Predictions and promises monitor

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Sergei Markov

Political scientist, state and public figure (Russia)

Predictions
37
Verified
22
Came true
55%
Complex
59%
Confident
68%
5.2

Sergei Markov

Were you planning a summer trip to Anapa? And already considering canceling it? Cancel the cancellation! By summer, all of Anapa's beaches will be completely cleaned of oil residue. Enormous resources are being directed towards the cleanup. Thousands of volunteers—and some non-volunteers—are working. All the sand will be sifted. The cleanup will be personally overseen by the Minister of Natural Resources, Kozlov. All this so that millions of families with children can enjoy their summer vacation in Anapa!
Expected June 15, 2025
#Russia #Oil
ru → en

Sergei Markov

My forecast? No—my insight: the negotiations between Russia and Ukraine will collapse now due to Ukraine’s ultimatums. But that will be the first move, a pass. After that, the second move: an announcement will be made about a meeting between Putin and Trump as soon as possible.
Expected May 31, 2025
#War in Ukraine #Ukraine #Russia #Putin #Trump #USA
ru → en

Sergei Markov

India and Pakistan: 1. They carried out strikes against each other — around 10 strikes each, with approximately 10–30 casualties on each side. 2. There is little global concern. 3. Even though they each have about 170 nuclear warheads. 4. It is believed they will exchange another one or two rounds of strikes, gradually de-escalating, and then it will all calm down. 5. This reflects the hatred between Hindus and Muslims. 6. And the unresolved territorial issue. 7. China supports Pakistan. 8. The USA, Britain, and Israel support India. 9. Islamic countries, including Turkey, support Pakistan. 10. Russia is neutral, but India has closer relations with Russia than Pakistan does. 11. The forecast: another 20 or so people may be killed, and then things will settle down.
Expected May 31, 2025
#India #Pakistan
ru → en

Sergei Markov

Currently, there are no female governors in Russia. This is after the resignation of Governor Komarova today. This is certainly a disgrace for such a modern, civilized country as Russia. I am sure that the leadership of Russia understands this, and we will see female governors in the near future. Gender equality is one of the main achievements of civilization.
Expected May 30, 2025
#Russia
ru → en