Predictions and promises monitor

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#Iran

Authors
25
Predictions
41
Verified
7
Came true
57%
Complex
57%
Confident
57%

Mark Feygin

Right now, such a strike would be an unnecessary setback for Iran in the current context. Such a strike might even benefit Trump, who is fiercely opposed to Iran... I would say with a high degree of probability that there won’t be a strong response at this time. They may put on a show for appearance’s sake. The fact is, Iran itself and its proxies are in a state of disarray after all these Israeli strikes. Iran is unlikely to deliver a powerful strike on Israel despite the heightened rhetoric.
Expected
#Iran #Israel
ru → en

Mark Feygin

Iran will soon get this bomb with the help of North Korea and Moscow. I think they will acquire nuclear weapons unless Israel carries out preemptive strikes.
Expected
#Iran #Nuclear weapons
ru → en

Mark Feygin

Biden stated today that he considers Israel's retaliatory strikes against Iran, particularly on nuclear facilities, to be impractical... It seems that one can predict that this strike will occur right after the holiday ends. There are no grounds to think that it will be canceled. However, it will not be a large-scale operation; rather, it will be targeted strikes on selected objectives, military targets, and possibly energy infrastructure facilities. But regarding the nuclear facilities, it is unclear whether Israel will decide to act. In my opinion, no. Israel will soon strike Iran, but not on nuclear facilities.
Expected
#Israel #Iran
ru → en

Mikhail Krutikhin

I think Iran will recover after all. I do not expect a major war there.
Expected
#Iran
ru → en

Mikhail Svetov

Iran is preparing for war with Israel, but has allowed for the possibility of refraining from attacking Israel if the UN condemns the strike on Damascus, which seems unlikely to me. This means the US must condemn the strike on Damascus. This will not happen.
Expected
#Iran #UN
ru → en

Yevgenia Albats

Iran is a more problematic story. Iran could probably strike at Israel. But after that, of course, there will be no Iran.
Expected
#Iran #Israel
ru → en

Taras Berezovets

There are talks that Iran threatens to start a war if Israel begins a military operation in the Gaza Strip. If a war does start, Israel will wipe Iran and its army off the face of the earth in a matter of days. They won't even need to conduct a ground operation for that.
Expected
#Israel #Iran #Israel-Hamas war #Gaza
ru → en

Valery Solovei

I don't think so. I don't see any prerequisites for a war in the Middle East. The answer to the question: "Will there be a major war in the Middle East?"
Expected
#Israel #Iran
ru → en

Maksim Shevchenko

Netanyahu really wanted this. There will be no war. Response to the question: 'Will there be a major war between Israel and Iran?'
Expected
#Israel #Iran
ru → en

Mikhail Krutikhin

A hope has emerged; they will not be able to suppress this movement... I believe that it will become increasingly difficult to suppress the current wave. The wave of protests in Iran
Expected
#Iran
ru → en

Yulia Latynina

So it seems that Iranian missiles will not arrive. Iran has decided to quietly back away from this disgrace. Referring to the possible supply of Iranian missiles to Russia
Expected
#War in Ukraine #Iran #Russia #Ukraine
ru → en

Leonid Volkov

No, they won't attack. Answer to the question: 'Will Israel and Azerbaijan attack Iran?'
Expected
#Israel #Iran
ru → en

Andrey Piontkovsky

Israel will not allow this; it will eliminate this nuclear threat. But that's not even the worst thing that will happen to Iran. Israel will not allow Iran to develop nuclear weapons.
Expected
#Iran #Israel #Nuclear weapons
ru → en

Gleb Pyanykh

No, I don't see such an idea from anyone, why? The answer to the question "Will the U.S. invade Iran?"
Expected
#Iran #USA
ru → en

Yevgenia Albats

It’s clear that years of war lie ahead. And how happy Putin must be that there’s less and less written about how he’s killing people in Ukraine, and all the attention is once again focused on the Middle East.
Expected December 31, 2028
#Middle East #Israel #Iran #Gaza #Lebanon
ru → en

Vitaly Portnikov

Our goal is that by November 2028, when we are discussing the potential winner of the U.S. presidential election, we should have at least a 20 percent chance that this winner will not be dealing with ending the Russia-Ukraine war. It's quite possible that by then, we will still be addressing the issue of ending the Russia-Ukraine war. I believe, however, that the war in the Middle East will end sooner. The war in the Middle East will end before 2028.
Expected November 1, 2028
#Middle East #Israel #Gaza #Iran #Lebanon #Hamas #Hezbollah #Israel-Hamas war
ru → en

Aleksandr Morozov

My current prediction is that Israel will not carry out strikes against Iran... The logic that will prevail is focused on maintaining the possibility of further diplomacy between Iran and the West.
Expected April 16, 2025
#Israel #Iran
ru → en

Gennady Gudkov

The strike that will inevitably happen. Israel will still strike Iran. It will be a very serious and powerful strike. We can see the determination.
Expected March 31, 2025
#Iran #Israel
ru → en

Andrey Piontkovsky

A very positive effect on the whole Ukraine issue will, of course, come from Israel's victory on the Middle Eastern front, which is also likely to happen within these next three months.
Expected February 8, 2025
#Israel #Middle East #Gaza #Lebanon #Iran
ru → en

Mikhail Krutikhin

In my opinion, until the U.S. elections are concluded and the American stance on the Iran-Israel conflict becomes clear, Iran is unlikely to take any action, and it seems that Israel will refrain from doing so as well.
Expected January 31, 2025
#Iran #Israel
ru → en

Andrey Piontkovsky

One Israeli strike on Iran will follow within a few days, I believe, to ensure everything is prepared. It will lead to a tectonic shift in the Middle East.
Expected January 31, 2025
#Israel #Iran #Middle East
ru → en

Grigory Tamar

I believe that in the coming days, some very unexpected and quite impressive events will take place on Iranian territory, which will fundamentally change the entire situation in the region.
Expected December 31, 2024
#Iran
ru → en

Evgeny Savostianov

So, ahead of us is the continuation of this series: Israel’s final showdown with the bad guys surrounding it. The U.S. elections are slowing things down… But after the elections, even before the final results are in—which could take weeks—I think things will move quickly. First, a war on Lebanese soil, and then strikes on Iran targeting the bases of the Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps.
Expected December 31, 2024
#Iran #Israel #Lebanon
ru → en

Sean Bell

Two sorts of ballistic missiles from Iran... We understand that Russian soldiers have been in Iran doing training for the last few weeks and while reports of this are incredibly sensitive, the feed I've had is that it is imminent. So it's a matter of days. Russia will receive missiles from Iran in the near future.
Expected October 31, 2024
#Russia #Iran #War in Ukraine
en

Sergey Aslanyan

And this SAIPA... These cars, about which we have already been warned that they will come to us from June 1st. They are unlikely to arrive. Iranian SAIPA cars will not appear in Russia from June 1, 2023.
Expected June 30, 2023
#Russia #Iran
ru → en