Predictions and promises monitor

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Konstantin Borovoy

Politician, entrepreneur, blogger (Russia, USA)

Predictions
33
Verified
4
Came true
75%
Complex
50%
Confident
75%
5.94

Konstantin Borovoy

It's obvious that Iran is stalling, and has been for years—more than a decade. And all of this will end the way we want it to: with the physical destruction of Iran’s nuclear program, nuclear weapons, and missile systems.
Expected
#Iran #Nuclear weapons
ru → en

Konstantin Borovoy

I am also confident that one day a monument to Novodvorskaya will be erected in Russia — the only dissident who fought for Russia’s true interests.
Expected
#Russia
ru → en

Konstantin Borovoy

I think he will keep trying to stop this war for a long time — until he succeeds. In response to the question: "How long will Trump keep trying to stop the war? When might he say he's washing his hands of it, that he’s done everything he could, and from now on it’s up to others — America is no longer interested?"
Expected
#War in Ukraine #Ukraine #Russia #Trump #USA
ru → en

Konstantin Borovoy

Russia needs to return to the global stage. But returning while sanctions are still in place is impossible. And no one will lift the sanctions without the de-occupation of the territories.
Expected
#Russia #Economy #War in Ukraine
ru → en

Konstantin Borovoy

In reality, Putin won’t last long. When this regime collapses, all those territories will return to Ukraine — there’s no doubt about that. And all those criminals who carried out these seizures — we will hunt them down around the world and bring them to justice. Justice will prevail. Sometimes, it doesn’t come immediately.
Expected
#War in Ukraine #Ukraine #Putin #Russia
ru → en

Konstantin Borovoy

Leftist ideology began to retreat in the 21st century... In France, nationalists, patriots, Le Pen... will come. Implying that Marine Le Pen, or right-wing forces in general, will eventually come to power in France.
Expected
#France
ru → en

Konstantin Borovoy

A similar situation is unfolding in Ukraine right now. The choices aren’t great either. Ukraine is slowly moving toward authoritarianism. There’s already a propaganda campaign instead of a free information environment. The security forces are beginning to dominate as well. I think they’ll remove Zelensky from power, and gradually, security forces and intelligence services will start to take control.
Expected
#Zelensky #Ukraine
ru → en

Konstantin Borovoy

I think this will be one of Ivanishvili's justifications when he is removed from power and receives a sentence in absentia, a punishment. He will probably outlive Putin and eventually face punishment, perhaps even in absentia.
Expected
#Georgia
ru → en

Konstantin Borovoy

In Georgia, a revolutionary scenario is likely. The Georgian people are very emotional. At some point, when mere existence becomes truly dangerous for people, they will rise up and overthrow Ivanishvili. He won’t sit in prison; he’ll flee to Russia immediately.
Expected
#Georgia
ru → en

Konstantin Borovoy

I am almost certain that after the Republicans come to power in the U.S., as it was already the case during Trump’s presidency, there will be a reduction in programs of the United Nations. There will be a cut in funding for these programs.
Expected
#USA #UN
ru → en

Konstantin Borovoy

I really want this trial to happen. But I am a realist... The likelihood of a trial against Putin is very low. Response to the question: 'When do you think the trial against Putin will take place?'
Expected
#Putin #Russia
ru → en

Konstantin Borovoy

There are no chances left that Russia will survive as a unified state. Absolutely no chances. There will be many new states.
Expected
#Russia
ru → en

Konstantin Borovoy

Therefore, this state has no other chances; it will disintegrate. Russia.
Expected
#Russia
ru → en

Konstantin Borovoy

I’d give Putin five years, no more. Then maybe a gray zone — another five years. Ten years total. By that time, he’ll probably die anyway.
Expected December 31, 2035
#Putin #Russia
ru → en

Konstantin Borovoy

In the United States, it is unlikely that Kamala Harris will win. The next 8 years will belong to the Republicans.
Expected November 30, 2032
#USA
ru → en

Konstantin Borovoy

I'm sure that Yermak will publish a memoir that will be very popular, in which he will talk about his relationship with Zelensky.
Expected December 31, 2030
#Ukraine
ru → en

Konstantin Borovoy

I think they will come to power. In response to the question: "What will happen with the French right-wing?"
Expected December 31, 2029
#France
ru → en

Konstantin Borovoy

Trump is serving his second term in presidential office, a second term in office. He won’t be president a third time... I’m sure that Trump won’t run for a third term.
Expected December 31, 2029
#Trump #USA #Elections
ru → en

Konstantin Borovoy

I think there’s a very important point related to Taiwan. The Democratic administration has an ambiguous stance — at one point, Biden made a very dangerous statement saying that the U.S. would not intervene in a conflict between China and Taiwan. That is a very dangerous position. It’s clear that under Trump, nothing like that could happen — Taiwan will defend itself, and it is not a province of China.
Expected December 31, 2028
#Taiwan #China #USA #Trump
ru → en

Konstantin Borovoy

I foresee this happening within a couple of years — blogging will start to fade and disappear. Only those will remain who turn their platforms into professional news agencies, information agencies, or expert organizations.
Expected December 31, 2027
#Internet
ru → en

Konstantin Borovoy

You'll see — something big is about to start in connection with the decision regarding Marine Le Pen, and it won’t be pretty. I have no doubt about it for even a second. The protests will be massive.
Expected December 31, 2026
#France
ru → en

Konstantin Borovoy

Musk’s sales are down 50 percent, and the market cap is down 17 percent. Smart Democrats in Congress have already picked up on this. They’re buying like crazy — buying Tesla stock. Because it will go up. It can’t go down.
Expected December 31, 2025
#Economy
ru → en

Konstantin Borovoy

The Iran issue ranks second. On Trump’s scale, I would give it a weight of 3 out of 10. We know that this issue will be resolved, and very quickly. The nuclear program will be stopped through negotiations.
Expected August 31, 2025
#Iran #USA #Trump
ru → en