Predictions and promises monitor

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Andrey Piontkovsky

Political expert, mathematician (Russia)

Predictions
47
Verified
28
Came true
46%
Complex
75%
Confident
75%
Rating
4.86

Andrey Piontkovsky

These stupid restrictions... so that they don't strike Russian territory with their long-range missiles... I am sure that all restrictions will be lifted. Restrictions for Ukraine.
Expected
#Ukraine #War in Ukraine
ru → en

Andrey Piontkovsky

We will see him... Lugovoy is a member of the State Duma... and But will follow the same path. Viktor Bout will become a member of the State Duma of the Russian Federation.
Expected
#Russia
ru → en

Andrey Piontkovsky

Both Skabeeva and Simonyansha will definitely be sent, if not to The Hague, then to Mariupol. Russian TV hosts Olga Skabeeva and Margarita Simonyan will be tried.
Expected
#War in Ukraine #Russia
ru → en

Andrey Piontkovsky

Israel will not allow this; it will eliminate this nuclear threat. But that's not even the worst thing that will happen to Iran. Israel will not allow Iran to develop nuclear weapons.
Expected
#Iran #Israel #Nuclear weapons
ru → en

Andrey Piontkovsky

Ukraine will never agree to this. To capitulation due to pressure from partners over the threat of the destruction of the Zaporizhzhia Nuclear Power Plant.
Expected
#War in Ukraine #Ukraine
ru → en

Andrey Piontkovsky

Military actions will not stop within three months, because all these scenarios we’re running through in our heads will also be running through the minds of decision-makers in Washington, Moscow, and Kyiv. Since there are still no solutions that satisfy everyone, I can firmly say that a freeze is not in store for us in the next three months.
Expected February 12, 2025
#War in Ukraine #Ukraine #Russia
ru → en

Andrey Piontkovsky

A very positive effect on the whole Ukraine issue will, of course, come from Israel's victory on the Middle Eastern front, which is also likely to happen within these next three months.
Expected February 8, 2025
#Israel #Middle East #Gaza #Lebanon #Iran
ru → en

Andrey Piontkovsky

One Israeli strike on Iran will follow within a few days, I believe, to ensure everything is prepared. It will lead to a tectonic shift in the Middle East.
Expected January 31, 2025
#Israel #Iran #Middle East
ru → en