Predictions and promises monitor

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#Israel

Authors
64
Predictions
125
Verified
41
Came true
66%
Complex
71%
Confident
54%

Sergey Auslender

The new Syrian leadership has said nothing about reclaiming the Golan Heights. For now, they are talking about returning to the 1974 borders. Israel, in turn, states that during this period of uncertainty and transition, they will remain in the buffer zone without interfering with anyone. Moreover, they are taking full responsibility for maintaining everyone within the buffer zone. However, they will reassess the situation later. If the Syrian leadership demonstrates competence and a commitment to civilized dialogue, there will be no problem—Israel will regroup and withdraw to the 1974 borders. But this is unlikely to happen before the end of 2025. Of course, we’ll see—anything is possible, but it remains improbable.
Expected December 31, 2025
#Syria #Israel
ru → en

Maksim Shevchenko

Within two months, we will witness attempts to remove Netanyahu from power. And, undoubtedly, if this happens, we can then say that this is the goal, the step that will inevitably lead to the creation of a Palestinian state. If Netanyahu is removed, a Palestinian state will be established.
Expected December 31, 2025
#Palestine #Israel
ru → en

Maksim Shevchenko

If Iran and Hezbollah don’t respond with a full-scale war... They’ll wait for Trump’s defeat, which would mean Netanyahu’s defeat as well. If Trump loses the election, Netanyahu will also face defeat.
Expected December 31, 2025
#USA #Israel #Trump
ru → en

Ezra Mor

The Gaza Strip must be destroyed, and immediately afterward the Islamic Republic of Iran must also be wiped out. Personally, I’m betting on late October to early November.
Expected December 26, 2025
#Gaza #Iran #Israel
ru → en

Oleg Kashin

Quite soon, nothing will prevent the Israeli authorities from announcing that the objectives of the special military operation have been achieved and that Iran no longer has either a nuclear program or the people who planned to implement it, because the maximum program — some new government in Iran loyal to Israel — is clearly unattainable.
Expected December 19, 2025
#Iran #Israel
ru → en

Vladimir Milov

Oil prices could have steadily gone up if we were heading toward a scenario of a prolonged regional war between Israel and Iran. At the moment, I don’t see the prospects of such a war. This is because Israel and Iran are located far from each other. They cannot fight with physical armies — they can only exchange strikes.
Expected December 13, 2025
#Israel #Iran
ru → en

Andrey Piontkovsky

Netanyahu's domestic political situation is difficult. I think he will take a historic step — without waiting for or asking Trump's permission, he will launch a strike on Israel. He misspoke — from the context, it’s clear that he meant "on Iran," not "on Israel."
Expected December 4, 2025
#Israel #Iran #Trump #USA
ru → en

Win/Win

Another wave of turmoil and near-nuclear war between Israel and Iran will predictably end in de-escalation and feigned mutual strikes, you'll see. Then they'll agree to negotiate, because no one in our world is going to fight to mutual destruction.
Expected September 30, 2025
#Iran #Israel
ru → en

Vision of the future

The National Security Council under Trump has come to an end. Most likely, a decision will be made to finish off Iran. It’s easier to demonstrate power than to pretend to be a peacemaker. That way, the essence of power is clearer. Anyone who holds even a little bit of power is obliged to kick someone, so that others don’t come too close. Once the decision to crush Iran is made, the Pentagon will get involved in operations with Israel. American refueling aircraft will work with the Israeli Air Force. Then, Tomahawk strikes will begin as a show of force to third countries. This act of vanity and muscle-flexing will be crowned by strikes using high-power deep-penetration bombs.
Expected September 17, 2025
#Iran #USA #Israel
ru → en

Michael Nacke

Some part of Iran’s political elite, I believe led by Khamenei (he is not being killed because his death could trigger a civil war), will simply agree to Israel’s terms. They have President Pezeshkian, who is quite pro-Western, and I think Khamenei will simply declare that the era of trying to destroy Israel is over, that it’s time to live normally, to make deals and all that. And that will be the end of it. But I make these assumptions based on the rational behavior of actors, which does not always reflect reality.
Expected September 17, 2025
#Iran #Israel
ru → en

Dmitry Gordon

I think that until Israel finishes bombing all the nuclear facilities—until it completely destroys the nuclear program—it won’t stop. Iran's nuclear facilities.
Expected August 15, 2025
#Iran #Israel #Nuclear weapons
ru → en

Vladimir Beliak

It is very difficult for me to understand how Netanyahu's government will survive these three major crises. Therefore, I believe there is a strong likelihood that this coalition will collapse by late February or early March, and we will then head to early elections in the summer.
Expected July 15, 2025
#Israel
ru → en

Dmitriy Potapenko

I think so. This process is not quick. Israel has certain limitations, including with its armed forces. Iran and the Islamic world must somehow respond to the destruction of some infrastructure. Response to the question: "Do you think this will last a month?" (The war between Israel and Iran)
Expected July 13, 2025
#Israel #Iran
ru → en