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#War in Ukraine

Authors
235
Predictions
1088
Verified
449
Came true
65%
Complex
60%
Confident
51%

Win/Win

Zelensky will soon arrive at the White House for the signing of an agreement on rare earth metals and the transfer of Ukraine's infrastructure to a U.S. fund. He will not be the one signing it, but he will be present. And the funniest part? He will be wearing a business suit. The days of dirty, unwashed sweatshirts and cargo pants are over for the White House.
Expected May 31, 2025
#Zelensky #Ukraine #USA #War in Ukraine
ru → en

Ruslan Leviev

I do not expect a large-scale attack toward Sumy. In response to the question: "Will Russia be able to advance toward Sumy if it pushes Ukrainian forces out of the Kursk region?"
Expected May 31, 2025
#War in Ukraine #Ukraine #Russia
ru → en

Nikolai Polozov

Despite Donald Trump’s efforts, it is unlikely to lead to any immediate ceasefire. At the very least, the fighting will still continue during the first few months of 2025. Speaking about the war in Ukraine.
Expected May 31, 2025
#War in Ukraine #Ukraine #Russia
ru → en

Arti Green

There will be no just peace. It will be a compromise between justice and injustice, because the Western coalition is not inclined to push this conflict to the point of nuclear escalation. Therefore, they do not plan a military defeat of the Russian Federation. Some agreement will be reached, and I am confident it will happen, as the President of the United States has the leverage to achieve it. Knowing Donald Trump, I can say that he will likely reach this agreement fairly quickly. Regarding an agreement between Russia and Ukraine.
Expected May 31, 2025
#War in Ukraine #Ukraine #Russia #USA
ru → en

Arti Green

I find it hard to imagine a breakthrough to the right bank of the Oskil River with the establishment of a bridgehead. Referring to Russian troops and the Oskil River in Ukraine.
Expected May 31, 2025
#War in Ukraine #Ukraine #Russia
ru → en

Mark Feygin

For peace and the start of negotiations, there must be at least Moscow's agreement to retreat from the remaining parts of Ukraine that they haven’t occupied. Can you imagine that? I can’t. The idea of Putin giving up Kyiv and 80 percent of Ukraine is unimaginable to me. So far, I don’t see any signs that Putin is willing to abandon his strategic goal.
Expected May 31, 2025
#War in Ukraine #Russia #Ukraine #Putin
ru → en

Evgeny Savostianov

I don't see any opportunities today to decisively turn the situation in someone's favor... Most likely, everything will be pushed to next year. I don't see the resources for any side to achieve victory today... Most likely, everything will drag on until next May or the second half of April. The war in Ukraine will end, or there will be a significant turning point in it, by May 2025.
Expected May 31, 2025
#War in Ukraine #Ukraine #Russia
ru → en

Yuri Shvets

If he wins, well, I said before... this is Trump's personal war against Zelensky... against Ukraine. It could manifest itself the very next day after November 5th. He will just push the lever and cut everything off... Trump will do what he promised; he will cut off all aid and hand Ukraine over to be devoured. If Trump wins the election, he will stop all aid to Ukraine and effectively hand it over to Russia.
Expected May 31, 2025
#War in Ukraine #Ukraine #USA #Trump #Russia
ru → en

Dmitry Bykov

In Ukraine today, the situation with the repair of the energy sector is better than it was two years ago... Ukraine cannot be destroyed... It is completely impossible to bring it to its knees. Ukraine will survive this winter. Both Zelensky and Zelensky's rating will survive it. Kharkiv residents will survive it too. This means that Ukraine will not surrender this winter and will not accept Russia's conditions due to the fact that Russia is destroying its energy infrastructure.
Expected May 31, 2025
#Ukraine #War in Ukraine
ru → en

Valery Solovei

Resources for conducting intensive military operations will be exhausted by the spring of next year, in any case. In any case. This means that it will no longer be able to conduct military operations at the intensity with which the Russian Federation is currently operating
Expected May 31, 2025
#War in Ukraine #Russia
ru → en

Andrey Piontkovsky

One accurate prediction can be made: Trump's ceasefire proposal will not work in 24 hours, 100 days, or 3 months. Because Putin has already clearly stated what he wants. He wants conditions that severely limit Ukraine’s sovereignty, restrict its ability to make independent decisions in foreign and defense policy, and give him the opportunity at any moment, within a few months, to repeat his aggression under the pretext of Russia’s security guarantees.
Expected May 9, 2025
#War in Ukraine #Trump #Putin #Ukraine #Russia
ru → en

Sergey Auslender

Trump has appointed a special representative for Ukraine and given him 100 days. This means there will be no meeting for at least 100 days, as during this time, the representative will be searching for a solution. If Trump ever meets with Putin, it certainly won’t be for negotiations or to discuss any details. No, by then, a finalized solution will already be on the table—just waiting to be signed. There will be no meeting between Trump and Putin in the next 100 days.
Expected May 9, 2025
#Trump #Putin #USA #Russia #War in Ukraine #Ukraine
ru → en

Sergey Grabskiy

Absolutely not. Absolutely not, because with the current pace of advance that we’re seeing, I virtually rule out such a possibility in the near future—at least for the next six months. In response to the question: "Could there be a threat to any regional centers in Ukraine?" (Will the Russian army be able to take any regional centers in Ukraine?)
Expected May 4, 2025
#War in Ukraine #Ukraine #Russia
ru → en

Yuri Fedorov

If the pace of the offensive does not change—and, generally speaking, I personally see no reason to believe it will, referring to the Russian offensive—then, in the foreseeable future, meaning within a few months, it is clear that Putin will not achieve one of his most politically significant goals. In the coming months, the Russian army will not push the Ukrainian Armed Forces out of the Kursk region.
Expected May 2, 2025
#War in Ukraine #Russia #Ukraine
ru → en

Igor Yakovenko

Trump will fail in his attempt to establish peace... The big question is whom Trump will blame for the breakdown of negotiations—Putin or Zelensky. And I strongly suspect that it will be more convenient and cost-effective for Trump to place the blame for the failed talks on Zelensky.
Expected April 30, 2025
#War in Ukraine #Trump #Zelensky #Ukraine #Russia #USA
ru → en

Michael Sheitelman

There will be a peace plan from the Americans, from Trump’s team. They will offer it to Putin. And then there are two scenarios: Putin more or less agrees, or he more or less refuses. I’m betting that he will more or less refuse, meaning I’m betting that there won’t be a truce in this format. But that’s just my guess.
Expected April 30, 2025
#War in Ukraine #Ukraine #Russia #USA
ru → en

Nickolay Kapitonenko

It seems to me that this is more of a rhetorical trick, and to actually end the Russia-Ukraine war, not just in 24 hours but even within a few months, will be practically impossible. Trump might try, but the question is, at what cost, and not everything here will depend on him.
Expected April 30, 2025
#War in Ukraine #Ukraine #Russia #Trump #USA
ru → en

Fyodor Krasheninnikov

If we summarize the situation on the front lines, there will only be bad news in the near future... Unfortunately, everything is unfolding according to a negative scenario. In the near future, news from the front lines of the war in Ukraine will be unfavorable for Ukraine's supporters.
Expected April 30, 2025
#War in Ukraine #Ukraine #Russia
ru → en

Vadim Radionov

I don’t think that anything will change in a global sense immediately after the elections... The U.S. elections are a significant event that shapes future developments. But I don’t believe that once the day has passed and the votes are counted, we’ll wake up in a different world. If things do change, it will happen gradually. In response to the question: "Do you feel that Putin will stop soon after the U.S. elections?" (Implying that Putin will stop the war in Ukraine after the 2024 U.S. presidential election)
Expected April 30, 2025
#War in Ukraine #Ukraine #Russia #Putin #2024 United States presidential election
ru → en

Vladimir Milov

More than two years have passed, and there’s still no mobilization, nor is it planned—there’s no sign of it on the horizon for the coming months. In Russia
Expected April 30, 2025
#Russia #War in Ukraine
ru → en

Alexander Nevzorov

I don't think it's close. It could have all ended if Ukraine had been broken. After all, the goal of any war is to break the enemy... talking about the possibility of ending the war now or easing mutual hatred—I don't see that happening. In response to the question: "What do you think about the end of the war? Is it near?"
Expected April 30, 2025
#War in Ukraine #Ukraine #Russia
ru → en

Mark Feygin

On November 5th, Trump wins, and then what? He thinks he can talk to Putin and resolve everything. That’s not true; he won’t solve anything. If Trump wins the elections, he won’t be able to stop the war in Ukraine just by calling Putin, as he has promised.
Expected April 30, 2025
#War in Ukraine #Trump #Putin #Ukraine #Russia #USA
ru → en

Ivan Yakovina

I am confident that at the current pace of development of this technology, within six months at most, the entire front line will generally be closed to Russian reconnaissance drones. They will not be able to fly unpunished in the air, especially over Ukrainian positions. Perhaps they will have the opportunity to fly somewhere over their territory under the protection of their air defense, somewhere far from Ukrainian intercepting drones.
Expected April 30, 2025
#War in Ukraine #Ukraine #Russia
ru → en

Dmitry Medvedev

A somewhat weary Trump, spouting clichés like “I’ll offer a deal” and “I have great relationships with...,” will also be forced to follow all the system’s rules. He won’t be able to stop the war. Not in a day, not in three days, not in three months. And if he genuinely tries, he might end up like JFK. Trump will not be able to stop the war in Ukraine.
Expected April 21, 2025
#War in Ukraine #Trump #Ukraine #Russia #USA
ru → en

Grigory Tamar

No, there won’t be. There will be no ceasefire. I say this with deep sorrow. In response to the question: “Do you think there will be a full ceasefire by Easter?”
Expected April 20, 2025
#War in Ukraine #Ukraine #Russia
ru → en

Ian Matveev

There are currently rumors about a ceasefire being introduced on Easter, April 20, which is in two months. I have almost no doubt that the Ukrainian Armed Forces will hold the Kursk front until then. This means that Putin will have to trade the Kursk region for something else.
Expected April 20, 2025
#War in Ukraine #Ukraine #Russia
ru → en

Ivan Yakovina

We need to prepare for the possibility that in winter, Russia will likely launch a large-scale infantry offensive with significant forces.
Expected April 15, 2025
#War in Ukraine #Russia #Ukraine
ru → en

Mikhail Savva

Such a deal format proposed by Trump, to me, is a clear indication that the United States will have a commercial interest in Ukraine maintaining control over its eastern regions. When will the specific outlines of the plan appear? It's hard to say. But I assume it will be before April. By April, this plan will likely be in place and probably made public.
Expected April 10, 2025
#War in Ukraine #Ukraine #Russia #Trump #USA
ru → en

Oleksandr Kharebin‬

As of today, and for the next few weeks or months, I don’t see any possibility of North Korean soldiers being present in Ukraine... Any clash between the Ukrainian army and North Koreans will take place on Russian territory, not on Ukrainian territory. This is an important point, and I want to emphasize it.
Expected April 3, 2025
#War in Ukraine #Ukraine #North Korea #Russia
ru → en

Nikita Tomilin

Forecast for February-March 2025: the creation of a "victory image" in the media, alongside a crackdown on "ultra-patriots" who want Odesa to be part of Russia. They will be told that Russia doesn’t need Odesa at all.
Expected March 31, 2025
#Russia #War in Ukraine
ru → en

Andrey Illarionov

On September 26, Biden announced that $8 billion in military aid would be provided to Ukraine. As of today, that has not happened. The total amount of military aid provided by the United States to Ukraine since that promise is zero. Zero dollars, zero cents. I would venture to predict that, by the end of Biden's term, as he promised, this $8 billion in military aid will not be provided to Ukraine.
Expected January 20, 2025
#War in Ukraine #Ukraine #USA #Biden
ru → en