verified
93
Came true
65%
Complex
30%
Confident
35%
All Expected Expected soon New results

Mark Feygin

If British and American troops are indeed deployed there under an international UN mandate, you understand that they will never leave—they’ll dig trenches, settle in, and so on, whether in blue helmets or any other color. Moscow will never agree to this. Moscow will not accept a truce in the Ukraine war that involves a neutral buffer zone controlled by British forces.
Expected
#War in Ukraine #Russia #Ukraine #United Kingdom #USA
ru → en

Alfred Koch

None. She’ll travel around giving lectures at provincial universities. In response to the question: "What future awaits Kamala Harris?"
Expected
#KamalaHarris #USA
ru → en

Roman Svitan

Trump will work on lowering the price of oil, and he has the mechanisms to do it. I think the price of oil will definitely drop below 60 dollars—he’ll keep it somewhere around 60 to 50.
Expected
#Trump #Oil #USA #Economy
ru → en

Oleg Deripaska

Trump Receives Congratulations... Good Morning, New World... Peace Seems Likely Everywhere...
Expected
#Trump #USA
ru → en

Michael Nacke

The election of Donald Trump will probably inevitably lead us to World War III.
Expected
#Trump #USA
ru → en

Alexander Baunov

If Israel finds itself in a dire, hopeless situation, then, of course, the United States will enter the war on Israel’s side, just as it did against Saddam Hussein on Kuwait’s behalf.
Expected
#Israel #USA
ru → en

Yelena Veduta

I think the United States is not far off from eventually moving toward socialism.
Expected
#USA
ru → en

Roman Svitan

At some point, we’ll be discussing how many Tomahawks we received, how they’ll be launched, and so on. That’s definitely how it’s going to be. We will get Tomahawks. But it’s important to understand that the Tomahawk itself isn’t a game-changer; it’s a missile that’s already half a century old. Ukraine will eventually receive Tomahawk missiles.
Expected
#Ukraine #USA #War in Ukraine
ru → en

Ivan Yakovina

It would be beneficial for the Americans if a pro-American force came to power in Russia, so that together they could pressure and contain China. Establishing a pro-American regime in Russia would be a reasonable goal for the Americans. I believe that, sooner or later, they will achieve this.
Expected
#Russia #USA
ru → en

Maksim Shevchenko

If Trump wins, there will be big problems for the liberals... If he does win, Trump will make a tour, stopping in Vienna, meeting with the Freedom Party of Austria, Orban, Fico, Alternative for Germany, Sahra Wagenknecht, and Meloni. That’s why I’m personally convinced that Trump will be assassinated; he won’t live to see this happen because he is too dangerous.
Expected
#Trump #USA
ru → en

Aleksey Pilko

We'll take the risk of making a prediction. Most likely, there will be a negative response to all the points of the plan. The West will continue to pursue the same political line on Ukraine as before. Ukraine is needed as a proxy tool for the war against Russia, not as an asset for which the West would be willing to directly engage in conflict with Russia at the risk of nuclear war. Referring to Zelensky's Victory Plan.
Expected
#War in Ukraine #Ukraine #USA
ru → en

Yuri Fedorov

Honestly, I don’t think there will be permission. In response to the question: "What do you think will happen with the permission regarding long-range missiles?" (Will the U.S. grant permission for Ukraine to use long-range missiles on Russian territory?)
Expected
#War in Ukraine #Ukraine #Russia #USA
ru → en

Mark Feygin

China plans to take over Taiwan by any means necessary, including military action, if the situation is safe for them—meaning if it can be done without consequences, such as no interference from the United States. Under what circumstances would that be possible? It's quite obvious: if Ukraine loses, if the West abandons it. If the West gives up on Ukraine and it loses the war, China will take over Taiwan.
Expected
#Taiwan #China #Ukraine #USA
ru → en

Aleksandr Morozov

As for the possibility of negotiations with Putin for Trump, there is none. There is a 90% likelihood that throughout Trump's term, if he gets one, a summit meeting with Putin will not take place. It's impossible to arrange. Putin will not enter into any negotiations with Trump about ending the war, on the terms that Trump might propose.
Expected
#Trump #Putin #USA #Russia
ru → en

Ramis Yunus

Here’s a more accurate and direct translation of your text: But from a pragmatic perspective, I understand that they won’t abandon Ukraine. And America, no matter who is president, will not be able to abandon it because abandoning Ukraine means abandoning Europe. Abandoning Europe means abandoning NATO and the European Union. Who will allow Trump to dismantle the EU and NATO? No one in America will allow it, no matter what he says. The U.S. will not abandon Ukraine.
Expected
#USA #Ukraine #War in Ukraine
ru → en

Aleksandr Morozov

The radical fears that the United States might leave NATO or paralyze it... have no basis.
Expected
#USA #NATO
ru → en

Mikhail Kasyanov

He knows that there will be retribution. It won’t be a nuclear response, because Western politicians are responsible. They won’t escalate to a nuclear war. The response won’t be nuclear, but it will be devastating. All of Putin’s military infrastructure in Russia will be destroyed. If Putin uses nuclear weapons.
Expected
#Nuclear weapons #Russia #Putin #USA
ru → en

Evgeny Chichvarkin

$145 billion is Russia's offensive budget for next year. It’s an absolute record in the entire history of Russia. Oil at $40 undermines that figure. In that case, everything follows a completely different scenario, and then everything we’ve discussed becomes probable. But will America want to do that? Probably not. Because they produce a lot, and they have a vast amount of oil that is extracted at a higher cost.
Expected
#USA #Oil #Russia
ru → en

John Rubino

So yeah, I think home prices in the US are due to fall. But I think that what comes after what will probably be a deflationary recession of the the next year or two just because you know we've taken on so much bad debt that we have to have a recession because consumers are out of money everything's too expensive consumer spending will go down, the economy will slow down we'll have a recession we'll have an equities bare Market all of that will happen and it'll take real estate down with it.
Expected
#USA #Economy
en

Andrey Kozyrev

When the American president talks about victory for Ukraine, there could be completely different weapons behind that, not just the ones currently being used in the war. Even though the current weapons are already causing obvious hysteria and panic in the Kremlin. Putin is saying he might as well commit suicide, because launching a nuclear strike on the West, especially on America, would be suicide for Russia—complete destruction in less than an hour.
Expected
#Nuclear weapons #Russia #USA
ru → en

Maksim Shevchenko

There are no interests for either Trump or Biden to end the Ukrainian war... Do you think Trump will stop supplying weapons to Zelensky? I believe he absolutely will not.
Expected
#Trump #War in Ukraine #Ukraine #USA
ru → en

Stanislav Belkovsky

Permission to strike Russian territory with long-range weapons of Euro-Atlantic origin... I believe that this permission will be granted, that’s my prediction. Perhaps in a more limited, compromise form—allowing strikes with British-American Storm Shadow missiles and French SCALP missiles, but not with American ATACMS. Permission for Ukraine.
Expected
#War in Ukraine #Ukraine #USA #Russia #United Kingdom #France
ru → en

Dmitry Demushkin

Trump is the main advocate for fighting with China and bringing all production back to the U.S. But if the Democrats come to power, I think China's policy will very much return to a calm course of agreements on key issues with the Americans. I don't believe they will initiate any large-scale trade wars with the Democrats.
Expected
#USA #China
ru → en

Karina Orlova

The Republican Party has no future. It’s pretty obvious that it will at least split. Because by now, a significant portion of the party is already represented by MAGA.
Expected
#USA
ru → en

Maksim Shevchenko

If Iran and Hezbollah don’t respond with a full-scale war... They’ll wait for Trump’s defeat, which would mean Netanyahu’s defeat as well. In exchange, a nuclear deal will be signed, with the Americans leading the initiative to recognize a Palestinian state. If Trump loses the election, the U.S. will make a nuclear deal and recognize the Palestinian state.
Expected
#USA #Israel #Palestine
ru → en

Konstantin Borovoy

I am almost certain that after the Republicans come to power in the U.S., as it was already the case during Trump’s presidency, there will be a reduction in programs of the United Nations. There will be a cut in funding for these programs.
Expected
#USA #UN
ru → en

Oleg Zhdanov

And Storm Shadows will be there, and ATACMS will be there... I don't think there will be permission for their use. We have reached the point where the interests of the U.S. and Ukraine are starting to diverge. The U.S. will not allow the use of long-range weapons deep into Russian territory
Expected
#War in Ukraine #Ukraine #Russia #USA
ru → en

Igor Slabykh

For example, Kansas or Arkansas, where there was a referendum on abortion, meaning that in the red state, the majority of people decided that yes, we want the right to abortion. And I think that in all the states where this issue will be considered in the upcoming elections, there is a very high likelihood that the supporters of the right to abortion will win. Well, we will see.
Expected
#USA #Elections
ru → en

Mark Feygin

Attempting to assassinate Donald Trump is an outrageous thing... they have arrested the shooter... it is clear that he will face severe responsibility, he will be convicted and, apparently, given a very long sentence.
Expected
#USA #Trump
ru → en

Ramis Yunus

The topic of publicly announcing the permission for Ukraine to use long-range weapons has already been prepared. I have said this regularly; you will receive this permission. The USA will allow Ukraine to strike deep into Russia.
Expected
#War in Ukraine #Russia #USA #Ukraine
ru → en

John Mearsheimer

Let's assume that collapse is so complete that the Russians are able to take all the territory in those four oblast, and then they begin to move in to the next four oblast that are to the West of those four they've already annexed and this would involve oblast like Odessa and Kharkiv. And they take those or they try to take those oblast and it looks like they're making good progress. If you're in this scenario, I think the temptation for the Americans to come in would be significant but I still think we would not come in. If Russia captures Odessa and Kharkiv, the USA will still not intervene directly in the war.
Expected
#War in Ukraine #USA #Ukraine #Russia
en

Michael Sheitelman

We have been discussing for several days, even a couple of weeks, whether we will be given permission to strike at the launch points of Russian aircraft, that is, airfields, possibly the launch points of ballistic missiles, meaning permission to strike deep into Russia with American, British, and French weapons... September 11, and it seems that everything will work out for us. Most likely, Ukraine will be given permission to strike deep into Russian territory with Western weapons.
Expected
#War in Ukraine #Ukraine #Russia #USA
ru → en

Malek Dudakov

As for Taiwan, I think we will see a slow escalation moving forward... The Americans are supplying their new medium-range missiles to the Philippines, and of course, there are endless training exercises involving American forces and the Taiwanese army. Under Trump, I believe everything will continue, including arms supplies.
Expected
#Taiwan #USA #Trump
ru → en

Malek Dudakov

The likelihood of a hot conflict, in my opinion, is not very high. Although there is a lot of hysteria coming from the West, claiming that war is just around the corner. But I believe that this is not in the interests of either the USA or China. Considering that a lot depends on Taiwan, which accounts for 60 percent of the global semiconductor market.
Expected
#Taiwan #China #USA
ru → en

Stepan Demura

Moreover, the Chinese may provoke something in Taiwan. Most likely, they will. For example, a blockade of the island. Since the forces of the U.S. Navy and Army are far from unlimited.
Expected
#Taiwan #China #USA
ru → en

Artemy Troitsky

Jack White formulated the reason why he is suing Trump... I think the court will support Jack White... Jack White will win this case, if not 100%, then 99%.
Expected
#USA #Trump
ru → en

Oleg Kashin

Democratic Party leaders in the United States will never dare to seriously confront Russia, neither on the battlefield nor in the realm of sanctions.
Expected
#USA #Russia
ru → en

Taras Berezovets

Nevertheless, I don't think that, for the most part, this trend will change significantly. The trend of support for Ukraine will not change much if the Republicans win the elections in the U.S. in November 2022.
Expected
#War in Ukraine #Ukraine #USA
ru → en

Oleksiy Arestovych

In America, there is an ideological civil war happening. A direct civil war. Whether it will escalate to a hot war, I don't think so. It may lead to clashes... But I don't believe that F-35s will shoot down F-35s; there is no such potential there.
Expected
#USA
ru → en

Aleksandr Kochetkov

Aid to Ukraine will not change significantly due to the Republicans' victory in the U.S. elections. This is not a direct quote, but it conveys the meaning.
Expected
#USA #Ukraine #War in Ukraine
ru → en

Stanislav Belkovsky

Vladimir Vladimirovich will not succeed in defeating the American-centric world. About Putin
Expected
#USA #Putin
ru → en

Mark Feygin

They will meet at the G20 summit, Xi Jinping and Biden. I suspect that this will most likely end with mutual visits, first Xi Jinping to Washington, and then Biden to Beijing. This is my prediction, and I do not insist on it
Expected
#USA #China #G20
ru → en

Mark Feygin

I believe that they will reach the point of confiscating frozen assets. I think this will happen in both Europe and America as well... I believe that large-scale confiscations may begin by the start of next year. Frozen Russian assets.
Expected
#War in Ukraine #Russia #Economy #Europe #USA
ru → en

Roman Svitan

But this task is impossible. The Americans won't allow it. The placement of Russian strategic weapons in Cuba.
Expected
#Russia #Cuba #USA
ru → en

Sergey Aleksashenko

Will anything change in the support for Ukraine after the midterm elections? My answer is no. There will always be enough majority to pass the law on financial military support for Ukraine. Referring to the U.S. elections in November 2022.
Expected
#Ukraine #USA #War in Ukraine
ru → en

Gleb Pyanykh

No, I don't see such an idea from anyone, why? The answer to the question "Will the U.S. invade Iran?"
Expected
#Iran #USA
ru → en

Vladislav Inozemtsev

The dollar is the most important tool for stabilizing the global financial system... I think that for the next 20 years, nothing will change significantly. In the next 20 years, the dollar will remain the most important element of the global financial system, and its role will not change significantly.
Expected December 31, 2044
#USA #Economy
ru → en

Dmytro Spivak

In my opinion, the Republicans are in power now and will likely stay for the next 8-12 years.
Expected December 31, 2032
#USA
ru → en

Mikhail Khazin

They are already experiencing a powerful economic downturn. It's been ongoing for three years. It began in the fall of 2021, and it will continue for another 5-8 years. Referring to the U.S.
Expected December 31, 2032
#USA #Economy
ru → en