Predictions and promises monitor

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#Trump

Authors
62
Predictions
97
Verified
28
Came true
57%
Complex
25%
Confident
29%

Dmitry Gubin

I bet that Musk will be devoured by Trump within the next two years.
Expected
#Trump #USA
ru → en

Petteri Orpo

I don't believe armed action at all, for example regarding Greenland. He does not believe that Greenland will be taken over by the US through any means during the next presidential term.
Expected
#Greenland #Denmark #USA #Trump
en

Sergei Markov

The Danish authorities are in a complete panic. They’re trying to secretly reach out to Trump and ask him not to take Greenland. In exchange, they’re ready to give the U.S. everything in Greenland—any military bases, any concessions. I think Trump won’t take Greenland outright. He’ll take everything there while formally leaving Denmark’s flag flying.
Expected
#Greenland #Denmark #Trump #USA
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Leonid Volkov

Either something about tariffs, possibly on imports from China, or something related to crypto. In response to the question: "What will Trump’s first executive order be after the inauguration?"
Expected
#Trump #USA #China #Cryptocurrencies
ru → en

Ayder Muzhdabaev

There will be no negotiations, no ceasefire—it’s all complete nonsense. And how Trump will get himself out of this talk about ending the war in 24 hours is unclear. Naturally, Ukraine won’t just give up Kherson, Zaporizhzhia, or Donetsk region.
Expected
#War in Ukraine #Ukraine #Russia #Trump #USA
ru → en

Mikhail Svetov

Trump’s rise to power, in particular, means that energy prices will fall because Trump promises to increase production.
Expected
#Oil #Trump #USA #Economy
ru → en

Sergey Auslender

But in any case, as I believe, until January 20, until Trump’s inauguration, Israel will not take any decisive action in this direction. Regarding Iran.
Expected
#Israel #Iran #Trump #USA
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Igor Yakovenko

Trump will fail in his attempt to establish peace... The big question is whom Trump will blame for the breakdown of negotiations—Putin or Zelensky. And I strongly suspect that it will be more convenient and cost-effective for Trump to place the blame for the failed talks on Zelensky.
Expected
#War in Ukraine #Trump #Zelensky #Ukraine #Russia #USA
ru → en

Konstantin Eggert

Trump will undoubtedly withdraw some American troops from the territories of allied countries. In his relations with NATO, Trump will emphasize the independence of European armies.
Expected
#Trump #NATO #USA #European Union
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Stanislav Kucher

My prediction regarding his appointments is that we won’t see most of these people in the American government. The people Trump has proposed for various positions.
Expected
#USA #Trump
ru → en

Yulia Latynina

We will witness a grand scenario of "Cuban Missile Crisis 2.0" will unfold. The world on the brink of nuclear war, but at the last moment, Trump, not yet elected president, calls Putin, and together they save the world from catastrophe. Everyone breathes a sigh of relief.
Expected
#Nuclear weapons #Trump #Putin #USA #Russia #War in Ukraine
ru → en

Mikhail Krutikhin

Well, I don’t really believe in that scenario. Because even with the makeup of the Senate and the House of Representatives, I see that there are many supporters of continued financial and military aid to Ukraine, including within the Republican Party. In response to the question: "If it happens that after his inauguration, Trump, with a majority in both the Senate and the House, decides to either stop or significantly reduce financial aid to Ukraine to near zero, what will happen?"
Expected
#Trump #War in Ukraine #Ukraine #USA
ru → en

Michael Sheitelman

I don’t believe in Putin’s ability to negotiate. I believe that Trump will do all the work, that he will go through the entire process. Yes, he will formulate peace proposals. Yes, he will bring some representatives of Ukraine and Russia to the table—not the presidents, not Zelensky or Putin. And then Putin will start his sabotage. Because Putin has no intention of ending the war, and he doesn’t need any peace agreement.
Expected
#War in Ukraine #Putin #Trump #Ukraine #Russia
ru → en

Mark Feygin

They say that all efforts are being focused on arranging a new meeting between Trump and Volodymyr Zelensky. And I think such a meeting will most likely take place.
Expected
#Trump #Zelensky #USA #Ukraine
ru → en

Maria Maksakova

As a result, we will, of course, see a much lower oil price. Under Trump, following Saudi Arabia's joining of the Abraham Accords.
Expected
#Oil #Economy #Trump
ru → en

Sergey Auslender

It seems to me that Trump will start by crashing oil prices, working to bring them down in order to take away Putin's main advantage—money.
Expected
#Trump #Oil #Economy #Russia #USA
ru → en

Vladimir Milov

The second question is what will happen under Trump with economic policy in the U.S. I actually believe that his policies will lead to very serious problems for the American economy and will slow it down.
Expected
#USA #Trump #Economy
ru → en

Igor Yakovenko

I think there will most likely be a call or some kind of conversation, or perhaps even a meeting... between Trump and Putin before the inauguration.
Expected
#Trump #Putin #Russia #USA
ru → en

Roman Goncharenko

I think there will be an attempt to reallocate funding; in other words, Trump will ask the Europeans to pay more, but I don’t think he’ll actually stop military aid. Lend-Lease is indeed an option that will be used. The Biden administration hasn’t really used this Lend-Lease mechanism—selling weapons rather than giving them. I think Trump will make use of it.
Expected
#War in Ukraine #Trump #Ukraine #USA
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Stanislav Kucher

Of course, there will be no mass, multimillion deportation either. He promised it, but this is one of those promises that I’m sure Trump won’t keep, and thank God he won’t.
Expected
#Trump #USA
ru → en

Mark Feygin

I believe that at least until the inauguration, nothing will happen. Everything will continue as it is. There will be no ceasefire in the war in Ukraine until Trump’s inauguration.
Expected
#War in Ukraine #Trump #Ukraine #Russia #USA
ru → en

Vyacheslav Maltsev

They’re saying that Trump won, but he won’t become president—that he still has to live to see the inauguration. Trump will 100% survive until the inauguration; I don’t think there will be any issues.
Expected
#Trump #USA
ru → en

Roman Svitan

Trump will work on lowering the price of oil, and he has the mechanisms to do it. I think the price of oil will definitely drop below 60 dollars—he’ll keep it somewhere around 60 to 50.
Expected
#Trump #Oil #USA #Economy
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Nickolay Kapitonenko

It seems to me that this is more of a rhetorical trick, and to actually end the Russia-Ukraine war, not just in 24 hours but even within a few months, will be practically impossible. Trump might try, but the question is, at what cost, and not everything here will depend on him.
Expected
#War in Ukraine #Ukraine #Russia #Trump #USA
ru → en

Oleg Deripaska

Trump Receives Congratulations... Good Morning, New World... Peace Seems Likely Everywhere...
Expected
#Trump #USA
ru → en

Oleg Deripaska

Trump Receives Congratulations... Good Morning, New World... Oil Heading to $50 by May.
Expected
#Trump #Oil #USA
ru → en

Yevgeny Popov

I think that even before January, Trump will offer Russia an obviously unfavorable deal regarding Ukraine, which we will, of course, reject. Donald will shrug and, in his usual manner, announce an unprecedented aid package for the Zelensky regime and the lifting of all restrictions on missiles.
Expected
#War in Ukraine #Trump #Ukraine #Russia #USA
ru → en

Arti Green

The leverage in this war is in the hands of the President of the United States. If it’s Donald Trump, then oil prices will almost certainly drop significantly—one could even say they will collapse.
Expected
#Trump #Oil #USA
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Dmitry Medvedev

A somewhat weary Trump, spouting clichés like “I’ll offer a deal” and “I have great relationships with...,” will also be forced to follow all the system’s rules. He won’t be able to stop the war. Not in a day, not in three days, not in three months. And if he genuinely tries, he might end up like JFK. Trump will not be able to stop the war in Ukraine.
Expected
#War in Ukraine #Trump #Ukraine #Russia #USA
ru → en

Michael Nacke

The election of Donald Trump will probably inevitably lead us to World War III.
Expected
#Trump #USA
ru → en

Chingiz Mamedov

I don’t see quick solutions. Trump, of course, is now saying that it’s very simple—he’ll tell Zelensky one thing, he’ll tell Putin another, and they’ll be forced to agree with him... I don’t think that even if Trump is elected, this issue will be resolved that quickly.
Expected
#War in Ukraine #Ukraine #Russia #Trump #USA
ru → en

Konstantin Borovoy

We are talking about the current President of the United States, Joe Biden. But in a couple of weeks, there will likely be a different U.S. President, who has already stated that this is exactly what he plans to do. In response to the statement: "The U.S. could have easily brought down oil prices. But they didn't". Konstantin Borovoy is implying that the next U.S. President will likely be Donald Trump.
Completely came true
#2024 United States presidential election #USA #Elections #Trump
ru → en

Maksim Shevchenko

If Trump wins, there will be big problems for the liberals... If he does win, Trump will make a tour, stopping in Vienna, meeting with the Freedom Party of Austria, Orban, Fico, Alternative for Germany, Sahra Wagenknecht, and Meloni. That’s why I’m personally convinced that Trump will be assassinated; he won’t live to see this happen because he is too dangerous.
Expected
#Trump #USA
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Aleksandr Morozov

As for the possibility of negotiations with Putin for Trump, there is none. There is a 90% likelihood that throughout Trump's term, if he gets one, a summit meeting with Putin will not take place. It's impossible to arrange. Putin will not enter into any negotiations with Trump about ending the war, on the terms that Trump might propose.
Expected
#Trump #Putin #USA #Russia
ru → en

Ramis Yunus

But there won't be another "January 6th." There won't be a repeat of "January 6th". Yes, there will be attempts to destabilize, but not at the level of Washington—rather, it will be at the state level, primarily in Republican-led states, if there is a defeat. If Trump loses, there won’t be events in Washington similar to January 6, 2021.
Cannot be verified
#2024 United States presidential election #USA #Trump
ru → en

Mark Feygin

On November 5th, Trump wins, and then what? He thinks he can talk to Putin and resolve everything. That’s not true; he won’t solve anything. If Trump wins the elections, he won’t be able to stop the war in Ukraine just by calling Putin, as he has promised.
Expected
#War in Ukraine #Trump #Putin #Ukraine #Russia #USA
ru → en

Maksim Shevchenko

There are no interests for either Trump or Biden to end the Ukrainian war... Do you think Trump will stop supplying weapons to Zelensky? I believe he absolutely will not.
Expected
#Trump #War in Ukraine #Ukraine #USA
ru → en