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Predictions and promises monitor

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#Elections

Authors
86
Predictions
156
Verified
116
Came true
69%
Complex
31%
Confident
38%
All Expected Expected soon New results

Roman Tsymbaliuk

It’s highly likely that their government will once again be a coalition. In Germany.
Completely came true February 28, 2025
#Germany #Elections
ru → en

Michael Sheitelman

In any case, Alternative for Germany, according to my forecast, will gain a maximum of 22%. That’s how it seems to me, though I could be wrong.
Completely came true February 24, 2025
#Germany #Elections
ru → en

Sergey Tsiplyaev

The CDU/CSU will most likely win the elections, but their result will be around 30%. The German political landscape is highly fragmented, with no party coming close to the 50% mark. A coalition will have to be formed. It is clear that the CDU/CSU is unlikely to take a step toward forming a coalition with Alternative for Germany.
Completely came true February 24, 2025
#Germany #Elections
ru → en

Dmitry Bykov

I may be wrong, but it seems to me that Alternative for Germany, which everyone fears and which supposedly has around 20%, will face a complete disaster in this election. And I know why. Because about three days before the election, a dossier will be published revealing its dependence on the Kremlin.
Did not come true February 24, 2025
#Germany #Elections
ru → en

Tatyana Felgenhauer

I don't think that AfD will achieve victory in this term. Perhaps in the next term, they will perform more confidently. By AfD, she means "Alternative für Deutschland" (AfD), as it is called in German.
Completely came true February 24, 2025
#Germany #Elections
ru → en

Igor Yakovenko

Elections in Germany are coming up, and most likely Merz will win, as he is undoubtedly much more decisive.
Completely came true February 24, 2025
#Germany #Elections
ru → en

Dmitry Gordon

Merz is likely to win, we understand that. What will it change? A decisive leader, Merz, will replace the indecisive bureaucrat Scholz.
Completely came true February 24, 2025
#Germany #Elections
ru → en

Vitaly Dymarsky

Well, I think it will be the CDU. In response to the question: "What are your predictions, who do you think will win?" (In the upcoming elections in Germany)
Completely came true February 24, 2025
#Germany #Elections
ru → en

Igor Eidman

The new chancellor will definitely not be Scholz. It is most likely to be Friedrich Merz, his competitor from another mainstream party—the Christian Democratic Union. The chancellor of Germany in 2025.
Completely came true February 24, 2025
#Germany #Elections
ru → en

Yevgeny Kiselyov

Scholz will still lose the parliamentary elections. The next chancellor will be Friedrich Merz. The winner of the elections will be the CDU—the Christian Democratic Union.
Completely came true February 24, 2025
#Germany #Elections
ru → en

Darya Mitina

My intuition tells me that there is a very high likelihood that the same Scholz, widely known as the liverwurst, will remain in the position of Chancellor of Germany.
Did not come true February 24, 2025
#Germany #Elections
ru → en

Ramis Yunus

And today in Germany, Chancellor Scholz is no longer really the chancellor. In 2-3 months, he’ll be gone. A lame duck.
Completely came true February 24, 2025
#Germany #Elections
ru → en

Alexander Friedman

In the case of the German elections, everything is clear and straightforward at the moment. If there are no unforeseen events, the Christian Democrats will win, and they’ll win with a significant lead.
Completely came true February 24, 2025
#Germany #Elections
ru → en

Sergei Markov

Germany. The governing coalition has collapsed, and an acute government crisis has begun. If there are elections, the CDU leader Merz will become chancellor.
Completely came true February 24, 2025
#Germany #Elections
ru → en

Nikita Vasilenko

But everything points to the coalition collapsing, and elections will be held in Germany as early as March. The current coalition in Germany will "fall apart," and early elections will take place in March.
Completely came true February 24, 2025
#Germany #Elections
ru → en

David Sakvarelidze

I believe that the time of Georgian Dream, and specifically Bidzina Ivanishvili, is running out. His rule and control over the state of Georgia have just 2 days and 2 nights left... How long it will take him to realize that power should be transferred peacefully is another question.
Did not come true January 31, 2025
#Georgia #Elections
ru → en

Mark Feygin

The ruling party in Georgia is "Georgian Dream," a puppet pro-Moscow party... My prediction is that Moscow is certainly involved and is participating in the election process in Georgia, which will take place on the 26th. They will rig the elections, that’s for sure. And most likely, Moscow will also take part in forcefully defending the rigged election results, ensuring that Georgian Dream remains in power.
Completely came true January 31, 2025
#Georgia #Elections #Russia
ru → en

Michael Sheitelman

With a very high probability—though I can't say 100%—we are likely to see an attempted revolution in Georgia. Following the elections on October 26, 2024.
Partially came true January 31, 2025
#Georgia #Elections
ru → en

Leonid Volkov

Lukashenko will show that he secured 90% of the vote. In the Belarusian presidential election in January 2025.
Almost came true January 27, 2025
#Lukashenko #Belarus #Elections
ru → en

Dmitry Gordon

I am convinced that the opposition will not accept Russia’s blatant interference in the elections or the shift from a European to a Russian-oriented direction. And, of course, things will not end peacefully in Georgia. The ruling party won’t be able to control the situation, and Russia won’t be able to help. I think things will get heated. I’m not certain, but I believe it will get intense. Context: Parliamentary elections have just taken place in Georgia, with the current ruling party, Georgian Dream, declared the winner.
Partially came true January 27, 2025
#Georgia #Elections
ru → en

Konstantin Sonin

It seems to me that expecting something similar to 2021, when there were indeed protests in Washington that ended with the storming of the Capitol and led to the loss of lives, is unlikely. I wouldn’t expect such protests, primarily because, in 2021, the election results were being contested by the sitting president.
Completely came true January 21, 2025
#2024 United States presidential election #USA #Elections
ru → en

Stanislav Belkovsky

I think that, since Biden is currently president and the Democrats are in power, they will do everything they can to prevent unrest in advance. Back then, the unrest was partly fueled by the fact that the sitting president, Trump, was relatively lenient towards it. Even if he didn’t openly support it, he at least stirred the pot. Referring to possible unrest that could occur after the U.S. presidential elections.
Cannot be verified January 21, 2025
#2024 United States presidential election #USA #Elections
ru → en

Ivan Yakovina

I think Trump could very well win this election; it’s quite realistic. However, I don’t believe he will actually become president. I don’t know what will happen, but something will. I am sure he won’t become president. Of course, I could be wrong.
Did not come true January 20, 2025
#2024 United States presidential election #Trump #Elections #USA
ru → en

Alfred Koch

Pistorius will likely be the leader of the Social Democrats in this election. I don’t think it will be Scholz. After all, Pistorius is a more popular figure than Scholz.
Did not come true January 11, 2025
#Germany #Elections
ru → en

Mark Feygin

What is the year 2024? It's the elections in America in November. As for Ukraine, I don't know if they will be postponed or not... most likely, they will be held in some way.
Did not come true December 31, 2024
#Ukraine #Elections
ru → en

Alon Kaisar

America has already had a Black president, and when a woman, Hillary Clinton, ran against Trump, they chose the big white man over the woman. And now, it’s both a woman and Black. I think America isn’t ready for this yet... A cautious hint that Kamala Harris will lose the election.
Completely came true November 6, 2024
#2024 United States presidential election #KamalaHarris #USA #Elections
ru → en

Konstantin Borovoy

We are talking about the current President of the United States, Joe Biden. But in a couple of weeks, there will likely be a different U.S. President, who has already stated that this is exactly what he plans to do. In response to the statement: "The U.S. could have easily brought down oil prices. But they didn't". Konstantin Borovoy is implying that the next U.S. President will likely be Donald Trump.
Completely came true November 6, 2024
#2024 United States presidential election #USA #Elections #Trump
ru → en