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The most likely course of Russia-U.S. negotiations: a forecast attempt. 1. The U.S. and Russia are not ready to reach a compromise on Ukraine. 2. This is why the phone conversation between Putin and Trump has been delayed for so long—there needs to be a result, but there isn't one yet. 3. The conversation will take place soon. They will agree on a summit and a working group. 4. The summit will take place in the spring. However, there will still be no compromise on Ukraine. 5. However, a crucial compromise will be reached—de-escalation in terms of nuclear conflict. Trump will present this as a huge victory. 6. There will be a pause in negotiations on the Ukraine conflict, discussions will continue in a closed format, while military actions will also persist. 7. Trump will cut U.S. funding for Ukraine by about three times—from $300 billion to $100 billion—and will push Europe to contribute more, up to $200 billion. Europe will not increase its contributions. 8. In the spring, summer, and fall, everything will continue as it is. 9. By autumn, political conditions for negotiations will take shape: Europe's and Ukraine’s fatigue will force them to make more concessions to Russia. 10. Thus, by the end of the year, or possibly even in the fall, a peace agreement will be signed.
#War in Ukraine #Ukraine #Russia #USA #Trump

Were you planning a summer trip to Anapa? And already considering canceling it? Cancel the cancellation! By summer, all of Anapa's beaches will be completely cleaned of oil residue. Enormous resources are being directed towards the cleanup. Thousands of volunteers—and some non-volunteers—are working. All the sand will be sifted. The cleanup will be personally overseen by the Minister of Natural Resources, Kozlov. All this so that millions of families with children can enjoy their summer vacation in Anapa!
#Russia #Oil

The Danish authorities are in a complete panic. They’re trying to secretly reach out to Trump and ask him not to take Greenland. In exchange, they’re ready to give the U.S. everything in Greenland—any military bases, any concessions. I think Trump won’t take Greenland outright. He’ll take everything there while formally leaving Denmark’s flag flying.
#Greenland #Denmark #Trump #USA

Prediction: South Korean President Yoon will be in prison within a few days.
#South Korea

There will be no further collapse of Syria—Assad will gather all resources.
#Syria

The elite world is shaken by the death sentence given to the head of China’s main bank, the Bank of China, for bribery. All the heads of banks around the world are trembling at this news because they know they too could be sentenced for the same reason. And so could finance ministers. But don’t worry! Officially, it’s for bribery, but in reality, it’s because he was too friendly with America. And in two years, the death sentence will quietly be commuted to life imprisonment. In the meantime, he’ll be giving testimony against others in the Chinese elite who are eager to be too friendly with America.
#China

Germany. The governing coalition has collapsed, and an acute government crisis has begun. If there are elections, the CDU leader Merz will become chancellor.
#Germany #Elections

The first to congratulate Trump on his victory was the president of El Salvador, just now. All Western leaders will congratulate Trump with mournful expressions only after the signal—when Harris concedes defeat.
#2024 United States presidential election #Trump #USA #European Union #Elections

Moldova. Sandu is likely to lose the election in the second round with a 90% probability. She is in shock and has been postponing her press appearance for many hours.
#Moldova #Elections

Military logic. Apparently, Selydove will soon be taken by the Russian army. I would assume that it will happen in about two weeks.
#War in Ukraine #Ukraine #Russia

Germany. Could the Alternative for Germany come to power? No. The authorities in Germany are preparing to ban the AfD. A dossier is currently being compiled. Reasons for the ban are being fabricated. They will start with banning some regional branches of the AfD. Then, under the threat of a complete ban, they will demand changes to the AfD's policies and put the political leadership of the AfD under control. That is the plan.
#Germany #Elections

Zelensky states that Ukrainian military commandant offices will be established in the Kursk region. Does this mean they are settling in for the long term? No. He knows very well that they will not be there for long.
#War in Ukraine #Russia #Ukraine #Zelensky

Iran, elections. Second round. Pezeshkian received 44% in the first round and is considered a liberal. Jalili received 40% in the first round and is considered a conservative. However, the candidate who took third place with 13%, also a conservative, has already called for votes for Jalili. Therefore, the prediction is for Jalili. But still, the prediction is approximate.
#Iran

Currently, there are no female governors in Russia. This is after the resignation of Governor Komarova today. This is certainly a disgrace for such a modern, civilized country as Russia. I am sure that the leadership of Russia understands this, and we will see female governors in the near future. Gender equality is one of the main achievements of civilization.
#Russia

In the event of the death of Iranian President Raisi, there will not be a major internal crisis in Iran. The real leader of Iran is not the president, but the spiritual leader, Ayatollah Khamenei. There will simply be new presidential elections.
#Iran

Surovikin will be returned to the Ukrainian front.
#Russia #War in Ukraine

The elections to the European Parliament will be on June 9. The European People's Party, the party of the establishment, euro-bureaucracy, and oligarchy, will win again.
#European Union

Deputy Minister of Defense Timur Ivanov has been arrested. He was responsible for construction. Everyone is wondering—could this be a signal to Shoigu that he won't be in the next government after May 7? Calm down. He will be. Since the catastrophic 2022, Shoigu has created a new army that repelled the advance of the Armed Forces of Ukraine in 2023. And in 2024, it will be on the offensive. Shoigu has accomplished a managerial feat...
#Russia

Many are joking about my prediction that the ruble won't be allowed to fall below 100. I admit that I am not an economist. But, having thought it over, I repeat my prediction about the ruble now – in the near future, the heads of the Central Bank and the Ministry of Finance will get a reprimand, and the exchange rate will drop below 100. Among the factors weakening the ruble, there are both temporary and psychological factors. Therefore, my prediction is that the ruble will be less than 100. Although many currently believe that since the ruble has broken the 100 mark, it will stay there. But I still think, even though I am not an economist, that it will go slightly below 100. We'll see.
#Russia #Economy of Russia #Economy #Ruble #Dollar

I don't think Wagner will leave Bakhmut on May 10... I believe the threat from Prigozhin to withdraw Wagner from Bakhmut on May 10 will not materialize.
#War in Ukraine #Ukraine #Russia

Now Biden will definitely run for president for a second term
#2024 United States presidential election #USA #Elections #Biden

The victory in Kherson should be the last major victory of the Armed Forces of Ukraine.
#War in Ukraine #Ukraine #Russia

Zelensky is submitting an application for Ukraine's entry into NATO. However, it won't be accepted because most NATO countries do not want to engage in a direct war with Russia.
#Ukraine #NATO #Zelensky

The moratorium on the death penalty has been lifted in the DPR. Currently, two British citizens and a Moroccan citizen have been sentenced to death... The British citizens are expected to be executed because having British citizenship is considered an aggravating factor. Britain is one of the main culprits responsible for the tens of thousands of deaths in Ukraine.
#War in Ukraine #Russia #United Kingdom

The moratorium on the death penalty has been lifted in the DPR. Currently, two British citizens and a Moroccan citizen have been sentenced to death. It is most likely that the Moroccan citizen will be pardoned as a gesture towards Arab nations, who have not joined the sanctions against Russia.
#War in Ukraine #Russia #Morocco

Kherson will become part of Russia.
#Ukraine #Russia #War in Ukraine

Russia currently controls 20.7% of Ukrainian territory. Before February 23, it was 7%. These calculations were made by Forbes. However, we disagree with them because they include Crimea in both the 7% and the 20.7%, and as everyone knows, Crimea is Russia. So, 20% under Russian control is still to come. And we foresee 30%, 40%, 50%, and even 60% in the future.
#War in Ukraine #Ukraine #Russia

Mariupol will be "liberated" today. It is the main economic center of the Donbas, even more economically powerful than Donetsk. Of course, it should have been "liberated" back in 2014. Referring to the capture of Mariupol by Russian forces. Supporters of Russia's invasion of Ukraine use the term "liberation" to describe the occupation.
#War in Ukraine #Ukraine #Russia

Russian army tanks are already in Kharkiv. The anti-fascists in Kharkiv will take control of the entire city in the coming hours. By "anti-fascists," he means pro-Russian forces.
#War in Ukraine #Ukraine #Russia

A war between Russia and Ukraine is impossible.
#War in Ukraine #Russia #Ukraine

A well-prepared and well-equipped Afghan army, trained and supplied by the Americans, mostly switched to the side of the enemies of the United States. The Ukrainian army will eventually do the same.
#War in Ukraine #Ukraine