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#Elections

Authors
86
Predictions
156
Verified
116
Came true
69%
Complex
31%
Confident
38%

Leonid Volkov

I see the future of FBK as a political force participating in competitive elections and playing an important role in the Russian parliament… of course, absolutely without any issues. Answer to the question: "Will you pass the parliamentary threshold?"
Expected
#Russia #Elections
ru → en

Michael Sheitelman

Here’s my prediction: in the presidential election after the war, both Zelensky and Zaluzhny won’t be on the ballot simultaneously. Either neither Zelensky nor Zaluzhny will be there, or Zelensky will be, but not Zaluzhny, or Zaluzhny will, but not Zelensky. That’s my prediction. In Ukraine.
Expected
#Ukraine #Elections
ru → en

Igor Eidman

Le Pen is far-right. The far-right in France has never been and will never be the majority in society. She might even win the first round, but she will lose to anyone in the second round.
Expected
#France #Elections
ru → en

Dmitry Bykov

I am absolutely convinced that when peace comes and elections are held according to the constitution, he will not run in those elections. I think that would be the wisest decision on his part. Speaking about Zelensky.
Expected
#Ukraine #Zelensky #Elections
ru → en

Vyacheslav Maltsev

Something tells me that the war will drag on for a long time, and there will never be any elections again.
Expected
#Russia #Elections
ru → en

Michael Sheitelman

He's about 50, Zaluzhny. I have a suspicion that he will be one of the main participants in the presidential elections that will take place right after the war. Zaluzhny will be a candidate in Ukraine's future presidential elections.
Expected
#Ukraine #Elections
ru → en

Igor Slabykh

For example, Kansas or Arkansas, where there was a referendum on abortion, meaning that in the red state, the majority of people decided that yes, we want the right to abortion. And I think that in all the states where this issue will be considered in the upcoming elections, there is a very high likelihood that the supporters of the right to abortion will win. Well, we will see.
Expected
#USA #Elections
ru → en

Abbas Gallyamov

At some point, the first free elections will take place in the country. They were held in Germany after Hitler, in Spain after Franco, in Portugal after Salazar, in the Soviet Union in 1989, and in Poland... and we will have them too... it will be after Putin's death, as a result of his overthrow, an elite conspiracy, reforms, or a revolution... sooner or later, these elections will take place.
Expected
#Russia #Elections
ru → en

Sergey Sanovich

If Trump tries, they won’t let him. That would require violating two constitutional amendments: not just the 22nd, which limits the number of terms, but also, it seems, the 12th, which concerns who can be vice president. A vice president can only be someone who is eligible to be president — and he isn’t. And I believe even the Supreme Court would rule that he can’t. But I don’t think he’ll even try — mainly because of his age.
Expected December 31, 2029
#USA #2028 United States presidential election #Elections #Trump
ru → en

Stanislav Belkovsky

Something tells me that Trump is planning to run for another term, despite the relevant amendment to the U.S. Constitution.
Expected December 31, 2029
#Trump #USA #Elections
ru → en

Fyodor Krasheninnikov

There are no elections in the near future in Russia in which the opposition could participate as a united bloc, and there will be none in the coming years.
Expected December 31, 2028
#Russia #Elections
ru → en

Dmitry Oreshkin

He’ll be left sitting in his own territory, waiting to lose the next elections, which he will certainly lose. In Slovakia, people are quite free-thinking, and there are competitive political forces. Speaking about Robert Fico.
Expected December 31, 2027
#Slovakia #Elections
ru → en

Mark Feygin

There will be midterm elections there in November 2026. My cautious prediction is that the Republican Party will lose them.
Expected November 4, 2026
#USA #Elections
ru → en

Stanislav Kucher

The midterm elections for Congress will take place in a year and a half, and most likely, the Democrats will make a comeback. If this does not happen, it will be a historic precedent.
Expected November 3, 2026
#USA #Elections
ru → en

Fyodor Krasheninnikov

The elections in Ukraine are now obviously going to happen, but something tells me that Zelensky’s main problem is not Poroshenko at all. Rather, it is his increasingly apparent unsuitability for this position—both for Trump and for Putin. All parties involved in the deal would prefer to see someone as president of Ukraine who has made no prior commitments, has never called anyone a murderer, and has not made hundreds of other statements that are now awkward for the high-level negotiating sides. So, I would bet that Zelensky will either lose the election or suddenly decide not to run, so as not to cast a shadow over the brave new world.
Expected December 31, 2025
#Ukraine #Zelensky #Elections
ru → en

Dmitry Gordon

I believe that the U.S. and the West will not recognize the new president. They will not recognize the elections. In Georgia.
Expected December 31, 2025
#Georgia #USA #Elections
ru → en

Stanislav Belkovsky

In 2025, the presidential election will take place. It will happen one way or another because it’s no longer possible to delay it further. In Ukraine.
Expected December 31, 2025
#Ukraine #Elections
ru → en

Michael Sheitelman

It draws the attention of European officials, which is something Georgia really needs right now. America is likely to lean toward not recognizing the election results. In Georgia.
Expected December 31, 2025
#Georgia #USA #Elections
ru → en

Pavel Sebastyanovich

There will be no elections in 2025. Because those in power are very comfortable right now: they receive salaries, go to work, get fake pensions, and nothing threatens them. Speaking about Ukraine.
Expected December 31, 2025
#Ukraine #Elections
ru → en

Alexander Mercouris

I think that it may be difficult to get her to win the second round. Though I suspect every wire will be pulled and every trick will be played to get her across the line. But I think it is difficult after this fiasco to imagine that she will remain president of Moldova for very much long. Referring to Maia Sandu and the 2024 presidential elections in Moldova.
Expected December 31, 2025
#Moldova #Elections
en

Elon Musk

He will be gone in the upcoming election. Response to the request: "We need your help in Canada getting rid of Trudeau"
Expected October 31, 2025
#Canada #Elections
en

Leonid Volkov

I made a prediction on the best political show that I believe there will be interesting developments and opportunities in September 2025. There are few available positions, many contenders, and regional elites have fewer tools left to determine who holds more power. Answer to the question: "What do you think about the municipal elections on Unified Voting Day 2025? The prospects of Smart Voting."
Expected September 30, 2025
#Russia #Elections
ru → en

Sergei Markov

Germany. Could the Alternative for Germany come to power? No. The authorities in Germany are preparing to ban the AfD. A dossier is currently being compiled. Reasons for the ban are being fabricated. They will start with banning some regional branches of the AfD. Then, under the threat of a complete ban, they will demand changes to the AfD's policies and put the political leadership of the AfD under control. That is the plan.
Expected September 28, 2025
#Germany #Elections
ru → en

Stanislav Belkovsky

This is related to the anticipation of the presidential elections in Ukraine. It is already clear that the elections will take place within the next six months at most.
Expected August 31, 2025
#Ukraine #Elections
ru → en

Andrii Baumeister

There is a high probability that elections will take place by mid-year. In response to the question: "Will 2025 be an election year in Ukraine?"
Expected August 31, 2025
#Ukraine #Elections
ru → en

Valery Solovei

And who will become the new president of Russia? The new president is expected to emerge in the spring of next year. Early elections will be held.
Expected May 31, 2025
#Russia #Elections
ru → en