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Predictions and promises monitor

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Andrey Piontkovsky

Political expert, mathematician (Russia)

Predictions
47
Verified
28
Came true
46%
Complex
75%
Confident
75%
Rating
4.86
All Expected Expected soon New results

Andrey Piontkovsky

We all understand that Yashin will not serve 8 and a half years.
Completely came true August 1, 2024
#Russia
ru → en

Andrey Piontkovsky

The CSTO certainly won't lift a finger. Regarding the military conflict between Azerbaijan and Armenia in September 2022.
Completely came true August 1, 2024
#CSTO #Armenia #Azerbaijan
ru → en

Andrey Piontkovsky

Removal after the liberation of Kherson. The removal of Putin from power... they will remove him with the wording: "Comrade Putin is ill, he cannot fulfill his duties, and he is transferring his responsibilities to the collective body of the Security Council"
Did not come true July 31, 2024
#Putin #Russia #War in Ukraine
ru → en

Andrey Piontkovsky

No, it won't survive. Answer to the question: "Will the Putin regime last until then?" (until July 1, 2023)
Did not come true July 1, 2024
#Putin #Russia
ru → en

Andrey Piontkovsky

A week for the attempt to free the hostages. Two weeks for the complete elimination of Hamas. And the fourth week – well, to address the issue with the sponsors... a month. Regarding the timeline of Israel's war against Hamas.
Did not come true June 30, 2024
#Israel-Hamas war #Israel #Hamas
ru → en

Andrey Piontkovsky

Well, either in the last days of October 2022 or in the summer of 2023. Answer to the question: "When will the war between Russia and Ukraine end?"
Did not come true October 1, 2023
#War in Ukraine #Ukraine #Russia
ru → en

Andrey Piontkovsky

We know that Prigozhin is a scoundrel, a criminal, a war criminal, and will be executed. Evgeniy Prigozhin will be executed.
Completely came true August 23, 2023
#Russia
ru → en

Andrey Piontkovsky

He will not be arrested. He may be taken in handcuffs to the judge and placed under house arrest. About Donald Trump in the near future.
Completely came true June 20, 2023
#Trump #USA
ru → en

Andrey Piontkovsky

I am sure that there will be no parade on May 9. In Moscow.
Did not come true May 9, 2023
#Russia
ru → en

Andrey Piontkovsky

My prediction is that we will receive this in January. The U.S. or the British will provide Ukraine with tanks or long-range missiles in January 2023.
Almost came true January 31, 2023
#War in Ukraine #Ukraine
ru → en

Andrey Piontkovsky

The Crimean Bridge is being destroyed, Kherson is being liberated. After that, of course, Putin will be removed from power.
Did not come true December 31, 2022
#Putin #Russia #War in Ukraine
ru → en

Andrey Piontkovsky

As for the missiles with a range of 300... they will be transferred in the near future regardless. About the supply of long-range missiles to Ukraine by the Americans.
Did not come true December 31, 2022
#War in Ukraine #USA #Ukraine
ru → en

Andrey Piontkovsky

The capture of Kherson... this is the end of the war, this is victory, this is the collapse of the front and the entire Putin system. If Ukraine deoccupies Kherson.
Did not come true December 31, 2022
#War in Ukraine #Russia #Ukraine #Putin
ru → en

Andrey Piontkovsky

I think that a preliminary step towards an offensive on Kherson will be a strike on the Crimean Bridge. Ukraine will first strike the Crimean Bridge and then begin the de-occupation of the Kherson region.
Completely came true November 10, 2022
#War in Ukraine #Ukraine #Russia
ru → en