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Predictions and promises monitor

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#Putin

Authors
91
Predictions
215
Verified
55
Came true
56%
Complex
51%
Confident
45%
All Expected Expected soon New results

Michael Sheitelman

I don’t believe in Putin’s ability to negotiate. I believe that Trump will do all the work, that he will go through the entire process. Yes, he will formulate peace proposals. Yes, he will bring some representatives of Ukraine and Russia to the table—not the presidents, not Zelensky or Putin. And then Putin will start his sabotage. Because Putin has no intention of ending the war, and he doesn’t need any peace agreement.
Expected
#War in Ukraine #Putin #Trump #Ukraine #Russia
ru → en

Igor Yakovenko

I think there will most likely be a call or some kind of conversation, or perhaps even a meeting... between Trump and Putin before the inauguration.
Expected
#Trump #Putin #Russia #USA
ru → en

Oleg Kashin

Putinism, having survived this war, will become stronger, tougher, and more aggressive toward its citizens. After the war in Ukraine ends, the Putin regime will grow stronger.
Expected
#Russia #Putin #War in Ukraine
ru → en

Dmitry Bykov

The Kremlin will hold onto Ramzan Kadyrov until the very end... Analysts are correct when they say that the fall of Kadyrov will be a precursor to Putin's own fall. This will happen sooner.
Expected
#Russia #Kadyrov #Putin
ru → en

Fyodor Krasheninnikov

It is evident that, as a result of Putin's rule, there will be a strong nationalist party, with its core obviously consisting of veterans of this war. Following Putin's rule, a significant nationalist party will emerge in Russia, founded on veterans of the war in Ukraine.
Expected
#Russia #Putin
ru → en

Vadim Radionov

I don’t think that anything will change in a global sense immediately after the elections... The U.S. elections are a significant event that shapes future developments. But I don’t believe that once the day has passed and the votes are counted, we’ll wake up in a different world. If things do change, it will happen gradually. In response to the question: "Do you feel that Putin will stop soon after the U.S. elections?" (Implying that Putin will stop the war in Ukraine after the 2024 U.S. presidential election)
Expected
#War in Ukraine #Ukraine #Russia #Putin #2024 United States presidential election
ru → en

Dmitry Oreshkin

Of course not. If it becomes absolutely critical, he may be forced to proceed. But mobilization is the last thing he would do. In response to the question: "He (Putin) won’t go for mobilization?"
Expected
#Russia #War in Ukraine #Putin
ru → en

Vyacheslav Maltsev

If Putin is no longer in power, then the Caucasus will immediately, of course, separate, and that’s completely obvious. Separate from Russia
Expected
#Russia #Putin
ru → en

Oleg Kashin

But to imagine that the Russian Federation, after parting ways with Putin, would continue his course, uphold his values, and remain loyal to him—it’s impossible. In fact, the term "forever" is perhaps the least fitting description for the current Russian statehood.
Expected
#Russia #Putin
ru → en

Aleksandr Morozov

As for the possibility of negotiations with Putin for Trump, there is none. There is a 90% likelihood that throughout Trump's term, if he gets one, a summit meeting with Putin will not take place. It's impossible to arrange. Putin will not enter into any negotiations with Trump about ending the war, on the terms that Trump might propose.
Expected
#Trump #Putin #USA #Russia
ru → en

Kseniya Larina

When they hang Putin, I assure you, Lukashenko will be the first in line to kick the stool from under him. If Putin collapses, Lukashenko will betray him.
Expected
#Lukashenko #Putin #Belarus #Russia
ru → en

Mikhail Kasyanov

He knows that there will be retribution. It won’t be a nuclear response, because Western politicians are responsible. They won’t escalate to a nuclear war. The response won’t be nuclear, but it will be devastating. All of Putin’s military infrastructure in Russia will be destroyed. If Putin uses nuclear weapons.
Expected
#Nuclear weapons #Russia #Putin #USA
ru → en

Andrey Malgin

Putin has put himself in a position where he absolutely must win. However, he will not be able to win this war. He may claim some local achievements, but that will not amount to victory in light of the enormous losses.
Expected
#War in Ukraine #Russia #Putin #Ukraine
ru → en

Farida Rustamova

I think that in this particular dispute, especially after it has taken such a turn, Putin himself should, and most likely will, intervene and mediate. This is a very high-level issue—one that’s difficult to imagine going any higher. When such influential people like Ramzan Kadyrov and Suleyman Kerimov are literally clashing over one major company. Referring to Wildberries.
Expected
#Russia #Putin
ru → en

Alfred Koch

And why should he go anywhere? He suits everyone. The elites that support him are the beneficiaries of the regime. They have no reason to overthrow him. He takes care of that. Who in Russia would have the interest or power to overthrow him? In response to the question: "So, as long as he (Putin) is alive, you think he's not going anywhere?"
Expected
#Putin #Russia
ru → en

Victor Shenderovich

Well, it’s pretty clear that his power is for life. No one inside the country will remove him. It’s frightening to think about what would have to happen for his control over what’s going on in Russia to waver.
Expected
#Putin #Russia
ru → en

Mark Feygin

For peace and the start of negotiations, there must be at least Moscow's agreement to retreat from the remaining parts of Ukraine that they haven’t occupied. Can you imagine that? I can’t. The idea of Putin giving up Kyiv and 80 percent of Ukraine is unimaginable to me. So far, I don’t see any signs that Putin is willing to abandon his strategic goal.
Expected
#War in Ukraine #Russia #Ukraine #Putin
ru → en

Mark Feygin

On November 5th, Trump wins, and then what? He thinks he can talk to Putin and resolve everything. That’s not true; he won’t solve anything. If Trump wins the elections, he won’t be able to stop the war in Ukraine just by calling Putin, as he has promised.
Expected
#War in Ukraine #Trump #Putin #Ukraine #Russia #USA
ru → en

Ilya Yashin

I believe that Putin has already lost this war. It’s clear that he won’t be able to win it. The goals that were initially declared—capturing Kyiv, denationalizing Ukraine (which, in simple terms, meant stripping it of its sovereignty), and demilitarizing Ukraine (which meant taking away its army and ability to resist)—essentially turning Ukraine into a puppet state under Kremlin control—are obviously unattainable.
Expected
#War in Ukraine #Putin #Ukraine #Russia
ru → en

Dmitry Gubin

Putin is rejecting the idea of a new general mobilization... he does not intend to apply significant pressure.
Expected
#Russia #Putin
ru → en

Lev Schlosberg

We don’t choose our government. Of course, we’ve chosen it many times before. It just so happened that the one we ended up with is the one we have now. And this government is here to stay, likely for life. I think everyone understands that.
Expected
#Russia #Putin
ru → en

Ruslan Leviev

It’s clear that the Sarmat missile won’t be used in the current war in any way. It’s more about boosting the prestige of the Russian army, specifically Putin. Putin used to love threatening with these Sarmats, showing cartoons of them hitting Florida with their missiles. And now we’re seeing these technical problems, with the missiles blowing up again and again.
Expected
#War in Ukraine #Russia #Ukraine #Putin
ru → en

Yevgeny Kiselyov

I would really like that, but I think not. Answer to the question: "Will Putin be imprisoned?"
Expected
#Putin #Russia
ru → en

Boris Pincus

As long as Muscovites do not take to the streets in numbers of at least half a million, like they did on Bolotnaya Square, the Putin regime will continue to exist.
Expected
#Russia #Putin
ru → en

Dmitry Gudkov

Putin understands perfectly that the use of nuclear weapons is something that China will never support. This means that then Russia and the Kremlin will find themselves in complete global isolation. Absolute complete isolation.
Expected
#Nuclear weapons #Russia #Putin #China
ru → en

Vladimir Osechkin

The use of nuclear weapons would immediately put him in a category of people with whom neither India nor China would be willing or able to cooperate economically. China is currently keeping Russia afloat economically. Putin and his government are practically crawling to the Chinese on their knees every year.
Expected
#Nuclear weapons #Russia #Putin #War in Ukraine #China #India
ru → en

Fyodor Krasheninnikov

I believe that Putin's death will either immediately end the war or the war will come to an end... I think that Putin's death will lead to a situation where, over a certain period of time, the situation on the fronts will begin to change, and the new leadership of Russia will start looking for ways to end the war as quickly as possible in order to begin the division of power.
Expected
#Russia #War in Ukraine #Putin
ru → en

Fyodor Krasheninnikov

I don’t think the West will engage in a direct war with Russia. They’ll avoid it at all costs… There won’t be any direct NATO-Russia war. That could only happen if Russia, if Putin loses his mind and strikes first.
Expected
#Russia #NATO #Putin
ru → en

Rovshan Askerov

They think that Russia will take some terrible steps. I don't believe that it is capable of that. I generally do not believe in the possibility of a person who is afraid of a virus using nuclear weapons, and who sits a meter and a half away from their interlocutors. Putin will not use nuclear weapons.
Expected
#Nuclear weapons #Russia #Putin
ru → en

Michael Sheitelman

I don't believe that with Putin alive, with Putin who is free, there will be at least a ceasefire established; I'm not even talking about peace. Simply because our interests are directly opposed.
Expected
#War in Ukraine #Putin #Ukraine #Russia
ru → en

Mikhail Kasyanov

Who will control the nuclear button?... They’re more afraid of the nuclear button. Of course, I believe that Putin won’t do it. Putin won’t use nuclear weapons.
Expected
#Nuclear weapons #Putin #Russia
ru → en

Mikhail Kasyanov

If we’re talking about the war and its end in Ukraine’s favor, Putin isn’t going anywhere. It will be the same Putin with the same circle around him. He’ll continue to rule. Even if Russia loses the war in Ukraine, Putin will remain in power.
Expected
#War in Ukraine #Putin #Russia
ru → en

Fyodor Krasheninnikov

Putin can only end up in The Hague if he is overthrown as a result of a coup. And these people who overthrow him might decide for some reason that they need to improve relations with the West and blame everything on Putin. So, they might say, "Let's send him to The Hague, let them judge him there, and we will reconcile with the West". This is a very unlikely scenario.
Expected
#Putin #Russia
ru → en

Fyodor Krasheninnikov

As of now, September 19, 2024, I still hold the opinion that there is a long way to go until the end of this war. And unless some kind of miracle happens, such as the sudden death of Vladimir Putin, the main organizer and inspirer of this war, it will most likely last for another year.
Expected
#War in Ukraine #Ukraine #Russia #Putin
ru → en

Mark Feygin

I predict that, in the end, Putin will step in as an arbitrator and somehow divide this business between the disputing parties. Wildberries.
Expected
#Russia #Putin
ru → en

Evgeny Savostianov

But all of this will collapse... but it will happen with Putin's departure... He will die or leave power, and all of this will end. Referring to the lies and fear propagated by the Russian state, presumably meaning the Putin regime as a whole.
Expected
#Russia #Putin
ru → en

Stanislav Belkovsky

A very unpopular and very unprofitable decision for Putin, he will have to go for a new partial mobilization if the war cannot be stopped in the next month.
Did not come true
#War in Ukraine #Russia #Putin
ru → en

Konstantin Borovoy

I really want this trial to happen. But I am a realist... The likelihood of a trial against Putin is very low. Response to the question: 'When do you think the trial against Putin will take place?'
Expected
#Putin #Russia
ru → en

Sergey Aslanyan

Stopping him with sanctions will never be possible. Stopping him by saying that part of his land no longer belongs to the Russian Federation is impossible. This refers to Putin, indicating that sanctions won't stop the war.
Expected
#War in Ukraine #Putin #Russia #Ukraine
ru → en

Maksim Shevchenko

No. Never. Never in life. The answer to the question: 'Can Putin leave the presidency?'
Expected
#Putin #Russia
ru → en

Gennady Gudkov

In my opinion, this is impossible. The answer to the question: 'Does it not seem to you that he (Putin) is seriously considering the transfer of power by inheritance?'
Expected
#Putin #Russia
ru → en

Oleg Zhdanov

I think that mobilization will have to be announced. Either they will have to make compromises, but this will most likely be without Putin. Answer to the question: 'Your prediction, Oleg Vladimirovich... will Putin have to announce mobilization?'
Expected
#Russia #War in Ukraine #Putin #Ukraine
ru → en

Nickolay Kapitonenko

Negotiations that confirm Ukraine's defeat will suit Putin... The chances that such negotiations will take place, that Ukraine will agree to Russia's demands, not only those that were voiced by him 3 months ago, but also those demands that were in the Istanbul agreements, are slim. Ukraine will not agree to this... Ukraine will not agree to end the war on the terms that would suit Putin.
Expected
#War in Ukraine #Russia #Ukraine #Putin
ru → en

Sergey Smirnov

It is unlikely that he will press the nuclear button. Well, these are our reflections from a logical standpoint. From a logical perspective, not all of Vladimir Putin's actions can be explained normally.
Expected
#Nuclear weapons #Putin #Russia #War in Ukraine
ru → en

Yuri Fedorov

To be honest, I doubt that Putin will announce mobilization. What do you think, will mobilization be announced or will Putin avoid it again? (The second mobilization in Russia)
Expected
#Russia #Putin #War in Ukraine
ru → en

Yevgenia Albats

Putin urgently needs to end this war. I think he needs to wait a few months. And we will see how gradually he will start to roll back... Apparently, he will manage to retain at least Donbas for some time, and the question of Crimea will likely be postponed. But Putin will begin to roll back
Expected
#War in Ukraine #Ukraine #Russia #Putin
ru → en

Evgeny Chichvarkin

Right now, it seems there are chances that they will release Kara-Murza... but they will keep everyone in solitary confinement until death... they will never be released, never.
Did not come true
#Russia #Putin
ru → en

Mikhail Svetov

There is one thing that can be said unequivocally. In the case of a non-total defeat in the war against Ukraine, the regime in Russia will not change. This can be stated with certainty.
Expected
#War in Ukraine #Russia #Ukraine #Putin
ru → en

Sergey Boyko

I assure you, if Putin is killed for waging war, the next person who comes to power will understand that they will be killed if they continue the war. And the war will end.
Expected
#War in Ukraine #Russia #Ukraine #Putin
ru → en

Konstantin Eggert

I am deeply convinced that whoever is the prime minister at the time of Putin's death will be the next president of Russia.
Expected
#Russia #Putin
ru → en