Predictions and promises monitor

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#NATO

Authors
39
Predictions
56
Verified
10
Came true
70%
Complex
80%
Confident
60%

Pavel Sebastyanovich

As for joining the EU and NATO, that will never happen. We just have to accept it—it will never happen. As long as this government is in place and this policy continues, it will never happen. Speaking about Ukraine.
Expected
#Ukraine #European Union #NATO
ru → en

Ramis Yunus

And it will never be in either the European Union or NATO, especially in the current situation. You’re not planning to accept Ukraine or Georgia, so you’re going to accept Armenia with a Russian base? Who are you telling these stories to? Armenia will not be in either the EU or NATO.
Expected
#Armenia #European Union #NATO
ru → en

Mikhail Chaplyga

We will most likely never be there due to geopolitical reasons. And all the other aspects of the victory plan stem from NATO membership. Ukraine is unlikely to ever join NATO.
Expected
#Ukraine #NATO
ru → en

Sergei Markov

Zelensky is submitting an application for Ukraine's entry into NATO. However, it won't be accepted because most NATO countries do not want to engage in a direct war with Russia.
Expected
#Ukraine #NATO #Zelensky
ru → en

Ruslan Leviev

For now, these prospects are still elusive; they are more likely to be relevant in the post-war period. Not during a time when the war is frozen, but when it is fully over and all territorial disputes are resolved. Until that point, Ukraine's entry into NATO is clearly not going to happen.
Expected
#Ukraine #NATO
ru → en

Mark Rutte

So that means that yes in the future NATO will have as 32 or 34th member we will have Ukraine. At the moment it seems that it will be Ukraine as number 33 but maybe somebody else pops in front of him. But Ukraine will be a member of NATO in the future. That is what we decided in Washington. So the question is now about the timeline.
Expected
#Ukraine #NATO #Words of politicians and officials
en

Mikhail Savva

Ukraine will be in NATO. This is important not only for Ukraine but also for NATO.
Expected
#Ukraine #NATO
ru → en

Dmitry Bykov

The consensus on Ukraine's entry into NATO has been reached... It’s completely clear that it will happen.
Expected
#Ukraine #NATO
ru → en

Alexander Nevzorov

The United States is in favor of Ukraine joining NATO... And without a doubt, this support is a reaction to Zelensky's very smart political move, his trump card involving nuclear weapons. Now it’s clear that sooner or later, Ukraine will inevitably join NATO, if only to ensure that NATO can control its future nuclear ambitions.
Expected
#Ukraine #NATO #Nuclear weapons
ru → en

Aleksandr Morozov

The radical fears that the United States might leave NATO or paralyze it... have no basis.
Expected
#USA #NATO
ru → en

Alexander Genis

Ukraine has already won. Russia has already lost the war, no matter how it ends. Because Ukraine will never again be a part of Russia... Ukraine will be part of Europe, and it will become a member of the European Union and NATO. This is an inevitable course of events; the only unknown is how much more blood it will take to get there.
Expected
#Ukraine #Russia #War in Ukraine #European Union #NATO
ru → en

Vladimir Fesenko

As long as the current war is ongoing, not only will we not be in NATO, but there is a high probability that we will not be invited to NATO either. There will be some hints, but nothing more than that. The process of inviting Ukraine to NATO will not happen during the war. Because this is, if not a direct, then an obligation to help us in the war with Russia. They will not agree to this now.
Expected
#War in Ukraine #Ukraine #NATO
ru → en

Fyodor Krasheninnikov

I don’t think the West will engage in a direct war with Russia. They’ll avoid it at all costs… There won’t be any direct NATO-Russia war. That could only happen if Russia, if Putin loses his mind and strikes first.
Expected
#Russia #NATO #Putin
ru → en

Mykhailo Podolyak

Will there be an escalation of the war? Will there be a direct confrontation between Russia and NATO that could escalate into a third world war? No, there will not be.
Expected
#Russia #NATO #War in Ukraine
ru → en

John Mearsheimer

No. Think politically that the Russians will go to Great Lengths to make sure Ukraine doesn't join NATO. And I think that the West will not bring dysfunctional Ukraine into the alliance. So I think that Ukraine will not become part of NATO. Answer to the question: "Do you think Ukraine will end up joining the NATO"
Expected
#Ukraine #NATO #War in Ukraine #Russia
en

Yigal Levin

No one will close the sky. Closing the sky means war between NATO and Russia The response to the remark: 'Why doesn't NATO close the sky at least over the western part of Ukraine?'
Expected
#War in Ukraine #NATO #Ukraine #Russia
ru → en

David Sharp

I am sure that they will. Answer to the question: "Will NATO defend Lithuania?" (in the event of an attack by Russia)
Expected
#Lithuania #NATO #Russia
ru → en

Oleksiy Arestovych

And the EU and NATO will not accept us... Because the price for Ukraine's accession to the EU and NATO is a war between Russia and the EU and NATO, a large war. They will not go for it.
Expected
#Ukraine #European Union #NATO #Russia
ru → en

Mark Feygin

And my prediction is that Hungary will bend; it will concede. It will not leave either the European Union or NATO. On Hungary's pro-Putin behavior, that it is more beneficial for them to remain in the EU than to continue supporting Putin.
Expected
#Hungary #European Union #NATO #Russia
ru → en

William Taylor

Yes, Germany and the USA did not agree with this... they did not offer Ukraine to join NATO as soon as the war ends... But it will happen, sooner or later, you can believe me. Ukraine will join NATO.
Expected
#Ukraine #NATO
ru → en

Michael Nacke

My position has not changed since 2022. The moment NATO says that we are taking Ukraine and we are entering this conflict right now, closing the sky and so on, Russia will retreat, right at that moment, because Vladimir Putin always retreats before a force he considers greater than himself... Russia will not fight NATO now, because the forces are not comparable. Russia will be wiped out in an instant... As soon as NATO says that we are truly getting involved, Russia will withdraw its troops from Ukraine within a day
Expected
#Russia #NATO #War in Ukraine #Ukraine
ru → en

Mark Feygin

If such incredible steps were taken to admit Ukraine into NATO, the war would likely end much sooner rather than escalate to a new level. If Ukraine is accepted into NATO, the war will end, not intensify.
Expected
#War in Ukraine #Ukraine #NATO #Russia
ru → en

Mikhail Svetov

Therefore, it is quite difficult for me to believe in such a development of events. That NATO countries will introduce their contingent into Ukraine in any form.
Expected
#NATO #War in Ukraine #Ukraine #Russia
ru → en

Robert Fico

I understand Ukraine’s wishes, it is a sovereign country, but Ukraine’s membership in NATO is just a guarantee of World War III
Expected
#Ukraine #NATO #Slovakia
en

Ramis Yunus

After the war ends with your victory, this will happen much faster than in Sweden and Finland... there will be no reasons to stop it. About Ukraine's accession to NATO.
Expected
#Ukraine #NATO #War in Ukraine
ru → en

Dmitriy Potapenko

Is there a chance of this? Honestly, I assess it as unlikely. About Ukraine's accelerated accession to NATO. He argues that it would require "bending the procedure."
Expected
#Ukraine #NATO
ru → en

Yuri Fedorov

I think that a confrontation with NATO will end very badly for Russia.
Expected
#Russia #NATO
ru → en

Oleg Zhdanov

The likelihood is very high that we will not be accepted into NATO Ukraine
Expected
#Ukraine #NATO
ru → en

Mark Feygin

Only if Moscow itself initiates it... NATO will avoid it until the last moment. Answering the question: "What percentage do you give that a war between NATO and Russia is possible?" The prediction is interpreted in such a way that NATO will not attack Moscow first, only in response to Russia's actions.
Expected
#Russia #NATO
ru → en

Mark Feygin

By the way, I am convinced that they will join NATO... ultimately, this will come to pass. Serbia
Expected
#Serbia #NATO
ru → en

Ramis Yunus

This will never happen. That Turkey will be expelled from NATO
Expected
#Turkey #NATO
ru → en

Michael Sheitelman

Admit Ukraine into NATO without the occupied territories. This is about some sort of compromise that Ukraine, Russia, and NATO would need to sign. What is this compromise? … The military actions would stop along the current front line. After that, all of the territory controlled by Ukraine at this moment would be admitted into NATO. What is being proposed in this deal, which doesn’t yet exist? The proposal is this: you sign something like that with Russia, we’ll flood you with money, you’ll start building a prosperous Ukraine, join the European Union, and receive massive investments… in 20 years, Russia will collapse, and you’ll get your territory back. I believe none of this will work. A year from now, we’ll look back at all of this as something that didn’t happen.
Expected December 31, 2025
#War in Ukraine #Ukraine #Russia #NATO
ru → en

Natalia Vlaschenko

I think it will become clear soon whether Ukraine will be accepted into NATO, or if it will be made an associate member, or at least publicly invited. November 5th is approaching steadily, and it’s already quite close, so there’s not much longer to wait.
Expected January 31, 2025
#Ukraine #NATO
ru → en