Predictions and promises monitor

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Sergei Markov

Political scientist, state and public figure (Russia)

Predictions
25
Verified
16
Came true
50%
Complex
56%
Confident
63%
Rating
4.88

Sergei Markov

Zelensky is submitting an application for Ukraine's entry into NATO. However, it won't be accepted because most NATO countries do not want to engage in a direct war with Russia.
Expected
#Ukraine #NATO #Zelensky
ru → en

Sergei Markov

Russia currently controls 20.7% of Ukrainian territory. Before February 23, it was 7%. These calculations were made by Forbes. However, we disagree with them because they include Crimea in both the 7% and the 20.7%, and as everyone knows, Crimea is Russia. So, 20% under Russian control is still to come. And we foresee 30%, 40%, 50%, and even 60% in the future.
Expected
#War in Ukraine #Ukraine #Russia
ru → en

Sergei Markov

Germany. The governing coalition has collapsed, and an acute government crisis has begun. If there are elections, the CDU leader Merz will become chancellor.
Expected September 30, 2025
#Germany #Elections
ru → en

Sergei Markov

Germany. Could the Alternative for Germany come to power? No. The authorities in Germany are preparing to ban the AfD. A dossier is currently being compiled. Reasons for the ban are being fabricated. They will start with banning some regional branches of the AfD. Then, under the threat of a complete ban, they will demand changes to the AfD's policies and put the political leadership of the AfD under control. That is the plan.
Expected September 28, 2025
#Germany #Elections
ru → en

Sergei Markov

Currently, there are no female governors in Russia. This is after the resignation of Governor Komarova today. This is certainly a disgrace for such a modern, civilized country as Russia. I am sure that the leadership of Russia understands this, and we will see female governors in the near future. Gender equality is one of the main achievements of civilization.
Expected May 30, 2025
#Russia
ru → en

Sergei Markov

Zelensky states that Ukrainian military commandant offices will be established in the Kursk region. Does this mean they are settling in for the long term? No. He knows very well that they will not be there for long.
Expected December 31, 2024
#War in Ukraine #Russia #Ukraine #Zelensky
ru → en