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#War in Ukraine

Authors
266
Predictions
1364
Verified
593
Came true
66%
Complex
62%
Confident
51%
All Expected Expected soon New results

Ruslan Leviev

I am 100% sure that Russia will deliberately provoke European countries with these seemingly accidental incursions. It won't be every week, but once a month or once every two months, hypothetically. I doubt one will be shot down eventually; as long as it flies on a tangent—just cutting the corner—they won't shoot it down. If they fly deep inside, then that's a different matter. In response to the question: "How likely is it that Russia will also troll the Europeans with its planes? And how likely is it that sooner or later one of these planes will be shot down?"
Expected
#War in Ukraine #European Union #Russia
ru → en

Ian Matveev

I'll make a prediction: at some point, the percentage of Shahed interceptions by drones will be 40-50%, no less.
Expected
#War in Ukraine #Ukraine
ru → en

Michael Nacke

I'll stick with my opinion for now that the Chief of the General Staff will be replaced by the end of the year. Referring to Valery Gerasimov, the Chief of the General Staff of Russia.
Expected
#Russia #War in Ukraine
ru → en

Ivan Yakovina

There will definitely be a next time from the Russian side. Putin needs for the drones not to just fly over Poland, but to hit something there, to blow something up on the territory of Poland or another NATO country.
Expected
#Putin #Poland #NATO #War in Ukraine #Russia
ru → en

Michael Sheitelman

For now, we're being saved by Trump's greed, in that he's willing to sell these weapons to the Europeans, but then he'll sell weapons to the Russians. I think it'll all happen just like that.
Expected
#War in Ukraine #USA #Russia #Trump #Ukraine
ru → en

Ian Matveev

How much longer will the war go on? What do you think, Yan? Right now, I would say no less than six months, no less than six months, and then we'll see. The war in Ukraine.
Expected
#War in Ukraine #Ukraine #Russia
ru → en

Igor Eidman

If Putin doesn't agree to this, the Europeans won't send any troops anywhere. That's because they aren't ready to go to war with Putin. If Putin doesn't give his consent, the Europeans won't send troops to Ukraine.
Expected
#War in Ukraine #European Union #Ukraine #Russia #Putin
ru → en

Fyodor Krasheninnikov

No matter what's happening in Europe or what statements are being made there, no one will fight. They just won't join this war; it's obvious. European countries will not enter the war in Ukraine.
Expected
#War in Ukraine #European Union
ru → en

Evgeniy Stupin

I'm still inclined to believe that he will resolve this issue somehow by the end of the year. Either he'll arrange some kind of temporary truce, or he'll go all out. Something will happen by the end of the year. You promised it in a day, but a year is already just around the corner. Trump will make some important decisions regarding the war in Ukraine by the end of the year.
Expected
#War in Ukraine #Trump #Ukraine #Russia #USA
ru → en

Aleksandr Morozov

Right now it's difficult to imagine that this meeting would take place... A trilateral meeting, from my point of view, is absolutely unrealistic... it won't happen now. In response to the question: "Will there be a three-way meeting after all with Trump, Putin, and Zelensky?"
Expected
#War in Ukraine #Trump #Putin #Zelensky #Russia #Ukraine #USA
ru → en

Ruslan Leviev

While I don't have the gift of prophecy, I can tell you that if the war isn't frozen, they will capture less territory next spring than they will next summer. This is a recurring trend. They always capture more territory in the summer than they do in the spring.
Expected
#War in Ukraine #Ukraine #Russia
ru → en

Ruslan Leviev

It was quite obvious that Kamyshevakha would fall in the near future... Sooner or later, it will definitely end up in the Russian rear. That's pretty obvious.
Expected
#War in Ukraine #Ukraine #Russia
ru → en

Win/Win

A fake story has been spread about a supposedly planned meeting of Trump's associates in Europe, allegedly with both Trump and Zelensky participating. This is all being done to hijack the agenda being dictated by the summit in China. There won't be any meeting in Europe. At least not with Trump.
Almost came true
#War in Ukraine #Ukraine #Trump #Zelensky #European Union
ru → en

Evgeny Chichvarkin

One way or another, they will stop the war. He wants the Nobel Peace Prize. I think that, unfortunately, he will stop this war through a very unfair division of Ukraine, but people will stop dying, and he will be seen as a peacemaker. I think that's what will happen. It will be a very unfair, humiliating peace for Ukraine. He = Trump
Expected
#War in Ukraine #Ukraine #Russia #Trump #USA
ru → en

Ruslan Leviev

Of course, I don't expect any major changes from the Trump administration in the next 2-3 weeks. We will again see comments from Putin, Trump... I expect that Trump will simply back out; this is my personal opinion, assessment, and forecast.
Completely came true
#War in Ukraine #Trump #Ukraine #Russia #USA
ru → en

Mark Feygin

My very cautious forecast is that they will not occupy the Donetsk region up to its administrative borders this year—they won't. They = Russia.
Expected
#War in Ukraine #Ukraine #Russia
ru → en

Vyacheslav Shiryaev

Let's not forget about the Novorossiysk port, which I think will become a very important target for Ukraine in September. Let's lock in this prediction of mine. In September, the Novorossiysk port will be in the news precisely in this context.
Expected
#War in Ukraine #Ukraine #Russia #Oil
ru → en

Mikhail Svetov

If peace is achieved, in the format that we can currently imagine, then Crimea will certainly be recognized as Russian. I simply don't see how the Kremlin could concede this on the part of the Americans.
Expected
#War in Ukraine #Ukraine #Russia #USA
ru → en

Maxim Katz

In the foreseeable future, it will not happen, from my point of view. I don't know, I could be wrong. In response to the question: "Maxim, when will the meeting between Putin and Zelensky take place, if it happens?"
Expected
#War in Ukraine #Zelensky #Putin #Ukraine #Russia
ru → en

Ilia Novikov

As long as Putin is alive, this war cannot end. It doesn't matter what Trump says, it doesn't matter what Zelensky signs. Putin needs the whole of Ukraine. And if he gets all of it, of course he won't stop there.
Expected
#War in Ukraine #Ukraine #Russia #Putin
ru → en

Sergey Parkhomenko

I think that this meeting will take place someday. At some point, we will see Putin and Zelensky in the same room. In response to the question: "How expedient and realistic do you see a meeting between Vladimir Zelensky and Putin in the near future?"
Expected
#War in Ukraine #Putin #Zelensky #Russia #Ukraine
ru → en

Fyodor Krasheninnikov

The problem is that there are no sanctions that, once implemented, will have an effect on the front (in a matter of days)... In the coming weeks and months, the Russian army will not lose its combat effectiveness or its ability to advance. This is obvious.
Expected
#War in Ukraine #Russia #Ukraine
ru → en

Ruslan Leviev

I think the situation will unfold as follows. Today, I expect that even though the deadline has passed, Trump will most likely say something like, "Well, we did agree with the Russian side to arrange a meeting, and in doing so, we're signaling the end of the war, so why impose sanctions now?" That is what I expect will most likely happen.
Completely came true
#Trump #Russia #War in Ukraine
ru → en

Arti Green

My prediction is that by the end of the year, the kill zone will become insurmountable, and it won't matter how much infantry we have there. There will simply be enough to hold the front. The infantry won't be holding it; unmanned systems will.
Expected
#War in Ukraine #Ukraine #Russia
ru → en

Vladimir Milov

Putin's entire demeanor shows he's not going to change his approach. Will Trump actually follow through on his threats or not? I remain in the camp of strong skeptics, believing it's most likely no. This will be limited to public relations noise. Referring to Trump's so-called ultimatum to Putin.
Expected
#Trump #Putin #USA #Russia #War in Ukraine
ru → en

Ruslan Leviev

And regarding the fact that many of the Z-supporters have started to rejoice "Finally, we're hitting the bridges, now we need to hit the bridges over the Dnieper River, for example, near the city of Zaporizhzhia". I believe this won't happen because there's very little point to it.
Expected
#War in Ukraine #Ukraine #Russia
ru → en

Fyodor Krasheninnikov

What else can he do to stop the advance of Russian troops in Ukraine? I'm afraid he doesn't have any special ideas about that. I think that after the ultimatum expires, we'll find out that the "red line" has moved somewhere further away again. That's my prediction. Maybe I'm wrong.
Completely came true
#War in Ukraine #Trump #Russia #Ukraine
ru → en

Konstantin Borovoy

So, we're waiting. You can place bets, everyone loves to argue. We can debate whether Putin will decide on the same massive bombings he conducted before August 10th. Those interested, write to me, and we'll debate.
Expected
#War in Ukraine #Ukraine #Russia #Putin
ru → en

Konstantin Borovoy

There's a very high probability that Putin will stop the war. It seems it won't be in 10 or 12 days, or by August 10th; larger timeframes are needed for that. But this war will be stopped relatively quickly. Due to Trump's ultimatum.
Expected
#War in Ukraine #Russia #Ukraine #Putin
ru → en

Win/Win

The most important thing about Trump's ultimatum isn't the ultimatum itself, but his resentment. Putin, he says, didn't even call me after my last ultimatum. Overall, the sanctions aren't that great; to implement them, you'd have to fight not only Russia but the entire world except the West. Most likely, Trump won't introduce new duties, but will simply exit the game. He'll say, "I threatened and threatened, but they're not scared. I don't want to be friends with the Russians." He'll become friends with Zelenskyy instead.
Expected
#USA #Trump #War in Ukraine
ru → en

Mark Feygin

I don't think what's happening in Istanbul can be considered a step towards peace in any way. As for a high-level meeting, it won't happen in the format proposed by Ukraine. Russia won't agree to Ukraine's proposal for a meeting between Zelenskyy and Putin.
Expected
#War in Ukraine #Ukraine #Russia #Zelensky #Putin
ru → en

Alfred Koch

In 50 days... Siversk will not be taken, Serebryanka will not be taken, Kupyansk will not be taken, Borova will not be taken, they will not reach Zaporizhzhia. Russian forces.
Completely came true
#War in Ukraine #Russia #Ukraine
ru → en

Ruslan Leviev

Many researchers suggest that Russia has a plan to move further towards the village of Velykyi Burluk... But by the end of summer, no, that's too far, it's beyond Russia's capabilities right now.
Completely came true
#War in Ukraine #Russia #Ukraine
ru → en

Vyacheslav Shiryaev

In September, when these 50 days are up, it will be clear that no Pokrovsks have been taken, Konstantinovka and Druzhkivka haven't been taken, Sloviansk and Kramatorsk haven't been taken, and there's no buffer zone in the Sumy region.
Completely came true
#War in Ukraine #Ukraine #Russia
ru → en

Igor Yakovenko

To be fair, regarding Russia's much-vaunted 1,000 strikes per day—if they are achieved, and they most likely will be... Russia will be able to launch 1,000 drones at Ukraine simultaneously.
Expected
#War in Ukraine #Ukraine #Russia
ru → en

Ekaterina Kotrikadze

I think Trump will announce sanctions tomorrow, but they won't be the kind Lindsey Graham is proposing. I believe Graham's suggested sanctions – 500% tariffs against Russia's trade partners – are too extreme; I don't think that will happen. I don't believe Trump will go that far. I think the sanctions will be different, much less painful, but still a significant blow to Russia.
Partially came true
#USA #Russia #Trump #War in Ukraine #Economy of Russia
ru → en

Konstantin Borovoy

And Zelensky also cares about security. He understands that stopping the war means immediate elections, immediate removal of this group from power, and the start of investigations into this group's activities after the elections.
Expected
#Ukraine #Zelensky #Elections #War in Ukraine
ru → en

Konstantin Borovoy

First, Putin says, recognize these territories and give me guarantees, and then I'll be ready to stop the hot phase of the war. He understands that if the war stops now along this line, it will lead to endless negotiations that will last decades and certainly won't result in the recognition of occupied territory.
Expected
#War in Ukraine #Ukraine #Russia #Putin
ru → en

Konstantin Borovoy

If the war doesn't stop, it will lead to the removal of democratic power in Ukraine and catastrophically increase the chances of Putin's supporters coming to power.
Expected
#Ukraine #War in Ukraine
ru → en

Sergei Markov

Trump promised to announce a surprise for Russia on Monday, July 14th. Everyone's guessing what it could be. My opinion is that Trump will issue a soft ultimatum: If Russia doesn't make concessions, a harsh sanctions law will be passed: a 500% trade tariff for countries that trade with Russia and don't pay "tribute" to Ukraine. And a partial lifting of sanctions if Russia makes concessions. But of course, no one can accurately predict Trump. Not even he himself.
Expected
#USA #Russia #Trump #War in Ukraine
ru → en

Ian Matveev

I don't think they'll be thrown into active combat on Ukrainian territory. Instead, they'll likely be stationed somewhere along the borders to relieve the Russian army, so they can cover the Belgorod, Bryansk, and partially Kursk regions from potential invasions by Ukrainian forces. Answer to the comment: "Heard the news about 30,000 North Koreans being sent to the front?"
Expected
#War in Ukraine #North Korea #Russia #Ukraine
ru → en