Predictions and promises monitor

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Maksim Shevchenko

Journalist, public figure (Russia)

Predictions
33
Verified
11
Came true
64%
Complex
55%
Confident
82%
Rating
5.72

Maksim Shevchenko

There is a fairly strong coalition—the Patriotic Faction, or "Patriots for Europe" faction in the European Parliament—and I believe they will recognize your elections. Referring to the "Patriots for Europe" faction in the European Parliament, which will likely recognize the 2024 elections in Georgia.
Expected
#European Union #Georgia
ru → en

Maksim Shevchenko

If Trump wins, there will be big problems for the liberals... If he does win, Trump will make a tour, stopping in Vienna, meeting with the Freedom Party of Austria, Orban, Fico, Alternative for Germany, Sahra Wagenknecht, and Meloni. That’s why I’m personally convinced that Trump will be assassinated; he won’t live to see this happen because he is too dangerous.
Expected
#Trump #USA
ru → en

Maksim Shevchenko

I think so, definitely. Netanyahu needs a major war. He sees that he’s not provoking anything, whether it’s the assassination of Hezbollah leadership, the killing of Ismail Haniyeh, or the genocide of the Lebanese and Palestinian populations—he's not provoking Iran either. In response to the question: "Do you think Israel will strike Iran before the elections?" (Before the 2024 U.S. presidential elections)
Completely came true
#Israel #Iran
ru → en

Maksim Shevchenko

There is no attack and there will not be one. I believe it would be catastrophic for Israel, and Israel knows this too; there are not foolish people there. Answer to the question: "Do you not believe in the start of a ground operation at all?" (Israel against Hezbollah in Lebanon).
Expected
#Israel #Hezbollah #Lebanon
ru → en

Maksim Shevchenko

There are no interests for either Trump or Biden to end the Ukrainian war... Do you think Trump will stop supplying weapons to Zelensky? I believe he absolutely will not.
Expected
#Trump #War in Ukraine #Ukraine #USA
ru → en

Maksim Shevchenko

If Iran and Hezbollah don’t respond with a full-scale war... They’ll wait for Trump’s defeat, which would mean Netanyahu’s defeat as well. If Trump loses the election, Netanyahu will also face defeat.
Expected
#USA #Israel #Trump
ru → en

Maksim Shevchenko

If Iran and Hezbollah don’t respond with a full-scale war... They’ll wait for Trump’s defeat, which would mean Netanyahu’s defeat as well. In exchange, a nuclear deal will be signed, with the Americans leading the initiative to recognize a Palestinian state. If Trump loses the election, the U.S. will make a nuclear deal and recognize the Palestinian state.
Expected
#USA #Israel #Palestine
ru → en

Maksim Shevchenko

Missiles. We need to be prepared. They will hit Russian cities. Missiles will fly everywhere unless some solutions are found—political or military solutions. But we can see that there are no such solutions.
Expected
#War in Ukraine #Russia
ru → en

Maksim Shevchenko

Russia will never join the Turkic Union, in which Turkey is the main player. The answer to the question: 'Can Russia join the Turkic Union in the near future?'
Expected
#Russia #Turkey
ru → en

Maksim Shevchenko

No. Never. Never in life. The answer to the question: 'Can Putin leave the presidency?'
Expected
#Putin #Russia
ru → en

Maksim Shevchenko

I am confident that the time will come when unrestricted access to YouTube will return, so we will not stop our broadcasting on YouTube, especially since a huge number of viewers are outside the Russian Federation and can watch us completely without any restrictions.
Expected
#Russia #Internet #Censorship
ru → en

Maksim Shevchenko

Netanyahu really wanted this. There will be no war. Response to the question: 'Will there be a major war between Israel and Iran?'
Expected
#Israel #Iran
ru → en

Maksim Shevchenko

I believe that the current leadership of the Federal Penitentiary Service will change after this, just like the Ministry of Defense. Due to the hostage-taking at the Rostov pre-trial detention center.
Expected
#Russia
ru → en

Maksim Shevchenko

I do not rule out that those who initiated the case against Timur Ivanov, understanding that they will not be able to imprison him anyway, because Sergey Kuzhugetovich has very strong positions and very strong connections...
Expected
#Russia
ru → en

Maksim Shevchenko

Do we have to wait a whole year? Netanyahu won't last that long, believe me, that's for sure. In response to Nikita Vasilenko's remark: "Well, Netanyahu might wait for Trump's return."
Did not come true
#Israel #Israel-Hamas war
ru → en

Maksim Shevchenko

Prigozhin will return, I am sure. He will return from Belarus... But not now, in 2024. To Russia.
Did not come true
#Russia
ru → en

Maksim Shevchenko

Overall, their offensive will end in failure... they will not reach Crimea, they will not reach Mariupol, they will not reach Melitopol... it's very much in question. The expected (and just initiated) counteroffensive of the Armed Forces of Ukraine in 2023.
Completely came true
#War in Ukraine #Ukraine #Russia
ru → en

Maksim Shevchenko

I believe that the war will come to the territory of Russia. The war may reach Bryansk, Belgorod, Kursk, Oryol, Kuban, and Rostov Oblast. I do not rule anything out.
Completely came true
#War in Ukraine #Russia #Ukraine
ru → en

Maksim Shevchenko

It will only get worse, it will only get scarier... I am confident that Ukraine will receive bombers, fighters, missile defense systems, and tactical missiles.
Expected
#War in Ukraine #Ukraine #Russia
ru → en

Maksim Shevchenko

No one will achieve a decisive victory. I think everything will stop at some line, a kind of '38th parallel'... And after the cessation, long negotiations will begin... At least until the American elections, everything will continue.
Expected
#War in Ukraine
ru → en

Maksim Shevchenko

Are they going to remove him, Manturov? Of course not... Manturov will not be dismissed in the near future
Completely came true
#Russia
ru → en