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Predictions and promises monitor

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Vyacheslav Maltsev

Political and public figure, blogger (Russia)

Predictions
24
Verified
4
Came true
100%
Complex
0%
Confident
75%
Rating
6.5
All Expected Expected soon New results

Vyacheslav Maltsev

The likelihood that Japan will reclaim the group of islands—Habomai, Kunashir, Shikotan, and Iturup—in 2025 is very high.
Expected
#Japan
ru → en

Vyacheslav Maltsev

I’m willing to bet that this won’t happen. It absolutely won’t. This is a card that China always plays, especially frequently in recent times. In response to the question: "What do you think is the likelihood that China will follow through on its intentions and try to seize Taiwan by force?"
Expected
#Taiwan #China
ru → en

Vyacheslav Maltsev

I’m willing to bet money that they’ll shoot down another plane soon—nothing will change. They have absolutely no sense of responsibility; they are irresponsible people, not intelligent, and incapable of organizing anything. Suggesting that Russian air defenses will mistakenly shoot down another plane.
Expected
#Russia
ru → en

Vyacheslav Maltsev

There is a very high likelihood that Assad's regime will be destroyed—a very high likelihood. I can see this happening.
Completely came true
#Syria
ru → en

Vyacheslav Maltsev

They definitely don’t want to release him; they absolutely don’t need him free. So there are two options: either he stays in prison, or they eliminate him. In response to the question: "What’s Ghirkin’s fate?"
Expected
#Russia
ru → en

Vyacheslav Maltsev

I think that after a ballistic missile, there should be some nuclear explosions on Novaya Zemlya, meaning nuclear tests. Russia will conduct nuclear weapons tests on Novaya Zemlya.
Expected
#Nuclear weapons #Russia
ru → en

Vyacheslav Maltsev

They’re saying that Trump won, but he won’t become president—that he still has to live to see the inauguration. Trump will 100% survive until the inauguration; I don’t think there will be any issues.
Expected
#Trump #USA
ru → en

Vyacheslav Maltsev

There will definitely be a war in Moldova. Of course, there will be, and it’s frightening; it’s the actions of this Maia Sandu and these lunatics from the European Union that have led to this.
Expected
#Moldova #European Union
ru → en

Vyacheslav Maltsev

China wants to land on the Moon by 2030 and start developing it, as we discussed before. They’ll be extracting resources from the Moon and everything else. And you’ll see—this will be 100% certain.
Expected
#China #Space #Science and technology
ru → en

Vyacheslav Maltsev

If Putin is no longer in power, then the Caucasus will immediately, of course, separate, and that’s completely obvious. Separate from Russia
Expected
#Russia #Putin
ru → en

Vyacheslav Maltsev

Something tells me that the war will drag on for a long time, and there will never be any elections again.
Expected
#Russia #Elections
ru → en

Vyacheslav Maltsev

I am officially stating this: Russia will freeze this winter. That means there will be no electricity, no heat, because a huge number of partisan groups are specifically targeting infrastructure, utilities, and so on. This is absolutely obvious.
Expected
#Russia
ru → en

Vyacheslav Maltsev

In the first round, Maia Sandu, the current president, will take first place. But in the second round, I’m not sure. She won’t win the first round outright, meaning she’ll secure the top spot, but she won’t receive more than 50% of the votes. So, there will be a runoff.
Completely came true
#Moldova #Elections
ru → en

Vyacheslav Maltsev

There definitely will be, just not right now. In response to the question: "Uncle Slava, will there be a second wave of mobilization?"
Expected
#Russia #War in Ukraine
ru → en

Vyacheslav Maltsev

I understand that Russia will collapse. In any case, it will not remain within its current borders. I would bet any amount of money that by 2030, Russia will not be in the same borders it is in now.
Expected
#Russia
ru → en

Vyacheslav Maltsev

They will, of course, sooner or later come to the point of reintroducing the death penalty. The death penalty will be reinstated in Russia.
Expected
#Russia
ru → en