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#Elections

Authors
80
Predictions
138
Verified
87
Came true
67%
Complex
22%
Confident
39%
All Expected Expected soon New results

Michael Sheitelman

Here’s my prediction: in the presidential election after the war, both Zelensky and Zaluzhny won’t be on the ballot simultaneously. Either neither Zelensky nor Zaluzhny will be there, or Zelensky will be, but not Zaluzhny, or Zaluzhny will, but not Zelensky. That’s my prediction. In Ukraine.
Expected
#Ukraine #Elections
ru → en

Andrii Baumeister

There is a high probability that elections will take place by mid-year. In response to the question: "Will 2025 be an election year in Ukraine?"
Expected
#Ukraine #Elections
ru → en

Dmitry Oreshkin

He’ll be left sitting in his own territory, waiting to lose the next elections, which he will certainly lose. In Slovakia, people are quite free-thinking, and there are competitive political forces. Speaking about Robert Fico.
Expected
#Slovakia #Elections
ru → en

Igor Eidman

Le Pen is far-right. The far-right in France has never been and will never be the majority in society. She might even win the first round, but she will lose to anyone in the second round.
Expected
#France #Elections
ru → en

Igor Eidman

The new chancellor will definitely not be Scholz. It is most likely to be Friedrich Merz, his competitor from another mainstream party—the Christian Democratic Union. The chancellor of Germany in 2025.
Expected
#Germany #Elections
ru → en

Dmitry Gordon

I believe that the U.S. and the West will not recognize the new president. They will not recognize the elections. In Georgia.
Expected
#Georgia #USA #Elections
ru → en

Dmitry Bykov

I am absolutely convinced that when peace comes and elections are held according to the constitution, he will not run in those elections. I think that would be the wisest decision on his part. Speaking about Zelensky.
Expected
#Ukraine #Zelensky #Elections
ru → en

Yevgeny Kiselyov

Scholz will still lose the parliamentary elections. The next chancellor will be Friedrich Merz. The winner of the elections will be the CDU—the Christian Democratic Union.
Expected
#Germany #Elections
ru → en

Darya Mitina

My intuition tells me that there is a very high likelihood that the same Scholz, widely known as the liverwurst, will remain in the position of Chancellor of Germany.
Expected
#Germany #Elections
ru → en

Stanislav Belkovsky

In 2025, the presidential election will take place. It will happen one way or another because it’s no longer possible to delay it further. In Ukraine.
Expected
#Ukraine #Elections
ru → en

Ramis Yunus

And today in Germany, Chancellor Scholz is no longer really the chancellor. In 2-3 months, he’ll be gone. A lame duck.
Expected
#Germany #Elections
ru → en

Alexander Friedman

In the case of the German elections, everything is clear and straightforward at the moment. If there are no unforeseen events, the Christian Democrats will win, and they’ll win with a significant lead.
Expected
#Germany #Elections
ru → en

Alfred Koch

Pistorius will likely be the leader of the Social Democrats in this election. I don’t think it will be Scholz. After all, Pistorius is a more popular figure than Scholz.
Expected
#Germany #Elections
ru → en

Michael Sheitelman

It draws the attention of European officials, which is something Georgia really needs right now. America is likely to lean toward not recognizing the election results. In Georgia.
Expected
#Georgia #USA #Elections
ru → en

Elon Musk

He will be gone in the upcoming election. Response to the request: "We need your help in Canada getting rid of Trudeau"
Expected
#Canada #Elections
en

Sergei Markov

Germany. The governing coalition has collapsed, and an acute government crisis has begun. If there are elections, the CDU leader Merz will become chancellor.
Expected
#Germany #Elections
ru → en

Konstantin Sonin

It seems to me that expecting something similar to 2021, when there were indeed protests in Washington that ended with the storming of the Capitol and led to the loss of lives, is unlikely. I wouldn’t expect such protests, primarily because, in 2021, the election results were being contested by the sitting president.
Expected
#2024 United States presidential election #USA #Elections
ru → en

Nikita Vasilenko

But everything points to the coalition collapsing, and elections will be held in Germany as early as March. The current coalition in Germany will "fall apart," and early elections will take place in March.
Expected
#Germany #Elections
ru → en

Alon Kaisar

America has already had a Black president, and when a woman, Hillary Clinton, ran against Trump, they chose the big white man over the woman. And now, it’s both a woman and Black. I think America isn’t ready for this yet... A cautious hint that Kamala Harris will lose the election.
Completely came true
#2024 United States presidential election #KamalaHarris #USA #Elections
ru → en

Aleksandr Plyushchev

Exactly a percentage point difference. There’s no doubt that, at this rate, Sandu will pull ahead by the end of the count. She’ll win by about 2 percentage points, 51/49 in her favor.
Almost came true
#Moldova #Elections
ru → en

Pavel Sebastyanovich

There will be no elections in 2025. Because those in power are very comfortable right now: they receive salaries, go to work, get fake pensions, and nothing threatens them. Speaking about Ukraine.
Expected
#Ukraine #Elections
ru → en

Alexander Mercouris

I think that it may be difficult to get her to win the second round. Though I suspect every wire will be pulled and every trick will be played to get her across the line. But I think it is difficult after this fiasco to imagine that she will remain president of Moldova for very much long. Referring to Maia Sandu and the 2024 presidential elections in Moldova.
Expected
#Moldova #Elections
en

Mikhail Svetov

With a high probability, Maia Sandu will still manage to win in the second round, but the result will fall short of what her European partners were hoping for.
Completely came true
#Moldova #Elections
ru → en

Dmitry Gordon

I am convinced that the opposition will not accept Russia’s blatant interference in the elections or the shift from a European to a Russian-oriented direction. And, of course, things will not end peacefully in Georgia. The ruling party won’t be able to control the situation, and Russia won’t be able to help. I think things will get heated. I’m not certain, but I believe it will get intense. Context: Parliamentary elections have just taken place in Georgia, with the current ruling party, Georgian Dream, declared the winner.
Expected
#Georgia #Elections
ru → en

Evgeny Savostianov

I think that Sandu will still win in the second round. It may not be an overwhelming lead, but it will be noticeable.
Completely came true
#Moldova #Elections
ru → en

Alexei Venediktov

Ms. Sandu, even if she wins the election, it will still be something like 51 to 49. Or if the other candidate wins, it will also be 51 to 49.
Almost came true
#Moldova #Elections
ru → en

David Sakvarelidze

I believe that the time of Georgian Dream, and specifically Bidzina Ivanishvili, is running out. His rule and control over the state of Georgia have just 2 days and 2 nights left... How long it will take him to realize that power should be transferred peacefully is another question.
Expected
#Georgia #Elections
ru → en

Aleksandr Morozov

Sandu secured a solid 35% in the first round, and in my opinion, she will definitely win the second round.
Completely came true
#Moldova #Elections
ru → en

Konstantin Borovoy

We are talking about the current President of the United States, Joe Biden. But in a couple of weeks, there will likely be a different U.S. President, who has already stated that this is exactly what he plans to do. In response to the statement: "The U.S. could have easily brought down oil prices. But they didn't". Konstantin Borovoy is implying that the next U.S. President will likely be Donald Trump.
Completely came true
#2024 United States presidential election #USA #Elections #Trump
ru → en

Vyacheslav Maltsev

Something tells me that the war will drag on for a long time, and there will never be any elections again.
Expected
#Russia #Elections
ru → en

Kirill Rogov

I believe she will win in the second round; after all, she has almost a twofold lead over her opponent. Maia Sandu will win the 2024 Moldovan presidential election.
Completely came true
#Moldova #Elections
ru → en

Mark Feygin

The ruling party in Georgia is "Georgian Dream," a puppet pro-Moscow party... My prediction is that Moscow is certainly involved and is participating in the election process in Georgia, which will take place on the 26th. They will rig the elections, that’s for sure. And most likely, Moscow will also take part in forcefully defending the rigged election results, ensuring that Georgian Dream remains in power.
Expected
#Georgia #Elections #Russia
ru → en

Sergei Markov

Moldova. Sandu is likely to lose the election in the second round with a 90% probability. She is in shock and has been postponing her press appearance for many hours.
Did not come true
#Moldova #Elections
ru → en

Alexander Nevzorov

In the second round, the Kremlin, which is desperately trying to keep Moldova under its control, will likely raise the stakes and intensify its efforts. But it will all be in vain, as Sandu will win the second round as well.
Completely came true
#Moldova #Elections
ru → en

Michael Sheitelman

I would assume that most likely the Georgian Dream will lose the elections, and the opposition will win. In the parliamentary elections in Georgia on October 26, 2024.
Did not come true
#Georgia #Elections
ru → en

Michael Sheitelman

With a very high probability—though I can't say 100%—we are likely to see an attempted revolution in Georgia. Following the elections on October 26, 2024.
Expected
#Georgia #Elections
ru → en