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Predictions and promises monitor

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#Putin

Authors
124
Predictions
345
Verified
92
Came true
65%
Complex
48%
Confident
48%
All Expected Expected soon New results

Igor Eidman

This utterly pointless and merciless war being waged by paranoiac Putin will, unfortunately, not end as long as he remains in power and in good health, regardless of the efforts of the international community.
Expected
#War in Ukraine #Putin #Russia #Ukraine
ru → en

Sergey Smirnov

I don’t believe Vladimir Putin will even come close to acting like Lukashenko. He won’t release a single person. Putin will not free political prisoners as Lukashenko did on June 21, 2025.
Expected
#Putin #Russia
ru → en

Stanislav Belkovsky

It is well known that Putin will not lift the moratorium on the death penalty. Because the death penalty in modern Russia has been outsourced. If someone needs to be executed, it is not the state, the courts, or the investigators who handle it, but specially trained individuals.
Expected
#Russia #Putin
ru → en

Konstantin Eggert

In a nuclear war against NATO, I proceed from the assumption that it will happen. That it will be a war between NATO and Russia. Putin will lose. Russia will cease to exist.
Expected
#Nuclear weapons #Russia #NATO #Putin
ru → en

Oleg Kashin

Years go by, and, hypothetically speaking, whose statue would stand in a Moscow square? I don't believe it would be Putin's.
Expected
#Putin #Russia
ru → en

Alexei Venediktov

... He will remain the top figure until the end. I believe he will hold on to power for as long as physically possible — that's my prediction. In response to the question: "What are the possible ways for Putin to leave power other than death?"
Expected
#Putin #Russia
ru → en

Vladimir Kara-Murza

I rarely agree with Putin on anything, but there's one thing he said yesterday that’s hard to disagree with. He said that the war in Ukraine will continue until its root causes are eliminated. I completely agree with that. The only thing is, the real root cause of this terrible war is the current Chekist regime... As long as Putin remains in power, the war will go on.
Expected
#War in Ukraine #Ukraine #Russia #Putin
ru → en

Taras Berezovets

Let’s see what happens with the sanctions. The 17th EU sanctions package is ready. Will it be adopted? Europe is waiting for action from Trump. But Trump, for his part, is in no rush. I’ll venture a guess: Trump, as someone primarily focused on a meeting with Putin — he has said that he’s willing to postpone all other meetings for the sake of this one — doesn’t want to strain relations with the Kremlin. So I think Trump definitely won’t impose any sanctions now. Before the meeting with Putin.
Expected
#Trump #Putin #Russia #USA #Economy
ru → en

Vyacheslav Maltsev

If, let’s say, Putin loses power, are they planning to try him there in that tribunal? We won’t let them try him there if he loses power. He must be tried in Moscow and must reveal which of these Europeans helped him, who was the main criminal in Europe, who was the traitor. Over there in Europe, he won’t reveal any of this.
Expected
#Putin #Russia #Europe
ru → en

Maksim Shevchenko

Everyone was writing about Putin, filming about Putin, talking about Putin... Everyone immediately started guessing: is this the one he’s picking as his successor? And look, Sobyanin talked to him for over half an hour — could it really be Sobyanin? I can say for sure: definitely not Sobyanin. Anyone but Sobyanin.
Expected
#Russia #Putin
ru → en

Maxim Katz

I think this is unlikely. I don’t see any reasons for this to start happening. I actually think it will be quite the opposite. In response to the question: “In your view, under Putin as president, are any steps toward liberalization, holding certain elections, or at least simulating them possible?”
Expected
#Russia #Putin
ru → en

Sergey Aslanyan

Putin will inevitably open up military contracts for women at some point, because he doesn’t even have enough forces — not to conquer foreign territories, but just to contain Ukraine.
Expected
#Russia #Putin #War in Ukraine
ru → en

Aleksandr Shtefanov

Putin will not agree to any conditions that would allow Ukraine to no longer fear a military invasion. He would rather give up certain settlements than agree to any security guarantees for Ukraine.
Expected
#War in Ukraine #Ukraine #Russia #Putin
ru → en

Yuri Felshtinsky

Over all these years, despite the fact that Trump has managed to insult virtually every well-known political figure at least once — with or without reason — he has never said a single bad word about Putin. He hasn’t, and he won’t.
Expected
#Trump #Putin #USA #Russia
ru → en

Yury Pivovarov

No, I don’t believe it. Putin is very much interested in the war. The longer the war goes on, the fewer questions he’ll face from his own people. In response to the question: "Do you believe Putin would be willing to stop the war, to bring it to an end?"
Expected
#War in Ukraine #Ukraine #Russia #Putin
ru → en

Yury Pivovarov

It’s hard to say what will happen. When will it happen? What will happen to this regime in the coming years if Putin remains in power? He will stay in power as long as he’s alive.
Expected
#Putin #Russia
ru → en

Ruslan Leviev

I think that even if it’s simply Putin’s natural death and, as a result, his personal power disappears, but one of his supporters comes to power, he will still be just a little better than Putin — that’s how it seems to me. Why? Because Russia will somehow need to be rebuilt economically, and for that, it will be necessary to get out from under the sanctions... In response to the question: "After Putin's death, will someone just like him take over, or someone more reasonable?"
Expected
#Russia #Putin
ru → en

Mikhail Krutikhin

Economic sanctions don’t work, because over 25 years Putin has caused so much damage to the Russian economy that any new economic measures would simply be a continuation of Putin’s own policies. That doesn’t stop the war. The only thing that can stop the war is his defeat on the battlefield.
Expected
#War in Ukraine #Ukraine #Russia #Putin
ru → en

Igor Yakovenko

The fate of this war will not be decided at the negotiating table. And there is no chance of ending this war today until the Russian occupation army is destroyed, as long as Putin remains in the Kremlin. As long as Putin is in the Kremlin, the war will not stop.
Expected
#War in Ukraine #Ukraine #Russia #Putin
ru → en

Yevgenia Albats

It seems absolutely clear to me that there will be no repetition of the Stalinist model in post-Putin Russia. That doesn’t mean there will be liberals, I repeat. Most likely, it will be some kind of KGB-style junta with no legitimacy. And in that sense, it may become even more repressive for a certain period of time. After Putin’s departure, power in Russia is more likely to be taken by a "KGB-style junta" rather than a liberal democracy.
Expected
#Russia #Putin
ru → en

Igor Aizenberg

I don't think he would ever say out loud that he sees Russia as an adversary, or that Putin is a war criminal. That’s completely out of the question. Trump
Expected
#Trump #Putin #Russia #USA
ru → en

Victor Shenderovich

Now it's too late for him to drink Borjomi. Stepping down from power means an immediate trial, in the best-case scenario — a trial, if he even lives to see it. About Putin.
Expected
#Putin #Russia
ru → en

Igor Yakovenko

The Baltic states are undoubtedly a risk zone, but direct aggression will most likely occur only after one version or another of the war against Ukraine has played out. Whether Putin will be in a position to attack anyone after this war — or whether he’ll even still be around — is a rhetorical question, because I don’t have an answer to it. If Putin does attack the Baltic states, it will be after the war against Ukraine is over.
Expected
#Putin #Russia #Estonia #Latvia #Lithuania
ru → en

Igor Lipsitz

For now, everything is being done for Putin — in favor of Putin, in the name of Putin, to support Putin. But nothing will come of it, in my opinion. So this will eventually lead to a tightening of sanctions against Russia. On the relationship between Trump and Putin
Expected
#Trump #Putin #Russia
ru → en

Konstantin Borovoy

In reality, Putin won’t last long. When this regime collapses, all those territories will return to Ukraine — there’s no doubt about that. And all those criminals who carried out these seizures — we will hunt them down around the world and bring them to justice. Justice will prevail. Sometimes, it doesn’t come immediately.
Expected
#War in Ukraine #Ukraine #Putin #Russia
ru → en

Vitalij Manskij

I think a new Putin will emerge. There’s virtually no hope that a “Gorbachev” will come after Putin.
Expected
#Putin #Russia
ru → en

Vitalij Manskij

I believe that Putin got lucky with the Russian people. And he will die in power.
Expected
#Putin #Russia
ru → en

Andrey Zubov

I would like Putin to repent... Once he is gone, the war will truly end within two weeks. I am absolutely sure of that. And it will most likely end exactly this way.
Expected
#War in Ukraine #Ukraine #Russia #Putin
ru → en

Mikhail Svetov

Putin is stronger than he was 4 years ago. This is a reality that must be acknowledged. And the scenarios that seemed realistic back then are not realistic at all today. Therefore, I don’t believe in the “snuffbox scenario” at all. The “snuffbox” refers to the fate of Russian Emperor Paul I, who was killed by conspirators using a snuffbox.
Expected
#Putin #Russia
ru → en

Fyodor Krasheninnikov

There will be no scenario where Putin openly and publicly appoints a successor and then gradually hands over power to him.
Expected
#Putin #Russia
ru → en

Yevgeny Kiselyov

I absolutely do not believe that Putin will agree to stop seeking official recognition from Ukraine and its Western allies of the so-called realities on the ground. That Putin would accept a peace agreement in which he continues to de facto control these captured territories, but no one except him officially recognizes these seizures.
Expected
#War in Ukraine #Putin #Ukraine #Russia
ru → en

Abbas Gallyamov

Trump, one of Putin's most important demands regarding Ukraine not joining NATO—strictly speaking, he basically agrees with it. So why antagonize this man? If he gets angry or offended, he might simply declare that the U.S. supports Ukraine’s application... How can you afford to quarrel with such a person? That’s why Putin will go to the negotiations. And I believe he will make a significant number of concessions.
Expected
#Putin #Trump #War in Ukraine #Russia #USA
ru → en

Dmitriy Potapenko

Vladimir Vladimirovich has one very strong trait, a very strong one. It lies in the fact that he has transitioned from being the executive director of a joint-stock company to becoming its majority shareholder. There are both advantages and disadvantages to this. The advantage is that he will see things through to the very end, no matter what. The disadvantage is that any succession operations or transfer of power are completely impossible. Talking about Putin.
Expected
#Putin #Russia
ru → en

Aleksandr Shtefanov

I suspect that as long as Vladimir Putin is alive and well, there’s no reason to expect the collapse of the regime.
Expected
#Putin #Russia
ru → en

Sergey Aleksashenko

No, I don’t think so. I think he’s more likely to face the fate of either Brezhnev or Portugal’s dictator Salazar, who simply fell into an unconscious state, with a virtual reality created for him, while in the meantime, agreements were made with the rest of the world. In response to the question: "Will Putin face Assad’s fate?"
Expected
#Putin #Russia
ru → en

Farida Kurbangalieva

I have a feeling that during his lifetime, there will be no trial for Putin, and he truly won’t face any punishment.
Expected
#Putin #Russia
ru → en

Vladimir Osechkin

After de-Putinization, after his biological death, his grandchildren will grow up, and we will read memoirs from his daughters and grandchildren about what a monster they had to be around and how paralyzed they were, unable to do anything about it.
Expected
#Putin #Russia
ru → en

Abbas Gallyamov

This applies to Putin as well. The problem is that he has gotten involved in too many conflicts and is now exhausting his resources, and this will inevitably end in collapse. There are no other options—it’s just a matter of time, how long he can stretch it out, but it will definitely end in collapse.
Expected
#Putin #Russia
ru → en

Sergey Grabskiy

Absolutely. I fully agree with this statement. In response to: "And if anyone thinks they can bring Putin to the negotiating table in the sense we understand it, that will never happen"
Expected
#War in Ukraine #Ukraine #Russia #Putin
ru → en

Yevgeny Kiselyov

Putin is incapable of engaging in the kind of negotiations we mean when we use the word "negotiations." And if anyone thinks they can bring Putin to the negotiating table in the sense we understand it, that will never happen. Negotiations between Russia and Ukraine.
Expected
#War in Ukraine #Ukraine #Russia #Putin
ru → en

Yevgeny Kiselyov

I believe the most likely scenario for Putin’s removal from power is a coup d’état resulting from a conspiracy organized by his closest allies.
Expected
#Putin #Russia
ru → en

Mikhail Savva

And then there should be a trial, an investigation, and a court ruling. However, in the case of Israeli leaders, this won’t happen, just as it won’t happen with Putin. Yes, precisely because there is a political aspect to it. Speaking about the International Criminal Court.
Expected
#Israel #Russia #Putin
ru → en

Sergey Zhirnov

No, I think strategic nuclear weapons are completely out of the question because everyone understands—Putin included—that even tactical nuclear weapons would still represent a global symbolic strike. After that, no one would trade with him or maintain relations with him.
Expected
#Nuclear weapons #Putin #Russia #War in Ukraine
ru → en

Farida Kurbangalieva

I am absolutely convinced that after this, there will be a Putin 2.0, a post-Putin figure—call him whatever you like. I think preparations for this are already underway. Some candidate or candidates have been chosen to replace the current Putin and create a new Putin. It doesn’t matter at all what their name or surname will be... Whoever takes Putin’s place, along with their team, will hold elections exactly like those that have always been held under Putin. If Putin dies or steps down due to health reasons, his successor will not differ significantly from him in terms of policy.
Expected
#Putin #Russia
ru → en

Oleg Kashin

Putinism, having survived this war, will become stronger, tougher, and more aggressive toward its citizens. After the war in Ukraine ends, the Putin regime will grow stronger.
Expected
#Russia #Putin #War in Ukraine
ru → en

Dmitry Bykov

The Kremlin will hold onto Ramzan Kadyrov until the very end... Analysts are correct when they say that the fall of Kadyrov will be a precursor to Putin's own fall. This will happen sooner.
Expected
#Russia #Kadyrov #Putin
ru → en