Predictions and promises monitor

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Ian Matveev

Military expert (Russia)

Predictions
33
Verified
13
Came true
62%
Complex
62%
Confident
31%
5.86

Ian Matveev

I think that both before and after the New Year, the Ukrainian Kursk bridgehead will hold. And in the spring, more or less when all the mud has dried up, it could potentially be fully retaken with significant efforts from the Russian military.
Completely came true May 13, 2025
#War in Ukraine #Ukraine #Russia
ru → en

Ian Matveev

There are currently rumors about a ceasefire being introduced on Easter, April 20, which is in two months. I have almost no doubt that the Ukrainian Armed Forces will hold the Kursk front until then. This means that Putin will have to trade the Kursk region for something else.
Did not come true April 20, 2025
#War in Ukraine #Ukraine #Russia
ru → en

Ian Matveev

Will Sudzha hold out? Naturally, some part of the Ukrainian bridgehead might shrink, but I think they’ve set a goal to hold on right up until Trump, until January 20, and part of the bridgehead will definitely hold.
Completely came true January 20, 2025
#War in Ukraine #Ukraine #Russia
ru → en

Ian Matveev

I think if it happens, it will be next year. They haven’t reached Pokrovsk yet. In response to the question: "When do you think the assault on Pokrovsk will take place?"
Completely came true December 31, 2024
#War in Ukraine #Ukraine #Russia
ru → en

Ian Matveev

So, Volgograd will remain Volgograd. There will be no renaming to Stalingrad
Completely came true December 31, 2023
#Russia
ru → en

Ian Matveev

I think, of course, they will not be deployed. Sarmat missiles on combat duty in 2023 in Russia
Did not come true September 1, 2023
#Russia
ru → en

Ian Matveev

Most likely, a large-scale offensive by the Armed Forces of Ukraine can be expected after the New Year.
Completely came true June 5, 2023
#War in Ukraine #Ukraine #Russia
ru → en

Ian Matveev

I think it will be some kind of bombing of some city. Possibly Dnipro... Putin will simply send cruise missiles to peaceful Ukrainian cities... I don't think it will be a strike on Kyiv, although there are those Iranian drones... there is a theoretical possibility that they could reach Kyiv... it will definitely be just terror against peaceful Ukrainian cities. Russia's response to the explosion of the Crimean Bridge.
Completely came true December 31, 2022
#War in Ukraine #Russia #Ukraine #Putin
ru → en

Ian Matveev

I believe that we will definitely see at least one significant attempt; we probably have another two months, maybe even three... because this is a very sensitive target for them, the Donetsk region. About Russia's offensive in the Donetsk region of Ukraine.
Completely came true November 30, 2022
#War in Ukraine #Ukraine #Russia
ru → en

Ian Matveev

Therefore, I still do not believe in these referendums; they are more likely just being talked about. Talking about the so-called referendums on the accession of Ukrainian regions to Russia.
Did not come true September 30, 2022
#War in Ukraine #Ukraine #Russia
ru → en