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Predictions and promises monitor

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#Lukashenko

Authors
22
Predictions
30
Verified
4
Came true
25%
Complex
75%
Confident
50%
All Expected Expected soon New results

Dmitry Bykov

It seems to me that Alexander Lukashenko will do everything possible to step down this year. Where he will go, how, and on what terms is debatable. But I believe we are witnessing the final period of Lukashenko's rule. As a leading political figure, he can no longer be taken into serious account.
Expected
#Lukashenko #Belarus
ru → en

Oleksiy Goncharenko

I think that sooner or later a warrant for Lukashenko will appear, if not for this case, then for something else. Lukashenko has done so many things that a warrant is inevitable. An ICC warrant.
Expected
#Lukashenko #Belarus
ru → en

Igor Yakovenko

Lukashenko, a man who has been in power for 30 years... I am firmly convinced that he will outlast Putin. Because, in terms of maneuvering skills—being practically in Putin’s back pocket, 1000 percent dependent on him—he still manages to create room to maneuver for himself.
Expected
#Lukashenko #Belarus
ru → en

Mikhail Svetov

I think no one doubted that Lukashenko would rule Belarus until his own end. He will not leave the office of president as a result of elections.
Expected
#Lukashenko #Belarus
ru → en

Igor Yakovenko

It’s fairly obvious that, like Putin, Lukashenko will only leave his throne upon physical death. For both Putin and Lukashenko, losing power is essentially equivalent to physical death or a long prison sentence.
Expected
#Lukashenko #Belarus
ru → en

Alexander Friedman

For various reasons, including Lukashenko's age, health, and general questions about the mechanism of power transfer, these elections will most likely be the last presidential elections in Lukashenko's career.
Expected
#Lukashenko #Belarus
ru → en

Alexander Friedman

I think Lukashenko’s minimum goal is to show a better result than Putin did in his elections, meaning it has to be over 87%. I believe he will even aim for 90%, and I think they will easily fabricate that 90% for him without much trouble.
Expected
#Lukashenko #Belarus
ru → en

Ivan Yakovina

He will leave when he dies, or when he is overthrown. But I think he is more likely to die than be overthrown. In response to the question: "When will Lukashenko step down?"
Expected
#Lukashenko #Belarus
ru → en

Dmitry Bykov

There will be no peaceful exit. That’s the horror of any totalitarianism—there’s no peaceful way out. Of course, there will be no peaceful departure. Referring to Lukashenko.
Expected
#Lukashenko #Belarus
ru → en

Alexander Rykov

I believe the dictator will try to hold on to his seat until he can no longer stand because, for him, leaving power would mean losing the purpose of his life. For 30 years, he has been a "great ruler"... I don't believe he will step down voluntarily. Lukashenko will not leave power on his own.
Expected
#Lukashenko #Belarus
ru → en

Kseniya Larina

When they hang Putin, I assure you, Lukashenko will be the first in line to kick the stool from under him. If Putin collapses, Lukashenko will betray him.
Expected
#Lukashenko #Putin #Belarus #Russia
ru → en

Gleb Pyanykh

Lukashenko will end along with Putin. And even if the regime in Russia persists, I believe that this regime will not be able to hold onto Belarus.
Expected
#Belarus #Lukashenko #Putin
ru → en

Andrey Karaulov

Lukashenko will never pardon Sofia Sapega; moreover, she will serve her full sentence, from bell to bell. Knowing Russia well, Lukashenko cannot—and will not—create a precedent. Let it be a lesson to the Russians! To run for office, criticize, incite, condemn... For all foreigners—double sentences!
Did not come true
#Lukashenko #Belarus #Russia
ru → en

Yulia Latynina

A person who prohibits launching Russian missiles from the territory of Belarus cannot direct his army somewhere, as it will most likely turn its weapons against him. About Lukashenko and the Belarusian army, which will turn its weapons against him if he directs them to Ukraine
Expected
#War in Ukraine #Belarus #Lukashenko
ru → en

Ruslan Leviev

As soon as the Putin regime truly collapses... I think there will be a domino effect, yes, at the very least, Lukashenko's regime will completely fall.
Expected
#Russia #Putin #Lukashenko #Belarus
ru → en

Yigal Levin

I think that in the end he will be drawn into the war; the chances are not high right now, meaning it won't happen tomorrow. Answer to the question: "Will Lukashenko wriggle out of it this time?"
Expected
#Lukashenko #Belarus
ru → en

Mark Feygin

He is just pretending... he will not give weapons to the people... he will not give them weapons, he will not. Lukashenko will not provide Belarusians with weapons in the context of creating a people's militia
Completely came true
#Belarus #Lukashenko
ru → en