screenshot

Next week, they have no other option but to sharply raise the rate... Predictions are predictions. I think at least 3 basis points, which means the current rate of 19% will go up to at least 22%. The Central Bank of Russia will raise the key rate to a minimum of 22% on October 25, 2024.
#Economy of Russia #Russia #Economy

We are expecting the next meeting, at which we will most likely see an increase in the rate. At the next meeting, the Central Bank will raise the key rate again.
#Economy of Russia #Russia #Economy

I think the key interest rate will be raised to 20% in September-October. If they raise it only to 19% in September, it will be laughed at. I believe that by October 25, the rate will already be 20%
#Economy of Russia #Russia #Economy

97-100 rubles to the dollar. Likely in the fall 2024.
#Economy of Russia #Russia #Economy #Ruble #Dollar

The Central Bank will not change the rate today.
#Economy of Russia #Russia #Economy

The Central Bank will raise the rate. But not today, in my opinion.
#Economy of Russia #Russia #Economy

Why raise the key interest rate to 18 percent, which has already been raised, and literally in a couple of days raise it to 19 or maybe 20 percent.
#Economy of Russia #Russia #Economy

We are waiting for the meeting on September 13. There is no scenario where the Central Bank will start lowering the rate. In the best case, the maintenance of 18% is being discussed. I will take a risk and make a prediction: I think they will raise it after all. The Central Bank of Russia is likely to raise the key interest rate at the upcoming meeting on September 13.
#Economy of Russia #Russia #Economy

There will be significantly less oil on the market, and its price will be much higher. Moreover, it will exceed the projected astronomical price of $300–400. Compare this with the dynamics of gas prices.
#Oil #Economy #Economy of Russia #Russia #Words of politicians and officials

In 2009, during the purely economic crisis, the unemployment rate peaked at 9.5%. Now it is at 5%. Will it reach that level again? Most likely, yes. Most likely, yes.
#Russia #Economy of Russia #Economy

Due to the closure of enterprises and the cessation of cooperation with international companies, there will be millions of new unemployed. In Russia.
#Russia #Economy of Russia #Economy

But in any case, I don't think the Central Bank will let it go beyond 85-90 rubles. The exchange rate of the dollar in rubles in 2023.
#Russia #Economy of Russia #Economy #Ruble #Dollar

They will trade and sell for 60 and for 30... everyone who buys. Russia will still sell oil, despite the price cap that has been introduced.
#Russia #Oil #Economy #Economy of Russia

Many are joking about my prediction that the ruble won't be allowed to fall below 100. I admit that I am not an economist. But, having thought it over, I repeat my prediction about the ruble now – in the near future, the heads of the Central Bank and the Ministry of Finance will get a reprimand, and the exchange rate will drop below 100. Among the factors weakening the ruble, there are both temporary and psychological factors. Therefore, my prediction is that the ruble will be less than 100. Although many currently believe that since the ruble has broken the 100 mark, it will stay there. But I still think, even though I am not an economist, that it will go slightly below 100. We'll see.
#Russia #Economy of Russia #Economy #Ruble #Dollar

Already now, at the beginning of the year, oil is below $50. And it is unlikely to become more expensive.
#Oil #Economy #Economy of Russia #Russia

This will not happen... and as long as the war in Ukraine continues, these sanctions will not be lifted. About lifting of sanctions on Russia in exchange for the unblocking of the ports of Odesa for grain exports.
#Russia #Economy

September, October, November... Most likely, they will keep it in the range of 93-97. The exchange rate of the dollar in Russia.
#Russia #Economy #Economy of Russia #Dollar #Ruble

It is impossible to wage war when your economy is on its last legs and facing severe difficulties, while the people are starting to eat their last bread with salt. Well, maybe not yet, but by the middle of the year, everyone will feel it. As they say, remember this tweet, remember this broadcast.
#War in Ukraine #Russia #Economy

And most likely, after this, the grain deal will definitely come to an end.
#Russia #Ukraine #War in Ukraine #Economy

First of all, there will be no default. In the USA in 2023
#USA #Economy

Yes, there is Latvia's position that it wants to propose to the European Union to set the price cap at 30. Well, they won't set it. Price cap on Russian oil at 30.
#Economy #Russia #European Union #Oil

Putin is no longer in a position to disrupt this grain deal... the grain deal will take place without Putin, I hope for that.
#Putin #Russia #War in Ukraine #Ukraine #Economy

I believe that the deal will be extended. Grain deal
#War in Ukraine #Economy #Russia #Ukraine

There is a 99% chance that Russia will not extend the Ukrainian 'grain deal' after March. The situation around Odesa and in Turkey does not favor it
#Russia #Economy #Ukraine #War in Ukraine

I believe that the euro will trade in February in the range of 72-75 rubles, closer to its lower boundary.
#Russia #Economy #Economy of Russia #Ruble #Euro

Since we saw at the end of last year that the U.S. economy did not fall into crisis, while the Russian economy slightly slowed down in its adaptive and positive trends, the ruble has depreciated a bit against the dollar and is now, at the end of January, around 67-68 rubles. As I do not see any prerequisites for significant changes in either the Russian economy or the U.S. in February, it seems that this is the rate to expect in the coming month. Of course, fluctuations around this figure are possible, and they will be significant, as there is some uncertainty in the external economic situation. But the most important thing is that the Central Bank of Russia is not intervening in the exchange rate formation mechanism and is not smoothing out excessively sharp peaks in fluctuations. As a result, the ruble will fluctuate around the 67-68 rubles per dollar mark, with noticeable variations of about one ruble in either direction. But on average, this is the rate we can expect throughout February.
#Russia #Economy #Economy of Russia #Ruble #Dollar

They will accept it anyway. Price cap on Russian oil.
#Russia #Oil #Economy

As for oil, I still think they will implement it. Price cap on oil for Russia.
#Oil #Russia #Economy

Forecast: 50 basis points. This refers to the expectation that on February 9, 2018, the Central Bank of Russia will lower the key interest rate by 50 basis points.
#Economy of Russia #Russia #Economy