Predictions and promises monitor

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Sergei Markov

Iran, elections. Second round. Pezeshkian received 44% in the first round and is considered a liberal. Jalili received 40% in the first round and is considered a conservative. However, the candidate who took third place with 13%, also a conservative, has already called for votes for Jalili. Therefore, the prediction is for Jalili. But still, the prediction is approximate.
Did not come true July 6, 2024 2 / 10
#Iran
ru → en

Notes and References

1) Telegram channel "Logika Markova" [https://t.me/logikamarkova/12706] 2) Masoud Pezeshkian has won Iran’s presidential election [https://edition.cnn.com/2024/07/05/middleeast/pezeshkian-wins-irans-vote-intl-hnk/index.html]

Prediction params: did not come true (+2), regular (+0), careful (+0)