Predictions and promises monitor

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Vladimir Milov

Politician, public figure (Russia)

Predictions
22
Verified
8
Came true
38%
Complex
50%
Confident
50%
Rating
4.65

Vladimir Milov

Putin will get a breather, will resume and accumulate resources... and he will attack again. Putin will attack Ukraine again if a ceasefire is declared.
Expected
#War in Ukraine #Ukraine #Russia
ru → en

Vladimir Milov

The second question is what will happen under Trump with economic policy in the U.S. I actually believe that his policies will lead to very serious problems for the American economy and will slow it down.
Expected December 31, 2028
#USA #Trump #Economy
ru → en

Vladimir Milov

I think that eventually, Nabiullina will be dismissed after some time. Referring to Elvira Nabiullina, the head of the Central Bank of Russia.
Expected December 31, 2025
#Russia
ru → en

Vladimir Milov

They're once again spinning unrealistic fairy tales... Now they want to convince us that they'll keep the deficit under a trillion rubles. In the three years of full-scale war, none of the Ministry of Finance's forecasts have come true. Our forecasts, however, have been accurate: they've exceeded all their modest projections, and nothing has worked out as they planned. This means that Russia's budget deficit in 2025 will exceed 1 trillion rubles.
Expected December 31, 2025
#Economy of Russia #Russia #Economy
ru → en

Vladimir Milov

I believe that the upcoming year 2025 will be incredibly difficult for Putin. And at the current scale, he will not be able to continue the war.
Expected December 31, 2025
#War in Ukraine #Ukraine #Russia #Putin
ru → en

Vladimir Milov

I do not share the sentiment that the far-right has won. Overall, the AfD does not have such percentages in Germany, and in western Germany, they are closer to zero. They will not win at the national level. The Alternative for Germany will not win the national elections in 2025.
Expected September 28, 2025
#Germany
ru → en

Vladimir Milov

More than two years have passed, and there’s still no mobilization, nor is it planned—there’s no sign of it on the horizon for the coming months. In Russia
Expected April 30, 2025
#Russia #War in Ukraine
ru → en

Vladimir Milov

The prices for the most common 95-octane gasoline are being held steady for now, largely due to the fuel damper mechanism. My prediction is that they won’t be able to maintain this for long, and eventually, the oil companies will approach the government and say: "There is already a significant gap between the real (economically justified) price of gasoline at retail gas stations and the price we are holding back—let’s start raising it". I’m curious when exactly this will happen, but I suspect we’re looking at the beginning of the year. Prices for 95-octane gasoline in Russia will soon start to rise.
Expected March 31, 2025
#Russia #Economy of Russia #Economy #Gasoline
ru → en

Vladimir Milov

Their next rate meeting is on December 20, and they stated that they will raise rates again if nothing changes. As you and viewers might guess, over the next two months, it’s hard to imagine what could cause a sudden drop in inflation, especially when everything is spiraling and inflation expectations remain high, with no change in fundamental factors. So, it’s likely they’ll raise the rate again in December. The Central Bank of Russia is expected to increase the key rate once more on December 20, 2024.
Expected December 20, 2024
#Economy of Russia #Russia #Economy
ru → en