Predictions and promises monitor

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#Germany

Authors
35
Predictions
45
Verified
32
Came true
84%
Complex
63%
Confident
31%

Sergei Markov

The German Chancellor stated that Russia must pay 500 billion euros to Ukraine. And then Russia can ask for the 200 billion euros frozen in the EU to be returned to them. Hmm. By the way, in that case, they wouldn't give back the 200 billion euros for anything. They'd find something to fault.
Expected
#Russia #Ukraine #Germany #European Union #Economy
ru → en

Ruslan Leviev

Many say that the Taurus missiles have a range of 500 km. But I am absolutely sure that even if Merz manages to get the Bundestag’s approval for supplying Taurus missiles to Ukraine, they will deliver a special limited version with a range of no more than 300 km, because there is an agreement between states that missiles with a range over 300 km cannot be supplied to anyone.
Expected
#War in Ukraine #Germany #Ukraine #Russia
ru → en

Vladimir Pastukhov

Why did Hess fly from Germany to the UK in his own plane and spend the rest of his time there at a guarded estate before the war? I’ve never seen a definitive answer to that question — neither what message he delivered, nor why Hitler decided to send him. I believe the answers to these questions are still stored in archives that are unlikely to be declassified anytime in the next 100–200 years.
Expected April 6, 2125
#Germany #United Kingdom
ru → en

Alfred Koch

The government that will be formed by Merz is still to the left of the country’s overall trend, primarily because of the firewall built between the CDU/CSU and the AfD, which prevents them from forming a coalition. I don’t think there’s much good in that. I believe it will end with the AfD simply gaining even more votes in the next election.
Expected December 31, 2029
#Germany
ru → en

Alex Yusupov

I’d even bet money that we won’t see any procedure to ban the Alternative for Germany.
Expected June 24, 2029
#Germany
ru → en

Maksim Shevchenko

No one will ban Alternative, of course — that’s impossible. In response to the question: “What do you think about the planned ban on Alternative — the German party?”
Expected December 31, 2027
#Germany
ru → en

Sergei Markov

Germany. Could the Alternative for Germany come to power? No. The authorities in Germany are preparing to ban the AfD. A dossier is currently being compiled. Reasons for the ban are being fabricated. They will start with banning some regional branches of the AfD. Then, under the threat of a complete ban, they will demand changes to the AfD's policies and put the political leadership of the AfD under control. That is the plan.
Expected September 28, 2025
#Germany #Elections
ru → en

Igor Eidman

By summer, I believe Germany will step up and significantly increase its support for Ukraine, especially if the Americans do not resume their aid.
Expected July 15, 2025
#Germany #Ukraine #War in Ukraine
ru → en

Mark Feygin

Zelensky will be in Berlin tomorrow. He wouldn’t have gone if there weren’t a firm promise to provide Taurus missiles. His visit, in fact, signals that the agreement to supply such weapons is being put into action.
Expected May 31, 2025
#War in Ukraine #Ukraine #Russia #Germany #Zelensky
ru → en