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Predictions and promises monitor

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#Israel

Authors
64
Predictions
120
Verified
39
Came true
67%
Complex
72%
Confident
54%
All Expected Expected soon New results

Dmitriy Potapenko

If there is a strike on the oil and gas sector, then according to my estimates, the increase in hydrocarbon prices — for example, oil — will be around 17–22 percent. A strike by Israel on Iran’s oil and gas infrastructure.
Cannot be verified September 2, 2025
#Oil #Economy #Iran #Israel
ru → en

Igor Lipsitz

I don't believe this will cause any long-term or persistently high change in oil prices — they’ll spike for a while and then start to dip again. Due to the ongoing war between Israel and Iran, oil prices have temporarily risen and will drop again later.
Completely came true August 29, 2025
#Oil #Economy #Iran #Israel
ru → en

Mark Feygin

Look, the important forecast regarding Iran is that this won’t last long. Why? Because a ground operation is impossible. It’s not feasible because the countries are located far from each other. Who would land troops where, and how would they fight? Iran against Israel and Israel against Iran—it’s a remote war: a missile war, a drone war. There might be a special operation, but this is not a ground war. The second reason is that Israel doesn’t need Iran—it’s not planning to capture it or annex it to its territory. The current war between Israel and Iran will not last long.
Completely came true August 28, 2025
#Iran #Israel
ru → en

Mark Feygin

I'll make a prediction. I believe that Iran will not succeed in inflicting very serious damage on Israel — that’s my forecast. Yes, some missiles, Shaheds, and ballistic rockets may reach Israeli territory, possibly even some military sites, but they will not cause significant damage. In the current phase of the war between Israel and Iran.
Completely came true August 13, 2025
#Israel #Iran
ru → en

Maksim Shevchenko

If Iran does not deliver a devastating strike against Israel now—one that kills many Israelis—then in two days the European Union and everyone else will gather their resolve and impose sanctions against Israel.
Did not come true June 30, 2025
#Israel #Iran #European Union
ru → en

Vyacheslav Shiryaev

This is simply a reason for the bulls to push prices up. They managed to do that. This is a temporary phenomenon. I, of course, expect a response from Iran — Shahed drones will fly, they already seem to be flying, missiles will be launched from Iran toward Israel, but I do not expect any catastrophes with oil exports from the Persian Gulf. Therefore, for 2-3 days everything will fluctuate at high levels, and then from Monday everything will drop unless there is some kind of nuclear escalation. Oil prices, which surged due to Israel’s strike on Iran, will start to decline from Monday.
Almost came true June 25, 2025
#Oil #Economy #Iran #Israel
ru → en

Yigal Levin

Indicators suggest that the Americans will likely get involved... It's important to understand that the Americans—especially their air forces—have tools and capabilities dozens of times greater than those of Israel. This, by the way, is a good point. If this is what Israel did to Iran, then what are the capabilities of the U.S.? I think they will get involved. In the end, Trump will probably try to claim the credit for himself, like “Look, I’m the victor”
Completely came true June 22, 2025
#Iran #USA #Trump #Israel
ru → en

Sergey Auslender

I have a feeling that the Americans will end up entering the war after all. Trump issued a statement saying that he strongly warns the Iranian regime against attacking our forces and facilities in the Middle East...
Completely came true June 22, 2025
#USA #Iran #Israel
ru → en

Sergey Auslender

And the reason for this is that it’s yet another message to Tehran—look, the bombs have arrived, we are ready, so think faster about the deal before it's too late. And this whole media wave about Israel striking in the coming months, but no later than May-June, is a threat meant to push the Iranians to quickly accept Trump’s generous offer. They won’t agree, so these bombs will come in handy.
Completely came true June 22, 2025
#Israel #Iran
ru → en

Maksim Shevchenko

I still don't believe that Israel and Netanyahu will appear at the May 9th parade. I think it's some kind of hoax, planted in order to discredit the Russian authorities.
Completely came true May 10, 2025
#Russia #Israel
ru → en

Aleksandr Morozov

My current prediction is that Israel will not carry out strikes against Iran... The logic that will prevail is focused on maintaining the possibility of further diplomacy between Iran and the West.
Completely came true April 16, 2025
#Israel #Iran
ru → en

Win/Win

As we warned, Netanyahu has disbanded the war cabinet. He himself will resign in the fall. There will be no immunity guarantees.
Did not come true March 31, 2025
#Israel
ru → en

Iliya Kusa

I expect a ceasefire in Gaza. I think it could happen at the beginning of the year, maybe right after Trump’s inauguration, or perhaps even by the end of this year... It seems the sides will return to a freeze.
Almost came true February 15, 2025
#Gaza #Israel #Israel-Hamas war
ru → en

Maksim Shevchenko

Within two months, we will witness attempts to remove Netanyahu from power.
Did not come true February 12, 2025
#Israel
ru → en

Andrey Piontkovsky

A very positive effect on the whole Ukraine issue will, of course, come from Israel's victory on the Middle Eastern front, which is also likely to happen within these next three months.
Partially came true February 8, 2025
#Israel #Middle East #Gaza #Lebanon #Iran
ru → en

Gennady Gudkov

The strike that will inevitably happen. Israel will still strike Iran. It will be a very serious and powerful strike. We can see the determination.
Partially came true January 31, 2025
#Iran #Israel
ru → en

Mikhail Krutikhin

In my opinion, until the U.S. elections are concluded and the American stance on the Iran-Israel conflict becomes clear, Iran is unlikely to take any action, and it seems that Israel will refrain from doing so as well.
Completely came true January 21, 2025
#Iran #Israel
ru → en

Andrey Piontkovsky

One Israeli strike on Iran will follow within a few days, I believe, to ensure everything is prepared. It will lead to a tectonic shift in the Middle East.
Did not come true January 21, 2025
#Israel #Iran #Middle East
ru → en

Evgeny Savostianov

So, ahead of us is the continuation of this series: Israel’s final showdown with the bad guys surrounding it. The U.S. elections are slowing things down… But after the elections, even before the final results are in—which could take weeks—I think things will move quickly. First, a war on Lebanese soil, and then strikes on Iran targeting the bases of the Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps.
Did not come true January 21, 2025
#Iran #Israel #Lebanon
ru → en

Maksim Shevchenko

If Iran and Hezbollah don’t respond with a full-scale war... They’ll wait for Trump’s defeat, which would mean Netanyahu’s defeat as well. In exchange, a nuclear deal will be signed, with the Americans leading the initiative to recognize a Palestinian state. If Trump loses the election, the U.S. will make a nuclear deal and recognize the Palestinian state.
Cannot be verified January 21, 2025
#USA #Israel #Palestine
ru → en

Sergey Auslender

But in any case, as I believe, until January 20, until Trump’s inauguration, Israel will not take any decisive action in this direction. Regarding Iran.
Completely came true January 20, 2025
#Israel #Iran #Trump #USA
ru → en

Stanislav Belkovsky

I believe that by Trump’s inauguration, and as a gift for the inauguration, the war in Lebanon—Israel’s war with Hezbollah—will be concluded.
Completely came true January 20, 2025
#Israel #Lebanon #Hezbollah #Trump
ru → en

David Sharp

The wars in the Middle East will not end for a long time... and 2024 will be a year of war. Answer to the question: 'Will we see the end of the war in the Middle East in 2024?'
Completely came true December 31, 2024
#Israel-Hamas war #Israel #Gaza #Hamas
ru → en

Maksim Shevchenko

Do we have to wait a whole year? Netanyahu won't last that long, believe me, that's for sure. In response to Nikita Vasilenko's remark: "Well, Netanyahu might wait for Trump's return."
Did not come true November 5, 2024
#Israel #Israel-Hamas war
ru → en

Alexander Toporin

Today's attack on the Kursk region is, for Zelensky, nothing more than a PR move... Yermak and the entire team at Bankova understand that, any day now, a conflict will begin between Israel, Lebanon, and Iran. And then, for some time, no one will remember about Ukraine. > any day now, a conflict will begin between Israel, Lebanon, and Iran
Did not come true October 31, 2024
#Israel #Lebanon #Iran #Ukraine #War in Ukraine #Russia
ru → en

Maksim Shevchenko

I think so, definitely. Netanyahu needs a major war. He sees that he’s not provoking anything, whether it’s the assassination of Hezbollah leadership, the killing of Ismail Haniyeh, or the genocide of the Lebanese and Palestinian populations—he's not provoking Iran either. In response to the question: "Do you think Israel will strike Iran before the elections?" (Before the 2024 U.S. presidential elections)
Completely came true October 26, 2024
#Israel #Iran
ru → en

Alfred Koch

No, it won't be as prolonged. In response to the question: "2023 is another war that started with Hamas's attack on Israel... will it be as prolonged as ours?" (like the war in Ukraine)
Did not come true October 7, 2024
#Israel-Hamas war #Israel #Hamas
ru → en

Yuri Fedorov

Now these explosions of pagers and other devices. I think it's not a coincidence that they happened... the fact that they occurred indicates that the war is about to start in earnest. The war between Israel and Hezbollah.
Completely came true September 27, 2024
#Israel #Hezbollah #Lebanon
ru → en

Michael Nacke

Just the entire North of Israel is being shelled by Hezbollah from Lebanon... And many said that this operation is inevitable. And apparently, it really will happen. Israel's operation in Lebanon.
Completely came true September 27, 2024
#Israel #Lebanon
ru → en

Yulia Latynina

I have a feeling that the leadership of Hamas will simply not exist; the people who made those decisions will not be alive within at most few months.
Completely came true July 31, 2024
#Israel-Hamas war #Hamas #Israel
ru → en

Alfred Koch

According to the finance minister's assessment, the war will last until the end of February... if there is no escalation and if Hezbollah does not come from the North... Israel will manage with Hamas and Gaza in the remaining two months - January and February. That's how I, and not just I, view this war.
Did not come true July 31, 2024
#Israel-Hamas war #Israel #Hamas #Gaza
ru → en

Oleksiy Arestovych

It will take at least 2-3 months. Response to the question: "Alexey, in your opinion, how quickly will the Israeli army deal with Hamas?"
Did not come true July 31, 2024
#Israel-Hamas war #Israel #Hamas
ru → en

Andrey Piontkovsky

A week for the attempt to free the hostages. Two weeks for the complete elimination of Hamas. And the fourth week – well, to address the issue with the sponsors... a month. Regarding the timeline of Israel's war against Hamas.
Did not come true June 30, 2024
#Israel-Hamas war #Israel #Hamas
ru → en

Arkady Babchenko

I assure you, soon there will be "mangal" on the Merkava tanks. "Mangal" refers to a type of protective grid or cage installed on tanks to defend against drone attacks and anti-tank missiles.
Completely came true December 14, 2023
#Israel #Israel-Hamas war
ru → en

Mark Feygin

I believe the conflict in Israel will come to an end. I mean in southern Israel, in the Gaza Strip. I think they will deal with Hamas... it will be over in January-February, there will be no difference. But when they say that they will be fighting for years – that won't happen.
Did not come true October 7, 2023
#Israel-Hamas war #Israel #Hamas #Gaza
ru → en

Arti Green

I believe that Israel will indeed carry out this ground operation. It will be very slow. That's my prediction – it will be very slow. This is due to the fact that the most valuable asset in the Israeli army is its soldiers, and they will take care to protect them.
Completely came true August 17, 2023
#Israel-Hamas war #Israel #Hamas #Gaza
ru → en

Mark Feygin

My prediction is that they will reach an agreement on JAFI , and JAFI will most likely remain in Russia. JAFI = The Jewish Agency for Israel
Completely came true August 9, 2023
#Russia #Israel
ru → en

Yulia Latynina

There will soon be another election in Israel. In this election, it seems that Bibi Netanyahu will win.
Completely came true November 2, 2022
#Israel
ru → en