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No, he won’t advance. In response to the question: "Will Putin reach Zaporizhzhia this year? What's your forecast?"
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In terms of probability, I would assess it as low. Because the involvement of Russia’s regions in Russian affairs is very high — most likely, no one will want to separate, in my opinion. The republics of the Caucasus — maybe; their probability is somewhat higher. As for Tatarstan, the probability is zero. In response to the question: "What do you think about the possibility of national republics breaking away from the Russian Federation after the end of the Putin regime? How likely do you think that is?"
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If we’re talking about European countries, they abide by international law — unlike Putin. Therefore, of course, no one is going to attack Kaliningrad.
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I tend to believe that Putin, of course, will not fly to Turkey. In response to the question: "What should we expect from the meeting between Zelensky and Putin in Turkey?"
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As for Sloviansk and Kramatorsk — definitely not, in my opinion. In response to the question: "Can Russia occupy Kostyantynivka, Druzhkivka, Sloviansk, Kramatorsk, or at least one of these cities this year?"
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It’s obvious that the war won’t last another 14 years. The war in Ukraine.
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I’m more inclined to believe the second scenario—that Putin will come up with excuses and reasons not to agree. In the end, he will not go for a truce.
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I don’t think Ukraine will give up all four regions, of course. In response to the question: "Will Ukraine agree to give up all four regions in exchange for peace and security guarantees?"
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And most likely, indeed, if the war continues further, a second wave of mobilization will be inevitable. They are functionally fully prepared for it; the only thing left will be to somehow mitigate the political risks. In Russia.
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There are currently rumors about a ceasefire being introduced on Easter, April 20, which is in two months. I have almost no doubt that the Ukrainian Armed Forces will hold the Kursk front until then. This means that Putin will have to trade the Kursk region for something else.
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In the next six months, yes. 100%. That’s my prediction. In the coming six months, the Russian army will definitely not capture Pokrovsk. In response to the question: "Will Ukraine be able to defend Pokrovsk?"
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It’s unlikely that Chasiv Yar will be captured within the next week, but it can no longer be said with certainty that the Ukrainian Armed Forces will hold the city. After the turning point a couple of weeks ago, it became clear that Chasiv Yar will also be abandoned—sooner or later, but inevitably.
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Of course, it will. Just not now and not through military action anymore. At this point, the war is unlikely to shift in such a way that Crimea can be reclaimed militarily. But through diplomacy, Ukraine will undoubtedly regain it sooner or later. In response to the question: "Will Ukraine get Crimea back?"
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Will Sudzha hold out? Naturally, some part of the Ukrainian bridgehead might shrink, but I think they’ve set a goal to hold on right up until Trump, until January 20, and part of the bridgehead will definitely hold.
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The noose around Kupiansk is tightening. Judging by the balance of forces, the city will inevitably be captured. The Ukrainian Armed Forces will have to abandon it, just as they previously left Vuhledar and Selydove.
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I think if it happens, it will be next year. They haven’t reached Pokrovsk yet. In response to the question: "When do you think the assault on Pokrovsk will take place?"
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I think that both before and after the New Year, the Ukrainian Kursk bridgehead will hold. And in the spring, more or less when all the mud has dried up, it could potentially be fully retaken with significant efforts from the Russian military.
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I think Kamala Harris—I’ll make that prediction. In response to the question: "Who do you think will win the U.S. election? Share your opinion"
#2024 United States presidential election #KamalaHarris #USA #Elections

But if the Armed Forces of Ukraine (AFU) don’t push back the advancing forces right now, Chasiv Yar will inevitably be captured within the next few months.
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Of course. Agreed with the statement that the war in Ukraine will not last for 20 years.
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I think, of course, they will not be deployed. Sarmat missiles on combat duty in 2023 in Russia
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So, Volgograd will remain Volgograd. There will be no renaming to Stalingrad
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Most likely, a large-scale offensive by the Armed Forces of Ukraine can be expected after the New Year.
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Regarding Poland, it is most likely a one-time situation and it is unlikely to happen again. The incident with the missile falling on Polish territory.
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I think that at some point, Putin will abandon these attacks. Mass rocket strikes on Ukraine.
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I think it will be some kind of bombing of some city. Possibly Dnipro... Putin will simply send cruise missiles to peaceful Ukrainian cities... I don't think it will be a strike on Kyiv, although there are those Iranian drones... there is a theoretical possibility that they could reach Kyiv... it will definitely be just terror against peaceful Ukrainian cities. Russia's response to the explosion of the Crimean Bridge.
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Probably not; a nuclear strike is not anticipated. Russia will not use nuclear weapons.
#Nuclear weapons #Putin #War in Ukraine #Russia #Ukraine

I believe that we will definitely see at least one significant attempt; we probably have another two months, maybe even three... because this is a very sensitive target for them, the Donetsk region. About Russia's offensive in the Donetsk region of Ukraine.
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Therefore, I still do not believe in these referendums; they are more likely just being talked about. Talking about the so-called referendums on the accession of Ukrainian regions to Russia.
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