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This is not a prediction. It seems to me that we're talking about a change of the Iranian regime. Protests will begin, and the ayatollahs' regime will not withstand them.
#Iran

If there is a strike on the oil and gas sector, then according to my estimates, the increase in hydrocarbon prices — for example, oil — will be around 17–22 percent. A strike by Israel on Iran’s oil and gas infrastructure.
#Oil #Economy #Iran #Israel

I don't believe this will cause any long-term or persistently high change in oil prices — they’ll spike for a while and then start to dip again. Due to the ongoing war between Israel and Iran, oil prices have temporarily risen and will drop again later.
#Oil #Economy #Iran #Israel

Look, the important forecast regarding Iran is that this won’t last long. Why? Because a ground operation is impossible. It’s not feasible because the countries are located far from each other. Who would land troops where, and how would they fight? Iran against Israel and Israel against Iran—it’s a remote war: a missile war, a drone war. There might be a special operation, but this is not a ground war. The second reason is that Israel doesn’t need Iran—it’s not planning to capture it or annex it to its territory. The current war between Israel and Iran will not last long.
#Iran #Israel

Will Iran block the Strait of Hormuz? My prediction is no. My prediction is no. Why? Because then they would also lose Khark Island, the oil terminal, the refineries, and essentially their entire oil industry.
#Iran #Oil

I'll make a prediction. I believe that Iran will not succeed in inflicting very serious damage on Israel — that’s my forecast. Yes, some missiles, Shaheds, and ballistic rockets may reach Israeli territory, possibly even some military sites, but they will not cause significant damage. In the current phase of the war between Israel and Iran.
#Israel #Iran

I can say with confidence that in the coming days, Erdogan and Aliyev will make a statement expressing concern for the safety of the 30 million Azerbaijani population in this chaotic situation.
#Iran

If Iran does not deliver a devastating strike against Israel now—one that kills many Israelis—then in two days the European Union and everyone else will gather their resolve and impose sanctions against Israel.
#Israel #Iran #European Union

Israel is counting on a long timeframe — up to two weeks. Of course, in one form or another, either the physical elimination of these ayatollahs or something else. I believe the regime in Iran will change within those two weeks.
#Iran

This is simply a reason for the bulls to push prices up. They managed to do that. This is a temporary phenomenon. I, of course, expect a response from Iran — Shahed drones will fly, they already seem to be flying, missiles will be launched from Iran toward Israel, but I do not expect any catastrophes with oil exports from the Persian Gulf. Therefore, for 2-3 days everything will fluctuate at high levels, and then from Monday everything will drop unless there is some kind of nuclear escalation. Oil prices, which surged due to Israel’s strike on Iran, will start to decline from Monday.
#Oil #Economy #Iran #Israel

Indicators suggest that the Americans will likely get involved... It's important to understand that the Americans—especially their air forces—have tools and capabilities dozens of times greater than those of Israel. This, by the way, is a good point. If this is what Israel did to Iran, then what are the capabilities of the U.S.? I think they will get involved. In the end, Trump will probably try to claim the credit for himself, like “Look, I’m the victor”
#Iran #USA #Trump #Israel

I have a feeling that the Americans will end up entering the war after all. Trump issued a statement saying that he strongly warns the Iranian regime against attacking our forces and facilities in the Middle East...
#USA #Iran #Israel

It seems to me that with Iran, everything is coming to a point where either they will have to start a direct dialogue with the Americans, as the Americans want, or the Americans will start bombing them. I don't see a third possible outcome. We'll see in the coming weeks or months.
#Iran #USA

And the reason for this is that it’s yet another message to Tehran—look, the bombs have arrived, we are ready, so think faster about the deal before it's too late. And this whole media wave about Israel striking in the coming months, but no later than May-June, is a threat meant to push the Iranians to quickly accept Trump’s generous offer. They won’t agree, so these bombs will come in handy.
#Israel #Iran

My current prediction is that Israel will not carry out strikes against Iran... The logic that will prevail is focused on maintaining the possibility of further diplomacy between Iran and the West.
#Israel #Iran

The war in the Middle East is expected to start, roughly speaking, immediately after Trump’s inauguration—that is, late January or early February.
#Middle East #Iran #Israel #Syria #Gaza #Palestine #USA #Trump

A very positive effect on the whole Ukraine issue will, of course, come from Israel's victory on the Middle Eastern front, which is also likely to happen within these next three months.
#Israel #Middle East #Gaza #Lebanon #Iran

The strike that will inevitably happen. Israel will still strike Iran. It will be a very serious and powerful strike. We can see the determination.
#Iran #Israel

In my opinion, until the U.S. elections are concluded and the American stance on the Iran-Israel conflict becomes clear, Iran is unlikely to take any action, and it seems that Israel will refrain from doing so as well.
#Iran #Israel

One Israeli strike on Iran will follow within a few days, I believe, to ensure everything is prepared. It will lead to a tectonic shift in the Middle East.
#Israel #Iran #Middle East

So, ahead of us is the continuation of this series: Israel’s final showdown with the bad guys surrounding it. The U.S. elections are slowing things down… But after the elections, even before the final results are in—which could take weeks—I think things will move quickly. First, a war on Lebanese soil, and then strikes on Iran targeting the bases of the Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps.
#Iran #Israel #Lebanon

But in any case, as I believe, until January 20, until Trump’s inauguration, Israel will not take any decisive action in this direction. Regarding Iran.
#Israel #Iran #Trump #USA

I believe that in the coming days, some very unexpected and quite impressive events will take place on Iranian territory, which will fundamentally change the entire situation in the region.
#Iran

Two sorts of ballistic missiles from Iran... We understand that Russian soldiers have been in Iran doing training for the last few weeks and while reports of this are incredibly sensitive, the feed I've had is that it is imminent. So it's a matter of days. Russia will receive missiles from Iran in the near future.
#Russia #Iran #War in Ukraine

Today's attack on the Kursk region is, for Zelensky, nothing more than a PR move... Yermak and the entire team at Bankova understand that, any day now, a conflict will begin between Israel, Lebanon, and Iran. And then, for some time, no one will remember about Ukraine. > any day now, a conflict will begin between Israel, Lebanon, and Iran
#Israel #Lebanon #Iran #Ukraine #War in Ukraine #Russia

I think so, definitely. Netanyahu needs a major war. He sees that he’s not provoking anything, whether it’s the assassination of Hezbollah leadership, the killing of Ismail Haniyeh, or the genocide of the Lebanese and Palestinian populations—he's not provoking Iran either. In response to the question: "Do you think Israel will strike Iran before the elections?" (Before the 2024 U.S. presidential elections)
#Israel #Iran

In the event of the death of Iranian President Raisi, there will not be a major internal crisis in Iran. The real leader of Iran is not the president, but the spiritual leader, Ayatollah Khamenei. There will simply be new presidential elections.
#Iran

Iran, elections. Second round. Pezeshkian received 44% in the first round and is considered a liberal. Jalili received 40% in the first round and is considered a conservative. However, the candidate who took third place with 13%, also a conservative, has already called for votes for Jalili. Therefore, the prediction is for Jalili. But still, the prediction is approximate.
#Iran

Iran announced that they have developed a long-range cruise missile capable of flying 1,650 km... Will this missile appear in the armed forces of the Russian Federation in the near future? I don't think so.
#War in Ukraine #Iran #Russia

I assure you, Iran's nuclear potential will be destroyed this year.
#Iran #Nuclear weapons

Still, if we take Iran... is there a chance for some kind of revolutionary scenario? Well, I think not... unless the military gets involved. About a possible revolution in Iran due to the September protests, and stating that the military is unlikely to get involved.
#Iran

And this SAIPA... These cars, about which we have already been warned that they will come to us from June 1st. They are unlikely to arrive. Iranian SAIPA cars will not appear in Russia from June 1, 2023.
#Russia #Iran