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Germany. The governing coalition has collapsed, and an acute government crisis has begun. If there are elections, the CDU leader Merz will become chancellor.
#Germany #Elections

The first to congratulate Trump on his victory was the president of El Salvador, just now. All Western leaders will congratulate Trump with mournful expressions only after the signal—when Harris concedes defeat.
#2024 United States presidential election #Trump #USA #European Union #Elections

Moldova. Sandu is likely to lose the election in the second round with a 90% probability. She is in shock and has been postponing her press appearance for many hours.
#Moldova #Elections

Military logic. Apparently, Selydove will soon be taken by the Russian army. I would assume that it will happen in about two weeks.
#War in Ukraine #Ukraine #Russia

Germany. Could the Alternative for Germany come to power? No. The authorities in Germany are preparing to ban the AfD. A dossier is currently being compiled. Reasons for the ban are being fabricated. They will start with banning some regional branches of the AfD. Then, under the threat of a complete ban, they will demand changes to the AfD's policies and put the political leadership of the AfD under control. That is the plan.
#Germany #Elections

Zelensky states that Ukrainian military commandant offices will be established in the Kursk region. Does this mean they are settling in for the long term? No. He knows very well that they will not be there for long.
#War in Ukraine #Russia #Ukraine #Zelensky

Iran, elections. Second round. Pezeshkian received 44% in the first round and is considered a liberal. Jalili received 40% in the first round and is considered a conservative. However, the candidate who took third place with 13%, also a conservative, has already called for votes for Jalili. Therefore, the prediction is for Jalili. But still, the prediction is approximate.
#Iran

Currently, there are no female governors in Russia. This is after the resignation of Governor Komarova today. This is certainly a disgrace for such a modern, civilized country as Russia. I am sure that the leadership of Russia understands this, and we will see female governors in the near future. Gender equality is one of the main achievements of civilization.
#Russia

In the event of the death of Iranian President Raisi, there will not be a major internal crisis in Iran. The real leader of Iran is not the president, but the spiritual leader, Ayatollah Khamenei. There will simply be new presidential elections.
#Iran

Surovikin will be returned to the Ukrainian front.
#Russia #War in Ukraine

The elections to the European Parliament will be on June 9. The European People's Party, the party of the establishment, euro-bureaucracy, and oligarchy, will win again.
#European Union

Deputy Minister of Defense Timur Ivanov has been arrested. He was responsible for construction. Everyone is wondering—could this be a signal to Shoigu that he won't be in the next government after May 7? Calm down. He will be. Since the catastrophic 2022, Shoigu has created a new army that repelled the advance of the Armed Forces of Ukraine in 2023. And in 2024, it will be on the offensive. Shoigu has accomplished a managerial feat...
#Russia

Many are joking about my prediction that the ruble won't be allowed to fall below 100. I admit that I am not an economist. But, having thought it over, I repeat my prediction about the ruble now – in the near future, the heads of the Central Bank and the Ministry of Finance will get a reprimand, and the exchange rate will drop below 100. Among the factors weakening the ruble, there are both temporary and psychological factors. Therefore, my prediction is that the ruble will be less than 100. Although many currently believe that since the ruble has broken the 100 mark, it will stay there. But I still think, even though I am not an economist, that it will go slightly below 100. We'll see.
#Russia #Economy of Russia #Economy #Ruble #Dollar

I don't think Wagner will leave Bakhmut on May 10... I believe the threat from Prigozhin to withdraw Wagner from Bakhmut on May 10 will not materialize.
#War in Ukraine #Ukraine #Russia

Now Biden will definitely run for president for a second term
#2024 United States presidential election #USA #Elections #Biden

The victory in Kherson should be the last major victory of the Armed Forces of Ukraine.
#War in Ukraine #Ukraine #Russia

Zelensky is submitting an application for Ukraine's entry into NATO. However, it won't be accepted because most NATO countries do not want to engage in a direct war with Russia.
#Ukraine #NATO #Zelensky

The moratorium on the death penalty has been lifted in the DPR. Currently, two British citizens and a Moroccan citizen have been sentenced to death... The British citizens are expected to be executed because having British citizenship is considered an aggravating factor. Britain is one of the main culprits responsible for the tens of thousands of deaths in Ukraine.
#War in Ukraine #Russia #United Kingdom

The moratorium on the death penalty has been lifted in the DPR. Currently, two British citizens and a Moroccan citizen have been sentenced to death. It is most likely that the Moroccan citizen will be pardoned as a gesture towards Arab nations, who have not joined the sanctions against Russia.
#War in Ukraine #Russia #Morocco

Kherson will become part of Russia.
#Ukraine #Russia #War in Ukraine

Russia currently controls 20.7% of Ukrainian territory. Before February 23, it was 7%. These calculations were made by Forbes. However, we disagree with them because they include Crimea in both the 7% and the 20.7%, and as everyone knows, Crimea is Russia. So, 20% under Russian control is still to come. And we foresee 30%, 40%, 50%, and even 60% in the future.
#War in Ukraine #Ukraine #Russia

Mariupol will be "liberated" today. It is the main economic center of the Donbas, even more economically powerful than Donetsk. Of course, it should have been "liberated" back in 2014. Referring to the capture of Mariupol by Russian forces. Supporters of Russia's invasion of Ukraine use the term "liberation" to describe the occupation.
#War in Ukraine #Ukraine #Russia

Russian army tanks are already in Kharkiv. The anti-fascists in Kharkiv will take control of the entire city in the coming hours. By "anti-fascists," he means pro-Russian forces.
#War in Ukraine #Ukraine #Russia

A war between Russia and Ukraine is impossible.
#War in Ukraine #Russia #Ukraine

A well-prepared and well-equipped Afghan army, trained and supplied by the Americans, mostly switched to the side of the enemies of the United States. The Ukrainian army will eventually do the same.
#War in Ukraine #Ukraine