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Predictions and promises monitor

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Dmitriy Potapenko

Entrepreneur, blogger (Russia)

Predictions
51
Verified
21
Came true
71%
Complex
52%
Confident
33%
Rating
6.02
All Expected Expected soon New results

Dmitriy Potapenko

If there is a strike on the oil and gas sector, then according to my estimates, the increase in hydrocarbon prices — for example, oil — will be around 17–22 percent. A strike by Israel on Iran’s oil and gas infrastructure.
Cannot be verified September 2, 2025
#Oil #Economy #Iran #Israel
ru → en

Dmitriy Potapenko

A key rate reduction, I think, is something we won’t see in the next six months. In response to the question: "Should I take out a loan now or wait for the key rate to drop?"
Completely came true May 15, 2025
#Economy of Russia #Russia #Economy
ru → en

Dmitriy Potapenko

The stability of the Russian ruble. So, the range of 93-97—I don’t really see the need for it to reach, maybe touch, 98-99, but that’s unlikely. The ruble exchange rate will be 93-97 per dollar until the end of 2024.
Did not come true December 31, 2024
#Ruble #Dollar #Economy of Russia #Russia #Economy
ru → en

Dmitriy Potapenko

We are expecting the next meeting, at which we will most likely see an increase in the rate. At the next meeting, the Central Bank will raise the key rate again.
Completely came true October 25, 2024
#Economy of Russia #Russia #Economy
ru → en

Dmitriy Potapenko

If long-range artillery can still be seen on the battlefields this year, then regarding aviation... to expect that it will appear before spring 2024 is absolute illusion. Ukraine is unlikely to receive F-16s before spring 2024.
Completely came true August 4, 2024
#War in Ukraine #Ukraine #Russia
ru → en

Dmitriy Potapenko

Yes, of course. Answer to the question: 'Will Putin remain in power?'
Completely came true March 31, 2024
#Putin #Russia
ru → en

Dmitriy Potapenko

Somewhere in July, I said that the hot phase would be in October, and the signing of the first agreements, so to speak, on a ceasefire, which will certainly be violated, would be in November. He believes that negotiations, at least about a ceasefire, will begin in November and that the parties will at least talk.
Did not come true December 31, 2023
#War in Ukraine #Russia #Ukraine
ru → en

Dmitriy Potapenko

No, it will not end. There is not the slightest chance of it ending. Answer to the question: "Will the war end this year?" (The war in Ukraine)
Completely came true December 31, 2023
#War in Ukraine #Russia #Ukraine
ru → en

Dmitriy Potapenko

Still, if we take Iran... is there a chance for some kind of revolutionary scenario? Well, I think not... unless the military gets involved. About a possible revolution in Iran due to the September protests, and stating that the military is unlikely to get involved.
Completely came true September 21, 2023
#Iran
ru → en

Dmitriy Potapenko

Yes, there is Latvia's position that it wants to propose to the European Union to set the price cap at 30. Well, they won't set it. Price cap on Russian oil at 30.
Completely came true May 24, 2023
#Economy #Russia #European Union #Oil
ru → en

Dmitriy Potapenko

Xi Jinping is expected to visit Russia. This is normal. In March 2023
Completely came true March 21, 2023
#Russia #China
ru → en

Dmitriy Potapenko

On the 28th-29th, there will be a point when the borders will be closed; it will not be a closure of the borders for exit... Men will not be allowed to leave without a certificate from the military enlistment office... Officially, no one will close the border.
Partially came true December 31, 2022
#Russia
ru → en

Dmitriy Potapenko

Thus, they will try to bring it to an average of 71-74... but physically, the rate of 67-69 is the maximum they can achieve by December... this is assuming they don't 'fool around like complete idiots.' About the exchange rate of the ruble to the dollar.
Almost came true December 15, 2022
#Russia #Economy of Russia #Ruble #Dollar
ru → en