Predictions and promises monitor

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#Elections

Authors
75
Predictions
125
Verified
85
Came true
68%
Complex
22%
Confident
40%

Vyacheslav Maltsev

Something tells me that the war will drag on for a long time, and there will never be any elections again.
Expected
#Russia #Elections
ru → en

Michael Sheitelman

He's about 50, Zaluzhny. I have a suspicion that he will be one of the main participants in the presidential elections that will take place right after the war. Zaluzhny will be a candidate in Ukraine's future presidential elections.
Expected
#Ukraine #Elections
ru → en

Igor Slabykh

For example, Kansas or Arkansas, where there was a referendum on abortion, meaning that in the red state, the majority of people decided that yes, we want the right to abortion. And I think that in all the states where this issue will be considered in the upcoming elections, there is a very high likelihood that the supporters of the right to abortion will win. Well, we will see.
Expected
#USA #Elections
ru → en

Abbas Gallyamov

At some point, the first free elections will take place in the country. They were held in Germany after Hitler, in Spain after Franco, in Portugal after Salazar, in the Soviet Union in 1989, and in Poland... and we will have them too... it will be after Putin's death, as a result of his overthrow, an elite conspiracy, reforms, or a revolution... sooner or later, these elections will take place.
Expected
#Russia #Elections
ru → en

Fyodor Krasheninnikov

There are no elections in the near future in Russia in which the opposition could participate as a united bloc, and there will be none in the coming years.
Expected December 31, 2028
#Russia #Elections
ru → en

Michael Sheitelman

It draws the attention of European officials, which is something Georgia really needs right now. America is likely to lean toward not recognizing the election results. In Georgia.
Expected December 31, 2025
#Georgia #USA #Elections
ru → en

Pavel Sebastyanovich

There will be no elections in 2025. Because those in power are very comfortable right now: they receive salaries, go to work, get fake pensions, and nothing threatens them. Speaking about Ukraine.
Expected December 31, 2025
#Ukraine #Elections
ru → en

Alexander Mercouris

I think that it may be difficult to get her to win the second round. Though I suspect every wire will be pulled and every trick will be played to get her across the line. But I think it is difficult after this fiasco to imagine that she will remain president of Moldova for very much long. Referring to Maia Sandu and the 2024 presidential elections in Moldova.
Expected December 31, 2025
#Moldova #Elections
en

Elon Musk

He will be gone in the upcoming election. Response to the request: "We need your help in Canada getting rid of Trudeau"
Expected October 31, 2025
#Canada #Elections
en

Alexander Friedman

In the case of the German elections, everything is clear and straightforward at the moment. If there are no unforeseen events, the Christian Democrats will win, and they’ll win with a significant lead.
Expected September 30, 2025
#Germany #Elections
ru → en

Alfred Koch

Pistorius will likely be the leader of the Social Democrats in this election. I don’t think it will be Scholz. After all, Pistorius is a more popular figure than Scholz.
Expected September 30, 2025
#Germany #Elections
ru → en

Sergei Markov

Germany. The governing coalition has collapsed, and an acute government crisis has begun. If there are elections, the CDU leader Merz will become chancellor.
Expected September 30, 2025
#Germany #Elections
ru → en

Sergei Markov

Germany. Could the Alternative for Germany come to power? No. The authorities in Germany are preparing to ban the AfD. A dossier is currently being compiled. Reasons for the ban are being fabricated. They will start with banning some regional branches of the AfD. Then, under the threat of a complete ban, they will demand changes to the AfD's policies and put the political leadership of the AfD under control. That is the plan.
Expected September 28, 2025
#Germany #Elections
ru → en

Valery Solovei

And who will become the new president of Russia? The new president is expected to emerge in the spring of next year. Early elections will be held.
Expected May 31, 2025
#Russia #Elections
ru → en

Ramis Yunus

And today in Germany, Chancellor Scholz is no longer really the chancellor. In 2-3 months, he’ll be gone. A lame duck.
Expected March 31, 2025
#Germany #Elections
ru → en

Nikita Vasilenko

But everything points to the coalition collapsing, and elections will be held in Germany as early as March. The current coalition in Germany will "fall apart," and early elections will take place in March.
Expected March 31, 2025
#Germany #Elections
ru → en

Stanislav Belkovsky

I think that, since Biden is currently president and the Democrats are in power, they will do everything they can to prevent unrest in advance. Back then, the unrest was partly fueled by the fact that the sitting president, Trump, was relatively lenient towards it. Even if he didn’t openly support it, he at least stirred the pot. Referring to possible unrest that could occur after the U.S. presidential elections.
Expected February 15, 2025
#2024 United States presidential election #USA #Elections
ru → en

Konstantin Sonin

It seems to me that expecting something similar to 2021, when there were indeed protests in Washington that ended with the storming of the Capitol and led to the loss of lives, is unlikely. I wouldn’t expect such protests, primarily because, in 2021, the election results were being contested by the sitting president.
Expected January 31, 2025
#2024 United States presidential election #USA #Elections
ru → en

Dmitry Gordon

I am convinced that the opposition will not accept Russia’s blatant interference in the elections or the shift from a European to a Russian-oriented direction. And, of course, things will not end peacefully in Georgia. The ruling party won’t be able to control the situation, and Russia won’t be able to help. I think things will get heated. I’m not certain, but I believe it will get intense. Context: Parliamentary elections have just taken place in Georgia, with the current ruling party, Georgian Dream, declared the winner.
Expected January 31, 2025
#Georgia #Elections
ru → en

Ivan Yakovina

I think Trump could very well win this election; it’s quite realistic. However, I don’t believe he will actually become president. I don’t know what will happen, but something will. I am sure he won’t become president. Of course, I could be wrong.
Expected January 20, 2025
#2024 United States presidential election #Trump #Elections #USA
ru → en

Mark Feygin

What is the year 2024? It's the elections in America in November. As for Ukraine, I don't know if they will be postponed or not... most likely, they will be held in some way.
Expected December 31, 2024
#Ukraine #Elections
ru → en

David Sakvarelidze

I believe that the time of Georgian Dream, and specifically Bidzina Ivanishvili, is running out. His rule and control over the state of Georgia have just 2 days and 2 nights left... How long it will take him to realize that power should be transferred peacefully is another question.
Expected October 31, 2024
#Georgia #Elections
ru → en

Mark Feygin

The ruling party in Georgia is "Georgian Dream," a puppet pro-Moscow party... My prediction is that Moscow is certainly involved and is participating in the election process in Georgia, which will take place on the 26th. They will rig the elections, that’s for sure. And most likely, Moscow will also take part in forcefully defending the rigged election results, ensuring that Georgian Dream remains in power.
Expected October 31, 2024
#Georgia #Elections #Russia
ru → en

Michael Sheitelman

With a very high probability—though I can't say 100%—we are likely to see an attempted revolution in Georgia. Following the elections on October 26, 2024.
Expected October 31, 2024
#Georgia #Elections
ru → en