Predictions and promises monitor

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#Oil

Authors
31
Predictions
57
Verified
19
Came true
58%
Complex
68%
Confident
53%

Dmitriy Potapenko

If there is a strike on the oil and gas sector, then according to my estimates, the increase in hydrocarbon prices — for example, oil — will be around 17–22 percent. A strike by Israel on Iran’s oil and gas infrastructure.
Cannot be verified September 2, 2025
#Oil #Economy #Iran #Israel
ru → en

Vladimir Milov

As for the oil price, since there is no scenario of blocking the Strait of Hormuz, I think the price isn’t under much threat — it will be a bit nervous, but then it will settle down.
Completely came true September 2, 2025
#Oil #Economy
ru → en

Igor Lipsitz

I don't believe this will cause any long-term or persistently high change in oil prices — they’ll spike for a while and then start to dip again. Due to the ongoing war between Israel and Iran, oil prices have temporarily risen and will drop again later.
Completely came true August 29, 2025
#Oil #Economy #Iran #Israel
ru → en

Nikolay Kozhanov

I think oil will just fluctuate in the near future within the range of around 75–85 dollars per barrel.
Did not come true August 28, 2025
#Oil #Economy
ru → en

Mark Feygin

Will Iran block the Strait of Hormuz? My prediction is no. My prediction is no. Why? Because then they would also lose Khark Island, the oil terminal, the refineries, and essentially their entire oil industry.
Completely came true August 14, 2025
#Iran #Oil
ru → en

Michael Sheitelman

Literally yesterday, the issue of capping the price of Russian oil was being discussed, lowering the cap from 60 to 45... The G7 meeting is supposed to start on Sunday or Monday, where they were expected to agree on this new price cap of 45 dollars, and then the European Union was supposed to support it by the end of June. But today, the oil price has already gone up — it's already 75 dollars per barrel, instead of 60-something — and now, it seems to me, they won’t dare to lower it to 45.
Completely came true June 30, 2025
#Oil #Economy of Russia #Economy #Russia
ru → en

Vyacheslav Shiryaev

This is simply a reason for the bulls to push prices up. They managed to do that. This is a temporary phenomenon. I, of course, expect a response from Iran — Shahed drones will fly, they already seem to be flying, missiles will be launched from Iran toward Israel, but I do not expect any catastrophes with oil exports from the Persian Gulf. Therefore, for 2-3 days everything will fluctuate at high levels, and then from Monday everything will drop unless there is some kind of nuclear escalation. Oil prices, which surged due to Israel’s strike on Iran, will start to decline from Monday.
Almost came true June 25, 2025
#Oil #Economy #Iran #Israel
ru → en

Sergei Markov

Were you planning a summer trip to Anapa? And already considering canceling it? Cancel the cancellation! By summer, all of Anapa's beaches will be completely cleaned of oil residue. Enormous resources are being directed towards the cleanup. Thousands of volunteers—and some non-volunteers—are working. All the sand will be sifted. The cleanup will be personally overseen by the Minister of Natural Resources, Kozlov. All this so that millions of families with children can enjoy their summer vacation in Anapa!
Did not come true June 1, 2025
#Russia #Oil
ru → en

Pavel Zavalny

I am just sure that we will see completely different prices — oil at $200, and gas at $4,000-5,000 per thousand cubic meters, and so on. The decisions being made are still leading to an escalation of the situation.
Did not come true June 1, 2025
#Economy #Gas #Oil #Russia
ru → en

Mikhail Khazin

The war in the Middle East is expected to start, roughly speaking, immediately after Trump’s inauguration—that is, late January or early February. After that, oil prices will rise, and life in Russia will improve. If a war in the Middle East begins after Trump’s inauguration, oil prices will increase.
Did not come true May 30, 2025
#Oil #Russia #Middle East
ru → en

Oleg Deripaska

Trump Receives Congratulations... Good Morning, New World... Oil Heading to $50 by May.
Did not come true May 1, 2025
#Trump #Oil #USA
ru → en

Ivan Yakovina

Right now, I would bet that the strike on Feodosia is just a warm-up, a training exercise, and that the main blow will target the oil terminals in Novorossiysk and Ust-Luga. Most likely, this strike will happen after the U.S. presidential elections, at the beginning of November, exactly one month from now.
Did not come true December 31, 2024
#War in Ukraine #Ukraine #Russia #Oil
ru → en

Mikhail Krutikhin

The northern branch is still operating, through Belarus, Poland, and Germany... it will eventually die out sooner or later by the end of the year. About the northern branch of the Druzhba oil pipeline.
Almost came true December 31, 2024
#Russia #Belarus #Germany #Poland #Oil #Economy
ru → en

Igor Lipsitz

Events in the Middle East can certainly impact the market, and in the short term, they will likely have an effect, but probably not for very long and not in a very severe way. Israel's war against Hamas may affect oil prices, but only for a short period and not significantly.
Completely came true October 17, 2024
#Oil #Economy #Israel-Hamas war
ru → en

Mark Feygin

They will trade and sell for 60 and for 30... everyone who buys. Russia will still sell oil, despite the price cap that has been introduced.
Completely came true December 31, 2023
#Russia #Oil #Economy #Economy of Russia
ru → en

Dmitriy Potapenko

Yes, there is Latvia's position that it wants to propose to the European Union to set the price cap at 30. Well, they won't set it. Price cap on Russian oil at 30.
Completely came true May 24, 2023
#Economy #Russia #European Union #Oil
ru → en

Ramis Yunus

They will accept it anyway. Price cap on Russian oil.
Completely came true December 5, 2022
#Russia #Oil #Economy
ru → en