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Predictions and promises monitor

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#Nuclear weapons

Authors
60
Predictions
74
Verified
6
Came true
50%
Complex
50%
Confident
50%
All Expected Expected soon New results

Michael Sheitelman

Did the Russians threaten Ukraine with nuclear weapons? They did. This means there is every reason, since Russia violated the Nuclear Non-Proliferation Treaty with respect to Ukraine, to create nuclear weapons in response. I suspect that they will be developed... Ukraine already has this program, and it will be implemented regardless.
Expected
#Nuclear weapons #Ukraine
ru → en

Alexander Pantsov

Russia’s use of nuclear weapons, even tactical ones, removes the limitations on nuclear weapons across the entire globe. And this cannot fail to concern China, because immediately—mark my words—immediately, Taiwan will begin implementing its nuclear program.
Expected
#Taiwan #Nuclear weapons #Russia
ru → en

Vyacheslav Maltsev

I think that after a ballistic missile, there should be some nuclear explosions on Novaya Zemlya, meaning nuclear tests. Russia will conduct nuclear weapons tests on Novaya Zemlya.
Expected
#Nuclear weapons #Russia
ru → en

Yulia Latynina

We will witness a grand scenario of "Cuban Missile Crisis 2.0" will unfold. The world on the brink of nuclear war, but at the last moment, Trump, not yet elected president, calls Putin, and together they save the world from catastrophe. Everyone breathes a sigh of relief.
Expected
#Nuclear weapons #Trump #Putin #USA #Russia #War in Ukraine
ru → en

Sergey Zhirnov

No, I think strategic nuclear weapons are completely out of the question because everyone understands—Putin included—that even tactical nuclear weapons would still represent a global symbolic strike. After that, no one would trade with him or maintain relations with him.
Expected
#Nuclear weapons #Putin #Russia #War in Ukraine
ru → en

Aleksandr Kochetkov

This is as absurd as the discussions about creating nuclear weapons in Ukraine under current conditions… At this point, developing nuclear weapons is an entirely utopian idea.
Expected
#Ukraine #Nuclear weapons
ru → en

Ivan Yakovina

They are ready to capitulate if it means avoiding nuclear war. For them, human life is more important than the idea of victory. I think if it comes down to a choice between nuclear war or surrender, they will choose surrender. Referring to Europe if Putin were to deploy troops, for example, in Lithuania.
Expected
#Nuclear weapons #Europe
ru → en

Mark Feygin

Iran will soon get this bomb with the help of North Korea and Moscow. I think they will acquire nuclear weapons unless Israel carries out preemptive strikes.
Expected
#Iran #Nuclear weapons
ru → en

Valery Solovei

Neither 5 weeks, nor 5 months, nor 5 years will allow Ukraine to create nuclear weapons. This is not only due to political restrictions but also because of technical challenges... It is impossible to imagine a scenario where the West would support the development of a Ukrainian atomic bomb.
Expected
#Ukraine #Nuclear weapons
ru → en

Alexander Nevzorov

The United States is in favor of Ukraine joining NATO... And without a doubt, this support is a reaction to Zelensky's very smart political move, his trump card involving nuclear weapons. Now it’s clear that sooner or later, Ukraine will inevitably join NATO, if only to ensure that NATO can control its future nuclear ambitions.
Expected
#Ukraine #NATO #Nuclear weapons
ru → en

Sergey Grabskiy

I categorically rule out... I deny and exclude the possibility of creating nuclear weapons on the territory of Ukraine, including so-called dirty bombs.
Expected
#Nuclear weapons #Ukraine
ru → en

Mikhail Svetov

Zelensky, in a conversation with Trump, stated directly that if Ukraine is not given access to NATO, it will develop its own nuclear weapons, and supposedly it would only take Ukraine a few weeks to do so. It's clear that this is largely a bluff, and it's unlikely that anyone would actually allow Ukraine to do something like that.
Expected
#Nuclear weapons #Ukraine
ru → en

Evgeny Savostianov

Scenarios have been run many times: it's impossible to contain a nuclear war at the tactical level. At the tactical level, it inevitably and very quickly escalates into a global nuclear war, which would wipe out all civilizations in the Northern Hemisphere, except for the most underdeveloped ones, who would become the beneficiaries of such military actions.
Expected
#Nuclear weapons
ru → en

Mikhail Kasyanov

He knows that there will be retribution. It won’t be a nuclear response, because Western politicians are responsible. They won’t escalate to a nuclear war. The response won’t be nuclear, but it will be devastating. All of Putin’s military infrastructure in Russia will be destroyed. If Putin uses nuclear weapons.
Expected
#Nuclear weapons #Russia #Putin #USA
ru → en

Andrey Kozyrev

When the American president talks about victory for Ukraine, there could be completely different weapons behind that, not just the ones currently being used in the war. Even though the current weapons are already causing obvious hysteria and panic in the Kremlin. Putin is saying he might as well commit suicide, because launching a nuclear strike on the West, especially on America, would be suicide for Russia—complete destruction in less than an hour.
Expected
#Nuclear weapons #Russia #USA
ru → en

Dmitry Gudkov

Putin understands perfectly that the use of nuclear weapons is something that China will never support. This means that then Russia and the Kremlin will find themselves in complete global isolation. Absolute complete isolation.
Expected
#Nuclear weapons #Russia #Putin #China
ru → en

Georgy Satarov

Intuitively, I do not believe it. Answer to the question: 'How likely is the scenario in which Russia actually attempts to carry out a nuclear strike on some other country?'
Expected
#Nuclear weapons #Russia
ru → en

Vladimir Osechkin

The use of nuclear weapons would immediately put him in a category of people with whom neither India nor China would be willing or able to cooperate economically. China is currently keeping Russia afloat economically. Putin and his government are practically crawling to the Chinese on their knees every year.
Expected
#Nuclear weapons #Russia #Putin #War in Ukraine #China #India
ru → en

Rovshan Askerov

They think that Russia will take some terrible steps. I don't believe that it is capable of that. I generally do not believe in the possibility of a person who is afraid of a virus using nuclear weapons, and who sits a meter and a half away from their interlocutors. Putin will not use nuclear weapons.
Expected
#Nuclear weapons #Russia #Putin
ru → en

Mark Feygin

But still, it seems more realistic to me that, when considering the context of a nuclear response or an attempt at nuclear blackmail, it is more likely that they will conduct nuclear tests on Novaya Zemlya... This is more likely. Why? Because the level of control over the situation there is much higher. This will have an effect on the West. None on Ukraine.
Expected
#Nuclear weapons #Russia #War in Ukraine
ru → en

Mikhail Kasyanov

Who will control the nuclear button?... They’re more afraid of the nuclear button. Of course, I believe that Putin won’t do it. Putin won’t use nuclear weapons.
Expected
#Nuclear weapons #Putin #Russia
ru → en

Sergey Smirnov

It is unlikely that he will press the nuclear button. Well, these are our reflections from a logical standpoint. From a logical perspective, not all of Vladimir Putin's actions can be explained normally.
Expected
#Nuclear weapons #Putin #Russia #War in Ukraine
ru → en

Sergey Yerofeyev

Nuclear weapons are something that can inspire and give hope to Putin until the very last moment... He will never use them on the battlefield.
Expected
#Nuclear weapons #Putin #Russia
ru → en

Dmitry Oreshkin

Finland and the Finnish government will never, at least in the near and medium-term future, agree to host nuclear weapons on their territory.
Expected
#Finland #Nuclear weapons
ru → en

Yuri Felshtinsky

I state, with full responsibility, that no later than September of this year, nuclear strikes will be launched from Belarus against Lithuania and Poland if the West does not take preventive actions in this regard.
Did not come true
#Nuclear weapons #Belarus #Poland #Lithuania
ru → en

Mikhail Svetov

I think this is unlikely. The response to the remark: 'Since in Russian rhetoric, Britain is the main enemy... perhaps the nuclear strike that everyone fears will not be on Kyiv, but literally on London'
Expected
#Nuclear weapons #United Kingdom #Russia
ru → en

Igor Yakovenko

The likelihood that she will receive it is extremely low. I think that Ukraine will not receive nuclear weapons either, although it could create them itself. Poland and Ukraine will not receive nuclear weapons.
Expected
#Nuclear weapons #Ukraine #Poland
ru → en

Yuri Felshtinsky

I am far from the thought that he will deliver this strike from the territory of the Russian Federation. Nuclear strike.
Expected
#Nuclear weapons
ru → en

Alexey Nechayev

Therefore, there is no sense in delivering a nuclear strike, so it won't happen... If there is a nuclear attack on Russia, then the president and any leader of Russia will give the command for what is called the "dead hand." But if we are talking about a preventive strike — no, of course not. I am sure that it won't happen.
Expected
#Nuclear weapons #Russia
ru → en

Yigal Levin

No, I also don't believe that nuclear weapons will be used. The probability is extremely low. About the use of nuclear weapons by Russia.
Expected
#Nuclear weapons #Russia
ru → en