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Predictions and promises monitor

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#Putin

Authors
100
Predictions
244
Verified
57
Came true
56%
Complex
53%
Confident
44%
All Expected Expected soon New results

Leonid Volkov

Here’s my prediction: if Putin is alive, the war will not end in 2025. Putin has no interest in ending it. He believes he can have it all, not just some compromise. He doesn’t see how any compromise could allow him to save face. The war in Ukraine.
Expected
#War in Ukraine #Putin #Ukraine #Russia
ru → en

Sergey Zhirnov

Putin will remain in power for as long as he is physically alive. If he lives until 2036, he will have been in power in the Russian Federation for 36 years by then.
Expected
#Putin #Russia
ru → en

Aleksandr Shtefanov

I suspect that as long as Vladimir Putin is alive and well, there’s no reason to expect the collapse of the regime.
Expected
#Putin #Russia
ru → en

Sergey Aleksashenko

No, I don’t think so. I think he’s more likely to face the fate of either Brezhnev or Portugal’s dictator Salazar, who simply fell into an unconscious state, with a virtual reality created for him, while in the meantime, agreements were made with the rest of the world. In response to the question: "Will Putin face Assad’s fate?"
Expected
#Putin #Russia
ru → en

Farida Kurbangalieva

I have a feeling that during his lifetime, there will be no trial for Putin, and he truly won’t face any punishment.
Expected
#Putin #Russia
ru → en

Vladimir Osechkin

After de-Putinization, after his biological death, his grandchildren will grow up, and we will read memoirs from his daughters and grandchildren about what a monster they had to be around and how paralyzed they were, unable to do anything about it.
Expected
#Putin #Russia
ru → en

Abbas Gallyamov

This applies to Putin as well. The problem is that he has gotten involved in too many conflicts and is now exhausting his resources, and this will inevitably end in collapse. There are no other options—it’s just a matter of time, how long he can stretch it out, but it will definitely end in collapse.
Expected
#Putin #Russia
ru → en

Sergey Grabskiy

Absolutely. I fully agree with this statement. In response to: "And if anyone thinks they can bring Putin to the negotiating table in the sense we understand it, that will never happen"
Expected
#War in Ukraine #Ukraine #Russia #Putin
ru → en

Yevgeny Kiselyov

Putin is incapable of engaging in the kind of negotiations we mean when we use the word "negotiations." And if anyone thinks they can bring Putin to the negotiating table in the sense we understand it, that will never happen. Negotiations between Russia and Ukraine.
Expected
#War in Ukraine #Ukraine #Russia #Putin
ru → en

Yevgeny Kiselyov

I believe the most likely scenario for Putin’s removal from power is a coup d’état resulting from a conspiracy organized by his closest allies.
Expected
#Putin #Russia
ru → en

Mikhail Savva

And then there should be a trial, an investigation, and a court ruling. However, in the case of Israeli leaders, this won’t happen, just as it won’t happen with Putin. Yes, precisely because there is a political aspect to it. Speaking about the International Criminal Court.
Expected
#Israel #Russia #Putin
ru → en

Michael Sheitelman

Here’s my prediction: one of these three figures—Orbán, Fico, or Elon Musk—will definitely make a statement in support of Putin within the next 24 hours or so. Not directly in support of Putin, but something along the lines of how we urgently need to negotiate with him now because look how formidable he is.
Expected
#Putin
ru → en

Yulia Latynina

We will witness a grand scenario of "Cuban Missile Crisis 2.0" will unfold. The world on the brink of nuclear war, but at the last moment, Trump, not yet elected president, calls Putin, and together they save the world from catastrophe. Everyone breathes a sigh of relief.
Expected
#Nuclear weapons #Trump #Putin #USA #Russia #War in Ukraine
ru → en

Sergey Zhirnov

No, I think strategic nuclear weapons are completely out of the question because everyone understands—Putin included—that even tactical nuclear weapons would still represent a global symbolic strike. After that, no one would trade with him or maintain relations with him.
Expected
#Nuclear weapons #Putin #Russia #War in Ukraine
ru → en

Stanislav Kucher

My prediction: if next year there is no global war between Russia and the West, a new pandemic, or other cataclysmic events of universal scale, then Putin will leave the post of president of the Russian state in 2025, or at the latest in 2026. More precisely, he will be forced to leave. And by those who are now considered his most loyal Putinists, his eternally devoted team members. They will be helped in this partly by the Ukrainian Armed Forces, partly by the U.S. administration.
Expected
#Putin #Russia
ru → en

Farida Kurbangalieva

I am absolutely convinced that after this, there will be a Putin 2.0, a post-Putin figure—call him whatever you like. I think preparations for this are already underway. Some candidate or candidates have been chosen to replace the current Putin and create a new Putin. It doesn’t matter at all what their name or surname will be... Whoever takes Putin’s place, along with their team, will hold elections exactly like those that have always been held under Putin. If Putin dies or steps down due to health reasons, his successor will not differ significantly from him in terms of policy.
Expected
#Putin #Russia
ru → en

Farida Kurbangalieva

Let’s suppose that during this six-year term, Putin either dies or becomes so unwell that he can no longer govern the state. Honestly, I doubt that will happen.
Expected
#Putin #Russia
ru → en

Michael Sheitelman

I don’t believe in Putin’s ability to negotiate. I believe that Trump will do all the work, that he will go through the entire process. Yes, he will formulate peace proposals. Yes, he will bring some representatives of Ukraine and Russia to the table—not the presidents, not Zelensky or Putin. And then Putin will start his sabotage. Because Putin has no intention of ending the war, and he doesn’t need any peace agreement.
Expected
#War in Ukraine #Putin #Trump #Ukraine #Russia
ru → en

Igor Yakovenko

I think there will most likely be a call or some kind of conversation, or perhaps even a meeting... between Trump and Putin before the inauguration.
Expected
#Trump #Putin #Russia #USA
ru → en

Oleg Kashin

Putinism, having survived this war, will become stronger, tougher, and more aggressive toward its citizens. After the war in Ukraine ends, the Putin regime will grow stronger.
Expected
#Russia #Putin #War in Ukraine
ru → en

Dmitry Bykov

The Kremlin will hold onto Ramzan Kadyrov until the very end... Analysts are correct when they say that the fall of Kadyrov will be a precursor to Putin's own fall. This will happen sooner.
Expected
#Russia #Kadyrov #Putin
ru → en

Fyodor Krasheninnikov

It is evident that, as a result of Putin's rule, there will be a strong nationalist party, with its core obviously consisting of veterans of this war. Following Putin's rule, a significant nationalist party will emerge in Russia, founded on veterans of the war in Ukraine.
Expected
#Russia #Putin
ru → en

Vadim Radionov

I don’t think that anything will change in a global sense immediately after the elections... The U.S. elections are a significant event that shapes future developments. But I don’t believe that once the day has passed and the votes are counted, we’ll wake up in a different world. If things do change, it will happen gradually. In response to the question: "Do you feel that Putin will stop soon after the U.S. elections?" (Implying that Putin will stop the war in Ukraine after the 2024 U.S. presidential election)
Expected
#War in Ukraine #Ukraine #Russia #Putin #2024 United States presidential election
ru → en

Dmitry Oreshkin

Of course not. If it becomes absolutely critical, he may be forced to proceed. But mobilization is the last thing he would do. In response to the question: "He (Putin) won’t go for mobilization?"
Expected
#Russia #War in Ukraine #Putin
ru → en

Vyacheslav Maltsev

If Putin is no longer in power, then the Caucasus will immediately, of course, separate, and that’s completely obvious. Separate from Russia
Expected
#Russia #Putin
ru → en

Oleg Kashin

But to imagine that the Russian Federation, after parting ways with Putin, would continue his course, uphold his values, and remain loyal to him—it’s impossible. In fact, the term "forever" is perhaps the least fitting description for the current Russian statehood.
Expected
#Russia #Putin
ru → en

Aleksandr Morozov

As for the possibility of negotiations with Putin for Trump, there is none. There is a 90% likelihood that throughout Trump's term, if he gets one, a summit meeting with Putin will not take place. It's impossible to arrange. Putin will not enter into any negotiations with Trump about ending the war, on the terms that Trump might propose.
Expected
#Trump #Putin #USA #Russia
ru → en

Kseniya Larina

When they hang Putin, I assure you, Lukashenko will be the first in line to kick the stool from under him. If Putin collapses, Lukashenko will betray him.
Expected
#Lukashenko #Putin #Belarus #Russia
ru → en

Mikhail Kasyanov

He knows that there will be retribution. It won’t be a nuclear response, because Western politicians are responsible. They won’t escalate to a nuclear war. The response won’t be nuclear, but it will be devastating. All of Putin’s military infrastructure in Russia will be destroyed. If Putin uses nuclear weapons.
Expected
#Nuclear weapons #Russia #Putin #USA
ru → en

Andrey Malgin

Putin has put himself in a position where he absolutely must win. However, he will not be able to win this war. He may claim some local achievements, but that will not amount to victory in light of the enormous losses.
Expected
#War in Ukraine #Russia #Putin #Ukraine
ru → en

Farida Rustamova

I think that in this particular dispute, especially after it has taken such a turn, Putin himself should, and most likely will, intervene and mediate. This is a very high-level issue—one that’s difficult to imagine going any higher. When such influential people like Ramzan Kadyrov and Suleyman Kerimov are literally clashing over one major company. Referring to Wildberries.
Expected
#Russia #Putin
ru → en

Alfred Koch

And why should he go anywhere? He suits everyone. The elites that support him are the beneficiaries of the regime. They have no reason to overthrow him. He takes care of that. Who in Russia would have the interest or power to overthrow him? In response to the question: "So, as long as he (Putin) is alive, you think he's not going anywhere?"
Expected
#Putin #Russia
ru → en

Victor Shenderovich

Well, it’s pretty clear that his power is for life. No one inside the country will remove him. It’s frightening to think about what would have to happen for his control over what’s going on in Russia to waver.
Expected
#Putin #Russia
ru → en

Mark Feygin

For peace and the start of negotiations, there must be at least Moscow's agreement to retreat from the remaining parts of Ukraine that they haven’t occupied. Can you imagine that? I can’t. The idea of Putin giving up Kyiv and 80 percent of Ukraine is unimaginable to me. So far, I don’t see any signs that Putin is willing to abandon his strategic goal.
Expected
#War in Ukraine #Russia #Ukraine #Putin
ru → en

Mark Feygin

On November 5th, Trump wins, and then what? He thinks he can talk to Putin and resolve everything. That’s not true; he won’t solve anything. If Trump wins the elections, he won’t be able to stop the war in Ukraine just by calling Putin, as he has promised.
Expected
#War in Ukraine #Trump #Putin #Ukraine #Russia #USA
ru → en

Ilya Yashin

I believe that Putin has already lost this war. It’s clear that he won’t be able to win it. The goals that were initially declared—capturing Kyiv, denationalizing Ukraine (which, in simple terms, meant stripping it of its sovereignty), and demilitarizing Ukraine (which meant taking away its army and ability to resist)—essentially turning Ukraine into a puppet state under Kremlin control—are obviously unattainable.
Expected
#War in Ukraine #Putin #Ukraine #Russia
ru → en

Dmitry Gubin

Putin is rejecting the idea of a new general mobilization... he does not intend to apply significant pressure.
Expected
#Russia #Putin
ru → en

Lev Schlosberg

We don’t choose our government. Of course, we’ve chosen it many times before. It just so happened that the one we ended up with is the one we have now. And this government is here to stay, likely for life. I think everyone understands that.
Expected
#Russia #Putin
ru → en

Ruslan Leviev

It’s clear that the Sarmat missile won’t be used in the current war in any way. It’s more about boosting the prestige of the Russian army, specifically Putin. Putin used to love threatening with these Sarmats, showing cartoons of them hitting Florida with their missiles. And now we’re seeing these technical problems, with the missiles blowing up again and again.
Expected
#War in Ukraine #Russia #Ukraine #Putin
ru → en

Yevgeny Kiselyov

I would really like that, but I think not. Answer to the question: "Will Putin be imprisoned?"
Expected
#Putin #Russia
ru → en

Boris Pincus

As long as Muscovites do not take to the streets in numbers of at least half a million, like they did on Bolotnaya Square, the Putin regime will continue to exist.
Expected
#Russia #Putin
ru → en

Dmitry Gudkov

Putin understands perfectly that the use of nuclear weapons is something that China will never support. This means that then Russia and the Kremlin will find themselves in complete global isolation. Absolute complete isolation.
Expected
#Nuclear weapons #Russia #Putin #China
ru → en

Vladimir Osechkin

The use of nuclear weapons would immediately put him in a category of people with whom neither India nor China would be willing or able to cooperate economically. China is currently keeping Russia afloat economically. Putin and his government are practically crawling to the Chinese on their knees every year.
Expected
#Nuclear weapons #Russia #Putin #War in Ukraine #China #India
ru → en

Fyodor Krasheninnikov

I believe that Putin's death will either immediately end the war or the war will come to an end... I think that Putin's death will lead to a situation where, over a certain period of time, the situation on the fronts will begin to change, and the new leadership of Russia will start looking for ways to end the war as quickly as possible in order to begin the division of power.
Expected
#Russia #War in Ukraine #Putin
ru → en

Fyodor Krasheninnikov

I don’t think the West will engage in a direct war with Russia. They’ll avoid it at all costs… There won’t be any direct NATO-Russia war. That could only happen if Russia, if Putin loses his mind and strikes first.
Expected
#Russia #NATO #Putin
ru → en