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Dmitriy Potapenko

Entrepreneur, blogger (Russia)

Predictions
46
Verified
17
Came true
76%
Complex
47%
Confident
35%
6.16

Dmitriy Potapenko

Vladimir Vladimirovich has one very strong trait, a very strong one. It lies in the fact that he has transitioned from being the executive director of a joint-stock company to becoming its majority shareholder. There are both advantages and disadvantages to this. The advantage is that he will see things through to the very end, no matter what. The disadvantage is that any succession operations or transfer of power are completely impossible. Talking about Putin.
Expected
#Putin #Russia
ru → en

Dmitriy Potapenko

The average European is much more concerned about the price of their food and gas, which would be beneficial for them if it were supplied directly through a pipeline from Russia. Therefore, as soon as the escalation of the conflict is reduced, the pipeline will be restored within three months, and Europe will immediately return to Russian gas in full volume. No one is dismantling the gas transportation system.
Expected
#European Union #Gas #Russia #War in Ukraine #Economy
ru → en

Dmitriy Potapenko

Is there a chance of this? Honestly, I assess it as unlikely. About Ukraine's accelerated accession to NATO. He argues that it would require "bending the procedure."
Expected
#Ukraine #NATO
ru → en

Dmitriy Potapenko

I think they will leave him like Nazarbayev, and then slowly remove him. Response to the question: 'Will Putin remain in power or will he be ousted?'
Expected
#Putin #Russia
ru → en

Dmitriy Potapenko

Nothing will fall apart... on the contrary, it will be a symbol that we need to unite around the great leader. Response to the remark that if Crimea is de-occupied, everything in Russia will fall apart
Expected
#Russia #War in Ukraine
ru → en

Dmitriy Potapenko

VV will remain in power for quite a while, as he’s only 72. I would estimate at least another 10 years of his rule. By VV, he means Putin.
Expected December 31, 2034
#Putin #Russia
ru → en

Dmitriy Potapenko

Sanctions will work for decades... sanctions are serious and long-term. Regarding sanctions against Russia
Expected December 31, 2032
#Russia
ru → en

Dmitriy Potapenko

Right now, renting is more advantageous. Buying an apartment doesn’t make sense at the moment. Prices won’t drop. The real estate market cools down very slowly... It takes 5-7 years for the real estate market to cool off, so prices aren’t going to fall.
Expected December 31, 2031
#Economy of Russia #Russia #Economy
ru → en

Dmitriy Potapenko

It's clear that within the next 3-5 years, the retirement age will be raised.
Expected December 31, 2029
#Russia
ru → en

Dmitriy Potapenko

Most likely, Armenia will lose the Zangezur Corridor. And I don’t think it will be a particularly bloody war. I believe there will be a border conflict, so to speak, with some casualties—probably not many, but still.
Expected December 31, 2027
#Armenia #Azerbaijan
ru → en

Dmitriy Potapenko

That’s a highly unlikely scenario for the rate to be 15% next year. Aliens are more likely to arrive. In response to: "By the start of the second quarter... they might start lowering the rate, maybe even to 15% in 2025. What do you think of that?" (Referring to Russia's key interest rate)
Expected December 31, 2025
#Economy of Russia #Russia #Economy
ru → en

Dmitriy Potapenko

The demarcation agreement, which I think everyone is pushing towards... will most likely come in 2025, with the first attempts to establish some kind of deal regarding authority and territories. Between Russia and Ukraine.
Expected December 31, 2025
#War in Ukraine #Russia #Ukraine
ru → en

Dmitriy Potapenko

To answer your question, the rate will be raised to 23-25%, but it will be raised a bit later because you can’t spoil the timing. Referring to the key interest rate in Russia.
Expected June 30, 2025
#Economy of Russia #Russia #Economy
ru → en

Dmitriy Potapenko

A key rate reduction, I think, is something we won’t see in the next six months. In response to the question: "Should I take out a loan now or wait for the key rate to drop?"
Expected May 16, 2025
#Economy of Russia #Russia #Economy
ru → en