The Baltic states are undoubtedly a risk zone, but direct aggression will most likely occur only after one version or another of the war against Ukraine has played out. Whether Putin will be in a position to attack anyone after this war — or whether he’ll even still be around — is a rhetorical question, because I don’t have an answer to it.
If Putin does attack the Baltic states, it will be after the war against Ukraine is over.
#Putin #Russia #Estonia #Latvia #Lithuania
#Putin #Russia #Estonia #Latvia #Lithuania
ru → en
Notes and References
1) Igor Yakovenko [https://youtu.be/WiUr8REJfi8?t=1440]
Prediction params: expected, complex, careful