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I think no, neither Trump nor Putin will conduct nuclear tests—specifically, the detonation of nuclear charges—neither of them. Answer to the question: "And will Putin conduct nuclear tests?"
#Nuclear weapons #Putin #Trump

Just recently, they took down a drug smugglers' boat. It was a big victory for Trump. Well, that looks very stupid. They most likely won't do anything about Maduro. Most likely, nothing will change. I think there's only one end for Maduro: either his own people will finish him off, or he'll just die.
#Venezuela

The war could end as early as tomorrow if Putin dies or loses power. The war in Ukraine.
#War in Ukraine #Russia #Ukraine #Putin

I don't think so. Answer to the question: "Do you think Russia is facing another Chechen war?"
#Russia

I think no, they likely won't attack. The US will certainly get involved. Answer to the question: "Do you think China will attack Taiwan?"
#Taiwan #China #USA

Putin also has an awarded weapon, but he'll never have the guts to make the right choice. Meaning, Putin won't shoot himself.
#Putin #Russia

How many more years will Putin need to achieve his goals? Putin's goals are unclear, so it's unknown. But generally, the goal that Putin is truly striving for—the destruction of Ukraine—I think he won't have enough years; that is, he will die sooner.
#War in Ukraine #Russia #Ukraine #Putin

In terms of probability, I would assess it as low. Because the involvement of Russia’s regions in Russian affairs is very high — most likely, no one will want to separate, in my opinion. The republics of the Caucasus — maybe; their probability is somewhat higher. As for Tatarstan, the probability is zero. In response to the question: "What do you think about the possibility of national republics breaking away from the Russian Federation after the end of the Putin regime? How likely do you think that is?"
#Russia

If we’re talking about European countries, they abide by international law — unlike Putin. Therefore, of course, no one is going to attack Kaliningrad.
#Russia #Europe

It’s unlikely that Chasiv Yar will be captured within the next week, but it can no longer be said with certainty that the Ukrainian Armed Forces will hold the city. After the turning point a couple of weeks ago, it became clear that Chasiv Yar will also be abandoned—sooner or later, but inevitably.
#War in Ukraine #Ukraine #Russia

Of course, it will. Just not now and not through military action anymore. At this point, the war is unlikely to shift in such a way that Crimea can be reclaimed militarily. But through diplomacy, Ukraine will undoubtedly regain it sooner or later. In response to the question: "Will Ukraine get Crimea back?"
#War in Ukraine #Ukraine #Russia

Probably not; a nuclear strike is not anticipated. Russia will not use nuclear weapons.
#Nuclear weapons #Putin #War in Ukraine #Russia #Ukraine

Regarding Poland, it is most likely a one-time situation and it is unlikely to happen again. The incident with the missile falling on Polish territory.
#War in Ukraine #Russia #Ukraine #Poland

Of course. Agreed with the statement that the war in Ukraine will not last for 20 years.
#War in Ukraine #Ukraine #Russia

It’s obvious that the war won’t last another 14 years. The war in Ukraine.
#War in Ukraine #Ukraine #Russia

No, of course not, and it won't be able to next year either; there are no prospects for it. Answer to the question: "Do you think Russia will be able to capture Kherson this year?"
#War in Ukraine #Russia #Ukraine

I think a truce will happen in 2026. Maybe it will be concluded in 2025, but in 2026 we (Russia and Ukraine) will most likely be in a state of truce.
#War in Ukraine #Russia #Ukraine

Probably not; it's very unlikely that Tomahawks will be supplied. In response to the question: "Will there be Tomahawks? How good are they? And what are the pros and cons?" (Will they be given to Ukraine)
#War in Ukraine #Ukraine #Russia

I don't think they'll be thrown into active combat on Ukrainian territory. Instead, they'll likely be stationed somewhere along the borders to relieve the Russian army, so they can cover the Belgorod, Bryansk, and partially Kursk regions from potential invasions by Ukrainian forces. Answer to the comment: "Heard the news about 30,000 North Koreans being sent to the front?"
#War in Ukraine #North Korea #Russia #Ukraine

Well, if he's released, a position will definitely be found, but somehow I feel they won't release him. The person knows too much. Timur Ivanov might be sent to the front... he's asking to be sent as an assault soldier to the SMO. Your prediction: will they actually release him? And will he really go on the attack as a private with a bayonet, or will some position be found for him?
#War in Ukraine

How much longer will the war go on? What do you think, Yan? Right now, I would say no less than six months, no less than six months, and then we'll see. The war in Ukraine.
#War in Ukraine #Ukraine #Russia

I'll make a prediction: at some point, the percentage of Shahed interceptions by drones will be 40-50%, no less.
#War in Ukraine #Ukraine

A Kherson counteroffensive is impossible. How would they cross the Dnieper? It's unrealistic for anyone, neither the Russian nor the Ukrainian army, so nothing serious is brewing on that front.
#War in Ukraine #Ukraine #Russia

Will they capture Siversk? It is very unlikely that they will capture it this year; most likely they won't capture it.
#War in Ukraine #Ukraine #Russia

Yes. And this year it most likely won’t come to that—unless something falls apart. In response to the question: “It seems to me that we’re still a long way from encircling Pokrovsk or capturing Konstantinovka”
#War in Ukraine #Ukraine #Russia

No, he won’t advance. In response to the question: "Will Putin reach Zaporizhzhia this year? What's your forecast?"
#War in Ukraine #Ukraine #Russia

As for Sloviansk and Kramatorsk — definitely not, in my opinion. In response to the question: "Can Russia occupy Kostyantynivka, Druzhkivka, Sloviansk, Kramatorsk, or at least one of these cities this year?"
#War in Ukraine #Ukraine #Russia

I don’t think Ukraine will give up all four regions, of course. In response to the question: "Will Ukraine agree to give up all four regions in exchange for peace and security guarantees?"
#War in Ukraine #Ukraine #Russia

And most likely, indeed, if the war continues further, a second wave of mobilization will be inevitable. They are functionally fully prepared for it; the only thing left will be to somehow mitigate the political risks. In Russia.
#War in Ukraine #Ukraine #Russia

I feel that Putin will not come to Hungary after all. They will either re-negotiate for a different location, or the meeting will simply fall through.
#Putin #Hungary

I think, more likely yes. Answer to the question: "Do you think America will resume arms supplies?" (to Ukraine)
#War in Ukraine #Ukraine #USA

I think Trump is trying to pressure the Iranian government into making some concessions, cutting a deal, but I don’t think he’ll succeed and will just back off. He’ll be his typical self—talking about how “we’ll hit you hard if you don’t agree”. Nobody will agree, and he won’t actually follow through; he’ll just walk away.
#Trump #USA #Iran

It's obvious Putin doesn't want to apologize at a high level. They're both dictators, both have taken hostages and beaten them, which is, of course, terrible. In Azerbaijan, they grabbed some completely random Russian guys—one's an IT specialist, another something else—and they've all been identified. They're not drug dealers or anything. These are the ways of things: two dictators taking hostages. Maybe there will be exchanges. I think it will all somehow resolve within a month. I hope the people will be free.
#Russia #Azerbaijan

The noose around Kupiansk is tightening. Judging by the balance of forces, the city will inevitably be captured. The Ukrainian Armed Forces will have to abandon it, just as they previously left Vuhledar and Selydove.
#War in Ukraine #Ukraine #Russia

But if the Armed Forces of Ukraine (AFU) don’t push back the advancing forces right now, Chasiv Yar will inevitably be captured within the next few months.
#War in Ukraine #Ukraine #Russia