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I think there will be some format. Primarily with the mediation of Turkey. The format of negotiations between Russia and Ukraine.
#War in Ukraine #Ukraine #Russia #Turkey

The proposal to cease fire will be rejected. This false narrative about continuing negotiations will be put forward. Russia will reject the ceasefire proposal in Istanbul.
#War in Ukraine #Ukraine #Russia #Turkey

Zelensky failed to disrupt the negotiations by citing the "wrong" composition of the Russian delegation. Zelensky is soon flying to Istanbul, where his negotiators have already been located. In addition, an extra Ukrainian delegation is flying to Turkey, consisting of deputy foreign ministers, deputy defense ministers, SBU representatives, and members of the Presidential Office. This delegation is expected to hold the main meeting with the Russian counterparts.
#War in Ukraine #Ukraine #Russia #Turkey #Zelensky

Right now, the Russians have gone to the Dolmabahçe Palace in Istanbul. The Ukrainians said they would arrive in Istanbul late. Why was this said? To take a pause and decide on a new delegation lineup. I think tomorrow it won’t be Rustem Umerov anymore, but someone of a lower level from the Ukrainian side.
#War in Ukraine #Ukraine #Russia #Turkey

Trump urged Ukraine to agree to the meeting on May 15, so it seems to me that it should take place. Referring to the meeting with Russia in Istanbul on May 15.
#War in Ukraine #Ukraine #Russia #Trump #Turkey

I doubt that Ukraine will agree to such terms (Putin calls it negotiations without any conditions. A clever formulation). Overall, it seems like nothing has really happened, but I’d be glad to be wrong. I just wish the war would end soon. On Putin’s proposal to resume negotiations in Istanbul.
#War in Ukraine #Ukraine #Russia #Turkey

With a high degree of probability, Ukraine will refuse to participate in the negotiations in Istanbul.
#War in Ukraine #Ukraine #Russia #Turkey

Zelensky agreed to negotiations in Istanbul but personally called on Putin to attend. It’s clear that Vladimir Putin himself will not go to the negotiations.
#War in Ukraine #Ukraine #Russia #Zelensky #Putin #Turkey

Tomorrow, May 15, there is a high likelihood that no meeting between Zelensky and Putin will take place.
#War in Ukraine #Ukraine #Russia #Zelensky #Putin #Turkey

To be honest, I don’t expect Putin to show up. It would be a very positive sign if he did — it would mean that Russia is seeking a ceasefire. In Istanbul on May 15 for negotiations with Zelensky.
#War in Ukraine #Ukraine #Russia #Putin #Turkey

I'd give it a 1. Not zero. It's not zero probability. In response to the question: "Could Putin come? On a scale from 1 to 10, what number would you assign to the likelihood of Putin coming?" (To Istanbul on May 15 for negotiations with Zelensky)
#War in Ukraine #Ukraine #Russia #Putin #Turkey

No. No, of course not. In response to the question: "Tell me, do you think Putin will come to Istanbul tomorrow or not?"
#War in Ukraine #Ukraine #Russia #Putin #Turkey

I tend to believe that Putin, of course, will not fly to Turkey. In response to the question: "What should we expect from the meeting between Zelensky and Putin in Turkey?"
#War in Ukraine #Ukraine #Russia #Putin #Zelensky #Turkey

To be honest, I find it hard to believe that Putin will come, because I don’t see it happening — and I think he’s afraid of direct negotiations, especially on neutral ground, where there will be no propaganda, no support, and he’ll have to sit at the same table with Zelensky. I think Putin is afraid, so I doubt he’ll come. In response to the question: "What’s your prediction? Will Putin come?" (To Istanbul on May 15 for talks with Zelensky)
#War in Ukraine #Ukraine #Russia #Putin #Zelensky #Turkey

No, of course he won’t fly there. I even placed a bet on it. In response to the question: "Do you think Putin will go to Istanbul for negotiations with Zelensky?"
#War in Ukraine #Ukraine #Russia #Putin #Zelensky #Turkey

Putin responded during the night with his proposal for a meeting on May 15 in Istanbul. We've seen Zelensky's response... Will Putin agree or not? My personal opinion is that, of course, he won’t come, and of course, nothing will happen. Putin will not come to Istanbul on May 15 for negotiations with Zelensky.
#War in Ukraine #Ukraine #Russia #Putin #Zelensky #Turkey

It seems to me that he is considering taking this risky step — the step of signing a truce with Ukraine. I don’t know whether he will go to Istanbul or not; I admit that he might. Of course, I agree that there’s a 99.9% chance he won’t go, but still, I allow for the possibility that it could happen. 99.9% chance that Putin will not go to the negotiations with Zelensky in Istanbul on May 15.
#War in Ukraine #Ukraine #Russia #Putin #Turkey

The negotiations on May 15 are expected to fall through, since Putin will not attend talks with Zelensky.
#War in Ukraine #Ukraine #Russia #Zelensky #Putin #Turkey

In my view, it is impossible to reach any kind of agreement right now. No matter what level the delegations are represented at—even if Putin himself comes, which I highly doubt—Putin has been saying from the very beginning that the Ukrainian president is illegitimate. (Putin will not attend the negotiations in Istanbul.
#War in Ukraine #Ukraine #Russia #Putin #Zelensky #Turkey

I don’t believe he’ll come. In response to the question: "In short, I think Putin will have to come up with something more impressive. And what can he do except act tough and show up in Istanbul on Thursday? What do you think will happen?"
#War in Ukraine #Ukraine #Russia #Putin #Turkey

Zelensky said he would personally come to Istanbul and wait there for Vladimir Putin. A strong move. Putin definitely won’t go there.
#War in Ukraine #Ukraine #Russia #Zelensky #Putin #Turkey

When will the Russian delegation arrive in Istanbul? I don’t know who will be there. It’s unlikely that Putin will respond to such an invitation from Zelensky — “I’ll be waiting for Putin in Turkey on Thursday in person”. Knowing the character of our Petersburg comrades, they’ll react to this with a smirk and won’t go in response to such an invitation. At most, they’ll say: “Send Arahamia, and we’ll send Vladimir Rostislavovich Medinsky”
#War in Ukraine #Russia #Ukraine #Putin #Turkey

I know that Erdogan will demand his price... he will demand that Putin withdraw from Syria... And Putin will abandon Assad.
#Putin #Syria #Erdogan #Turkey #Russia

The deal will be resumed. I don't know the timeline. But as I understand it will be before the elections in the Russian Federation. The grain deal between Russia, Ukraine, and Turkey.
#War in Ukraine #Ukraine #Russia #Turkey #Economy

After the elections, Sweden will join NATO. After the presidential elections in Turkey in the summer of 2023.
#Sweden #NATO #Turkey

Everything will be fine there. They will join. They will all come to an agreement. Sweden will join NATO.
#NATO #Sweden #Turkey

I think they will be persuaded. Hungary and Turkey, to give their approval for Sweden and Finland to join NATO.
#NATO #Hungary #Turkey #Sweden #Finland

Turkey, even more so, does not intend to intervene. In the conflict between Azerbaijan and Armenia.
#Turkey #Azerbaijan #Armenia

Of course, Putin will not go to Turkey.
#Putin #Turkey #Russia

I don't think Putin will go to Turkey. In August 2023. What Erdogan announced.
#Putin #Russia #Erdogan #Turkey

Erdogan... I think he will lose the elections. The presidential elections in Turkey in 2023.
#Erdogan #2023 Turkish presidential election #Turkey

There will most likely be a second round. And in the second round, Erdogan will win.
#Turkey #2023 Turkish presidential election #Erdogan

Erdoğan has a better chance... Erdoğan's chances of winning are about 60%.
#Erdogan #2023 Turkish presidential election #Turkey

His chances of turning the trends in his favor regarding the elections now seem minimal. About Erdogan and the upcoming presidential elections in Turkey.
#Erdogan #2023 Turkish presidential election #Turkey

Therefore, he is very likely to be re-elected. Erdogan
#Erdogan #2023 Turkish presidential election #Turkey